New WaPo/ABC Daily Tracker Has Romney Up 50% to 47%;
Leads With Independents By 19 -- NINETEEN -- Points
And the partisan split? D+4!
This is a very naughty poll. I need to spank it. The WaPo points out that 50/47 is actually a statistical tie (Margin of Error), which I guess is true, but they go on to suggest that it's a genuine lead, inferring from other stats.Romney does now boast a statistically — and substantively — important lead on the economy, which has long been the central issue of the race. When it comes to handling the nation’s struggling economy, 52 percent of likely voters say they trust Romney more, while 43 percent say they have more faith in the president. And just as the challenger has leaped ahead on this score, he has effectively neutralized what has been a consistent fall-back for Obama: economic empathy. In the new poll, 48 percent say Obama is more in tune with the economic problems people are having, and nearly as many, 46 percent, say Romney is the one who is more in touch. Just two weeks ago, Obama had a nine-point lead on the question.One more thing they point out:
Should [Romney's 19 point lead with independents] stick, it would be the sharpest tilt among independents in a presidential election since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 landslide win.
Comments
Posted by: ATaLien at October 25, 2012 05:18 PM (2p0vz)
Posted by: Nate Silver, expert analyst at October 25, 2012 05:18 PM (60GaT)
Posted by: Kansas Gman at October 25, 2012 05:18 PM (u4a/I)
Posted by: JEFF in IN at October 25, 2012 05:19 PM (sBm2i)
Posted by: jeanne at October 25, 2012 05:19 PM (GdalM)
Why do they taunt Happy Fun Alex?
Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD. Now with extra impact. at October 25, 2012 05:19 PM (VtjlW)
First? Will you blow me?
otherwise...
MITTMENTUM!
me wanty sweet sweet schadenfreude tears of democrat hacks.
Posted by: ktnxbai*cough up the lace wigs* at October 25, 2012 05:19 PM (he33V)
Posted by: mallfly at October 25, 2012 05:19 PM (bJm7W)
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos, cunning linguist at October 25, 2012 05:19 PM (vouc9)
Posted by: Jmel at October 25, 2012 05:19 PM (c+D8V)
Posted by: JollyRoger at October 25, 2012 05:19 PM (t06LC)
Posted by: Punahou Death Stare at October 25, 2012 05:19 PM (sTS/8)
Posted by: Ball of Hate at October 25, 2012 05:19 PM (AREf/)
Posted by: @PurpAv at October 25, 2012 05:19 PM (puty6)
Posted by: BignJames at October 25, 2012 05:20 PM (rlFQ+)
Posted by: Secundus, Judge Death Fan Club at October 25, 2012 05:20 PM (0kgK1)
Posted by: Joe Le Big Fuckin Deal Biden at October 25, 2012 05:20 PM (ovpNn)
Posted by: mallfly at October 25, 2012 05:20 PM (bJm7W)
Posted by: EC at October 25, 2012 05:20 PM (doBIb)
Posted by: JDTAY at October 25, 2012 05:20 PM (a0nis)
FNC is showing Bumble voting, and he had to ask a volunteer for help
what a total douchebag
Posted by: Jones in CO at October 25, 2012 05:21 PM (8sCoq)
Posted by: Jay in Ames at October 25, 2012 05:21 PM (i2Lsf)
Posted by: @PurpAv at October 25, 2012 05:21 PM (puty6)
Posted by: Ball of Hate at October 25, 2012 05:21 PM (AREf/)
Posted by: The real Gerg at October 25, 2012 05:21 PM (YmPwQ)
It depends on the composition of independents, who can be anywhere from squishy undecideds to hardcore conservatives/libs who think the Dems or Republicans are establishment sellouts. dunno what it's like this year
Posted by: JDP at October 25, 2012 05:21 PM (60GaT)
Posted by: dantesed at October 25, 2012 05:21 PM (UFZEI)
Americans believe that Joe Biden has a handle on the hair plugs/lace wigs issue by a stunning 97% to just 3% for Romney!
Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at October 25, 2012 05:21 PM (BuSM8)
Posted by: SH at October 25, 2012 05:21 PM (gmeXX)
Hey dont worry lefties, its always darkest before dawn.
Actually I take that back, the sky grows lighter gradually.
Posted by: twit of the year at October 25, 2012 05:21 PM (xXhWA)
Posted by: Jones in CO at October 25, 2012 05:22 PM (8sCoq)
Posted by: mallfly at October 25, 2012 05:22 PM (bJm7W)
Posted by: Mitt Romney at October 25, 2012 05:22 PM (a0nis)
Posted by: Joe Le Big Fuckin Deal Biden at October 25, 2012 05:22 PM (ovpNn)
Posted by: Hurricane Sandy at October 25, 2012 05:22 PM (tkbF8)
Posted by: Greg's Bloody Anal Hole at October 25, 2012 05:22 PM (F6KtL)
Posted by: Greg at October 25, 2012 05:22 PM (/YJYi)
Posted by: Bill Clinton at October 25, 2012 05:22 PM (ovpNn)
Posted by: WalrusRex at October 25, 2012 05:23 PM (XUKZU)
Posted by: "Biff" Romney at October 25, 2012 05:23 PM (vouc9)
Posted by: HeatherRadish™ at October 25, 2012 05:23 PM (ZKzrr)
Posted by: RWC at October 25, 2012 05:23 PM (fWAjv)
Trying to claw their way back to some semblance of credibility?
Even with a Dem+4 weighting it down....Romney still comes out ahead.
So, what would it be with an even split?
Posted by: wheatie at October 25, 2012 05:23 PM (ipkPX)
Posted by: jeremiah Gosh Darn Amerikkka Ali Muhammad Surpra-izi Amin U'rbu T'hol wright at October 25, 2012 05:23 PM (ovpNn)
Posted by: Jones in CO at October 25, 2012 05:23 PM (8sCoq)
sharpest tilt among independents in a presidential election since
Ronald Reagan’s 1984 landslide win.
So, we're gonna skip right over 1980? I'm ok with this.
Posted by: Jay in Ames at October 25, 2012 05:23 PM (i2Lsf)
Posted by: Evilpens at October 25, 2012 05:23 PM (ck76k)
Posted by: Use the Force, Luke at October 25, 2012 05:24 PM (bPJlD)
Posted by: The Poll at October 25, 2012 05:24 PM (a0nis)
Posted by: Not and Artist at October 25, 2012 05:24 PM (uRumV)
likely voters say they trust Romney more, while 43 percent say they
have more faith in the president.
Who ARE these fucking people?!?
He's had four years to change the economy and all he's done is SCREW it into the ground.
Posted by: © Sponge at October 25, 2012 05:24 PM (UK9cE)
Posted by: meh at October 25, 2012 05:24 PM (W2qJe)
Posted by: Tami at October 25, 2012 05:24 PM (X6akg)
Hey dont worry lefties, its always darkest before dawn.
actually it's darkest before you pass out and and die. You probably notice that while Obama is giving his "democracy died tonight" concession speech.
Posted by: mallfly at October 25, 2012 05:25 PM (bJm7W)
Posted by: ntac at October 25, 2012 05:25 PM (rhHz3)
Posted by: Jones in CO at October 25, 2012 05:25 PM (8sCoq)
hahahhahaahahahahahahahahhhhh
There should be a link to that clip of Billy Jeff yucking it up with Yeltsin back in the 1990s.
Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at October 25, 2012 05:25 PM (BuSM8)
I'm already preparing my victory lap multimedia extravaganza.
Posted by: Empire of Jeff at October 25, 2012 05:25 PM (Bg/r1)
The mournfulwails of 0bamites as election night sees their shite-talking-savior thrown out on his jug ears, listen here...
http://tinyurl.com/8saxz5g
Posted by: ktnxbai*cough up the lace wigs* at October 25, 2012 05:25 PM (he33V)
Posted by: Bill Mitchell at October 25, 2012 05:25 PM (hlUJY)
Posted by: jeremiah Gosh Darn Amerikkka Ali Muhammad Surpra-izi Amin U'rbu T'hol wright at October 25, 2012 05:25 PM (ovpNn)
Posted by: Obama at October 25, 2012 05:26 PM (a0nis)
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at October 25, 2012 05:26 PM (vouc9)
http://goo.gl/yqCfT You drink all but about a half an ounce, pour out that last little bit into a shot glass, pour it over the bottle, and light up.
Will there be a live blog?
Posted by: The littl shyning man at October 25, 2012 05:26 PM (PH+2B)
At some point they gotta come close to the actuals so as to pretend for the following election they aren't trying to create preferences.
Posted by: Guy Mohawk at October 25, 2012 05:26 PM (PHb2k)
46....So, we're gonna skip right over 1980? I'm ok with this.
Posted by: Jay in Ames at October 25, 2012 05:23 PM (i2Lsf)
1984 was an even bigger landslide than 1980, iirc.
Posted by: wheatie at October 25, 2012 05:26 PM (ipkPX)
I think this will need much greater exposure.
Posted by: Jay in Ames at October 25, 2012 05:26 PM (i2Lsf)
Posted by: antisocialist at October 25, 2012 05:26 PM (j/nZn)
Obama WP = 47
Rasmussen = 47
Gallup = 47
RCP avg = 47
Odd...
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at October 25, 2012 05:26 PM (vouc9)
Romney Hidden Camera = 47
Posted by: jeremiah Gosh Darn Amerikkka Ali Muhammad Surpra-izi Amin U'rbu T'hol wright at October 25, 2012 05:27 PM (ovpNn)
"In the 19 polls released in the public realm since the first debate,
Governor Romney leads among Independents in 15 of them (two did not
include data among INDs). And, if you take an average of his lead among
Independents in those 15 polls, the margin is 12 points (49-37).
***
Looking back at the past five major statewide races in Ohio, the candidate who wins Independents has won the state:
[Obama won I's by 8]
***
According to the Quinnipiac Poll, Republicans are more enthusiastic than
Democrats about voting in the upcoming election by a double digit
margin (52%-40%).
***
We have knocked on 21 times as many doors and made three times as many
phone calls in Ohio compared to 2008. Sometime this week we’ll knock on
the two millionth door and make our sixth millionth voter contact since
May.
=============
There is a lot more at PowerLine.
Posted by: RoyalOil at October 25, 2012 05:27 PM (imtbm)
Posted by: Jones in CO at October 25, 2012 05:27 PM (8sCoq)
Posted by: JDP at October 25, 2012 05:27 PM (60GaT)
Posted by: Laurie David's Cervix at October 25, 2012 05:27 PM (kdS6q)
Rasmussen = 47
Gallup = 47
RCP avg = 47
The irony is delicious. Proof that God has a sense of humor.
Posted by: Bill Mitchell at October 25, 2012 05:27 PM (hlUJY)
Posted by: Dieter at October 25, 2012 05:27 PM (XQRAU)
Posted by: © Sponge at October 25, 2012 05:27 PM (UK9cE)
Posted by: MiloX at October 25, 2012 05:27 PM (VwCyo)
Posted by: supercore23 at October 25, 2012 05:28 PM (bwV72)
fuckin Obama doesn't even know how to vote for himself
doesn't matter, he could write in for Marvin Martian and it'll still get counted as a vote for Obama.
ooooh, I get it, the voting machines are confusing! That's be the Dems claim after Barky loses! It's like opposite day! We really won! Yaaaay, Greg celebrates by doing the same disgusting stuff he does the rest of the year!
Posted by: mallfly at October 25, 2012 05:28 PM (bJm7W)
That's why they are so desperate (witness this ridiculously inept and content free "Plan for the Second Term" thing they are waving around). And likely to get even more desperate.
A cornered animal is dangerous. Let's not, you know, suck each other's you know whats just yet.
Posted by: Fred at October 25, 2012 05:28 PM (xWGQr)
Posted by: JDP at October 25, 2012 05:27 PM (60GaT)
Nixon losing to Brown for CA Gov 1960 is the gold standard
Posted by: Jones in CO at October 25, 2012 05:28 PM (8sCoq)
Posted by: Bill Mitchell at October 25, 2012 05:28 PM (hlUJY)
but, big bird
Posted by: Dr. Varno at October 25, 2012 05:28 PM (uf1hZ)
This seems a perfect example. You would think Obama would be blowing Romney away in this category, and he was. But the cascade looks to have occurred.
Posted by: angler at October 25, 2012 05:28 PM (SwjAj)
Posted by: HeatherRadish™ at October 25, 2012 05:28 PM (ZKzrr)
Posted by: Jones in CO at October 25, 2012 05:29 PM (8sCoq)
Posted by: Secundus, Judge Death Fan Club at October 25, 2012 05:29 PM (0kgK1)
Posted by: jeremiah Gosh Darn Amerikkka Ali Muhammad Surpra-izi Amin U'rbu T'hol wright at October 25, 2012 05:29 PM (ovpNn)
Nate Silver - NYT 538
October 25, 2012
Posted by: Laurie David's Cervix at October 25, 2012 05:27 PM (kdS6q)
Thank goodness someone is here, to talk some sense.
Since Greg's absent, that is.
(do I need the /sarc tag?)
Posted by: Jay in Ames at October 25, 2012 05:29 PM (i2Lsf)
We indeed live in interesting times.
Posted by: HoboJerky, now with 45% more DOOM! at October 25, 2012 05:29 PM (xAtAj)
---
That sounds like the theme song to the Mary Tyler Moore show.
Posted by: CUS at October 25, 2012 05:29 PM (84pE9)
Is this his George H. W. Bush Grocery store scanner moment?
Oh wait he's our guy so crickets.
Posted by: MFM at October 25, 2012 05:29 PM (tf9Ne)
"landslide win" -- fapworthy language.
Posted by: @PurpAv at October 25, 2012 05:19 PM (puty6)
"Mitt wins" is fapworthy language to me.
Posted by: MrCaniac at October 25, 2012 05:29 PM (Zd/NW)
Posted by: Temper Tantrum at October 25, 2012 05:29 PM (AWmfW)
The best they can hope for now...is to depress the R-vote.
They may now start saying...."Romney is going to win"....just to try to make the lazy voters stay home.
Posted by: wheatie at October 25, 2012 05:29 PM (ipkPX)
Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at October 25, 2012 05:30 PM (BuSM8)
Posted by: The littl shyning man at October 25, 2012 05:30 PM (PH+2B)
Posted by: Barry Obama at October 25, 2012 05:30 PM (vjyZP)
Posted by: Evilpens at October 25, 2012 05:30 PM (ck76k)
Posted by: Jones in CO at October 25, 2012 05:30 PM (8sCoq)
Posted by: JDP at October 25, 2012 05:30 PM (60GaT)
What changed? Is this an admission that D+11 models were flawed?
I think they just change the D+'s to keep the story going.
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 25, 2012 05:31 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 25, 2012 05:31 PM (QxSug)
and content free "Plan for the Second Term" thing they are waving
around). And likely to get even more desperate.
A cornered animal is dangerous. Let's not, you know, suck each other's you know whats just yet.
Isn't that what Allred's revelation was supposed to accomplish?
Posted by: Jay in Ames at October 25, 2012 05:31 PM (i2Lsf)
Instant quick hit 15-20sec PAC ad.
"If Obama can't figure out a voting machine, how's he gonna figure out the economy?"
Posted by: @PurpAv at October 25, 2012 05:31 PM (puty6)
Posted by: Evilpens at October 25, 2012 05:31 PM (ck76k)
Posted by: mallfly at October 25, 2012 05:31 PM (bJm7W)
Posted by: Dr. Varno at October 25, 2012 05:31 PM (uf1hZ)
In Marching, General Sherman Seems to have Stopped
Posted by: wooga at October 25, 2012 05:31 PM (vjyZP)
"The biggest challenge we've always had is that unlike FDR--who came into
office when the economy had already bottomed out, so people understood
that everything done subsequently to his election was making things
better--I came in just as we were sliding. Because of the actions we
took, we averted a Great Depression--but in the process, we also muddied
up the political narrative, because it allowed somebody like Romney to
somehow blame my policies for the mess that the previous administration
created."
That's right. There is a vast right wing conspiracy including W and Billy Jeff to screw the poor black kid over.
Posted by: WalrusRex at October 25, 2012 05:32 PM (XUKZU)
Posted by: Vashta Nerada at October 25, 2012 05:32 PM (BiMP/)
Posted by: Binder at October 25, 2012 05:32 PM (a0nis)
No. It's just as likely, and even more so, to depress the D-vote. "He can't win, why bother voting?"
Posted by: angler at October 25, 2012 05:32 PM (SwjAj)
Posted by: dogfish at October 25, 2012 05:32 PM (N2yhW)
I predict seeing this on election night:
pundit 1: how could the polls be so far off?
pundit 2: especially in Ohio and Michigan. There was no indication of 5 point Romney wins in those states.
pollster 1: I guess almost all undecideds broke for Romney.
pollster 2: Yeah, that's the ticket.
I think even the non-biased pollsters still have kind of a 2008 hangover on how much support for Oblamer there is, despite what they saw in 2010.
Posted by: Guy Mohawk at October 25, 2012 05:33 PM (PHb2k)
Posted by: DaMan at October 25, 2012 05:33 PM (I1MMF)
Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 25, 2012 05:33 PM (GEICT)
Posted by: Greggie Poo-Poo at October 25, 2012 05:33 PM (F6KtL)
In Polls, Romney's Momentum Seems to Have Stopped
In Marching, General Sherman Seems to have Stopped
----------------
no, he slowed down when he reached Atlanta so's to conserve matches
Posted by: mallfly at October 25, 2012 05:33 PM (bJm7W)
Posted by: The Peasants at October 25, 2012 05:33 PM (dzCcw)
Racism. Who could have seen that one coming?
Posted by: WalrusRex at October 25, 2012 05:33 PM (XUKZU)
Warning longish post.
Longtime neighbor of my dad (45 years in same houses next to each other) honored her recently deceased husband (avid Republican) by getting a Romney/Ryan yard sign. This was always a joke with him and my dad, since Dad is a staunch dimmacrat.
They would always good naturely trade barbs, but at the end of the day no harm no foul.
No sooner did this little old 85 year widow put a RR sign in her yard then a Obama deranged neighbor came over, yelled at her, cussed her, sent threatening emails told her she was in violation of HOA covenant. Very upsetting to someone who is so weak she is on Oxygen and can hardly walk. She called my dad to ask for help and also to find out if the Obama deranged neighbor was right about yard signs.
Turns out people who buy in that area NOW can't put up yard signs, but my Dad and next door neighbor can, cause they have been there since the beginning doncha know.
So my Dad got a HUGE Romney/ Ryan sign and put it in his yard (even though he will probably vote Dimmacrat) just to say to that Obama deranged neighbor "SCREW YOU BITCH".
So Obama deranged neighbor now has to look at two signs as she terrorizes the neighborhood, and one of them is in a Dimmacrats yard. Nicely ironic.
Sorry for the long post I hope you enjoyed it.
Posted by: Gonna need a bigger gun at October 25, 2012 05:34 PM (bPJlD)
Well, Michelle will be fine. I, however, could be in some trouble. Let me be clear about this: Michelle can get a little angry from time to time. And she's said in no uncertain terms that I'm in trouble if I fuck up this election.
My only hope is that the Marines can get me out of here before Michelle can get her paws on me.
Posted by: Barack Obama at October 25, 2012 05:34 PM (BuSM8)
I believe whatever you believe. Seriously. It doesn't matter. I believe with my heart of hearts that we should invest Federal money in it. Please vote for me.
I'm so lonely.
Posted by: Barack Obama at October 25, 2012 05:34 PM (0kgK1)
How Bill Clinton May Have Hurt the Obama Campaign
1. A simple comparison hurts a loser. Unlike Obama, Clinton was never this far behind in a campaign last two weeks.
2. Without a brain, Strawman Obama ASKED for advice.
How [ELSE] Bill Clinton May Have Hurt the Obama Campaign
By MATT BAI, NYT
"Mr. Clinton was able to set himself up against ideological extremism so successfully because he really was a centrist deal-maker, and everyone knew it. However much Mr. Obama may see himself in the same pragmatic vein, the voters, by and large, do not. As it is, though, Mr. Obama has chosen his path, and he now has only days to convince a lot of independents in states like Ohio and Virginia that Mr. Romney really is some raging conservative, rather than the more malleable, somewhat awkward fellow he is impersonating on TV. It’s an approach that has both pluses and minuses for Mr. Obama, much like the former president whose influence pervades his campaign."
Posted by: What's your dirt doin' in his ditch? at October 25, 2012 05:34 PM (BAnPT)
Weren't they all worried he would attack Iran or some shit?
Posted by: Ball of Hate at October 25, 2012 05:35 PM (AREf/)
*cough* Harry Reid is a Mormon *cough* *cough*
Posted by: @PurpAv at October 25, 2012 05:35 PM (puty6)
Republican sign the front of the check, Democrats sign on the back.
Posted by: The littl shyning man at October 25, 2012 05:35 PM (PH+2B)
Apparently that Weenerstein's Obama suck up movie is being shown the day before the election.
You know the movie, the one where Obama takes credit for what Seal Team Six did, and uses people who put their lives on the line to get votes for his sorry ass. That movie.
I want that bastard humiliated.
Posted by: nerdygirl at October 25, 2012 05:35 PM (VkBeZ)
Posted by: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus at October 25, 2012 05:36 PM (+inic)
Oh, wicked, bad, naughty, evil Poll! Oh, she is a naughty Poll, and she must pay the penalty!
You must tie her down on a bed, and spank her.
Posted by: imp at October 25, 2012 05:36 PM (UaxA0)
Posted by: AZ Man at October 25, 2012 05:36 PM (I1MMF)
Rasmussen = 47
Gallup = 47
RCP avg = 47
Odd...
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at October 25, 2012 05:26 PM (vouc9)
---------------------------------------
Never underestimate the magic underwear.
Posted by: Soona at October 25, 2012 05:37 PM (uaRd0)
this is funy
FNC is showing Bumble voting, and he had to ask a volunteer for help
what a total douchebag
Posted by: Jones in CO at October 25, 2012 05:21 PM (8sCoq)
FFS! What? Oh, there was no "present" option.
Posted by: Flounder at October 25, 2012 05:37 PM (Kkt/i)
"Glad to hear North Carolina is solid for @MittRomney. It started
trending for Mitt solidly after my speech at the @NCGOP
convention."--tweet, @realDonaldTrump, Oct.24
Posted by: WalrusRex at October 25, 2012 05:37 PM (XUKZU)
Posted by: Craig Poe at October 25, 2012 05:37 PM (BVkEs)
Posted by: @PurpAv at October 25, 2012 05:35 PM (puty6)
Oh, stop, you!
Posted by: Jay in Ames at October 25, 2012 05:37 PM (i2Lsf)
Average: 47
AP: 45
Ras: 47
ABC: 47
IBD: 47
Gallup: 47
Monmouth: 45
NBC: 47
CBS: 48
Zogby: 50
Politico: 47
Notice a trend?
It's going to be very, very, very difficult for O to win if he caps out at ~47% of the vote. He'd need a third-party candidate to suck up 5-6% and keep Romney at ~48%.
Don't see it happening.
Final bit of good news: evidently Zogby (if I infer correctly from CAC's twitter feed) is not a reputable pollster, so I'm ignoring that 50% number. Note also that IBD re-weights to 2008 electorate models, so Romney is never going to lead in that one.
I think it's happening.
Posted by: andrew at October 25, 2012 05:37 PM (cq0FO)
Republican sign the front of the check, Democrats sign on the back.
Posted by: The littl shyning man at October 25, 2012 05:35 PM (PH+2B)
That's some funny shit. Consider it stolen.
Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 25, 2012 05:37 PM (GEICT)
Posted by: MoeRon at October 25, 2012 05:37 PM (yWDpP)
I believe with my heart of hearts that we should invest Federal money in it.
-- BHO
"I BUILT THAT"
16 TRILLION DOLLAR NATIONAL DEBT -- BHO, laughing all the way to his bank.
Posted by: What's your dirt doin' in his ditch? at October 25, 2012 05:37 PM (BAnPT)
H8ter. As president he expected to be able to vote as many times as he felt necessary. The machine, obviously devised by devious Joos, was trying to disenfranchise his ability to multi-task vote.
Posted by: Liberal with head stuck up his @ss at October 25, 2012 05:37 PM (feFL6)
Posted by: HeatherRadish™ at October 25, 2012 05:37 PM (ZKzrr)
Shouldn't headline be "Obama casts first of many ballots in Chicago today"?
Posted by: Jones in CO at October 25, 2012 05:37 PM (8sCoq)
Posted by: J.J. Sefton at October 25, 2012 05:37 PM (+tqYo)
He also had to show his driver's license.
Racist.
Posted by: JackStraw at October 25, 2012 05:38 PM (TMB3S)
@MelissaTweets, @SalenaZitoTrib, Granted this is TX but ultra liberal next door neighbor just put up Romney/Ryan sign. I almost crashed car!
Posted by: Evilpens at October 25, 2012 05:38 PM (ck76k)
Posted by: Retired Buckeye Cop at October 25, 2012 05:39 PM (nYHk7)
Posted by: Grover's at October 25, 2012 05:40 PM (Kh0Kx)
was it over when the Germans Bombed Pearl Harbor?
Posted by: Evilpens at October 25, 2012 05:40 PM (ck76k)
Posted by: Paul Ryan at October 25, 2012 05:40 PM (a0nis)
While the JEF is focusing on getting the hard supporters to the polls early.
The JEF was planning on an October surprise and Romney was counter-acting it.
This is why it's going to be a landslide: Romney is focused on locking down the hard to get votes first and saving the "I'll crawl through glass" voters for election day.
Think of it as a war: Gen. Romney is sending his green recruits to the front first and they are holding their own against Pvt. Pantywaist and his veterans. On Nov. 6, Romney will send his veterans against the JEF's newbies--who are you betting on?
Posted by: RoyalOil at October 25, 2012 05:40 PM (imtbm)
"Romney belonged to a white supremacist church for 31 years of his life."
Barack Hussein Obama still believes Black (Supremacist) Liberation Theology and exercised it freely from the Oval Office as THE State Religion of the US Justice Dept.
Posted by: What's your dirt doin' in his ditch? at October 25, 2012 05:40 PM (BAnPT)
Posted by: Nate Silver at October 25, 2012 05:40 PM (gsy5B)
Posted by: comatus at October 25, 2012 05:40 PM (qaVK+)
Posted by: Dept. of Accuracy Dept. at October 25, 2012 05:40 PM (+I8Mq)
And my Obama-loving neighbors can shiver and quiver with fear in their living rooms when I run out onto my back deck and let loose with a scream of triumph that will echo throughout the valley and work its way 9 miles up 101 to that filthy cesspool formerly known as San Francisco.
Posted by: kathysaysso at October 25, 2012 05:40 PM (ZtwUX)
"Should [Romney's 19 point lead with independents] stick, it would be the
sharpest tilt among independents in a presidential election since
Ronald Reagan’s 1984 landslide win."
You KNOW Obama is in deep trouble. Obama's problem is that +19 isn't an outlier. You are seeing massive shift by indies everywhere.
Posted by: Bill Mitchell at October 25, 2012 05:41 PM (hlUJY)
The reports trickling in from around the country about long lines at early voting places only reinforces the "Reagan" feeling - I remember waiting in line for over an hour to cast my first-ever presidential vote.
It was awesome.
Wonder if it'll all be over but the MSDNC tears by 9:00, just like in 1980.......
Posted by: Teresa in Fort Worth, TX at October 25, 2012 05:41 PM (P6H+d)
Trust to handle economy: Romney 52% - Obama 43% in @ABC-Post poll, 1st time "either candidate has held a clear lead" abcn.ws/PSXgmb
Retweeted by James Pethokoukis
Posted by: Evilpens at October 25, 2012 05:41 PM (ck76k)
Posted by: Nate Silver at October 25, 2012 05:41 PM (TYYff)
Posted by: mikey at October 25, 2012 05:41 PM (kmxWt)
122...Sorry for the long post I hope you enjoyed it.
Posted by: Gonna need a bigger gun at October 25, 2012 05:34 PM (bPJlD)
I *did* enjoy it.
Thanks!
Posted by: wheatie at October 25, 2012 05:41 PM (ipkPX)
The biggest challenge we've always had is that unlike FDR--who came into
office when the economy had already bottomed out, so people understood
that everything done subsequently to his election was making things
better--
Um, no. Everything that FDR did, up until December 7, 1941, only prolonged the agony of the Great Depression.
And Obama learned nothing from history.
Posted by: Fred at October 25, 2012 05:41 PM (xWGQr)
Posted by: What's your dirt doin' in his ditch? at October 25, 2012 05:41 PM (BAnPT)
What changed? Is this an admission that D+11 models were flawed?
I think they just change the D+'s to keep the story going.
I'm not sure that it's even intentional on their part- getting it too wrong would be bad for business.
My theory is that Dems are just more likely to participate in phone polls. Maybe because they're bored from being stuck at home all day collecting welfare, or are more eager to proclaim their political associations to an anonymous voice on the phone.
Also, it's possible that Republicans are more distrustful of pollsters as with the MSM, so are less likely to play ball.
Or some combination of the above.
Keep in mind that the vast majority of people called in these phone polls don't participate. There was a recent one where only about 1 in 30 people called responded. 1 in 9 is considered good.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at October 25, 2012 05:42 PM (SY2Kh)
This is particularly rich from Sullivan who, when the Jeremiah Wright deal broke in '08, talked about how his remarks were objectionable but didn't completely discredit him as a person/his church cuz it's more than that etc. You know, we all contain multitudes, good and evil...except when it's Christianists on the March of course
Posted by: JDP at October 25, 2012 05:42 PM (60GaT)
Posted by: Please forget you shirt Paul at October 25, 2012 05:42 PM (bPJlD)
Posted by: 29Victor at October 25, 2012 05:42 PM (O2FhX)
Posted by: Dave S. at October 25, 2012 05:42 PM (/BwGa)
God, I miss Jane.
Posted by: Ted Turner at October 25, 2012 05:42 PM (t06LC)
Posted by: Gerg at October 25, 2012 05:42 PM (PY0du)
Breaking!
Osama Bin Laden Corpse will be campaigning with Barack Obama for the next week. Osama will introduce the President at campaign stops while sitting on the lap of Joe Biden who will sockpuppet the corpse of bin laden right before leaving the stage to shake hands with the audience. The campaign is telling supporters to bring their own hand sanitizer.
Posted by: jeremiah Gosh Darn Amerikkka Ali Muhammad Surpra-izi Amin U'rbu T'hol wright at October 25, 2012 05:42 PM (ovpNn)
No, spank me!
Oooooh, spank me too!
Yes, we've all been very naughty so you must spank us all. And then the oral sex....
Posted by: The maidens in castle anthrax at October 25, 2012 05:42 PM (SCTXH)
Posted by: Dr. Varno at October 25, 2012 05:42 PM (uf1hZ)
Posted by: Bill Mitchell at October 25, 2012 05:41 PM (hlUJY)
___
Lots of indies in the Philly collar.
Just sayin'
Posted by: kallisto at October 25, 2012 05:42 PM (jm/9g)
Consider the source, the Washington post is such a right wing rag, I mean, come on!
Also, the Democratic ground game in Ohio is awesome and don't forget that a lot of voters lie to pollsters because they call during dinner.
Posted by: A fake Greg, saying exactly what Greg would say at October 25, 2012 05:43 PM (4eNxd)
I would like to see the photo caption of Obama casts his vote for Romney for President. "Even I know he is better" said the president.
Posted by: Guy Mohawk at October 25, 2012 05:43 PM (PHb2k)
Posted by: Nevergiveup at October 25, 2012 05:44 PM (oSFWF)
tell you why I suck as a politician. Let's say I go into a guy's office,
let's say he's even remotely interested in voting for me. Well then I
get all excited. I'm like Jojo the idiot circus boy with a pretty new pet.
Now the pet is my political future. Hello there pretty little pet, I love
you. And then I stroke it, and I pet it, and I massage it. Hehe I love
it, I love my little naughty pet.
You're naughty! And then I take my naughty pet and I go...
Uuuuuuh! I killed it! I killed my political future! And that's when I blow it.
That's when people like us have gotta forge ahead, Clinton. Am I right?
Clinton: God you're sick.
Posted by: angler at October 25, 2012 05:44 PM (SwjAj)
If Hillary sees Obama going down anyway, will she turn state's evidence and Bill wants her to and show how she had requested extra security for Benghazi but Obama had refused?
The best thing about a landslide? Downticket.
Posted by: Bill Mitchell at October 25, 2012 05:44 PM (hlUJY)
But I read that Obama got a bounce from the third debate over at the Daily Kos...
Their methodology was scientifically perfect, much like Nate Silver's.
If you just remove all of the polls with Romney leading, then add 2 points to Obama's total, he's ahead.
Damn you wingnuts are idiots.
Posted by: MJ at October 25, 2012 05:44 PM (TR60b)
Posted by: Dan Rather at October 25, 2012 05:44 PM (puty6)
Posted by: Dack Thrombosis at October 25, 2012 05:44 PM (BuSM8)
Posted by: FenelonSpoke at October 25, 2012 05:45 PM (u1lkY)
Posted by: Democrat Precinct Boss at October 25, 2012 05:45 PM (jucos)
And the difference between me and Romney is that I am openly dissenting within my own communion, have done so for a long time, have analyzed Catholic theology at great length on this, and talked at Catholic insitutions, like Georgetown and Notre Dame, using natural law theory to expose what I sincerely believe is a double standard in the church. My views on the appalling treatment of women in the church are the same.
I have put my conscience before authority. Romney put authority before his own conscience. And my church has apologized. The LDS church has not.
Andrew Sullivan 10/25
Posted by: Laurie David's Cervix at October 25, 2012 05:45 PM (kdS6q)
Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 25, 2012 05:33 PM (GEICT)
You owe me a new keyboard.......
Posted by: Texas Fluke at October 25, 2012 05:45 PM (2g+7R)
You are seeing massive shift by indies everywhere.
Seriously, there really is no need for democrats to even vote and be on the losing side of that butt-kicking.
Posted by: Guy Mohawk at October 25, 2012 05:45 PM (PHb2k)
No, 2008 is long gone.
There's no moderate who's like well maybe obama is the bomb.
And remember, this was done with a romney who skated in debates 2-3 not serving up any redmeat aside from his closing statement about unemployment and deficit.
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 25, 2012 05:45 PM (QxSug)
Ronald Reagan. Huh. Who woulda thunk it?
Posted by: JackStraw at October 25, 2012 05:45 PM (TMB3S)
was Carter in 2006. Lost indys by 2 points. However dems were +plus
after watergate Posted by: mikey
I think you stopped your time machine at the wrong timeline!
Posted by: weft cut-loop at October 25, 2012 05:45 PM (DKxu1)
Posted by: Reactionary at October 25, 2012 05:45 PM (jfeoD)
This quote from Obama's interview with Rolling Stone is scary ignorant:
The biggest challenge we've always had is that unlike FDR--who came into
office when the economy had already bottomed out, so people understood
that everything done subsequently to his election was making things
better--
Um, no. Everything that FDR did, up until December 7, 1941, only prolonged the agony of the Great Depression.
And Obama learned nothing from history.
Posted by: Fred at October 25, 2012 05:41 PM (xWGQr)
Yes, that should be a romney ad.
Posted by: Temper Tantrum at October 25, 2012 05:46 PM (AWmfW)
sharpest tilt among independents in a presidential election since
Ronald Reagan’s 1984 landslide win.
See, here's the rub:
1. Reagan won that election 59% - 41%.
2. That was in a D+2 year (38/36/26 D/R/I).
I just don't see how even with one or two added points in the D+ column (can't be more than D+3 or 4) and with more stable pools within party (figuring that Mondale bled a number of Dems in '84) that the race is really this close.
Posted by: Kevin in ABQ at October 25, 2012 05:46 PM (XrGnJ)
signs as she terrorizes the neighborhood, and one of them is in a
Dimmacrats yard. Nicely ironic.
Sorry for the long post I hope you enjoyed it.
Posted by: Gonna need a bigger gun at October 25, 2012 05:34 PM (bPJlD)
No need to apologize....I love stories with a happy ending.
Posted by: Tami at October 25, 2012 05:46 PM (X6akg)
Posted by: Andrew Sullivan at October 25, 2012 05:47 PM (/YJYi)
Posted by: Killerdog at October 25, 2012 05:47 PM (CXeMr)
Posted by: Greg at October 25, 2012 05:47 PM (puty6)
Posted by: RoyalOil at October 25, 2012 05:47 PM (imtbm)
Posted by: LGoPs at October 25, 2012 05:47 PM (4x8W0)
Posted by: Jack in San Diego at October 25, 2012 05:47 PM (O6q63)
Posted by: Nate Silver at October 25, 2012 05:48 PM (/kBoL)
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at October 25, 2012 05:48 PM (piMMO)
...
Just as likely, what we're "seeing" has been the unreported case until now.
"Brother, can you spare a dime/ make that a $5.00 minimum donation." BHO
And to think that Obama ridicules any historical references as if irrelevant when tackling Republican fiscal agenda, yet indulges himself.
Unlike FDR, Barry's NEW DEAL never appealed to Americans who work or at least who are looking for work. FDR may have run "Bill of Rights" into the ground promoting the Right to Work as another New Deal Bill of Rights. But Barry's effect has been the dissolution of THE Bill of Rights during his singularly UNPRECEDENTED miserable excuse of an administration.
Posted by: What's your dirt doin' in his ditch? at October 25, 2012 05:48 PM (BAnPT)
People...as Rasmussen has said....the election will not be that close. As for OH...will people in here (SOME) cut the crap about it. If you clueless clowns think the Dems will have plus 7-10 YOU ARE NUTS! It is your own petty fear that makes you believe that. Heck Chuck Todd laughed about the TIME POLL in OH that so distorted numbers even he called it GARBAGE. They has GOP turnout below 2008 and with PLUS 9 Dem Sample. NEWSFLASH TO THE WORRY CROWD:
Obama only leads by about 7 percent in early voting....last time in 2008 he was up 20 percent....GEE tell that to some and it goes right over the head!
Survey USA....had those under age of 40 making up 48 percent of their poll yesterday...in 2008....in OH it was 41 percent...SORRY the big secret that many in here do not understand:
These polls are all OVERSAMPLING THE YOUTH vote in relation to 2008 which was a banner year for the youth vote....All indications is that it will be quite a bit lower...so TIME AND SURVEY USA do what? Heck they oversample the 18-35 yr olds...which happens to be what??? THE NUMBER VOTING BLOCK FOR OBAMA! They are deliberately oversampling single females in this group to overstate the female gender gap and to keep Obama in the game. And that time poll has Obama up over 20 in early voting...another thing Chuck Todd laughed about. Obama is nowhere near up 20....he is down to 7.
Another nugget about SUSA Poll...they show Romney winning Independents by 8 percent...same as Obama did in 2008 and they also show Mitt winning 20 percent YES 20 percent of the African American Vote....yet they show 47/44 OBAMA...right!! sure it is....Notice that 9 percent undecided...hmmm I wonder to cover thyself SUSA?
They thing to watch...early numbers plain and simple. Go over to Jim Geraghty at NRO from yesterday and CHECK OUT OH NUMBERS...the actual numbers....stop thinkingabout BS skewed polls...and check out the real numbers...or do you wish to live in denialville?
The GOP is way up in early voting in OH and the DEMs are down...That is all that matters and Obama's team knows it. That is why there are rumors of them trying to cobble victory without OHIO!!!
Take the time and educate yourselves and you would FEEL MUCH BETTER ABOUT OH, THE REAL NUMEBRS PROVE IT!
OH will gofor Mitt...I have family members in OH working on the campaign and they are exceedingtheir targets. The response has been fantastic....check the numbers at NRO withGeraghty from the Campaign Spot yesterday!
Posted by: bluerose75 at October 25, 2012 05:48 PM (HDcKc)
@SeanTrende
Susquehanna is an R pollster who has been on the right-most edge of PA polling. Don't dismiss, but salt is probably in order.
This is what I mean about RCP
Right Most edge of Pa. Polling ?? Goose Stepping next ??
Posted by: Evilpens at October 25, 2012 05:49 PM (ck76k)
Mitt has to stay presidential, and dare I say it, Reaganesque, as Nov 6 gets closer. The visuals of him out there, meeting voters, attracting huge crowds, and smiling all the while, are helping him with the people just tuning in.
Posted by: Boots at October 25, 2012 05:49 PM (neKzn)
No, he'll just do what he does now - give speeches - but idiots will pay him millions to do so.
Posted by: angler at October 25, 2012 05:49 PM (SwjAj)
MORE POLES! NEED MORE POLES! NO, NOT MORE POLLS, MORE POLES! YOU KNOW, DICK! COCK!
Posted by: Greggie Poo-Poo at October 25, 2012 05:49 PM (F6KtL)
Posted by: Nate Silver, snake oil salesman at October 25, 2012 05:49 PM (d4o2E)
Posted by: LGoPs at October 25, 2012 05:49 PM (4x8W0)
Posted by: Greg at October 25, 2012 05:49 PM (puty6)
I did! Good on your Dad.
Posted by: Infidel at October 25, 2012 05:49 PM (O/fK8)
I was thinking of doing the same (I already have a decent supply of fireworks), but in my neighborhood the noise could be misinterpreted.
I wouldn't want to be known as the guy who accidentally incited a riot.
Posted by: Hollowpoint at October 25, 2012 05:49 PM (SY2Kh)
I guess the dumb Euros that bet on Intrade (Americans not allowed to bet on POTUS) believe the bullshit OH polls out of CNN. Most people don't realize that Intrade isn't even Americans betting.
Posted by: Bill Mitchell at October 25, 2012 05:49 PM (hlUJY)
173 Breaking!Osama Bin Laden Corpse will be campaigning with Barack Obama for the next week. Osama will introduce the President at campaign stops while sitting on the lap of Joe Biden who will sockpuppet the corpse of bin laden right before leaving the stage to shake hands with the audience. The campaign is telling supporters to bring their own hand sanitizer.
Posted by: jeremiah Gosh Darn Amerikkka Ali Muhammad Surpra-izi Amin U'rbu T'hol wright at October 25, 2012 05:42 PM (ovpNn)
And he will be voting too!
Posted by: Texas Fluke at October 25, 2012 05:50 PM (2g+7R)
164...
Um, no. Everything that FDR did, up until December 7, 1941, only prolonged the agony of the Great Depression.
And Obama learned nothing from history.
Posted by: Fred at October 25, 2012 05:41 PM (xWGQr)
-------------
I think he *did* learn something from history.
And he is doing it to us...on purpose.
What has helped him, is all of the stupid people out there...who learned nothing from history.
Posted by: wheatie at October 25, 2012 05:50 PM (ipkPX)
@MelissaTweets, @SalenaZitoTrib, Granted this is TX but ultra liberal next door neighbor just put up Romney/Ryan sign. I almost crashed car!
Posted by: Evilpens "
Oh, yeah, well I'm in Michigan. I drove down this street in my dad's neighborhood today and there was one Romney/Ryan sign after another. Blam, blam, blam. It was lovely. And here's the best part. They had the Romney/Ryan signs AND the "Take Back America" signs. It felt like Christmas.
Posted by: nerdygirl at October 25, 2012 05:50 PM (VkBeZ)
Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 25, 2012 05:50 PM (GEICT)
I've been noticing a quite pleasing absence of libtards in my timeline on Twit. Wonder ifmany of them are already curled up in a ball somewhere, in a corner, sucking their thumbs. or is it too early for the panic to have hit?
Re SCOAMT voting today, somebody posted on Twitter that President Choom votedat exactly 4:20. lol.
Posted by: Theresa 4 Romney/Ryan at October 25, 2012 05:50 PM (FDErx)
hard won't affect polling places during the following week.
****
Power outages...ballots counted by hand...hanging chads
Posted by: Niedermeyer's Dead Horse at October 25, 2012 05:50 PM (piMMO)
Poor Greg lost his butt plug last night and now this?
I fear the poodle is not going to have a very fun evening.
Posted by: Greg's mom at October 25, 2012 05:50 PM (wR+pz)
This is our Rubicon.
Posted by: polynikes at October 25, 2012 05:50 PM (m2CN7)
Breaking! Osama Bin Laden Corpse will be campaigning with Barack
Obama for the next week.
...
Fully expected.
Posted by: What's your dirt doin' in his ditch? at October 25, 2012 05:50 PM (BAnPT)
Should [Romney's 19 point lead with independents] stick, it would be the sharpest tilt among independents in a presidential election since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 landslide win.
Quiet, everybody. Let's just savor the moment ................
Posted by: lucretia dipshitz at October 25, 2012 05:52 PM (VNFBf)
Look at his body language, the dwindling crowds, the pivot to the plan or whatever. Its McCainesque. And to top it all off, the trolls aren't even that good this year. Comeon greg, step it up.
I recognize thier symptoms - trumping up every good poll (we were relying on zogby), putting down every unfavorable poll... hoping that the disaffected Hillary voters would come through and give an unexpected victory. All the while knowing deep down it was over.It didn't happen for McCain, and it isn't gonna happen for the One.
Posted by: JollyRoger at October 25, 2012 05:52 PM (t06LC)
Posted by: Osama at October 25, 2012 05:52 PM (a0nis)
Posted by: Soona at October 25, 2012 05:53 PM (uaRd0)
Posted by: Fred at October 25, 2012 05:41 PM (xWGQr)
Yes, that should be a romney ad.
Posted by: Temper Tantrum at October 25, 2012 05:46 PM (AWmfW)
On Leno TFG says we must have "smart" regulations for those banks seeking profit. Same interview where he admits he does not math.
Posted by: cajun carrot at October 25, 2012 05:53 PM (UZQM8)
Posted by: Tami at October 25, 2012 05:53 PM (X6akg)
no, GD1 was a grind of stupidity, FDR's stupidity killing the economy.
Just like Obama's GD2
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 25, 2012 05:53 PM (QxSug)
And Obama learned nothing from history.
Posted by: Fred at October 25, 2012 05:41 PM (xWGQr)
Yes, that should be a romney ad.
Posted by: Temper Tantrum at October 25, 2012 05:46 PM (AWmfW)
I don't think Karl Marx and Saul Alynski wrote histories of the United states...that may explain it.
Posted by: jeremiah Gosh Darn Amerikkka Ali Muhammad Surpra-izi Amin U'rbu T'hol wright at October 25, 2012 05:54 PM (ovpNn)
I can see some benefits there...
Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 25, 2012 05:54 PM (GEICT)
The only way that works is if all wives have three husbands too. Man, I'd hate to see math be Romney's downfall.
Posted by: JDTAY at October 25, 2012 05:54 PM (a0nis)
Former Joe Biden aide writes angry tell-all
Adding another wild-card to the 2012 campaign’s final days, a former aide to Vice President Joe Biden has written a tell-all Washington memoir in which he lacerates the former Delaware senator as an “egomaniacal autocrat” who was “determined to manage his staff through fear.”
Posted by: Evilpens at October 25, 2012 05:55 PM (ck76k)
Posted by: Soona at October 25, 2012 05:55 PM (uaRd0)
Posted by: Nate Silver at October 25, 2012 05:55 PM (/kBoL)
another4 years of Obama.I don't want to give up on my Country.
...
You need a does of Jerry Doyle -- he'll be on in 4 minutes.
Who else heard that lady (yesterday?) on Rush saying that 'as a fiscal conservative' she voted 2008 vs. McCain/Palin to prove how pure she is, voting for Obama '08. But based on being such a pure fiscal conservative, she's been supporting Romney's '12 campaign all along and will vote vs. Obama this time.
The brainless wonder couldn't have at least thrown her '08 protest against the Republican corruption by voting a write-in candidate or some other little party candidate? And she considered herself '08 so much "smarter" than Sarah Palin.
amazing grace
Posted by: What's your dirt doin' in his ditch? at October 25, 2012 05:56 PM (BAnPT)
The only thing that would screw Romney right now is him saying that
after he becomes president, he'll require all men to have three wives.
Posted by: Soona at October 25, 2012 05:53 PM (uaRd0)
pretty sure the loss of female vote would be offset by the gain in male vote share.
Posted by: jeremiah Gosh Darn Amerikkka Ali Muhammad Surpra-izi Amin U'rbu T'hol wright at October 25, 2012 05:56 PM (ovpNn)
So, we should maybe be at even or R+?
And remember, they use high D+ to hide the I+19.
Posted by: joeindc44 will start talking like biden. like. biden. at October 25, 2012 05:56 PM (QxSug)
Posted by: Hollowpoint at October 25, 2012 05:49 PM (SY2Kh)
LOL... Time to move dude!
Posted by: Reactionary at October 25, 2012 05:57 PM (jfeoD)
Posted by: Nate Silver at October 25, 2012 05:57 PM (/kBoL)
Posted by: What's your dirt doin' in his ditch? at October 25, 2012 05:57 PM (BAnPT)
Posted by: What's your dirt doin' in his ditch? at October 25, 2012 05:58 PM (BAnPT)
Posted by: jeremiah Gosh Darn Amerikkka Ali Muhammad Surpra-izi Amin U'rbu T'hol wright at October 25, 2012 05:56 PM (ovpNn)
Maybe if he said three mistresses - but what sane man would want 3 wives? Madness.
Posted by: Reactionary at October 25, 2012 05:58 PM (jfeoD)
10/20/12 - : Clinton's fault!
Posted by: WalrusRex
Ha! A girl could not ask for a better birthday present!
Posted by: Dianna at October 25, 2012 05:59 PM (DV/Ik)
Posted by: logprof at October 25, 2012 05:59 PM (jKE+Z)
Posted by: Barky at October 25, 2012 06:00 PM (DQHjw)
Holy shit, I just love that story.
Posted by: lucretia borgia at October 25, 2012 06:01 PM (VNFBf)
Posted by: logprof at October 25, 2012 05:59 PM (jKE+Z)
----------------------------------------------
I want the SCOAMT and his regime whimpering like whipped bitchez.
Posted by: Soona at October 25, 2012 06:01 PM (uaRd0)
Posted by: ConcealedKerry or SubMitt at October 25, 2012 06:02 PM (tKXsr)
after he becomes president, he'll require all men to have three wives."
I want to be assigned to Park City Utah so I can work on my skiing. My sister wives can help do all the housework!
Posted by: PJ at October 25, 2012 06:02 PM (DQHjw)
Posted by: steevy at October 25, 2012 06:02 PM (6o4Fb)
Posted by: Nate Silver at October 25, 2012 05:55 PM (/kBoL)
Yes, it's like red wire, green wire, etc. You cut the wrong one and BOOM! These tools don't understand that Nate.
Posted by: A fake Greg, saying exactly what Greg would say at October 25, 2012 06:04 PM (4eNxd)
OHIO: worth noting...that in Defiance, Ohio (home to GM plant), GOP leads early vote by 13%...which is now a larger lead than 2008.
Posted by: JackStraw at October 25, 2012 06:04 PM (TMB3S)
Posted by: Soona at October 25, 2012 06:04 PM (uaRd0)
Posted by: grumpy momma bear at October 25, 2012 06:09 PM (pY/yV)
In a wrestlers jargon : FINISH HIM!
Posted by: ConcealedKerry or SubMitt at October 25, 2012 06:10 PM (tKXsr)
Posted by: rabidfox at October 25, 2012 06:11 PM (bBiK6)
Posted by: What is Best In Life... at October 25, 2012 06:11 PM (GMrPF)
Posted by: Kevin in ABQ at October 25, 2012 06:12 PM (XrGnJ)
229
The only thing that would screw Romney right now is him saying that after he becomes president, he'll require all men to have three wives.
Posted by: Soona at October 25, 2012 05:53 PM (uaRd0)
pretty sure the loss of female vote would be offset by the gain in male vote share.
You're sure you don't have that backwards?
Now if he said three girlfriends, why then you got something.
Posted by: Jay Guevara at October 25, 2012 06:13 PM (U+DUu)
I'd be really afraid with +19 on Indies if I were Obama despite being only three points down.
Posted by: Mo the Girl at October 25, 2012 06:14 PM (CcGEp)
Obama gets 93 % of Rats
Mitt up 19% with independents
Mitts lead is 3%
Math is hard.
Even - Even + 19% = 3% = Presstitute and OBlahBlah math!
Oh forgot the Cheating Factor - 16% = 3%
See math is easy peaszy!
Posted by: ConcealedKerry or SubMitt at October 25, 2012 06:17 PM (tKXsr)
Posted by: MrX at October 25, 2012 06:18 PM (PxmNZ)
Posted by: Paul Zummo at October 25, 2012 06:19 PM (6JU6C)
Going to be a lot of exploding moonbat heads come late Nov 6th
Posted by: Big Star at October 25, 2012 06:23 PM (0upWk)
Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at October 25, 2012 06:24 PM (vouc9)
Nah, the rest of you are wrong.
Posted by: N8 Silver at October 25, 2012 06:26 PM (tAHf5)
Posted by: Paul Zummo at October 25, 2012 06:27 PM (6JU6C)
Posted by: bayway48 at October 25, 2012 06:28 PM (FzYtL)
BTW, check out Drudge regarding Texas kicking UN election watcher's butts if they see them around our polling places trying to inspect. They have been warned!!!! Snarky tools!!!
Posted by: bayway48 at October 25, 2012 06:31 PM (FzYtL)
BTW, what kind of drugs are the guys at TIPP smoking? A LV screen that passes over 90% of the contacts with a plus 7D model can only be construed as nonsensical.
I have long heard the complaint that the guys at RCP are breaking all kinds of statistical rules by averaging polls that have different sample models. They may want to redo things a bit so the reader can enter a DRI model to see what the polls would produce.
Posted by: Tocquevillian at October 25, 2012 06:34 PM (iuY0Y)
Posted by: eureka! at October 25, 2012 06:35 PM (cTjRR)
Posted by: 0bama at October 25, 2012 06:37 PM (N/Oz2)
Virginia: Romney 50, Obama 48; Update: New Fox News poll also shows Romney by two
Posted by: bayway48 at October 25, 2012 06:38 PM (FzYtL)
Posted by: rabidfox at October 25, 2012 06:40 PM (bBiK6)
Posted by: bayway48 at October 25, 2012 06:41 PM (FzYtL)
Posted by: Bill Mitchell at October 25, 2012 06:45 PM (hlUJY)
Posted by: J. Zogby at October 25, 2012 06:57 PM (pmsMR)
I mentioned this coupla days ago, I was a a b-day party and I ran into a 90 year old navy vet. I told him I'd be happy to take him to vote but he said he had several offers already and he COULDN'T wait to vote against TFG! This, in the people's republic of Illinois
Clear Eyes, Full Heart, Can't Lose!
Posted by: TheThinMan at October 25, 2012 07:09 PM (2WENO)
Posted by: Crashpanic at October 25, 2012 07:16 PM (vEcaw)
Posted by: skinnydipinacid at October 25, 2012 07:45 PM (pHtWf)
This is the day we start to take back our country.
Posted by: PJ at October 25, 2012 08:08 PM (DQHjw)
Also, betting on political elections is almost always an extension of who you "want" to win, not about coldly calculating what bet will make you money. Europeans overwhelmingly love the socialist Obama that bows to foreign leaders and is embarrassed of America, so its natural to think that's where more bets are going to be made.
Intrade will probably be accurate the day of the election, but it's mostly worthless for something that people have such strong emotional feelings. Even if I thought Romney was going to lose the election, I couldn't see myself betting against him, and I'm sure the other side of the aisle feels the same way and is just going down with the ship.
Posted by: McAdams at October 25, 2012 08:12 PM (xinSF)
sharpest tilt among independents in a presidential election since
Ronald Reagan’s 1984 landslide win.
Please, God.
Posted by: ChristyBlinky, unbanned, ready to get this done at October 25, 2012 08:51 PM (baL2B)
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John Kerry's Other Vietnam Super-Pets
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Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
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John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
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Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
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Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
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What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
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Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
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