Are Pennsylvania and Minnesota Really In Play?

Why yes. Yes they are.

ABCNews has moved both from "Safe Democrat" to "Lean Democrat."

Romney may have an advantage here if he makes a genuine late play:

Romney has a substantial lead among white men. Minnesota is one of the least diverse states in the country with 90 percent of the electorate in 2008 made of white voters. In other Midwestern states with small minority populations, like Iowa and Wisconsin, the Obama campaign has flooded the airwaves for months with anti-Romney ads. They have done nothing of the sort in Minnesota.

Those ads -- constant, relentless negative attacks on Mitt Romney for a full season -- are cited as a reason why Romney underpolls in Ohio, as compared to his standing in national polls. But the electorate in Minnesota (and maybe Pennsylvania) isn't as poisoned.

The campaigns are suddenly playing in these states, too.

As the presidential race narrows in Minnesota, former President Bill Clinton is planning to visit here this week to shore up support for President Barack Obama.

...

The sudden attention comes as both campaigns have started buying advertising time in Minnesota, which had been lacking until last week.

There are only two reasons Bill Clinton would visit Minnesota, and because I know he's a faithful husband who would never cheat on his wife, I know it must be because he's worried about the state falling to Romney.

Obama's narrowly ahead in Minnesota, a poll says, but narrowly, and his actual level of support is only 47%. So it seems that a majority of people are at least open to the idea of voting for Romney.

The battlefield is changing in Romney's favor. We aren't talking much about Virginia and Florida any more; we're talking about Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, and, now, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, and of course Wisconsin.

Part of the sudden interest in the other states of the midwest is Ohio's persistent state as a nailbiter and toss-up. That, I guess, is something Obama can take satisfaction in.

But Romney isn't just taking wild stabs and no-hope states. Polls show these states as actually in play.

There are no McCain states, and no Bush states besides Ohio, that are welcoming to Obama.

This seems to confirm that the trend, as we move into the last week (last week -- can you believe it?), is in Romney's direction.

If Obama were actually winning this thing, we should expect some sudden happy surprises for Obama. Say, North Carolina suddenly leaning to him in most polls. Or Missouri (in years past, a bellwether) showing him ahead.

But that's not happening. The dominoes are falling in one direction.

The first storm-front is the expanding campaign battleground. I've long noted that which states become competitive towards the end of the race can tell you a lot about the state of the campaign. In 2008, when "red" states like Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina and Montana suddenly became competitive, it was a clear sign that Obama had a huge momentum advantage. This year, however, it is "blue" states becoming competitive. In the final week, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Minnesota are emerging as new battleground states. If Romney's position is improving in states like these, its a good sign that he slated to win states like Florida, Colorado, Virginia and Ohio.

Why Romney Should Pour Money Into Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin: Given the relative lack of political ads in these states, ads could really actually do something. I don't know if ads can change any minds in Ohio anymore. At some point, people are just sick of them, and their feelings have hardened into positions.

I gotta think there is more upside in these relatively-virginal states. More bang for the buck. More actual chance of persuasion.

Posted by: Ace at 07:35 PM



Comments

1 First

Posted by: Methos at October 29, 2012 07:36 PM (hO9ad)

2 I'll be rising from my crypt to help out.

Posted by: Zombie Murtha at October 29, 2012 07:37 PM (vhDvn)

3 Barry SCOaMF, mulligan presidency

Posted by: fluffy at October 29, 2012 07:38 PM (z9HTb)

4 WANNA SEE WHAT IS REALLY GOING ON IN EARLY VOTING?

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html

OH is 17.4% in, not 33% as Rasmussen claims.

Posted by: Bill Mitchell at October 29, 2012 07:38 PM (hlUJY)

5 Hope everyone saw the link in the other thread about Gallup.

If you didn't...

http://bit.ly/S9yHxr

Great numbers for Romney.

Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at October 29, 2012 07:38 PM (vouc9)

6 i hope he wins Minnesota just to drive Garrison K out of his mind

Posted by: Cricket at October 29, 2012 07:39 PM (2ArJQ)

7 Pennsylvania you could get some traction just talking about taxes and business and tradition (and freaking Benghazi).

Minnesota on the other hand, either talk about how much you love lake fishing, or just slap it's ass and call it a dirty, dirty girl. Either way should work.

Posted by: Ben Ghazi at October 29, 2012 07:39 PM (bxiXv)

8 Teh internets is behaving fits...lots of IE 'cannot find page', and I'm left coast. Can it be node issues?

Posted by: torabora at October 29, 2012 07:40 PM (vhDvn)

9 see also the following from @SalenaZitoTrib (link in URL):

Posted by: Kevin in ABQ at October 29, 2012 07:40 PM (XrGnJ)

10 I'm gonna need a bigger batch of pudding.

Posted by: ChampionCapua at October 29, 2012 07:40 PM (KZi9D)

11

54-45, 300+ECV

Mitt will save the children but not the liberal children.

He's coming, he's coming, he's coming

Posted by: toby928 at October 29, 2012 07:40 PM (QupBk)

12 The campaigns shouldn't go to Pennsylvania or Minnesota. They should just stay in a school here in Atlantic City.

Posted by: Mayor Lorenzo Langford at October 29, 2012 07:40 PM (9F2c1)

13 I've been saying this now for a month or so. Mittens takes PA and the election is over by 8:15 PM EST on election eve.

Posted by: Truck Monkey at October 29, 2012 07:40 PM (jucos)

14 3 Barry SCOaMF, mulligan presidency

Sorry. No mulligans allowed on this public course.

Posted by: rickb223 at October 29, 2012 07:41 PM (d0Dmj)

15
Romney must be doing relatively well in Hennepin Co.

Posted by: perdogg at October 29, 2012 07:41 PM (Ttf/I)

16 "just slap it's ass and call it a dirty, dirty girl"
When I heard this I got some batteries andwas on the next plane.

Haw haw

Posted by: Bill Clinton at October 29, 2012 07:42 PM (vhDvn)

17 essence of the link is that in 2008, GOP led in absentees by 2%. Today leading by 18.8% (GOP up by 6.8%, Dems off by 6.2%).

Posted by: Kevin in ABQ at October 29, 2012 07:42 PM (XrGnJ)

18 Silly wingnuts, your facts conflict with the reality I have approved for you. QED

Posted by: The Greginator at October 29, 2012 07:42 PM (a0nis)

19 The trend is our beyotch, er, friend. Liking it. FU Nate Silver and Polutico. No WH parties for you girls for b/t 8-16 years. ~snort~

Posted by: eureka! at October 29, 2012 07:42 PM (cTjRR)

20 It may be just the make-up but that MNF sideline babe Lisa Salters kinda reminds me of Stacey Dash.

Posted by: logprof at October 29, 2012 07:42 PM (jKE+Z)

21

I'm afraid to, jinx it, but I want to plan a Victory Party, now.

Line up what drinks to mix up...

Posted by: 8 days at October 29, 2012 07:42 PM (LpQbZ)

22 Mitt will probably win with the same states Bush won in 2004.

Posted by: soothie at October 29, 2012 07:43 PM (BUcLz)

23 Karl Rove reported tonight that is PAC is doing a big ad buy in Pennsylvania. So Mitt is getting some help. Everyone in my neighborhood is highly motivated. But it the suburbs of Philly that always give the Republicans angst. I like the trend, though. And Smith is gaining traction in the Senate race, too.

Posted by: Liberty Lover at October 29, 2012 07:43 PM (b4W5O)

24

Who am I kidding, it will be martini's.

Posted by: 8 days at October 29, 2012 07:43 PM (LpQbZ)

25 Barry is only buying ads in Minneapolis to reach me.

Posted by: Western Wisconsin at October 29, 2012 07:43 PM (a2kqQ)

26 With all due disrespect to the SCOAMF.....Bayonets!!!111!!!

Posted by: RedMindBlueState at October 29, 2012 07:43 PM (1w6VE)

27
Minnesota, This will be difficult. In 2010 republicans took the House and Senate. But we LOST EVERY statewide office to the DFL.

But I'd like to see them try. Ads in the Twin Cities and Duluth also are seen in Western WI too.

Also a Gay Marriage Amendment is on the ballot this year. Ditto Voter ID. That may help with Republican turnout.

Posted by: rd does not believe the MSM at October 29, 2012 07:44 PM (zLp5I)

28 Considering you can vote as many times as you want in PA, without producing a single ID I'd say Romney is behind the 8 ball in PA.

Posted by: Up with people at October 29, 2012 07:44 PM (kzFo5)

29 54-45, 300+ECV



Mitt will save the children but not the liberal children.



He's coming, he's coming, he's coming


Very nice.
I'd like 54-44, just so the libs can't claim to have only lost by single digits.

Posted by: Methos at October 29, 2012 07:44 PM (hO9ad)

30 If Mitt wins this thing, that first debate will go down in history. Go Mitt!!! Finish it...

Posted by: Jmel at October 29, 2012 07:45 PM (c+D8V)

31 Hey Barry, I'm coming, and Hell's coming with me, you hear...

Posted by: CSMBigBird at October 29, 2012 07:45 PM (gilQT)

32 Dominoes are a racial dogwhistle. Now, drink!

Posted by: Chris Matthews at October 29, 2012 07:46 PM (QKKT0)

33 No way, wingnutz!111!11!!!11!11!!!!1!!!!

Suck my tiny shriveled excuse for a cock!111!!1111!111111!!!11!11!!

Posted by: GAAAAAARRRGGGHHHH at October 29, 2012 07:46 PM (aHR5E)

34 Also heard KKKarl Rove speak on the radio on Hewitt's show. Incredible analysis on the GOTV micro-targeting differences between GOP and 'Rats. Encouraging. Very.

Posted by: eureka! at October 29, 2012 07:46 PM (cTjRR)

35 These states fall like dominoes (dominoes)

These states fall like dominoes (da-da-Dominoes)

These states fall like dominoes (dominoes)

These states fall like dominoes (d-d-Dominoes)(dominoes) (d-d-dominoes)

....

Posted by: Serious Cat at October 29, 2012 07:48 PM (zrpqj)

36 you wingnuts are just talking about non-Ohio blue states because you are doomed I tell you. dooooooooooomed

also the Electoral College is the greatest system ever conceived, except for that one time.

Posted by: Librul Mindreader at October 29, 2012 07:48 PM (60GaT)

37 The Obama campaign must now pin its hopes on Hurricane Sandy inflicting tens of thousands of deaths all across the eastern seaboard. Because dead people almost always vote Democrat.

Posted by: Cicero (@cicero) at October 29, 2012 07:48 PM (QKKT0)

38 Did Shep Smith just say its a dark and stormy night?

Posted by: Liberty Lover at October 29, 2012 07:48 PM (b4W5O)

39 Mitt will save the children but not the liberal children.

October Surprise: Mitt once held an opponent's wife's hand in a jar of acid.

Posted by: wooga at October 29, 2012 07:48 PM (vjyZP)

40 Harbingers of Victory! After Jesse Ventura and Al Franken, if Minnesota is in play, Obama is losing the moron vote!

Posted by: Sgmstv at October 29, 2012 07:49 PM (Owwmo)

41 The Obama campaign must now pin its hopes on Hurricane Sandy inflicting
tens of thousands of deaths all across the eastern seaboard. Because
dead people almost always vote Democrat.

---

Almost?

Posted by: mediumheadboy at October 29, 2012 07:49 PM (aHR5E)

42 If by some miracle Mitt wins Massachusetts I might die in a fit of delighted laughter.

Posted by: Blue Falcon in Boston at October 29, 2012 07:49 PM (KCvsd)

43 I have CNN on. A very wet Erin Burnett is on camera.

And I don't mean wet from the hurricane.

Well actually I do mean that but it's still pretty good.

Posted by: ace at October 29, 2012 07:50 PM (LCRYB)

44 Greg and I are sticking with the 70% win for Obama.


OK, so now I am getting punked on Politco, shit I thought those guys were on our side, oops, I meant to say they were objective.

Posted by: Nate Silver at October 29, 2012 07:50 PM (wR+pz)

45

Why Romney Should Pour Money Into Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin:
Given the relative lack of political ads in these states, ads could
really actually do something. I don't know if ads can change any minds
in Ohio anymore. At some point, people are just sick of them, and their
feelings have hardened into positions.

I gotta think there is more upside in these relatively-virginal states.
More bang for the buck. More actual chance of persuasion.



Posted by: Ace at 07:35 PM

Ace, Bob Beckle made an interesting point today on The Five, yes Beckle, I know... but he said that the negative ads are more about motivating people to vote against the other guy at this point in the race. That's why information like Benghazi is so important. If the press actually covered it to any extend they should, Obama would be doom-fucked.

Posted by: Serious Cat at October 29, 2012 07:51 PM (zrpqj)

46 I'm amused by polls that only show Missouri as "leans Romney." Romney leads by double digits, and he didn't even campaign here because of that idiot Akin. He's got so much momentum that there's a very real chance he'll drag that idiot Akin to victory over McCaskill. There are massive numbers of Romney signs in St. Louis City (!). There's simply no question.

Posted by: Palandine at October 29, 2012 07:51 PM (g7D8V)

47 Yep, the problem with treating the distributions as the special form of a beta distribution known as a normal distribution is that they aren't normal. The trend - which 538, Krugman, and others wish to denigrate since it is against their interests - points to a beta more heavily weighted in the direction of better numbers for R., less so for O.

Posted by: Kevin in ABQ at October 29, 2012 07:51 PM (XrGnJ)

48 Obama losing ground in Pennsylvania and Minnesota? Why, I think I'll bump Obama to an 89 percent chance of winning now!

-Nate Silver

Posted by: TLGM at October 29, 2012 07:51 PM (appbn)

49 Gerg's last name is Silver, isn't it?

That would explain a lot.

Posted by: mediumheadboy at October 29, 2012 07:51 PM (aHR5E)

50
Don't forget Michigan:

Coming hot on the heels of speculation that some Jeep production may be moved to China comes a bombshell from a Bloomberg report. Fiat is now considering moving Chrysler and Jeep production to Italy.

Posted by: Guy Mohawk at October 29, 2012 07:51 PM (PHb2k)

51
You guys have it all wrong. The fact that Romney is moving into MN and PA are signs that he is floundering. Axelrod helpfully explained that campaigns are often flush with extra money and will burn it on un-winnable states.

It helps to keep the fake momentum going. Gotta burn that extra money that's just lying around.

Posted by: MJ at October 29, 2012 07:52 PM (TR60b)

52 Also, it forces Obama to devote (his scarce) resources to these states.



Not that it really matters any more...

The Obama Campaign is profoundly "not optimal."

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 07:52 PM (SAA1o)

53 Guess who cut Andrew Sullivan's hair.

I also fixed Lena Dunham's teeth.

But I am not to blame for any part of Jim Messina.

Posted by: "Biff" Romney at October 29, 2012 07:53 PM (vouc9)

54 We shall riiiiiiiise again

Posted by: Zombie Reagan Democrats at October 29, 2012 07:53 PM (60GaT)

55 But I am not to blame for any part of Jim Messina.

---

Me either.

Posted by: Kenny Loggins at October 29, 2012 07:54 PM (aHR5E)

56 You know how Obama could win this?

Time machine.

oh and SUCK IT, GERG

Posted by: weft cut-loop at October 29, 2012 07:54 PM (DKxu1)

57 Hope my balls aren't allergic to butterscotch.

Posted by: Uncle Mikey at October 29, 2012 07:55 PM (8qoXL)

58 I live in Stark County, OH often considered a bellwether county in our bellwether state. Compared to 2008, there are far fewer Obama signs, and lots more people with Romney signs in their yards, even in the blue collar neighborhoods. I don't see Obama winning here on Tuesday, unless the decision to mail out absentee ballots to every registered voter results in a large amount of voter fraud (which I wouldn't discount from the past Democratic tactics in this state).

Posted by: buckeye at October 29, 2012 07:55 PM (GvtUv)

59 You know how Obama could win this?

Time machine.

---

Is he going to steal Mitt's?

Posted by: mediumheadboy at October 29, 2012 07:55 PM (aHR5E)

60 BTW, Stacy Dash is *way* hotter than Lisa Salters...

Posted by: Uncle Mikey at October 29, 2012 07:55 PM (8qoXL)

61 Shep Smith seems to know a little bit too much about Fire Island. Hmmmm

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 29, 2012 07:55 PM (eOufH)

62 Romney will win 297-241

Posted by: perdogg at October 29, 2012 07:55 PM (Ttf/I)

63 Romney has been upbeat, positive, looking ahead. Obama is leaning 'foward'.

Posted by: madamex at October 29, 2012 07:55 PM (e9LVX)

64 You guys need to rember your station. Don't cross the husband of a powerful man.

Posted by: Reggie Love at October 29, 2012 07:55 PM (uhAkr)

65 Make Teh JEF spend all of that campaign lucre so that Moooooochelle Antoinette has less to spend in their $35 million dollar post presidential tenement in Hawaii.

Posted by: Truck Monkey at October 29, 2012 07:56 PM (jucos)

66 At the risk of concussing one's self against a brick wall the primary reason why Ohio polling is so "negative" for Romney is because the Democrat media is well aware there's no chance for Obama to win Fla. or VA and without OH their guy basically is toast; ergo, for OH polls they're rigging their sample sets even more than how they're rigging the other polls. For OH they're undersampling whites, oversampling women, oversampling Democrats, oversampling liberals, undersampling Independents. Plus if Romney is ahead nationally by definition he can't be behind in OH, regardless whether Obama spends the entire national debt there. Republican candidates in OH at least equal their national vote percentages. Win or lose, good times or bad, incumbent or non-incumbent, whatever the GOP nominee gets nationally he at least matches that in OH. End of story. Clue in. Grow up.

Posted by: Tsar Nicholas II at October 29, 2012 07:56 PM (pmsMR)

67 36
you wingnuts are just talking about non-Ohio blue states because you are doomed I tell you. dooooooooooomed

also the Electoral College is the greatest system ever conceived, except for that one time.
---------------------------------
Wingnut here.

Too bad. So sad. 4you.
Taking away the skew that's going on....
October 28, 2012
























Romney leads in nine of 11 key swing states by UnSkewed Polls averages

www.examiner dot com/article/romney-leads-nine-of-11-key-swing-states-by-unskewed-polls-averages?cid=db_articles

Posted by: avagreen at October 29, 2012 07:56 PM (WR2rX)

68 1 egg, 2 eggs, 3 eggs.....

Posted by: USS Diversity at October 29, 2012 07:56 PM (9ghZ6)

69
Completely anecdotal tale: I live in Tallahassee, FL, and I've seen more - a lot more Romney yard signs than Teh Won's. And this is a deep blue bastion of collegiate Moonbats.

Posted by: I R A Darth Aggie at October 29, 2012 07:56 PM (1hM1d)

70 I live in Stark County, OH often considered a
bellwether county in our bellwether state. Compared to 2008, there are
far fewer Obama signs, and lots more people with Romney signs in their
yards, even in the blue collar neighborhoods. I don't see Obama winning
here on Tuesday, unless the decision to mail out absentee ballots to
every registered voter results in a large amount of voter fraud (which I
wouldn't discount from the past Democratic tactics in this state).


Posted by: buckeye at October 29, 2012 07:55 PM (GvtUv)

Since the past strategies also included heaps of voter fraud, I don't really see that much more that they can do to counterbalance a far more dispirited base.

Posted by: Oldcat at October 29, 2012 07:56 PM (z1N6a)

71 Ace, if Erin Burnett gets into trouble from the Hurricane, its all up to you to rescue her and get her out of danger. Erin's counting on you.

Posted by: Serious Cat at October 29, 2012 07:57 PM (zrpqj)

72
6.16 : The spot where we intend to fight must not be made known; for then the enemy will have to prepare against a possible attack at several different points; and his forces being thus distributed in many directions, the numbers we shall have to face at any given point will be proportionately few.

I see that at least SOMEBODY was paying attention in class.

Posted by: Sun Tzu at October 29, 2012 07:57 PM (OixJo)

73 56

Nah, he just needs to stand in front of a teleprompter and read it.



I'm sure it will work.
(Well, ok, fool America once...)

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 07:57 PM (SAA1o)

74

We need a mock barry thread.

Suggestion: OBAMA: 'Hurts my feelings the most'... re: the auto bailout ad Romney put out.

AKA the GM Hit Piece!

Posted by: 8 days at October 29, 2012 07:57 PM (LpQbZ)

75 I really wish the "real" Gerg would show up in this thread.

I have a nice sharp stick and I'm not afraid to use it.

Posted by: mediumheadboy at October 29, 2012 07:57 PM (aHR5E)

76 Posted by: avagreen at October 29, 2012 07:56 PM

Barrel.Now.

Posted by: weft cut-loop at October 29, 2012 07:57 PM (DKxu1)

77 Oh, gosh, Shep is worried about Fire Island, wonder why?

Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo intellectual at October 29, 2012 07:58 PM (wR+pz)

78 At the risk of concussing one's self against a brick
wall the primary reason why Ohio polling is so "negative" for Romney is
because the Democrat media is well aware there's no chance for Obama to
win Fla. or VA and without OH their guy basically is toast; ergo, for
OH polls they're rigging their sample sets even more than how they're
rigging the other polls. For OH they're undersampling whites,
oversampling women, oversampling Democrats, oversampling liberals,
undersampling Independents. Plus if Romney is ahead nationally by
definition he can't be behind in OH, regardless whether Obama spends the
entire national debt there. Republican candidates in OH at least equal
their national vote percentages. Win or lose, good times or bad,
incumbent or non-incumbent, whatever the GOP nominee gets nationally he
at least matches that in OH. End of story. Clue in. Grow up.

Posted by: Tsar Nicholas II at October 29, 2012 07:56 PM (pmsMR)

Also, look to the MSM avoiding 'calling' red states early, or at all, no matter how far ahead Romney is until they can't avoid it.

Posted by: Oldcat at October 29, 2012 07:58 PM (z1N6a)

79 Obama is just making the polls close to confuse Mitt Romney. It's true, damnit!

Posted by: Paul Revere at October 29, 2012 07:58 PM (nvhqg)

80 64

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 07:58 PM (SAA1o)

81 Next up: New Mexico, Oregon.

No soup for Obama.

Posted by: edj at October 29, 2012 07:58 PM (+QKfp)

82 I see that at least SOMEBODY was paying attention in class.
In Death Ground, Fight.

Posted by: Al at October 29, 2012 07:59 PM (5a/pJ)

83
The Secretary of State forelectionsin MN is Mark Ritchie. He was the former head of ACORN in Minnesota. Talk about the fox in the henhouse.
If the election in MN is within the margin of fraud, Ritchie will make sure it goes the right way. Justlike he did with Al Franken.

Posted by: Huusker at October 29, 2012 07:59 PM (PaKLC)

84 Contract up this week so unemployed next week. Gonna volunteer. I'm actually getting really excited.

Posted by: esch at October 29, 2012 08:00 PM (Qg1n0)

85 75
I really wish the "real" Gerg would show up in this thread.

I have a nice sharp stick and I'm not afraid to use it.


Posted by: mediumheadboy at October 29, 2012 07:57 PM (aHR5E)

He's riding out the storm in one of our schools.

Posted by: Mayor Lorenzo Langford at October 29, 2012 08:00 PM (9F2c1)

86 We need a mock barry thread.

Not yet. Bad juju. Next Wednesday

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 29, 2012 08:00 PM (eOufH)

87 Benghazi is leaking all over the MSM little by little. Most of America does not want these people flying drones domestically, signing more NDAAs or giving away the rest of the West along with destroying the world economy.
Not just most of America but a majority. I'm beginning to suspect another 2010 is building.

Posted by: Daybrother at October 29, 2012 08:01 PM (+paCV)

88 We need a mock barry thread.

Aren't they all?!

Posted by: Al at October 29, 2012 08:01 PM (5a/pJ)

89 86

Time flies.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 08:01 PM (SAA1o)

90 Ras has Mitt ahead by 2 in Oiho.


He would not do shit, but report the facts.

It is over boys,.......Catch a ........http://tinyurl.com/dkozn5


Popcorn, Pudding, Valu rite, check.

Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo intellectual at October 29, 2012 08:02 PM (wR+pz)

91 A little early for dick sucking...but it doesn't look good for the SCoaMF.

Posted by: garrett at October 29, 2012 08:02 PM (og7SS)

92 I'm causing a lot of destruction on the eastern seaboard...And I don't need FEMA to clean up after me, IYKWIMAIKTYD

Posted by: Hurricane Sandy-No, not THAT one at October 29, 2012 08:02 PM (F6KtL)

93 "I'm beginning to suspect another 2010 is building."

Where did you get that idea?

Posted by: The San Francisco Giants at October 29, 2012 08:02 PM (9F2c1)

94 I'm beginning to suspect another 2010 is building.

---

Not me.

I'm thinking '12 is going to make '10 look like '06.

Posted by: mediumheadboy at October 29, 2012 08:02 PM (aHR5E)

95 Republicans leading Democrats in absentee ballot requests in PA by 19 k

Posted by: TD, one of the proud 53% at October 29, 2012 08:02 PM (+uFux)

96 MN had a GOP governor and a GOP Supreme Court who hand counted every single ballot in 2008 when Franken won.

Don't delude yourself about the past - you guys are delusional enough for next week.

Posted by: Herbert Hymenhopper at October 29, 2012 08:02 PM (+w8Vj)

97 'Rick Leventhal...coming to you from the sliding glass door on the patio.'

Posted by: garrett at October 29, 2012 08:03 PM (og7SS)

98 91

Obama disagrees with half of what you just said.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 08:03 PM (SAA1o)

99 I think a few ads in PA would go a long way. Most small towns outside the large black enclaves are predominantly white and have Republican office holders.

That goes double for the totally rural areas north and west of philly.

Pay some attention Mitt. Remind us about that bitter clinger, guns and bibles snark.

Posted by: Jcw46 at October 29, 2012 08:03 PM (Vh0f5)

100 OT, Karl Denninger pointed out on his blogtalk rant today (which I'm just listening to now) that the youtube video blamed for the Benghazi attack had like three views in the two months it was available prior to the US government publicizing it.

There were no protests over it until that time.

Which means someone at the state department was sitting around with that video in their pocket to blame just in case something happened

Posted by: Methos at October 29, 2012 08:03 PM (hO9ad)

101 I'll show you all I have what it takes to make you forget Gerg.

Posted by: Charlie Choadsmoker at October 29, 2012 08:04 PM (aHR5E)

102 @TheAnchoress @keithkoffler WH press corps was left behind in FLA because of unsafe conditions 4 flying

Wa-wa.

Posted by: weft cut-loop at October 29, 2012 08:04 PM (DKxu1)

103 "I gotta think there is more upside in these relatively-virginal states."
*grin*
Tell me more.

Posted by: Bill Clinton at October 29, 2012 08:04 PM (4vIZg)

104 There's no reason for Romney to pour money into Pennsylvania. He's surged here without ads or campaign stops. I live in a very purple area (thanks to the influx of New Yorkers moving here) - in 2008 we couldn't throw a stone without hitting an Obama sign. This year, I've seen a total of 6 Obama signs in my very large townhouse community and about 25/30 Romney signs. I'd say in my county, the yard signs are running 10-1 in favor of Romney.

Posted by: PSUbrat at October 29, 2012 08:04 PM (i+ksb)

105 Living here, I'm a bit skeptical about the 3 point spread poll from the Star Trib. But, I have to say I'm not seeing anywhere *near* the number of SCOAMF bumper stickers on cars as in 2008. In fact, on my way home from work in downtown Minneapolis to White Bear Lake on the other side of town, I didn't see a single one. If you take that as a proxy for enthusiasm, it might be closer than I think.

That said, if Minnesota is within 3 points, then Wisconsin has already gone Romney and the polls aren't showing it.

Posted by: DanInMN at October 29, 2012 08:04 PM (dyI4e)

106 "I gotta think there is more upside in these relatively-virginal states"


No, no, no, I'm going to Minnesota to help Barack!

Posted by: Bill Clinton at October 29, 2012 08:05 PM (8/bPb)

107 Y'all want some great anecdotal evidence?

One of the lefties on my facebook feed, who used to post all kinds of annoying shit up until about a month ago, has now taken up the tactic of saying "Don't you DARE assume you know my politics--I never discuss them!" whenever somebody posts right-wing stuff on his timeline. It's awesome. Now they're denying that they're liberals...

Love this shiat

Posted by: Uncle Mikey at October 29, 2012 08:05 PM (8qoXL)

108 Paging Greg Troll, paging Greg troll.

Please pick up the red curtsy phone you have a call from Chicago.

Posted by: The Red Curtsy Phone at October 29, 2012 08:07 PM (wR+pz)

109 Bill Clinton going to MN "is not based in reality".

Posted by: Stephanie "a.k.a. the Lying Scrunt" Cutter at October 29, 2012 08:07 PM (P2Ufm)

110 That Gallup report is devastating. It is exactly the GOP strategy. Neutralize the Dem early votes and win big on Election Day.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 29, 2012 08:07 PM (dX4hn)

111 OTKyle Wood goes to the cops and recants his assault story. Fuck'n asshole probably cost some votes.

Posted by: lowandslow at October 29, 2012 08:08 PM (GZitp)

112 I'd say in my county, the yard signs are running 10-1 in favor of Romney.


Posted by: PSUbrat at October 29, 2012 08:04 PM (i+ksb)

I live in Montgomery county, and I concur, although not 10 - 1

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 29, 2012 08:08 PM (eOufH)

113 That said, if Minnesota is within 3 points, then Wisconsin has already gone Romney and the polls aren't showing it.

I'm thinking 'MN nice' may be covering up how angry many Minnesotans are at O, and the actual vote results may be quite shocking.

Posted by: esch at October 29, 2012 08:08 PM (Qg1n0)

114 96

Look we just like to drink and hang out, but you're kinda a buzzkill.

Posted by: Peter Griffin at October 29, 2012 08:08 PM (60GaT)

115 If the election in MN is within the margin of fraud, Ritchie will make sure it goes the right way. Justlike he did with Al Franken.

Posted by: Huusker at October 29, 2012 07:59 PM (PaKLC)


I think there's a decent chance that if the MFM keep their cover-up going of Libya, this could become the Year Of Vote Fraud.

The election could go down to the wire and be won or lost entirely on fraud - being caught or getting away with it.

We're already seen electronic votes flipped for Obama in several states, a candidate's employee (and son) under investigation by the FBI, Republican registrations thrown away in PA, and probably a hundred other stories we're not even aware of because of the MFM.

Ironically, if not for the sheer *level* of unbelievable serial criminality by this administration, that would be my number one issue this year.

Posted by: Ben Ghazi at October 29, 2012 08:09 PM (bxiXv)

116 Someone's Firewall is gloriously aflame.

Posted by: YES!!! at October 29, 2012 08:09 PM (zLp5I)

117 @CNN WE DEMAND YOU REMOVE COMMUNIST VAN JONES, FROM YOUR NETWORK IMMEDIATELY!!!! OR WE GO TO YOUR ADVERTISERS!!!!! AND, MAKE YOU MORE BROKE THAN YOU ALREADY ARE!!!! [ ACE, HELP @REALITY___SUCKS ] LETS GET JONES OFF CNN NOW!!!

BAD STEWIE, CALLING ALL PATRIOTS!!! LETS TAKE VAN JONES DOWN!!! AND, SEND THAT KNOWN TERRORIST/COMMIE/PROPAGANDIST/ TV HOST WANNABE, BACK TO THE COMMIEVILLEHOOD!!!

Posted by: CNN REMOVE VAN JONES NOW!!!! at October 29, 2012 08:09 PM (sQ1NA)

118
Why it's almost as if someone declared Minnesota to be America's red-leaning Raspberry Beret on this very blog this morning.

That's right. I went back to that post.

Posted by: Jack M. at October 29, 2012 08:09 PM (ZXOR3)

119
Exactly right, Ace.
I expect thatthese late moves were pre-planned.

Posted by: Frederick Stephan at October 29, 2012 08:10 PM (khZbv)

120 I think Romney will win 61-38. Everything is all falling into place and TFG knows it!

Posted by: CarolT at October 29, 2012 08:10 PM (z4WKX)

121 Hell, I'M going to vote for Romney/Ryan. What are all you paleskin Scandi lutefisk smokers waiting for?!

Posted by: Zombie Walter Mondale at October 29, 2012 08:10 PM (eHIJJ)

122 >>This seems to confirm that the trend, as we move into the last week (last week -- can you believe it?), is in Romney's direction.

Yea, I can believe it. He did this the entire primary.

I hate to keep saying I told you so but I told you so.

Posted by: JackStraw at October 29, 2012 08:10 PM (TMB3S)

123 I'm still dumbfounded that people are so shallow that it takes a deluge of ads to get them to decide on who to vote for.

I'm probably a mutant or something but there is absoultely nothing - nothing at all - that Obama could say in an ad that would get me to vote for him. Not if he ran it a million times.

Yet the fate of the country seems to depend on how many ads Romney can run. Go figure.

Posted by: LGoPs at October 29, 2012 08:10 PM (BJVEF)

124 117

Inside voice.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 08:11 PM (SAA1o)

125 I work at NBC/Comcast, and the Obama bumper stickers in the parking lot outnumber the Romney ones at least 10-1.

Except the Obama stickers are all on the Priuses and hoopties.

Posted by: Underemployed Lefty at October 29, 2012 08:11 PM (8qoXL)

126 @TCJResearch is releasing swing state polls right now on Twitter.....

Posted by: TD, one of the proud 53% at October 29, 2012 08:11 PM (+uFux)

127 117

Dude

Posted by: runninrebel at October 29, 2012 08:11 PM (N/1Dm)

128 We've received disturbing reports of racist Democrats from rural areas. Story at 9.

Posted by: The Media at October 29, 2012 08:11 PM (60GaT)

129 Yeah, but I want to hear Eva Longoria's endorsement before I make a decision.

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 29, 2012 08:11 PM (eOufH)

130
How seriously do we take yard sign counts? I saw a fresh crop of Florida for Obama signs just today. They weren't there last week.

Posted by: USS Diversity at October 29, 2012 08:11 PM (9ghZ6)

131 HELLOOOOO WisconSIN *wink* haw haw.
Check out my cigar!

Posted by: Bill Clinton at October 29, 2012 08:12 PM (vhDvn)

132 Watching Fox News.

Not to belittle the severity of Sandy, but is anything else happening in the world, or is New York the center of the universe?

Posted by: Marmo at October 29, 2012 08:12 PM (pcgW1)

133 123

Could be worse. At least it's not based on jingles.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 08:12 PM (SAA1o)

134 I just saw a fresh crop of Romney/Ryan signs in my yard. They weren't there ten minutes ago.

Posted by: Liberty Lover at October 29, 2012 08:13 PM (b4W5O)

135 37
The Obama campaign must now pin its hopes on Hurricane Sandy inflicting
tens of thousands of deaths all across the eastern seaboard. Because
dead people almost always vote Democrat.


Posted by: Cicero (@cicero) at October 29, 2012 07:48 PM (QKKT0)

Sorry, but I gotta steel that!!! lol

Posted by: Killerdog at October 29, 2012 08:13 PM (Oi60j)

136 >I'm thinking 'MN nice' may be covering up how angry many Minnesotans are
at O, and the actual vote results may be quite shocking.

Maybe, I hope you're right. Politically, Minnesota is odd. I'm originally from the most conservative part of Missouri (7th CD) and I find the Twin Cities are more liberal than either Kansas City or St. Louis. But, if you get 20 minutes outside the 494/694 loop, it could be rural Missouri. In fact, the Iron Range area feels a lot like home to me. Like everything else, it will probably come down to turnout.

Posted by: DanInMN at October 29, 2012 08:13 PM (dyI4e)

137 TCJ Research Wisconsin Poll: Mitt Romney- 50%, Barack Obama- 48%

Posted by: Serious Cat at October 29, 2012 08:13 PM (zrpqj)

138 >>Not to belittle the severity of Sandy, but is anything else happening in the world, or is New York the center of the universe?

Why do some of you keep saying this? 25% of the US population lives in the track of this storm. What else is a bigger story than this right now?

Posted by: JackStraw at October 29, 2012 08:14 PM (TMB3S)

139 http://tinyurl.com/9etn8rv

For all you on the EC

Posted by: Evilpens at October 29, 2012 08:14 PM (ck76k)

140 128 We've received disturbing reports of racist Democrats from rural areas. Story at 9.
Posted by: The Media at October 29, 2012 08:11 PM (60GaT)


That's 9/13, as in September 2013.

Posted by: Ben Ghazi at October 29, 2012 08:14 PM (bxiXv)

141 "The Obama voters of 08 aren't there. This would be busloads of blacks,
inner city types. They come in in gaggles. No one is seeing this. A week
ago, Obama was in Dayton, and the Ds had 27 busloads ready to take
people to early vote. Ds had three floors ready with tables and people
to help them fill out the forms. They expected THOUSANDS . . . got 300.



Firsthand account from hardcore vote junkie in Ohio. Toto, we're not in 2008 anymore....

Posted by: eureka! at October 29, 2012 08:14 PM (cTjRR)

142 I just saw a meteorologist on TV and he talked an awful lot about some storm back east, but he didn't say one thing about meteors. I don't think he's very good.

Posted by: Caller to the Mr. Obvious Show at October 29, 2012 08:14 PM (pcgW1)

143 >>someone declared Minnesota to be America's red-leaning Raspberry Beret

It's like Toure is prescient.

Posted by: garrett at October 29, 2012 08:14 PM (og7SS)

144 TCJ Research Ohio Poll: Mitt Romney- 50%, Barack Obama- 47%

... Ohio Senate Poll: Sherrod Brown (D)- 49%, Josh Mandel (R)- 45%

Posted by: Serious Cat at October 29, 2012 08:15 PM (zrpqj)

145 Not to belittle the severity of Sandy, but is anything else happening in the world, or is New York the center of the universe?

Posted by: Marmo at October 29, 2012 08:12 PM (pcgW1)


Don't ask that in New York.

Posted by: Ben Ghazi at October 29, 2012 08:15 PM (bxiXv)

146 OT again. Now it seem like even the Kyle Woods texts were manufactured, the whole fucking thing was bogus. Motherfuck'n asshole.

Posted by: lowandslow at October 29, 2012 08:15 PM (GZitp)

147 Posted by: CNN REMOVE VAN JONES NOW!!!! at October 29, 2012 08:09 PM (sQ1NA)


Switch to decaf

Posted by: fluffy at October 29, 2012 08:15 PM (z9HTb)

148 132 Watching Fox News.

Not to belittle the severity of Sandy, but is anything else happening in the world, or is New York the center of the universe?
Posted by: Marmo at October 29, 2012 08:12 PM (pcgW1)


Why, yes we are.

Posted by: Effete Manhattan Cockbite at October 29, 2012 08:16 PM (2I55/)

149 Yo Greg, go fuck youself!

Posted by: Rich at October 29, 2012 08:16 PM (arczc)

150 Jack--

Just like when shit happens in flyover country, nobody in Boston/NY/DC cares, when shit happens up there, we don't care either.

Just kidding.

Hope you East Coast morons stay safe. And I hope you East Coast lefties get everything Ellen Barkin wished upon the Republicans in Florida...

Posted by: Uncle Mikey at October 29, 2012 08:16 PM (8qoXL)

151 I work at NBC/Comcast, and the Obama bumper stickers in the parking lot outnumber the Romney ones at least 10-1. Except the Obama stickers are all on the Priuses and hoopties.


Posted by: Underemployed Lefty at October 29, 2012 08:11 PM (8qoXL)

Comcast is a huge leftie org. The Roberts and David Cohen have held $$$ fund raisers in their homes for TFG. That, and the fact that their service sucks, made the day I made the call to cancel my service one of the most satisfying ever

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 29, 2012 08:16 PM (eOufH)

152 Not to belittle the severity of Sandy, but is anything else happening in the world, or is New York the center of the universe?


Not just NY in general. Actually, it's the building that lost its facade. Well, not the whole facade, only the 4th floor really matters. Well, not the whole 4th floor, really only the 23rd brick from the left, row 6. It's a Ghostbusters thing.

Posted by: pep at October 29, 2012 08:17 PM (6TB1Z)

153 Is TCJ research a reputable polling outfit? Are they straight down the middle?

Posted by: Serious Cat at October 29, 2012 08:17 PM (zrpqj)

154
OT, Karl Denninger pointed out on his blogtalk rant today (which I'm just listening to now) that the youtube video blamed for the Benghazi attack had like three views in the two months it was available prior to the US government publicizing it.

There were no protests over it until that time.

Which means someone at the state department was sitting around with that video in their pocket to blame just in case something happened
Posted by: Methos at October 29, 2012 08:03 PM (hO9ad)


The responsible media of the US Ally Egypt played a version of the video dubbed into Arabic on Sunday 9/9/12. That fired up the excitable Islamic masses. The Salafists already had a protest scheduled at the Cairo Embassy for 9/11. They want Morsi to make Obama free the Blind Sheikh.

Of course none of this would have ever happened if Mubarak was in control. Just like Benghazi would not have happened if Qadaffi was in control. But Barack and Hillary know better. They are the smarterest people in the whole world!

Posted by: rd does not believe the MSM at October 29, 2012 08:17 PM (zLp5I)

155 >>What else is a bigger story than this right now?

Our President sleeping through the Benghazi attacks?

Posted by: garrett at October 29, 2012 08:17 PM (og7SS)

156 Molly Line is an underused Fox asset, IMHO

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 29, 2012 08:18 PM (eOufH)

157 It's suppose to be on the border with Canada by Thursday, 2 pm. So, after that, it's no longer our fucking problem. Sorry, canucks!

Posted by: Redd at October 29, 2012 08:18 PM (Lom3Z)

158 146 OT again. Now it seem like even the Kyle Woods texts were manufactured, the whole fucking thing was bogus. Motherfuck'n asshole.

Posted by: lowandslow at October 29, 2012 08:15 PM (GZitp)


Yeah, that couldn't possibly be a dirty trick by the left. That has never happened before.

Either way it was a dumbass move, I won't say that every fake hate crime gets revealed, but there are *so many* that do that you'd have to be a world-class idiot to try it.

Then again, you'd have to be pretty high on the turd scale to try it in either case.

Posted by: Ben Ghazi at October 29, 2012 08:18 PM (bxiXv)

159 Like everything else, it will probably come down to turnout.

No doubt. I believe putting some effort into Minnesota could very well flip it. I wonder how many Scandis here are sitting on that edge waiting for just a little push.

Posted by: esch at October 29, 2012 08:19 PM (Qg1n0)

160 Ace of Spades Cites Storm-Front On His Blog

Posted by: the next headline at LGF at October 29, 2012 08:19 PM (QTHTd)

161 It's suppose to be on the border with Canada by Thursday, 2 pm. So...

Stock up on Timbits, ya hosers.

Posted by: garrett at October 29, 2012 08:20 PM (og7SS)

162 >>Just like when shit happens in flyover country, nobody in Boston/NY/DC cares, when shit happens up there, we don't care either.

I care. And I watched when the tornados pounded the midwest and the south last year which isn't exactly an unprecedented event. This storm is one of the biggest of it's kind to ever hit the northeast and we've had our share.

The worst of this storm hasn't even hit yet. It's pretty fucking mindboggling and it is moving into VA,PA CT, NH and VT tomorrow.

Posted by: JackStraw at October 29, 2012 08:20 PM (TMB3S)

163 Boy, Nate Silver is really betting his whole brief career on this election. I hope when he is exposed as a miserable failure we won't be subjected to his rationalization as to why he's such a fuck up.

Posted by: Redd at October 29, 2012 08:21 PM (Lom3Z)

164 The whining the whining.

Yankee pussies, man up. It's not even a hurricane now, it's a fucking rain storm.

Enough of fucking Fire Island. Shep, your boy friend stuck out there?

Posted by: The Red Curtsy Phone at October 29, 2012 08:21 PM (wR+pz)

165 "Yeah, that couldn't possibly be a dirty trick by the left."

It wasn't, when it comes to lies, the text were was minor compared to faking an assault.

Posted by: lowandslow at October 29, 2012 08:21 PM (GZitp)

166 Yeah, what the phone said

Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo intellectual at October 29, 2012 08:21 PM (wR+pz)

167 I'll reiterate. Romney will not win PA. Your dreaming.

The decision to allow ID free unlimited voting was the nail in his coffin.

Posted by: Up with people at October 29, 2012 08:22 PM (kzFo5)

168 TCJ is Republican. Polling since 2010 I think. Did a good job with the 2010 House races. At least their party I.d. split is normal and tracks the Gallup and Ras I.d. polls.

Posted by: TD, one of the proud 53% at October 29, 2012 08:22 PM (+uFux)

169 Boy, Nate Silver is really betting his whole brief career on this
election. I hope when he is exposed as a miserable failure we won't be
subjected to his rationalization as to why he's such a fuck up.


Hm. A career can survive a fuckup or two.

Posted by: Jamie Gorelick at October 29, 2012 08:22 PM (QKKT0)

170 164

Shep is on fire!



(Or at least flaming.)

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 08:22 PM (SAA1o)

171 138>> Not to belittle the severity of Sandy, but is anything else happening in the world, or is New York the center of the universe?

Why do some of you keep saying this? 25% of the US population lives in the track of this storm. What else is a bigger story than this right now?

So you're saying that 75 million people live in the storm track? Oh, ok. Like I say, I know it's a big deal to you. It's not like it's killing thousands of people or anything, though. Give us in the Midwest the same coverage when we get killer blizzards or tornadoes then. Wall. to. wall. coverage.

Posted by: Caller to the Mr. Obvious Show at October 29, 2012 08:23 PM (pcgW1)

172 JackStraw: "What else is a bigger story than this right now?"

Are you kidding me? Mitt Romney put his dog in a kennel on his car. On! His! Car!

Posted by: MFM and JournoLists, BIRM at October 29, 2012 08:23 PM (eHIJJ)

173 Hm. A career can survive a fuckup or two.


Posted by: Jamie Gorelick at October 29, 2012 08:22 PM (QKKT0)

Is Nate ghey too?

Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo intellectual at October 29, 2012 08:24 PM (wR+pz)

174 >>So you're saying that 75 million people live in the storm track?

Yes.

Posted by: JackStraw at October 29, 2012 08:25 PM (TMB3S)

175 @171

Holy shit, 75 million get a rain storm all at once! News at 11

Posted by: Billy Bob, pseudo intellectual at October 29, 2012 08:25 PM (wR+pz)

176 >No doubt. I believe putting some effort into Minnesota could very
well flip it. I wonder how many Scandis here are sitting on that edge
waiting for just a little push.

Well, my boss is a Scandi and he's voting R for the first time in the last two presidential races. But, he's atypical in that he didn't vote for Bush or McCain because they were too liberal for him.....he voted Constitution Party instead. This time, he hates SCOAMF enough that he's supporting Mitt.

Posted by: DanInMN at October 29, 2012 08:25 PM (dyI4e)

177 173

Perhaps only for Obama.



(Perhaps.)

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 08:25 PM (SAA1o)

178
Our President sleeping through the Benghazi attacks?Posted by: garrett at October 29, 2012 08:17 PM (og7SS)


The attacks happened at 940PM Benghazi Time. That is 340PM Washington DC time. The attacks happened in the middle of the AFTERNOON in DC.

Posted by: rd does not believe the MSM at October 29, 2012 08:25 PM (zLp5I)

179 178

Yeah. I'm surprised Obama wasn't golfing.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 08:27 PM (SAA1o)

180 Ok, JackStraw. Stay safe my fellow moron..

Posted by: Caller to the Mr. Obvious Show at October 29, 2012 08:27 PM (pcgW1)

181 The responsible media of the US Ally Egypt played a version of the video dubbed into Arabic on Sunday 9/9/12.

Ah, I had missed that. I knew the Cairo protest was predominantly about freeing the blind sheik-some CNN fellow interviewed the guy who organized the protest, Ayman Zawahiri's brother, in an interview that was only ever shown on another station in Canada.

Posted by: Methos at October 29, 2012 08:27 PM (hO9ad)

182 I gotta think there is more upside in these relatively-virginal states. More bang for the buck. More actual chance of persuasion.


--Heh, Ace is using Pancake Logic to explain campaign marketing.

Posted by: logprof at October 29, 2012 08:27 PM (jKE+Z)

183 I ignored hurricane evacuation warnings on the Outer Banks a few years ago.
I thought fuck it, I'm paying a shitload of money for this rental. I ain't going anywhere

At 3 AM, as we were tying mattresses up against the windows and the house swaying six feet to either side, I felt like such an asshole

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 29, 2012 08:27 PM (eOufH)

184 Lost a power for a couple of hours... but I'm back.

Nothing keeps me from the internets!

Posted by: HoboJerky, profit of DOOM! at October 29, 2012 08:27 PM (6fS6m)

185 Our President sleeping through the Benghazi attacks?Posted by: garrett at October 29, 2012 08:17 PM (og7SS)


The
attacks happened at 940PM Benghazi Time. That is 340PM Washington DC
time. The attacks happened in the middle of the AFTERNOON in DC.

Posted by: rd does not believe the MSM at October 29, 2012 08:25 PM (zLp5I)


Yep, get it right. He went to bed after the attack, while the consulate was in flames and an ambassador was missing.

Posted by: Adam at October 29, 2012 08:28 PM (/YJYi)

186 98.99999% of the time I am confident of Romney/Ryan winning.
95% of the time I think and pray it will be a landslide.
1% of the time I fret Barky Squirrel may squeak it out through thug tactics.
100% of the time I know that I will keep fighting

I want this to be over. I want this Hurricane Sandy to not prolong my agony. I still don't know if Sandy is a he or a she, not that it matters. Maybe transgender since it is hitting Fire Island.

Roll call: FenelonSpoke, Danger Girl's parents, rockmom

Please check in if you can.

Posted by: ChristyBlinky,raving lunatic about Benghazi at October 29, 2012 08:29 PM (baL2B)

187 >>Yep, get it right. He went to bed after the attack...

It's moot. I hear that the ValJar never sleeps.

Posted by: garrett at October 29, 2012 08:30 PM (og7SS)

188 185

Different things help different people sleep. Different strokes for different folks. You know?

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 08:30 PM (SAA1o)

189 I hear that the ValJar never sleeps.

If she stops moving she'll drown.

Posted by: toby928 at October 29, 2012 08:31 PM (QupBk)

190 This time, he hates SCOAMF enough that he's supporting Mitt.

I'm hoping for a lot of that. Revenge voting.

Posted by: esch at October 29, 2012 08:32 PM (Qg1n0)

191 It's moot. I hear that the ValJar never sleeps.

Posted by: garrett at October 29, 2012 08:30 PM (og7SS)

ValJar? Is that the same as the Vajayjay Oprah talked about?

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 29, 2012 08:32 PM (eOufH)

192 I hear that the ValJar never sleeps.


Our Reptilian Overlords are like Sauron.

Posted by: Dept. of Accuracy Dept. at October 29, 2012 08:32 PM (BAnPT)

193 People better pray to god Romney takes Ohio. The odds are against him. He will not get the two thoroughly corrupt states of MI or PA. Not a chance in hell.

Posted by: Up with people at October 29, 2012 08:33 PM (kzFo5)

194 191

Pretty much.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 08:33 PM (SAA1o)

195 Pgh. area now supposed to get 6-8 Inches of rain UP from 2-4 Inches according to TWC

Posted by: Evilpens at October 29, 2012 08:34 PM (ck76k)

196 limited leftist vocabulary bank

Posted by: JDP at October 29, 2012 08:34 PM (60GaT)

197 The attacks happened at 940PM Benghazi Time. That is
340PM Washington DC time. The attacks happened in the middle of the
AFTERNOON in DC.

Posted by: rd does not believe the MSM at October 29, 2012 08:25 PM (zLp5I)

Oh, yes, darling, and the Preznit and Bite Me met with the DoD at 5pm per the WH calendar of events on 9/11/12. Unless they played Yahtzee you'd think they may have discussed their missing Ambassador to Libya and the calls for help.
I can rattle off facts about this timeline like nobody's bidness. I do not know why I have been so obsessed about this, but I have been. On 9/15/12 I woke up in North Korea when the MSM kept refusing to post what the British papers did: that this was a terrorist attack and there were many warnings. I have been berserk since then.

Posted by: ChristyBlinky,raving lunatic about Benghazi at October 29, 2012 08:35 PM (baL2B)

198 work has fucking msdnc on the tvs right now so I'm subjected to fat ed schultz. there was one of their stupid lean forward ads with al sharpton. it was nothing more than him ranting about Paul ryan. Obama PAC ads without needing to fund it on this joke of a network

Posted by: buzzion at October 29, 2012 08:35 PM (i3MPH)

199 193

Why would the odds be against him?

Pollsters lie. And people lie to pollsters. And the polls are turning in our favor.


(Well, ok, voter fraud...)

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 08:36 PM (SAA1o)

200 He will not get the two thoroughly corrupt states of MI or PA. Not a chance in hell.
Posted by: Up with people at October 29, 2012 08:33 PM (kzFo5)
Since when is MI corrupt?, stupid at times, but we do have a voter ID law

Posted by: Red Shirt at October 29, 2012 08:36 PM (3p2TP)

201 WI and IA is where it's at. PA and MN would just be running up the score.

Posted by: Dave S. at October 29, 2012 08:36 PM (UvR6d)

202 JackStraw, it's weather. And people have been warned for days. And like someone said upthread, "wall to wall" coverage.
It's still weather it'll come and it'll be gone.
This treasonous regime could bring the final destruction on this once, and could be again, great country.
The stories that would put the final nails in the coffin of barky's regime are going unreported by the LSM.

Posted by: teej says go K-State at October 29, 2012 08:37 PM (erYRT)

203 Well just in my insanely blue neighborhood I've seen almost as many RR signs as O signs. And they're parachuting in Bubba for moral support. O's in trouble here.

Posted by: esch at October 29, 2012 08:37 PM (Qg1n0)

204 195

You seem rather concerned.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 08:38 PM (SAA1o)

205 Dick, why send Bill Clinton to MN with 8 days left, then?

Posted by: TD, one of the proud 53% at October 29, 2012 08:38 PM (+uFux)

206 The cruel irony for Obama is that the states that are getting hammered were already deep blue. you know Axelrod was hoping it hit between NC and VA, so he could whip some largesse on them

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 29, 2012 08:38 PM (eOufH)

207 203

gotta side with Mr. Straw here, let's not go the lefty "why do you care about suchandsuch, people are starving in Ethiopia!" route. Not a perfect analogy but still.

Posted by: JDP at October 29, 2012 08:38 PM (60GaT)

208 http://tinyurl.com/8mrcyhm

Snow in Elkins WV

Posted by: Evilpens at October 29, 2012 08:39 PM (ck76k)

209 Gallup polls says that 15% of voters have already voted.

And that Romney leads in early voting 52-45

Posted by: Crashpanic at October 29, 2012 08:39 PM (QYb3Q)

210 Since when is MI corrupt?, stupid at times, but we do have a voter ID law
---
I apologize. That was the beer, and my personal experience with the MI government talking. I retract MI being corrupt.

Posted by: Up with people at October 29, 2012 08:39 PM (kzFo5)

211 And that Romney leads in early voting 52-45
Posted by: Crashpanic at October 29, 2012 08:39 PM (QYb3Q)
-----------------------------------------------------------
I expect the final results to look somewhat similar to these early voting numbers.

Posted by: Truck Monkey at October 29, 2012 08:41 PM (jucos)

212 Coal miners voting against Obama? Never happen.

Posted by: Daybrother at October 29, 2012 08:41 PM (+paCV)

213 211 Since when is MI corrupt?, stupid at times, but we do have a voter ID law --- I apologize. That was the beer, and my personal experience with the MI government talking. I retract MI being corrupt.
Posted by: Up with people at October 29, 2012 08:39 PM (kzFo5)

I AM a little worried about the proposals on the ballot...no idea how that crap even made it on..6 of em

Posted by: Red Shirt at October 29, 2012 08:41 PM (3p2TP)

214 I wish I could watch the storm coverage but I'm here in the dark with my wife and kids listening to the wind howl.

Posted by: Timon at October 29, 2012 08:41 PM (DmeYJ)

215 Mitt should have been spending money in PA all along. Instead, all of the Obama crap has been playing for months without challenge. The time to realize that a state could be in play is early in the game, not late.

Posted by: Sticky Wicket at October 29, 2012 08:41 PM (L7hol)

216 This storm hype is the stupidest freaking thing I've seen since the '08 Obama hype
This storm! It's huge!!
There was a singular gust of 61!

Posted by: Dept. of Accuracy Dept. at October 29, 2012 08:42 PM (BAnPT)

217
196 Pgh. area now supposed to get 6-8 Inches of rain UP from 2-4 Inches according to TWC

Posted by: Evilpens at October 29, 2012 08:34 PM (ck76k)


Last time I checked the Doppler radar maps Pittsburgh was covered in orange and yellow. I was surprised the high winds got there so fast.

Posted by: Ed Anger at October 29, 2012 08:43 PM (tOkJB)

218 215 I wish I could watch the storm coverage but I'm here in the dark with my wife and kids listening to the wind howl.
Posted by: Timon at October 29, 2012 08:41 PM (DmeYJ)

Not making light of your situation, but the wind is steadily increasing here...and Im on the west coast of MI. Impresssive

Posted by: Red Shirt at October 29, 2012 08:43 PM (3p2TP)

219 I expect the final results to look somewhat similar to these early voting numbers.

Posted by: Truck Monkey at October 29, 2012 08:41 PM (jucos)


"Romney Leads Among Early Voters, Similar to His Likely Voter Lead"
The above is from the Gallup Poll (downthread)

Posted by: jwb7605 at October 29, 2012 08:43 PM (Qxe/p)

220 He will not get the two thoroughly corrupt states of MI or PA. Not a chance in hell.


Posted by: Red Shirt at October 29, 2012 08:36 PM (3p2TP)
PA, however... As Lincoln Steffens said, Philadelphia is "corrupt and content" , and as someone once said about a Phila construction boondoggle. "pardon the state we're in.... it's the State we're in"

Posted by: Ombudsman at October 29, 2012 08:44 PM (eOufH)

221 Sometimes a reminder of how Barry is having trouble destroying Capitalism while transforming America into an utopian Fascist Country via TV ads at the last minute can make a difference in a swing State.

Posted by: Daybrother at October 29, 2012 08:45 PM (+paCV)

222 219

Yeah. This storm could actually be quite something. On the other hand, staying focused (to the best of our abilities) is not necessarily a bad idea.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 08:45 PM (SAA1o)

223 I read too much into ur mom last night

Posted by: Conservative caricature in the troll's mind at October 29, 2012 08:46 PM (60GaT)

224 Looking at that graphic wind map of the US again, it makes NYC look like the center of a turlet bowl.

Hah!

Posted by: weft cut-loop at October 29, 2012 08:46 PM (DKxu1)

225 The meatball always wins.

Posted by: CAC at October 29, 2012 08:47 PM (RyQtA)

226 223

Ok...

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 08:47 PM (SAA1o)

227 NYC East Village flooded.

Posted by: Dept. of Accuracy Dept. at October 29, 2012 08:48 PM (BAnPT)

228 226 223
Ok...
Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney




!KO

Posted by: Bizarro Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 08:49 PM (+paCV)

229 Whoa.

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 08:49 PM (SAA1o)

230 You're right, it's a lousy analogy. And nobody is saying they don't care. Well maybe a few but not me.
But my morning started with six simultaneous screens, each with a reporter on the beach who was going to tell me it's windy and raining.
Not a single story yet about how barky and his gang knew in real time exactly what was going on in Benghazi. Not one mention of him refusing to send help. Not one story of him lying for weeks blaming it on a video.
Trust me, I could go on.

Posted by: teej says go K-State at October 29, 2012 08:49 PM (GX2fm)

231 Normally, I'd think MN is out of reach for Mitt but seeing hardly any Obama2012 lawn signs (in the very liberal part oftheTwin Citiesthat I live in) compared to 2008 this close to election day, is VERY telling about the Dems lack of enthusiasm. Every conversation about the election I overhear at restaurants during lunch is similar...Obama has made things worse and we can't move forward with him. Yes, its all anecdotal but I believe that here in Minnesota, the tide has turned. Will it be enough? Hope so...

Posted by: Tony253 at October 29, 2012 08:49 PM (3yMFT)

232 228

Good point dipshit...

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 08:50 PM (SAA1o)

233
Neither PA nor MN have a voter ID law this cycle. PA's law was blocked by a judge. MN has a constitutional amendment on the ballot that would go into effect for the next cycle (unless a judge blocks that one too).

Posted by: Huusker at October 29, 2012 08:50 PM (PaKLC)

234 NYC East Village flooded.

Posted by: Dept. of Accuracy Dept. at October 29, 2012 08:48 PM (BAnPT)


The East Village needed a bath.

Posted by: ThePrimordialOrderedPair at October 29, 2012 08:52 PM (X3lox)

235 We have 60mph windson the front range every Spring and Fall. We call them breezes.

Posted by: Ronster at October 29, 2012 08:52 PM (BvzwK)

236 I was a delegate to the last two MN GOP state conventions and I can tell you that if Mitt wants to win MN, he needs to do two things: first, skip the state committe and do it himself because they are incompetent; second, be prepared to sue the election fraudsters in the Iron Range. The neo-marxist union thug Iron Range types need to go to jail. I think we might do okay in the twin cities though.

Posted by: Assassin6 at October 29, 2012 08:53 PM (FfukH)

237 The East Village needed a bath.


An Enema really

Posted by: Evilpens at October 29, 2012 08:53 PM (ck76k)

238 Morgan Freeman on the airwaves here in prime time Texas pushing voting for the Character and not the Color of the man.
Yeah.
That'll flip the State.

Posted by: Daybrother at October 29, 2012 08:53 PM (+paCV)

239 So I hear it's raining in New York.

Posted by: mama winger voted twice for Paul Ryan on the same ballot at October 29, 2012 08:54 PM (P6QsQ)

240 239

Where did you hear that?

Posted by: Mirror-Universe Mitt Romney at October 29, 2012 08:55 PM (SAA1o)

241 Heh, while Morgan busies himself voting for the color and not the character. Of course, Morgan could easily see barky's character as a step up from his own.

Posted by: teej says go K-State at October 29, 2012 08:57 PM (d4o2E)

242 The winds are still picking up. The street sign in front of my house is gone, and it looks like a wide swath of the town is now dark.

Posted by: Sticky Wicket at October 29, 2012 09:00 PM (L7hol)

243
Assassin6...
I was a delegate to the MN-GOP convention also...Mitt didn't have a prayer in St. Cloud. The Paul-tards owned the district conventions and thats why we ended up with the milk-toast Kurt Bills to face Kloubachar and not a potentially great candidate like Pete Hegseth.

Posted by: Tony253 at October 29, 2012 09:02 PM (3yMFT)

244 I was very upset that the paultards hijacked my county convention and then did the same at the district and state. I liked hegseth, we both have time in the sandbox. I will always remember who the paultards are and will not support them in the future. I am that mad.

Posted by: Assassin6 at October 29, 2012 09:05 PM (FfukH)

245 Gen Ham: we had assets, we had proximity, received no request

http://youtu.be/e4W1LDSs5X4

Posted by: @PurpAv at October 29, 2012 09:07 PM (voFL/)

246 Heard Hegseth speak at our district convention...I would have given blood and silver to help him out if he was chosen to run against Amy. Bills...will vote for him but, meh!

Posted by: Tony253 at October 29, 2012 09:13 PM (3yMFT)

247 >Not to belittle the severity of Sandy, but is anything else
happening in the world, or is New York the center of the universe?



Why do some of you keep saying this? 25% of the US population lives
in the track of this storm. What else is a bigger story than this
right now?

Watching while an American ambassador and his staff are attacked for 6-7 hours and murdered and refusing to help? , Yeah, maybe that.

And it is a big windy rain storm. On the coastlines, I think it gets wet and windy once in awhile. It gets wet, windy and snowy here. Lots of high wind (50-70mph) warnings here (front range of the rockies).

Posted by: free tibet with purchase of one at full price at October 29, 2012 09:17 PM (quLHy)

248 A lot of the children of the future will live in MN and PA. By encouraging their ancestors to vote for him, Romney is tearing future families apart.

Posted by: edj at October 29, 2012 09:23 PM (+QKfp)

249 I disagree Ace about spending money in MN, I think that's a fool's errand but absolutely play for PA, MI and WI.

Posted by: ATLDiver at October 29, 2012 09:24 PM (rCsM0)

250 Ann Coulter says Illinois.

Posted by: edj at October 29, 2012 09:30 PM (+QKfp)

251 "Why do some of you keep saying this? 25% of the US population lives in
the track of this storm. What else is a bigger story than this right
now?"

----------------------------

Because there are approx. 55 million people on the Gulf Coast who don't even take a day off from work for a category 1 storm or evacuate their beach houses for less than a cat 3.

But stay safe and feel free to make fun of us when we stay home after a little snow hits the ground in SE Texas.

Posted by: slug at October 29, 2012 09:30 PM (vVv3V)

252
Morgan Freeman on the airwaves here in prime time Texas pushing voting for the Character and not the Color of the man.

---

What leftists don't (and will never) understand is that TFG's character is the problem.

Posted by: Charlie Choadsmoker at October 29, 2012 09:34 PM (aHR5E)

253 I told you MN was in play. We may have just caught a case of the normals here in the frozen tundra. After Jess and Al (and don't forget Norm Coleman the only man to lose to both of those schmucks). Oh yeah, we loves us teh Mondale too. We may have just woken up, like when you wake up form a hella good party, hung over but thinking that it was fun but it is time to straighten up but you reach for the beer to take the hair of the dog away. Let that beer taste good and not have another until Nov 7th.

Posted by: squidgrunt at October 29, 2012 09:47 PM (rfFk0)

254 "no Bush states besides Ohio, that are welcoming to Obama."

That is simply wrong.

New Mexico is one. Nevada is possibly another.

Posted by: FloridaRepublican at October 29, 2012 09:50 PM (QTVh2)

255 @241-quite so.

For some of the Obama apologists color IS character, they'd vote for anything as long as it's not white.

Posted by: JEM at October 29, 2012 09:58 PM (FvsWe)

256 Romney should definitely pour money into a major last-week ad buy in Wisconsin. And Ryan should be in the state the ENTIRE WEEKEND before the election. It's his home state, after all.

Also Minnesota might be worth a few bucks. Maybe Connecticut, too. Both of the latter states are obviously light-Blue, but they are relatively "virginal" in terms of presidential election ads. It's a gamble worth a couple million bucks, IMO, considering that Romney and the Republican Party appear to be sitting on like 100 million dollars or so with just eight days left before the election.

But Romney's focus should be on states that are essentially tied right now: Colorado, New Hampshire, Iowa, Virginia, Ohio. I think he's got Florida and North Carolina, and I suspect he'll lose Nevada. Michigan and Pennsylvania are unlikely to turn Red.

So. Win all the "tied" states, make a big push for Wisconsin, and roll the dice on a couple of light-Blue states that look could become Election Day shockers.

Posted by: FloridaRepublican at October 29, 2012 10:00 PM (QTVh2)

257 Use the Minneapolis and Duluth markets to break into Western Wisconsin. Maybe make a stop to get some airplay in the markets Western Wisconsin uses. Can do the same thing in Pittsburgh for eastern Ohio.

Ohio may break through, but Wisconsin and Iowa are right there to the point they might break simultaneously. We have to focus our attention there.

Posted by: Dave S. at October 29, 2012 10:02 PM (UvR6d)

258 If 2010 was a mild laxative, then this year promises to be a radical high colonic. And not a moment too soon....

Posted by: Nikkolai at October 29, 2012 10:12 PM (jKE+l)

259 I took grandson (16) and two friends to their soccer practice today. Lots of mocking of Obama and talking about how dorky he looks and how they want Romney and Ryan.

Obama isn't cool anymore.

Posted by: Miss Marple at October 29, 2012 10:20 PM (GoIUi)

260 Great news about MN but understand that there has been quite significant ad activity in the Twin Cities in order to cover western WI

Posted by: jacknine at October 29, 2012 10:25 PM (wgtvo)

261 Obama isn't cool anymore.

---

That he ever was says far more about the Democrat party as a whole than TFG himself.

Posted by: mediumheadboy at October 29, 2012 10:50 PM (aHR5E)

262 259 Lots of mocking of Obama and talking about how dorky he looks
================
I hope you sternly informed these children that this is racist talk, because when you notice Obama is dorky, you notice his body, and when you notice his body, that is racist. The only non-racist thing to say about Obama is that he is "clean and articulate."

Posted by: edj at October 29, 2012 10:50 PM (+QKfp)

263 Team Obama is going to roll out the journolist cited 10 million brand new ie created Voters in states w huge ground ops ie cheating machines since 08 primaries ie oh nc nv. So Hells to the Yeah Mitt needs to flood wi pa mi mn and don't take va for granted Obama will try to add a million voters there too

I can't believe it's really here

8 days to the beginning if the restoration

Posted by: ginaswo at October 30, 2012 01:09 AM (SqgBJ)

264 The newspapers in Duluth endorsed Romney. The northeast corner of Minnesota is heavily Democrat but they are blue collar Democrats. Mining is a major industry. So is logging. Many of the Democrats in that part of the state have little in common withe the affluent urban Democrats in Minneapolis who see open pit mining and logging as an offense to Gaia. There are projects afoot to mine copper in the region if they can get the permits. Which candidate's administration do you think is more likely to approve those permits?



Posted by: NC Mountain Girl at October 30, 2012 02:40 AM (EMuwx)

265 ***The spot where we intend to fight must not be made known***

On the other hand, it must be advertised far and wide. And then the real attack must be made somewhere else.

Posted by: perturbed at October 30, 2012 07:37 AM (u6Ueb)

266 Minnesota in play... ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha haROFLMAOha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha
By the time the DFL gets through adding all those ballot boxes in their car trunks it'll be a 60/40 landslide for Obysmal up here. Even though the state seems to have moved nearly 50/50 in actual voter preference, the zombies and multi-vote "students" will keep things safe for the leeches.
We have- farm leeches: ADM and CENEX getting ethanol subsidies in the millions- Iron Range leeches who can't be bothered to go where jobs are since some two decades ago- porch monkey leeches who can't be bothered to get a job because: slavery, racism, etc.---- and last but not least ----- "student" leeches who are too juvenile to get a job because it would interfere with their fun while they get a degree in Queer Theater or Underwater Basketweaving

Posted by: chuck in st paul at October 30, 2012 12:10 PM (EhYdw)






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