Preparing for a Nuclear Iran

I no longer think the question is if Iran goes nuclear, it's now only when. The idea that we can trust but verify in Iran is about as believable as when Clinton made pretty much the same deal with North Korea. You remember how well that worked out?

Best case scenario: Iran and Pakistan nuke each other.

Worst case scenario: Iran and Israel nuke each other.

And as often as not, the future probably will be neither extreme. Iran's pursuit of a nuke is probably more linked to their fear of regime change then it is to their fear of a Jewish state. That is, a nuclear bomb is a way for them to prolong their own power when clearly no one -- including their own people -- really thinks Ayatollah Khomeini's particular brand of Islamism has worked out very well.

We need to remember that the Islamic Republic of Pakistan already has nukes and so far has remained in check by the prospects of Indian nukes, despite a good chunk of its own citizens believing the end is nigh so why not nuke a few billion infidels into oblivion. So, I don't see Iran nuking Israel just for spite or out of a dream of an apocalyptic oblivion. People in power generally want to stay in power, despite eschatological fantasies of hidden imams coming to save the day. Jim Jones and David Koresh are the exception, not the rule.

Since Obama's tenure in office is assured until early 2017 I don't see anything we can do to stop this deal from happening. It's a fait accompli.

The biggest irritation here is that just when Obama and the EU's policy of economic sanctions began to work, they folded. As we speak Iran is on the verge of complete economic collapse. The collapse could have actually led to regime change, but even if it didn't do that immediately it would have at least led to chaos. Maybe even the kind of chaos that Syria is going through. A weakened Iran.

But now, holding a straight flush, Obama .... folds?

Yes, elections have consequences. I fear we are about to see just how far reaching those consequences might be.

Posted by: Rusty at 11:46 AM

Comments

1 The Persian Regime would have no problem with accidentallyirradiating millions of Sunni Arabs in order to wipe out 6 million Jews.

Posted by: MtTB at November 25, 2013 12:12 PM

2 An Iranian Captain Trips and sets off a chain reaction work accident that is blamed on the juice's then Iran will fling a nuke at Israel which will be short and hit someplace where only Camels and Muslim's dwell......Oh Well.

Posted by: obsidian at November 25, 2013 12:48 PM

3 But MtTB, wouldn't Israel retaliate? Which would mean no more Iran

Posted by: Rusty at November 25, 2013 01:15 PM

4 And in what bloody universe are the ayatollah's NOT BatShit Crazy?

Posted by: Kafiroon at November 25, 2013 02:07 PM

5 Obsidian @ 2-
!!!11eleventy!!1111
You read my mind. Well almost. What I thought of was the girlish hand of olla jacking off that iranian nuke in the midst of a clusterfcuk of ayatolas.

Posted by: EROWMER at November 25, 2013 03:44 PM

6 Just stop saying the Pharaoh and his State Department are inept and foolish. This is deliberate and evil.

Posted by: Storm Saxon's Gall Bladder at November 25, 2013 04:19 PM

7 Just when I think this administration could NOT do anything stupider....they change the game. And to think there are people out there who think this is a WIN for America?? Seriously?

Posted by: Frustrated Teacher at November 26, 2013 12:21 AM

8 I've always considered it highly likely that Iran would pick a non-important town and nuke their own people just to blame it on Israel. Would not matter how many experts prove it to be home-grown, the Muslim world would line up behind the Iranian mullahs to march on Tel Aviv.

Posted by: TimO at November 26, 2013 03:05 PM

9 If a tiny country like Israel was nuked in wouldn't be able to retaliate. Someone is assuming only one weapon would be used. That's not the way it would go down. It's silly to think all these American trained terrorist leaders haven't already considered it. If Iran destroyed Israel they know America may/maybe not retaliate against them. They also know they would survive if America did. Would the mad moolas sacrifice the infrasture of Iran to destroy what they believe God commands them to do?
You bet your ass they would.

Posted by: Greyrooster at November 28, 2013 12:08 AM

10 Air-drop 0.50 cal machine guns to Iranian citizens
The M2 is cheap, numerous, easy to operate, and battle-proven. They can be dropped with ammo and kits to mount them on pickup trucks. This is cheaper than invading Iran, and success is proportional to the number of air-drops.

Posted by: DemocracyRules at November 28, 2013 12:21 AM






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