The Meatball Sends: Another Poll Puts PA Within 2 -- Obama 47, Romney 45

From The Meatball, who is now scared to post, as well he should be.

Pulse Opinion Survey, Obama 47 Romney 45.
Smith is really nipping at Casey's heels to- trails him 41-44.
Sleeper Senate race, perhaps.
So in four days:
Sienna O+3
Rasmussen O+5
Susquehanna O+2
P.O.S O+2
Very tempting, especially this late in the game and after it seemed to
have swum away...

The Meatball also sends this quote:

"At the end of the day, polls don't matter." -- campaign director of opinion research (i.e., Head Pollster) David Simas

Politico calls him "campaign director of opinion research," I imagine, to avoid the drama and news value of Obama's chief pollster saying polls don't matter.

Posted by: Ace at 09:25 PM

Comments

1 POS?
You have to be kidding Ace.

If I owned the polling firm Id change that name post haste..not that I mind the results here though...hmmm..POS...might taste...uhhhh

Posted by: deusexmachina at October 10, 2012 09:26 PM (6RTwM)

2 But Intrade has Obama up by 20%!!!!!!

Posted by: In before the troll at October 10, 2012 09:27 PM (Rhie+)

3 Coal, coal, coal. Hammer it home in western Pennsylvania.

Posted by: Paul Revere at October 10, 2012 09:27 PM (nvhqg)

4 We got this bitch

Posted by: ChampionCapua at October 10, 2012 09:27 PM (KZi9D)

5
Go big, Mitt! Play offense!! Go full CAC and landslide this bad boy.

Also,Go Josh Mandel!! If youwant to adopt another state's US Senate candidate as your own to help or to whom to donate, choose him... we need to fire Sherrod Brown.

Posted by: knob (R-OH) at October 10, 2012 09:29 PM (drQJk)

6 ICYMI - I put just put up analysis of the Fox, Zogby, and IBD/Tipp polls on my blog.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 10, 2012 09:30 PM (dX4hn)

7 In Nevada, the poll listed below by CAC has a D+7 spread. This is close to the registration split. That poll shows Romney within 1 of Obama. If the GOP turnout is anything like it was for the primary and NV01 special last year, this would mean a huge Romney & Heller win.

furthermore, in 2010, the Dems were ahead in the amsentee ballot requests. Even though Reid won against An gle (Reid's dream opponent), his son lost to now Gov. Sandoval by double digits, AND the GOP received more votes for assembly caniddates then Dems in DECADES.

*smiles*

Posted by: The Political Hat at October 10, 2012 09:30 PM (sZTYJ)

8 Meatball?

Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 10, 2012 09:30 PM (GEICT)

9 PA doesn't have early voting, correct?

Posted by: Dave S. at October 10, 2012 09:31 PM (UvR6d)

10 CAC stepped on a couple of my posts so now I am treating him like Thunderlips, the Ultimate Male, treated Rocky Balboa, and am calling him The Meatball.

Posted by: ace at October 10, 2012 09:32 PM (LCRYB)

11 Fap.

Posted by: toby928Š goes laconic at October 10, 2012 09:33 PM (QupBk)

12 Abby on Modern Family: "This family needs a dumbass-ectomy."

Posted by: logprof at October 10, 2012 09:34 PM (V/U0X)

13 Dave, what is the link to your blog?

Posted by: Buddy Love at October 10, 2012 09:34 PM (wZ2VZ)

14 When does the preference cascade start? I want to make sure I'm up to see it.

Posted by: Cautiously Optimistic at October 10, 2012 09:34 PM (kUNkf)

15 Suck it, Greg

Posted by: Suck it, Greg at October 10, 2012 09:34 PM (cnS/d)

16 Whose blog is this?? Whose blog?

Posted by: thread bumper cars. To.The. Death at October 10, 2012 09:34 PM (UW6NX)

17 If PA goes red, Chrissy may stroke out on air before the full results are known.

Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD/Whiteboard 2012 at October 10, 2012 09:34 PM (Gk3SS)

18 If you are looking for Senate races to donate to, the best bang for the buck is going to be OH, MA, WI, ND, VA, FL, and MO. Those are the ones we have a chance to win, but are not putting away.

And yes, Akin is in range to win.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 10, 2012 09:34 PM (dX4hn)

19 Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.

Posted by: steevy at October 10, 2012 09:35 PM (6o4Fb)

20 Ace just responded to me? Ace just responded to me!

*swoon*

Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 10, 2012 09:35 PM (GEICT)

21 Ace just responded to me!

On tweetface?

Posted by: toby928Š goes laconic at October 10, 2012 09:36 PM (QupBk)

22 And yes, Akin is in range to win.

I do see more Akin signs around here than I saw just 2 weeks ago.

Then again I am in a fairly red region of the state.

Posted by: chemjeff at October 10, 2012 09:36 PM (cnS/d)

23 CAC stepped on a couple of my posts so now I am treating him like Thunderlips, the Ultimate Male, treated Rocky Balboa, and am calling him The Meatball.

you made the poor kid cry. This is just piling on.

Posted by: fluffy at October 10, 2012 09:37 PM (O6q63)

24 Click on my name to get to my blog.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 10, 2012 09:37 PM (dX4hn)

25 17 If PA goes red, Chrissy may stroke out on air before the full results are known.

Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD/Whiteboard 2012 at October 10, 2012 09:34 PM (Gk3SS)

Promises, promises

Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 10, 2012 09:37 PM (GEICT)

26 No we don't have early voting. My son still waiting for his absentee ballot.

Posted by: BitterClingy&Buried at October 10, 2012 09:37 PM (QQcJv)

27 "13
Dave, what is the link to your blog?"

The link is his user name.

Posted by: ShoNuff at October 10, 2012 09:37 PM (jo0fs)

28 "At the end of the day, polls don't matter." -- campaign director of opinion research (i.e., Head Pollster) David Simas

Ace, if I read that correctly, David Simas says his occupation does not mean shit. Do you ever wonder how far these sycophants will go to protect their boyfriend?

Posted by: tubal at October 10, 2012 09:37 PM (BoE3Z)

29 Go Mitt Go !!!!!!!!!!!!!
Go Paul Go !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted by: grumpy momma bear at October 10, 2012 09:38 PM (hBHhF)

30 Of course polls don't matter, you silly Rethuglicans.

Posted by: Office of Duplicate Ballot Inspections, Undocumented Worker Registration, and Graveyards at October 10, 2012 09:38 PM (TJ/PF)

31 21 Ace just responded to me!

On tweetface?
Posted by: toby928Š goes laconic at October 10, 2012 09:36 PM (QupBk)

No. His explanation on "meatball."

Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 10, 2012 09:38 PM (GEICT)

32 Mitt is ahead because he took advantage of the good-vibrations at the Natatorium, in Cuyahoga Falls last night to a crowd of 11 thousand, same as G.W. did back in '04, and got his freakin' batteries recharged! Roll, baby, roll!!

Posted by: and irresolute at October 10, 2012 09:39 PM (JvklE)

33
When does the preference cascade start? I want to make sure I'm up to see it.

At my signal, unleash hell

Posted by: Maximus Preferencus Cascadius at October 10, 2012 09:39 PM (Gt8ei)

34 And all this time, Beefy Meatball was hoping *HE* was the official AoSHQ meatball. That's gotta be tough to swallow.

Posted by: StPatrick_TN at October 10, 2012 09:40 PM (lJJMb)

35 Okay jackwagons, I'm off to sleep. Don't burn the place down.

Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD/Whiteboard 2012 at October 10, 2012 09:40 PM (Gk3SS)

36 Maybe it's time to remind those in rural PA that all obama thinks they are ignorant bible and gun nuts?

Posted by: Nevergiveup at October 10, 2012 09:40 PM (j1gX1)

37 I think tomorrow's debate will be tough, but I hope Ryan buries Biden under a heap of this administration's lies and puts this damned thing on ice.

Posted by: HtP at October 10, 2012 09:41 PM (jx2j9)

38 35 Okay jackwagons, I'm off to sleep. Don't burn the place down.

At 9:40??? Booooo.

Nite dear leader of Alextopia!

Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 10, 2012 09:41 PM (GEICT)

39 29
Go Mitt Go !!!!!!!!!!!!!

Go Paul Go !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

You got it!

here is something for you

http://tinyurl.com/8tczhwy

Posted by: chemjeff at October 10, 2012 09:41 PM (cnS/d)

40 Since the debate, Romney and Ryan have talked about Libya,the economy, jobs, taxes. ISSUES! Obama has talkedabout Big Bird, Romney's lies, and the debate, with today's claimthat he was just too nice. I'm not surprised- what else canhe talk about - but it just seems so friggin weird.

Posted by: Jim in Virginia at October 10, 2012 09:41 PM (tpi5T)

41 Ibdtipp poll: R 49 O 44 D+9 daily tracker 10/10/12

Posted by: gmannyc at October 10, 2012 09:41 PM (BmRlw)

42 35
Okay jackwagons, I'm off to sleep. Don't burn the place down.

Posted by: alexthechick - SMOD/Whiteboard 2012 at October 10, 2012 09:40 PM (Gk3SS)
Before the ONT? are you kidding? sheesh

Posted by: chemjeff at October 10, 2012 09:42 PM (cnS/d)

43 Awww shit. Ace is rollin' mob deep.

Someone give Marco Rubio's security detail a heads-up.

Posted by: eastvalleyphx is climbing out of the crawlspace at October 10, 2012 09:42 PM (GRvW4)

44 Trying not to invoke the Winston Wolfe rule, but should we take the Senate, I wonder if the looney left (BIRM) will continue their calls to end the filibuster...

Posted by: Burn the Witch at October 10, 2012 09:42 PM (TJ/PF)

45 That's gotta be tough to swallow.

You wanna know what's *really* hard to swallow?

Posted by: gerg in the barrel at October 10, 2012 09:43 PM (cnS/d)

46
18: Virginia. Please. Save us from six years of Tim Kaine.

Posted by: Jim in Virginia at October 10, 2012 09:43 PM (tpi5T)

47 14
When does the preference cascade start? I want to make sure I'm up to see it.

Posted by: Cautiously Optimistic at October 10, 2012 09:34 PM (kUNkf)

I'm feeling like the wave is building, and those of us (active news-gatherers such as the Moron Horde) on the front end can feel it. Here's to hoping it makes a glorious crash. I've donated and signed up to phone bank - any other morons on board? As one of our frequent commenters, I can't recall who, has said, "They're demoralized as hell! Ride right through 'em!". I'm feeling pretty good about things right now.

Posted by: StPatrick_TN at October 10, 2012 09:44 PM (lJJMb)

48 Anyone seen Greggy lately?

Posted by: TheQuietMan at October 10, 2012 09:44 PM (nCoaV)

49
Forget the polls. Show up on November 6. Bring your family and friends to vote Republican. Bring your enemies if they will vote Republican.

And if anyone wants to vote Democrat, slice their fucking valve stems, and offer to bring them an hour before the polls close; and accidentally get lost with them in the car about two counties away.

If we turn out, we will win.

Posted by: rd does not believe the MSM at October 10, 2012 09:44 PM (zLp5I)

50 Let's put it this way--if PA is a tossup, this thing is not even close.

Reminder: When Mitt hits 270 on election night, I streak the neighborhood.

Shall I go clockwise or counterclockwise?

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at October 10, 2012 09:44 PM (MrO9M)

51 Hey y'all, don't get cocky. Remember , those educated white wymen in SE PA think the same way I do. Hell, I am from Lancaster.

Posted by: Pooter Hound at October 10, 2012 09:45 PM (ufLRj)

52 Psssh, eff those clingers, I got this.

Posted by: Obamfidence at October 10, 2012 09:45 PM (60GaT)

53 Anyone seen Greggy lately?

He's waxing Chief Justice Kloppenfruiter's car.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at October 10, 2012 09:45 PM (MrO9M)

54 O/T ... I am this close ... (*uses gesture that everyone recognizes as a slur against Joe Biden's penis size*) ... to watching the last of the Amazon Prime freebies of season 4 of Fringe, and I may have to slit my damn wrists! (*plugs ears with fingers to avoid hearing themob belowyell "Jump! Jump!"*)

Posted by: and irresolute at October 10, 2012 09:45 PM (JvklE)

55 Shall I go clockwise or counterclockwise?

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at October 10, 2012 09:44 PM (MrO9M)

Both. It's the only way to be sure.

Posted by: StPatrick_TN at October 10, 2012 09:46 PM (lJJMb)

56 My first instinct is that PA is a tease just from past experiences. Philly is a lot to overcome. But they delivered in 2010. Despite being off year, that's not nothing.

We stick with Ohio of course, but at some point you reach diminshed returns with time and money there, and you start to cast a wider net.

My theory has been that Obama has been a more urban focused President than we have seen in a long time, both in action and words. Our biggest opportunity in swing states would be peeling off the old school union type dems that rightfully feel betrayed by their union bosses. I look at states that don't have huge urban centers as our best shot. The urban machines will still be there. The union machines are very much diminished.

I still think I like our chances in IA, WI, CO, and maybe NH and NV better than in PA, despite the recent polling. Maybe thats just because we always seem to give PA an honest shot and Lucy has always pulled the football.

Posted by: Dave S. at October 10, 2012 09:46 PM (UvR6d)

57 here in Montgomery County PA, lots of Romney signs popping up (4 on my block alone) and very few for Obama. PA is definitely winnable for Romney.

Posted by: tofer732 at October 10, 2012 09:46 PM (m5Iwq)

58 Greg showed up on the Fox News thread. He was surprisingly subdued. Looks like Axelrod gave new instructions to the trolls.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 10, 2012 09:46 PM (dX4hn)

59 10
CAC stepped on a couple of my posts so now I am treating him like
Thunderlips, the Ultimate Male, treated Rocky Balboa, and am calling him
The Meatball.

Posted by: ace at October 10, 2012 09:32 PM

I swear eternal loyalty to Ace

Posted by: General Zod at October 10, 2012 09:46 PM (wwsoB)

60 So what you are saying, basically, is that PA is this -->||<-- close to reinstituting slavery and boiling children just to watch them scream.

All because they bitterly cling to their guns and religion.

Posted by: GnuBreed at October 10, 2012 09:47 PM (ccXZP)

61 Hope Ryan mentions Joe Bidens remark about the coal industry during the last campaign so PA voters remember it. I cannot remember it exactly but it was when he was shaking hands in a line somewhere.

Posted by: osu at October 10, 2012 09:47 PM (xR46S)

62 Goddamit!! I don't know what the hell this 'Meatball' crap is.

Are we talking dumb fuck GerG here???

Pole Master on the Planet Balloon Knot Seti Ow My Balls.

Meatball?? WTF...I see no links...I see no sauce....

I read this blog at least 2 or 7 times a day and I want to know just what the hell is MeatBall???

CAC???

Posted by: Portnoy at October 10, 2012 09:47 PM (A5Abh)

63 Amen to saving us from six years of Kaine. The man reinvents himself around the election, and the voters fall for it.

Posted by: Jinx the Cat at October 10, 2012 09:47 PM (l3vZN)

64 Ace run Barter Town

Posted by: Master Blaster at October 10, 2012 09:48 PM (QTHTd)

65 10
CAC stepped on a couple of my posts so now I am treating him like
Thunderlips, the Ultimate Male, treated Rocky Balboa, and am calling him
The Meatball.

Posted by: ace at October 10, 2012 09:32 PM

Let's get ready to rrruummmmmmmblllllle !!

Posted by: Michael Buffer at October 10, 2012 09:48 PM (wwsoB)

66 I want it to feel like the 2010 mid terms where the only question was how big we would win.

Posted by: steevy at October 10, 2012 09:48 PM (6o4Fb)

67 The more I read about this Benghazi attack the madder I get. God rest those poor souls. I can only imagine what a horrible death Stevens must havemet. I hope Hillary and the rest burn in eternal hell.

Posted by: jewells45 says Romney wins in a landslide at October 10, 2012 09:48 PM (UljOc)

68 Why couldn't Bob Dole get polls like this? Bob Dole sad.

Posted by: Bob Dole at October 10, 2012 09:48 PM (60GaT)

69
21 Ace just responded to me!

On tweetface?
Posted by: toby928Š goes laconic at October 10, 2012 09:36 PM (QupBk)

No. His explanation on "meatball.">><<<<__

I'm screencapping this to show the cops when they pull Ace out of a pit dug in your basement.

Posted by: Empire of Jeff at October 10, 2012 09:48 PM (JDIKC)

70 Well, this Simas guy is correct that at the end of the day polls don't matter, but it's worth noting that the side that says that is usually the side that is losing and knows it.

Posted by: Ghost of Lee Atwater at October 10, 2012 09:48 PM (USBnw)

71 It's close range now. Gunners go direct fire. Load fleschette rounds. Fire first round on my command then fire at will.
Slice em and dice em.

Posted by: teej says go K-State at October 10, 2012 09:49 PM (6Zy+s)

72 I thought Pennsylvania made TV sets.

Posted by: eman at October 10, 2012 09:49 PM (+XD7n)

73 If you are looking for Senate races to donate to, the best bang for the buck is going to be OH, MA, WI, ND, VA, FL, and MO. Those are the ones we have a chance to win, but are not putting away.

And yes, Akin is in range to win.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 10, 2012 09:34 PM (dX4hn)

Please also consider Nevada. The polls are tight here and not only does Sen. Heller have to defend against Harry Reid's political machine, but against the state and Las Vegas local GOP committees that are run by Ron Paul cultists who have openly called for the defeat of Republicans.

https://secure.deanheller.com/donate/

Posted by: The Political Hat at October 10, 2012 09:49 PM (sZTYJ)

74 The fundamentals of the race are still strong.

Posted by: Obamacain at October 10, 2012 09:49 PM (60GaT)

75 So what you are saying, basically, is that PA is this -->||<--
close to reinstituting slavery and boiling children just to watch them
scream.

Also banning tampons.

No, seriously among the leftards this is apparently a thing.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at October 10, 2012 09:50 PM (MrO9M)

76 Murtha called his constituents idiots and they re elected him,so PA is ...strange.

Posted by: steevy at October 10, 2012 09:50 PM (6o4Fb)

77 Has the stupid stopped for the evening? I cant take much more of this thread hijacking.

Heh. Jacking.

O's up 2-1, bottom 7.

Heh, bottom.

Posted by: DC in Towson at October 10, 2012 09:50 PM (CJwi5)

78 "At the end of the day, polls don't matter." -- campaign director of opinion research (i.e., Head Pollster) David Simas

We have a sneak preview of Greg's new talking points

Posted by: kbdabear at October 10, 2012 09:50 PM (wwsoB)

79 46 - Allen needs to kick it in gear. Kaine is pulling away, because he threw Obama under the bus.

Both Allen and Mack have winnable races, but they are heading in the wrong direction.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 10, 2012 09:50 PM (dX4hn)

80
This could all go away in 48 hours.

I've watched the debate five times. Love it. Love the polls. The next prez debate is Foreign Policy, which means Benghazi and Obama on the ropes.

But stuff happens. Stuff not on the radar right now. The voters have shown they have little loyalty or devotion to principle of governance. They seem to be running to whichever side had Big Day. I'm still on a post debate buzz, but I won't forget that these same poll respondents had us downmost of time.

Posted by: CJ at October 10, 2012 09:51 PM (9G+G5)

81 I'm screencapping this to show the cops when they pull Ace out of a pit dug in your basement.

No basements in Florida.

What? No, ignore what those gators are chewing on. All these empty ham packages? No idea where they came from.

Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 10, 2012 09:51 PM (GEICT)

82 67 I imagine he was stone cold dead by the time the iPicture thingies came out of the pockets of the poor underpriviliged "demonstrators" and they began taking pictures. Remember,our guys were taking RPG and mortar. Very low probability of being aware.

Posted by: and irresolute at October 10, 2012 09:51 PM (JvklE)

83 Dave in Fla is doing some great work. Go read his stuff - especially the Senate projection, then donate your time or money to get the good(er) guys to 51.

Posted by: StPatrick_TN at October 10, 2012 09:52 PM (lJJMb)

84 If you are looking for Senate races to donate to, the best bang for the buck is going to be OH, MA, WI, ND, VA, FL, and MO. Those are the ones we have a chance to win, but are not putting away.
---------

I would add Montana to this list.

Posted by: Rich at October 10, 2012 09:52 PM (pnHKr)

85 I'm screencapping this to show the cops when they pull Ace out of a pit that he dug in your basement.

FTFY, EOJ.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at October 10, 2012 09:52 PM (MrO9M)

86
78 "At the end of the day, polls don't matter." -- campaign director of opinion research (i.e., Head Pollster) David Simas<<<<<<

They matter at the end of the day on November 7, so make sure you vote, leftards!

Posted by: Empire of Jeff at October 10, 2012 09:52 PM (JDIKC)

87 To all the 1%ers, it is time to GO GALT

Posted by: Librul caricature of Paul Ryan at the debate at October 10, 2012 09:52 PM (60GaT)

88 And all this time, Beefy Meatball was hoping *HE* was the official AoSHQ meatball. That's gotta be tough to swallow.

Posted by: StPatrick_TN at October 10, 2012 09:40 PM (lJJMb)

A little bit of practice, you'll become a pro like me!

Posted by: Sandra Fluke, ♪ "When the Swallower comes baaack to Capistrano!" ♬ at October 10, 2012 09:52 PM (sZTYJ)

89 I'm screencapping this to show the cops when they pull Ace out of a pit dug in your basement.>>

If he uses the hose enough at least Ace's dry skin problem will be solved.

Posted by: Buffalo Bill at October 10, 2012 09:52 PM (GeJs5)

90 64
Ace run Barter Town

Lift embargo

Posted by: ShoNuff at October 10, 2012 09:52 PM (jo0fs)

91 Isn't 'Meatball' the Secret Service name for Michelle?

Posted by: Craig Poe at October 10, 2012 09:52 PM (BVkEs)

92
50Let's put it this way--if PA is a tossup, this thing is not even close.
Reminder: When Mitt hits 270 on election night, I streak the neighborhood.
Shall I go clockwise or counterclockwise?
If you're right-handed, go counter-clockwise. If you're left-handed, go clockwise. If you're still master of your domain just stand there and scream.

Posted by: Cautiously Optimistic at October 10, 2012 09:52 PM (kUNkf)

93 The DiF take on IBD - "If this poll is correct, Romney will win California."

Excuse me, but I seem to have just ripped off my penis.

When I get out of the hospital I'm going to have to volunteer to drive some old Republicans to the polls.

Posted by: JEM at October 10, 2012 09:52 PM (o+SC1)

94 I'ma letcha finnish, but it ain't ovah 'till the fat-ass lady zings.

Posted by: Kanye Simass at October 10, 2012 09:52 PM (0It32)

95 93 let's not get carried away here

Posted by: JParker at October 10, 2012 09:53 PM (60GaT)

96 If Mitt wins and wins big, who wants to bet that Ed Schultz predicts that Mitt is going to be indicted in two days according to his "sources"

Posted by: kbdabear at October 10, 2012 09:53 PM (wwsoB)

97
CaC- Meatball- No Talent Ass Clown- call him what you will Ace....

The Polls Must Roll!

Posted by: Robert A. Heinlein at October 10, 2012 09:53 PM (HZCkA)

98 @91 - "Le Boeuf"

Posted by: JEM at October 10, 2012 09:53 PM (o+SC1)

99 Reminder: When Mitt hits 270 on election night, I streak the neighborhood.

Shall I go clockwise or counterclockwise?

Posted by: Circa

- I'm hitting the rooftop - the best view of a thousand million liberal tears and temper-tantrums...

Posted by: DaveinMinnesota at October 10, 2012 09:53 PM (nOLbs)

100 Pennsylvania voter distribution:

Republican
Democrat
Independent
Dead, but voting Democrat
Mexican, but voting Democrat
Rigellian, but voting Democrat

Mitt say bring it bitches.

Posted by: eman at October 10, 2012 09:54 PM (+XD7n)

101 Sorry, Nevada is not as important as the others. Heller is holding a strong lead in all recent polls.

Those others I mention are ones where if money isn't spent, we will lose.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 10, 2012 09:54 PM (dX4hn)

102 Shall I go clockwise or counterclockwise?

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at October 10, 2012 09:44 PM (MrO9M)

Start clockwise and just for good measure do it again counter clockwise.

Posted by: Tami at October 10, 2012 09:55 PM (X6akg)

103 So ace is miffed that he got CAC blocked?

Posted by: Lorien1973 at October 10, 2012 09:55 PM (mcWHD)

104 96 ... Sources close to ABC News report that Romney is likely to be indicted within two days!!

Posted by: and irresolute at October 10, 2012 09:55 PM (JvklE)

105 Also banning tampons.

No, seriously among the leftards this is apparently a thing.

Posted by: Circa (Insert Year Here) at October 10, 2012 09:50 PM (MrO9M)

What the hell? What are the wimminzes gonna use when they bleed unnaturally for a week every month?
I'm scared, Daddy.

Posted by: eastvalleyphx is climbing out of the crawlspace at October 10, 2012 09:55 PM (GRvW4)

106 14
When does the preference cascade start? I want to make sure I'm up to see it.

Posted by: Cautiously Optimistic at October 10, 2012 09:34 PM (kUNkf)

Tomorrow, Oct 16, or Nov 6.

Posted by: schizoid at October 10, 2012 09:55 PM (54QU8)

107 Uh oh. Ace is waxing poetic on the wonders of MaxiPads on twitter.

As an aside, here's some assigned reading on the tactics of Slow Joe as seen in a confirmation hearing:

http://spectator.org/archives/2012/10/10/old-smirkin-joe/

We are talking Dingy Reid levels of malevolence from this shitbird.

Posted by: GnuBreed at October 10, 2012 09:55 PM (ccXZP)

108 I read this blog at least 2 or 7 times a day and I want to know just what the hell is MeatBall???

CAC???

Posted by: Portnoy at October 10, 2012 09:47 PM (A5Abh)

Top to bottom, dude. Only Breitbart had "only the comments" priveleges.

Posted by: StPatrick_TN at October 10, 2012 09:56 PM (lJJMb)

109 Heh, I wonder if this Modern Family episode was shot before Sofia Vergara had her wardrobe malfunction?

Posted by: logprof at October 10, 2012 09:56 PM (V/U0X)

110 Shall I go clockwise or counterclockwise?

It depends where the neighborhood dog lives.

Posted by: t-bird at October 10, 2012 09:56 PM (FcR7P)

111 93
The DiF take on IBD - "If this poll is correct, Romney will win California."

Posted by: JEM at October 10, 2012 09:52 PM

Romney won't take Klowniforia, that one TFG can rest easy with. The crazy and stupid is incurable and terminal with them.

Angry motorists still won't blame state regulations for their current mess, they think more regulation or even nationalization of oil companies will fix things

Posted by: kbdabear at October 10, 2012 09:57 PM (wwsoB)

112 @100

Don't forget the Gelgamek Catholic vote.

Posted by: Gran at October 10, 2012 09:58 PM (CPX+P)

113 103 So ace is miffed that he got CAC blocked?
Posted by: Lorien1973 at October 10, 2012 09:55 PM (mcWHD)

_____________

Well CAC's maps--they're just BIGGER.

Posted by: tasker at October 10, 2012 09:58 PM (r2PLg)

114 "Sofia Vergara had her wardrobe malfunction?"

*Boing!*

What's that you say?

Posted by: eman at October 10, 2012 09:58 PM (+XD7n)

115 104
96 ... Sources close to ABC News report that Romney is likely to be indicted within two days!!

--

For the high crime and misdemeanor of double-dipping a chip in 1965.

Posted by: Craig Poe at October 10, 2012 09:58 PM (BVkEs)

116 "I would add Montana to this list."

Look I get that everyone wants to put their favorite race into the list. But the truth is that Nevada and Montana are not problems. Heller and Rehberg are both holding good leads in all the polling.

If they start to slip, then things change. But the ones I list (other than OH and MA) are races WE ARE LOSING and WE CAN WIN.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 10, 2012 09:59 PM (dX4hn)

117 40 states

Posted by: Truman North at October 10, 2012 09:59 PM (I2LwF)

118 A satire site did an article that the House was going to ban tampons, because they were foreign objects in Places Conservatives Don't Like To Think About. This was then passed around as fact by other sites, trollin'. The third generation passed it around the email circuit because they actually believe that line of poo. The fourth generation is the daughter you're all paying to send to college, getting the email and voting accordingly.

Posted by: boulder hobo at October 10, 2012 09:59 PM (QTHTd)

119 And this is how internet memes become President

Posted by: boulder hobo at October 10, 2012 10:00 PM (QTHTd)

120 @105 - The Honey Boo Boos at work again.

We have the educational system wished upon us by a hundred years of progressive policies and what we get is - Honey Boo Boo and people who think the GOP's gonna ban tampons.

Posted by: JEM at October 10, 2012 10:00 PM (o+SC1)

121 Scott brown will be fine.

Posted by: Truman North at October 10, 2012 10:00 PM (I2LwF)

122 CAC should take Meatball
as a term of endearment.

Posted by: sTevo's Obama Phone at October 10, 2012 10:00 PM (hiMsy)

123 Sorry, Nevada is not as important as the others. Heller is holding a strong lead in all recent polls.

Those others I mention are ones where if money isn't spent, we will lose.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 10, 2012 09:54 PM (dX4hn)

Most of the polls have been withing MOE, and, as I've stated before, the state and Vega area offical GOP central committees are run by people who want to see Heller AND Romney go down in flames.

If a preference cascade builds, it is of PRIME importance to shore up the Mountain West which is adding more and more population.

This is a region that we can't afford to loose to the Progressive loonies that have destroyed California.

Posted by: The Political Hat at October 10, 2012 10:01 PM (sZTYJ)

124 kdbabear - It was a joke. Although I'm not sure Romney doesn't win California if he wins by 14.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 10, 2012 10:01 PM (dX4hn)

125 In Ewok "Meatball" means "fur cleaner".

Posted by: eman at October 10, 2012 10:02 PM (+XD7n)

126 @111 - yeah, I'm unfortunately a little too confident you're right.

There's a street a few blocks from my daughter's school where virtually every house has an Obama sign. I figure it's a Section 8 shithole. I've got a couple pics, if the JEF gets stomped I'll post one as 'Street Without Joy'.

Posted by: JEM at October 10, 2012 10:03 PM (o+SC1)

127 I just called my wife's ass her "back melons"... she likes it when I objectify her.

Posted by: Truman North at October 10, 2012 10:04 PM (I2LwF)

128 @123 - because some of us eventually need a place to escape to.

And we promise not to ruin THAT one.

Posted by: JEM at October 10, 2012 10:05 PM (o+SC1)

129 If the GOP in Nevada wants to see Heller and Romney lose, explain why we want to invest money there rather than in a state where the GOP wants to win?

Heller is leading. Allen, and the others aren't.

Sorry, I just don't get it.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 10, 2012 10:05 PM (dX4hn)

130 Romney won't win CA, but take it from a guy in the deepest of deep blue areas here- Obama has zero enthusiasm going for him here so that could be a "tell" for less insane states.

Posted by: jjshaka at October 10, 2012 10:05 PM (xEGCA)

131 If a preference cascade builds, it is of PRIME
importance to shore up the Mountain West which is adding more and more
population.

This is a region that we can't afford to loose to the Progressive loonies that have destroyed California.

Posted by: The Political Hat at October 10, 2012 10:01 PM (sZTYJ)

This seems like a valid point. Not only for 2012 election purposes, but because the state governments will be finding themselves embarrassed with riches as the oil and gas discoveries continue. Conservative state-level pols will have some influence on how that money is spent at the state level.

Posted by: StPatrick_TN at October 10, 2012 10:06 PM (lJJMb)

132 If the GOP in Nevada wants to see Heller and Romney lose, explain why we want to invest money there rather than in a state where the GOP wants to win?

Heller is leading. Allen, and the others aren't.

Sorry, I just don't get it.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 10, 2012 10:05 PM (dX4hn)

No, no, no.

Romney and most local Republicans are pulling for Romney and Heller.

The state GOP contral committee and the Clark County central committe (home of 70% of states population and Las Vegas) is controlled by people who LITERALLY want to see the GOP get defeated:

http://www.unlvcr.org/resign/

Posted by: The Political Hat at October 10, 2012 10:08 PM (sZTYJ)

133 127
I just called my wife's ass her "back melons"... she likes it when I objectify her.

Posted by: Truman North at October 10, 2012 10:04 PM (I2LwF)

I can't remember who, maybe Twain thought I doubt it, referred to a nice rear as looking like "two cats fighting in a burlap sack".

Posted by: StPatrick_TN at October 10, 2012 10:08 PM (lJJMb)

134 127 I just called my wife's ass her "back melons"... she likes it when I objectify her.

Help the Horde out Truman...

Posted by: BCochran1981 at October 10, 2012 10:09 PM (GEICT)

135 "But stuff happens. Stuff not on the radar right now. The voters have
shown they have little loyalty or devotion to principle of governance.
They seem to be running to whichever side had Big Day. I'm still on a
post debate buzz, but I won't forget that these same poll respondents
had us downmost of time."

Rush was talking about this today, and I think he has a good take on it. He doesn't believe think people are really this volatile. He thinks these opinions have been set in place for a long time, and it is only now showing up in the polling. Most people don't whipsaw their opinions like this.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 10, 2012 10:10 PM (dX4hn)

136
Thanks for clarifying the meatball reference.
I saw the Hulk on Pier's last night after Stacey. They both said they were voting for Romney.

Posted by: concrete girl at October 10, 2012 10:14 PM (y2Ojs)

137
The Polls Must Roll!
Posted by: Robert A. Heinlein

I was gonna call a foul here; lack of the 'zombie' clarification. But in this case, it may very well be time travel.

Posted by: Blue Hen at October 10, 2012 10:16 PM (UW6NX)

138

Posted by: Blue Hen at October 10, 2012 10:16 PM (UW6NX)

139 What's the next layer beyond the ones Dave listed?

Because.... feeling mighty stoked. The 'unlikely folk' have the candidate's mom and three stalkers as the entire organization. Are there any of those guys we can reasonably drag over the freaking line if the feeling I have is the slightest bit real?

Posted by: Al at October 10, 2012 10:18 PM (MzQOZ)

140 Political Hat - We had a similar problem with the RPOF here. They were all Crist loyalists and did not try to get Republicans elected, unless they were cronies. We had to take control of the local committees and conduct a coup.

Nevada GOP is going to have to clean house, and that will have to come from grassroots in the state. It can't be forced from the outside, or the RNC.

It is worth the pain though. That is why we have Allen West and Marco Rubio now.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 10, 2012 10:18 PM (dX4hn)

141
Rush was talking about this today, and I think he has a good take on it. He doesn't believe think people are really this volatile. He thinks these opinions have been set in place for a long time, and it is only now showing up in the polling. Most people don't whipsaw their opinions like this.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 10, 2012 10:10 PM (dX4hn)

I can understand this thinking...that the debate gave people a reason to express what they've been thinking all along, and hiding from the pollsters. Could be. But aside from how the electorate actually is thinking privately, these polls could revert back to pre-debate with just a few negative news cycles. We just have to be ready for it.

Posted by: CJ at October 10, 2012 10:20 PM (9G+G5)

142 I just called my wife's ass her "back melons"... she likes it when I objectify her.

Posted by: Truman North at October 10, 2012 10:04 PM (I2LwF)
---------------------------------------------------------
I call my wife's backside her turd cutter. She LOVES it!

Posted by: Truck Monkey at October 10, 2012 10:22 PM (jucos)

143 Well the next line would be people who are leading, but not by that much. NV, MT, and IN are good choices.

If you want to donate to tough races that we probably will lose, regardless, then CT and PA.

If you want to really throw your money away, NM, MI, ME, and HI.

Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 10, 2012 10:23 PM (dX4hn)

144
If you are looking for Senate races to donate to, the best bang for the
buck is going to be OH, MA, WI, ND, VA, FL, and MO. Those are the ones
we have a chance to win, but are not putting away.
And yes, Akin is in range to win. Posted by: Dave in Fla at October 10, 2012 09:34 PM (dX4hn)

Thanks, Dave, I was possessing my soul in patience until tomorrow.

Regards,
S. in Tulsa

Posted by: Will Never Vote For a dhimmocrat at October 10, 2012 10:26 PM (kXoT0)

145 7
In Nevada, the poll listed below by CAC has a D+7 spread. This is close
to the registration split. That poll shows Romney within 1 of Obama.
If the GOP turnout is anything like it was for the primary and NV01
special last year, this would mean a huge Romney Heller win.

furthermore, in 2010, the Dems were ahead in the amsentee ballot
requests. Even though Reid won against An gle (Reid's dream opponent),
his son lost to now Gov. Sandoval by double digits, AND the GOP received
more votes for assembly caniddates then Dems in DECADES.

*smiles*

Posted by: The Political Hat at October 10, 2012 09:30 PM (sZTYJ)

Reid stole it. I hate him with the strength of a thousand suns!

Posted by: Amy Shulkusky at October 10, 2012 10:26 PM (uMfFZ)

146 @100
PA:
Republican
Democrat
Independent
Dead, but voting Democrat
Mexican, but voting Democrat
Rigellian, but voting Democrat
-----
Jersey resident but voting Democrat

Posted by: votermom at October 10, 2012 10:28 PM (8mgGI)

147 He doesn't believe think people are really this volatile. He thinks
these opinions have been set in place for a long time, and it is only
now showing up in the polling. Most people don't whipsaw their opinions
like this.

There have been studies on this. People just don't switch parties very often. And they mostly don't waffle back-and-forth over candidates either. The shifts are (a) response rates, (b) -who- is responding, (c) -one- shift per cycle per person, (d) enthusiasm, (e) "undecideds" actually making up their mind ... instead of just -saying- they've made up their mind.

They will vote for people that don't "match their party".

For the 'party ID shift', the average is -less- than one per lifetime. (D -> I -> R is "one", D I R -and-back- would be two.) Plenty of 'low information voters' spend just stick with "I" as party ID though and switch who they're voting for.

That is: effective party ID switches more often than declared party ID. Weird as that seems.

Posted by: Al at October 10, 2012 10:30 PM (MzQOZ)

148 Lol. More rigged Repug polls. Lol. I tell you, Obama will take Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming. Lol. Watch.

Posted by: Gerg with a tampon jammed up my ass at October 10, 2012 10:43 PM (yJYwC)

149 Romney has run ZERO ads in Allegheny County.

Posted by: SOYLENT GREEN at October 11, 2012 08:37 AM (cvLaN)

150 Someday America will elect Big Bird to be President and when that happens I'm leaving. . .

Posted by: Davidlind at October 11, 2012 10:21 AM (J9mCu)

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