Gallup: Romney Back In Lead, By One

Statistically insignificant, but you knew that.

But at least that six/seven point lead has evaporated.

This seems like a swingy poll to me. I can't imagine any actual motivating factors that might have pushed Obama into a seven point lead a week ago, or then taken that lead away this week.

I keep saying I'll ignore the polls. I guess I'm lying.

But I guess the take-away here is that seven point swings back and forth aren't any big deal in Gallup's polling.

Posted by: Ace at 01:21 PM



Comments

1 Obama is a... well, you know.

Posted by: Pipe Holder at April 30, 2012 01:22 PM (VTeUD)

2 wake me up after labor day

Posted by: Nevergiveup at April 30, 2012 01:23 PM (i6RpT)

3 SUCK IT, AVERAGE JOE!

Posted by: weft cut-loop at April 30, 2012 01:24 PM (ebPtk)

4 SCOAMF = JEF
JEF = SCOAMF
It's mathematically proven.

Posted by: Jimmuy at April 30, 2012 01:24 PM (kSaUf)

5 Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable tyrant.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) SMOD 2012 at April 30, 2012 01:25 PM (8y9MW)

6 >>I can't imagine any actual motivating factors that might have pushed
Obama into a seven point lead a week ago, or then taken that lead away
this week.

Jon Lovitz has joined the preference cascade...

Posted by: HeatherRadish™ at April 30, 2012 01:25 PM (ZKzrr)

7 Gallup's polls have always been prone to wild swings, especially this time in the season. I think they are trying out different sampling methodologies preparing for the big show when it all counts.

Posted by: Bill Mitchell at April 30, 2012 01:25 PM (hlUJY)

8 But doesn't the fact that this includes the weekend make it even better for Romney since Dems usually get the weekend bounce?

Posted by: Lichine at April 30, 2012 01:25 PM (0VSVJ)

9 Obama's two biggest voting blocks - the African-American vote and that 5% of the voting populas that really, really enjoys eating dog.

Posted by: Mallamutt, RINO President for Life at April 30, 2012 01:25 PM (OWjjx)

10 Nobody is focused on anything but baseball and lawn care right now. Start taking polls seriously in August.

Posted by: joncelli, too stressed by half at April 30, 2012 01:26 PM (RD7QR)

11 People are starting to feel that it is socially acceptable to say they won't vote for Obama. Turns out he wasn't the one they were waiting for after all.

Posted by: mama winger at April 30, 2012 01:27 PM (P6QsQ)

12 Nobody is focused on anything but baseball and lawn care right now. Start taking polls seriously in August

ARE YOU KIDDING.....ITS THE NBA PLAYOFFS!

Granted, it will take about 8 months to complete it, but that is o.k., cause that is 8 months that I get to lick LaBron's nutsack on a daily basis...........

Posted by: Micheal Wilbon, the Least Interesting Person in the World at April 30, 2012 01:28 PM (OWjjx)

13 10 Tactical polling is very important now. People on the fence like to align with the winner. If you make it look like Obama is polling better than he really is, it tips enough leaners to legitimize a lead. This is 2012, the days where pollsters only try to gauge TRUE voter intent are long over.

Posted by: Chris R, red in NY-9 at April 30, 2012 01:28 PM (NFcOS)

14 Of course the critical voting segment of dog owners hasn't been polled.

Posted by: The Robot Devil at April 30, 2012 01:28 PM (136wp)

15 12 Basketball sucks. Hockey sucks. Except for the recent NFL draft, the only other current worthwhile sporting event is MLB.

How 'bout them Angels?

Posted by: Chris R, red in NY-9 at April 30, 2012 01:29 PM (NFcOS)

16 14
Of course the critical voting segment of dog owners hasn't been polled.

Posted by: The Robot Devil at April 30, 2012 01:28 PM (136wp)

And don't even bother polling us.

Posted by: joncelli's spastic terriers at April 30, 2012 01:30 PM (RD7QR)

17 ARE YOU KIDDING.....ITS THE NBA PLAYOFFS!

What does it take to make the NBA playoffs, .500 record and two Wheaties box tops?

Posted by: Thurston Howell III at April 30, 2012 01:30 PM (mFxQX)

18 How 'bout them Angels?

Those would be the AL West losing Angels? Heh.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) SMOD 2012 at April 30, 2012 01:30 PM (8y9MW)

19 Jon Lovitz has joined the preference cascade...

*****

Stephen King has addressed the Lovitz issue although on the other side. Just in case you weren't certain whether King was still bug-eyed and batshit crazy. Plus, notice his use of language and vocabulary. It must be contemporary cool lexicon.

http://preview.tinyurl.com/brgppzc

Posted by: WalrusRex at April 30, 2012 01:32 PM (Hx5uv)

20 comments on the new thread are broken?

Posted by: phoenixgirl at April 30, 2012 01:33 PM (Ho2rs)

21 I think Obama should make a video with those dogs in the video that barked out "Jingle Bells". To show he's down with the Canis lupus familiaris. Maybe he could do a slow jam to "How Much Is That Doggie in the Window?"

Posted by: The Robot Devil at April 30, 2012 01:33 PM (136wp)

22 Losers at the end of April win big

Me so happy, me want to cry!

Posted by: Bizarro Greg at April 30, 2012 01:34 PM (Y+DPZ)

23
Posted by: phoenixgirl at April 30, 2012 01:33 PM (Ho2rs)
Just noticed your hash

Posted by: Thurston Howell III at April 30, 2012 01:35 PM (mFxQX)

24 Posted by: WalrusRex at April 30, 2012 01:32 PM (Hx5uv)

Shorter Stephen King: "The coercive power of Government should be used to enslave the Rich, because I'm too cheap to back up my words with action."

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) SMOD 2012 at April 30, 2012 01:35 PM (8y9MW)

25 Uh, CAC stomped ace's post but won't allow comments? Isn't that a bit anal retentive?

Posted by: joncelli's spastic terriers at April 30, 2012 01:35 PM (RD7QR)

26 comments on the new thread are broken?

Ace's revenge.

Posted by: t-bird at April 30, 2012 01:36 PM (FcR7P)

27 Mr King can pay higher taxes anytime he wants;

1040 Form

Enter Income
Exemptions enter 1 for yourself
Enter Taxes

Enter Amount of Taxes you owe

Was that so hard, Steve?

Posted by: Bizarro Greg at April 30, 2012 01:36 PM (Y+DPZ)

28 That 6-7 point swing is statistically significant, though. It means Gallup is junk.

It's not that they're biased, it's that they're sloppy.

Posted by: AmishDude at April 30, 2012 01:36 PM (T0NGe)

29 Stephen King claims FL as his primary residence

Florida has no state income tax

I'm sure he just likes the warm winter on Casey Key

Posted by: kbdabear at April 30, 2012 01:37 PM (Y+DPZ)

30 CAC broke the blog again, Ace.

Posted by: tcn at April 30, 2012 01:37 PM (WhSRj)

31 Had contact with some diehard Democrats in Delaware Montgomery Counties (PA) this weekend at a wedding shower after party. They are not voting in November. Independents voting against Teh Once.

Posted by: jeannebodine at April 30, 2012 01:38 PM (byR8d)

32 Ignore the polls.

Posted by: Y-not at April 30, 2012 01:39 PM (5H6zj)

33 30
CAC broke the blog again, Ace.


Posted by: tcn at April 30, 2012 01:37 PM

Tattle Tale !!!!

Posted by: Moron Kidz at April 30, 2012 01:39 PM (Y+DPZ)

34 My brilliant and stinging rebuke of CAC lost... like <cough> tears ... in the rain.

Time .. to do some work.

Posted by: weft cut-loop at April 30, 2012 01:39 PM (ebPtk)

35
It's all been fun and games up to now.

Tomorrow, when the Dem-backed, union-backed and anarchist-backed demonstrations begin to kick off OWS Summer, we'll see how poorly Barky and crew understand our tolerance for their pernicious crapping on this country.

Posted by: Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars at April 30, 2012 01:40 PM (Wqfrr)

36 You look at the blog wrong and it breaks.

Posted by: Dr Spank at April 30, 2012 01:40 PM (KNvk+)

37 Ampersands, how do they work?

Posted by: jeannebodine at April 30, 2012 01:40 PM (byR8d)

38 31
Had contact with some diehard Democrats in Delaware Montgomery Counties
(PA) this weekend at a wedding shower after party. They are not voting
in November. Independents voting against Teh Once.


Posted by: jeannebodine at April 30, 2012 01:38 PM (byR8d)

EXCELLENT news. We probably can't pick up Delaware but Montgomery and Bucks can swing to the GOP.

Posted by: joncelli's spastic terriers at April 30, 2012 01:41 PM (RD7QR)

39 Don't worry Greg, Allah will be on Tepid Air soon with an Eeyeore poll to soothe your butthurt

Posted by: kbdabear at April 30, 2012 01:41 PM (Y+DPZ)

40 Ace, could you fly down to Australia, find pixy, and apply hot needles to his junk until he gets the new blog going? Thanks.

Posted by: joncelli's spastic terriers at April 30, 2012 01:43 PM (RD7QR)

41 My expert analysis and inherent genius indicates that Obama will win in a landslide

Then in 2016, voters will be eager for Jeb Bush

Stop insulting me, I'm just an analyst doing my job!

Posted by: Karl Rove at April 30, 2012 01:43 PM (Y+DPZ)

42 >>>the leader in April almost always wins in November

Except for Jimmy both times, who was behind in 76 and went on to win, and was ahead in 80 and went on to lose.
and
HW Bush both times was behind in 88 and came back to win, and was ahead in 92 and went on to loose.

So from 76 to 08 of 10 elections, 6 follow the April rule and 4 do not.

60% accuracy on a baseline 50% system? So marginally more accurate than flipping a quarter?

Why not just use astrology next time?

Posted by: MikeTheMoose Troll Hunter! at April 30, 2012 01:43 PM (0q2P7)

43 Someone should explain to Gallup that scientific polling does not involve the use of a 20 side die for determing variables.

Its polling, dumbasses, not D and D.

Posted by: Mallamutt, RINO President for Life at April 30, 2012 01:43 PM (OWjjx)

44 for the 100th time i'll ask, has Greg stopped pretending to be on our side? did he finally admit he's working for the other guys?

Posted by: AuthorLMendez, Liberterian For Romney at April 30, 2012 01:44 PM (yAor6)

45
41
Stop insulting me, I'm just an anal cyst doing my job!


Posted by: Karl Rove at April 30, 2012 01:43 PM (Y+DPZ)

FIFY

Posted by: Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars at April 30, 2012 01:45 PM (Wqfrr)

46 Uh-oh, CAC stepped on Ace's post...

Posted by: Brother Cavil, New Caprica City DMV at April 30, 2012 01:45 PM (GBXon)

47 Why not just use astrology next time?

Posted by: MikeTheMoose Troll Hunter! at April 30, 2012 01:43 PM

Psychics Predict Michelle Obama win in 2012!

Elvis Clone Reveals Secret UFO Diet !!

Posted by: National Enquirer at April 30, 2012 01:45 PM (Y+DPZ)

48 Ignore the polls.

Unless your poll last for 20 months........then call a lawyer!

Posted by: BMW Motorcycle Owner at April 30, 2012 01:46 PM (OWjjx)

49 @44 for the 100th time i'll ask, has Greg stopped pretending to be on our side?
-----
Yes.

They can never sustain the Concerned Conservative schtick.

Posted by: Y-not at April 30, 2012 01:46 PM (5H6zj)

50 Obama's taken a hit in the weekend, the days after the GDP report came out. hmmm...

Posted by: AuthorLMendez, Liberterian For Romney at April 30, 2012 01:46 PM (yAor6)

51 OK, we confess;

We just threw a dart

Posted by: Gallup at April 30, 2012 01:46 PM (Y+DPZ)

52 Is there a pissing contest going on that I wasn't told about?

Posted by: Nevergiveup at April 30, 2012 01:47 PM (i6RpT)

53 @49 finally an answer. I've been wondering. So when did he snap? was it right after the midterms? did he have anything to say for himself for gettiong caught in a lie?

Posted by: AuthorLMendez, Liberterian For Romney at April 30, 2012 01:47 PM (yAor6)

54
Bat Boy Resurfaces in Ohio!
Demands That Obama Cease and Desist From Using His Ears!

Posted by: Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars at April 30, 2012 01:47 PM (Wqfrr)

55 >>>I keep saying I'll ignore the polls. I guess I'm lying.

I've been here too long to believe that one when I heard it. Ace is going to ignore the polls? Riiiiggggt, and I'm just going to ignore that plate of smoked ribs and the pint of Arrogant Bastard next to it.

for 3....2.....1....

nom nom nom.

Posted by: MikeTheMoose Troll Hunter! at April 30, 2012 01:47 PM (0q2P7)

56 Or perhaps ace would prefer to apply hot needles to CAC's junk? That would certainly be less time consuming.

Posted by: joncelli's spastic terriers at April 30, 2012 01:47 PM (RD7QR)

57
52
Is there a pissing contest going on that I wasn't told about?
Posted by: Nevergiveup at April 30, 2012 01:47 PM (i6RpT)



Is it raining where you are? Are you sure that's rain?

Posted by: Krebs v Carnot: Epic Battle of the Cycling Stars at April 30, 2012 01:48 PM (Wqfrr)

58 That would certainly be less time consuming.

Also less effective at fixing the underlying issues with the blog, however.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) SMOD 2012 at April 30, 2012 01:48 PM (8y9MW)

59 @56
Are you saying CAC has small junk?

Posted by: Y-not at April 30, 2012 01:49 PM (5H6zj)

60 Ignore the Poles? OK, go back to an Earth-centric Solar System Model, no skin of my ass!

Posted by: Nicolaus Copernicus at April 30, 2012 01:49 PM (136wp)

61 Bill Clinton Reveals That Former First Dog Buddy Not Hit By Car, Went Missing After Obama Visit

Posted by: National Enquirer at April 30, 2012 01:49 PM (Y+DPZ)

62 59
@56

Are you saying CAC has small junk?

Posted by: Y-not at April 30, 2012 01:49 PM (5H6zj)

Let's just say that unlike the biblical camel in relation to the needle, CAC's junk...

Posted by: joncelli's spastic terriers at April 30, 2012 01:50 PM (RD7QR)

63 How can I ignore the poles? They're really cool to dance with

Posted by: Lindsey Lohan at April 30, 2012 01:50 PM (Y+DPZ)

64 New comments thingy on new thread is broken?

Posted by: Cicero Kid at April 30, 2012 01:51 PM (fEp+D)

65 Ignore the Poles? Ok, try using an analog computer to download midget-tranny porn.

Posted by: Jan Czochralski at April 30, 2012 01:51 PM (136wp)

66 Maybe all the CAC thread comments are on the altnernative AOSHQ Blog allegedly there for "back-up".

Posted by: Mallamutt, RINO President for Life at April 30, 2012 01:51 PM (OWjjx)

67 I'm also a big fan of poles, especially Frank Marshall Davis'. Good times!

Posted by: Barry O. at April 30, 2012 01:52 PM (fYOZx)

68 Posted by: MikeTheMoose Troll Hunter! at April 30, 2012 01:43 PM (0q2P7)

I'm an Ares! What are you?

Posted by: Someone with a poll where the sun don't shine at April 30, 2012 01:52 PM (nEUpB)

69 I took part in a poll once.

Big Mac over The Whopper

Posted by: Meghan McCain at April 30, 2012 01:52 PM (Y+DPZ)

70 61 Bill Clinton Reveals That Former First Dog Buddy Not Hit By Car, Went Missing After Obama Visit
Posted by: National Enquirer at April 30, 2012 01:49 PM (Y+DPZ)

And has anyone seen "Bo" the dog? Was the name just a shorten version of Bo-becue?

Posted by: Jan Czochralski at April 30, 2012 01:54 PM (136wp)

71 Ignore the Poles at your own peril.

Posted by: Lech Walesa at April 30, 2012 01:54 PM (fEp+D)

72 You know, I think this "not voting" might be a thing. I remember my sister brother-in-law, hardcore libs. "not voting" in the governor's race when Christie ran against Corzine. They didn't like Corzine but they could never bring themselves to vote for a Republican. The results of my polling this weekend revealed a similar trend among some lifelong Democrats. I think I might encourage it with the Dems I know who don't know my political inclinations.

Posted by: jeannebodine at April 30, 2012 01:54 PM (byR8d)

73 Why not just use astrology next time?

It's too reliable when compared to political science.

Posted by: AmishDude at April 30, 2012 01:55 PM (T0NGe)

74 69
I took part in a poll once.

Big Mac over The Whopper



Posted by: Meghan McCain at April 30, 2012 01:52 PM (Y+DPZ)

But you had to taste test first, right?

Posted by: joncelli's spastic terriers at April 30, 2012 01:55 PM (RD7QR)

75 >>>I took part in a poll once.
Big Mac over The Whopper

Are you sure about that Meggie? The Whopper does come in a 3/4lb version with bacon. Consider carefully.

Posted by: MikeTheMoose Troll Hunter! at April 30, 2012 01:55 PM (0q2P7)

76 Posted by: Meghan McCain

Looks like both won in your opinion.

Posted by: dogfish at April 30, 2012 01:55 PM (N2yhW)

77 CAC broke the blog. Banhammer.

Posted by: blaster at April 30, 2012 01:55 PM (7vSU0)

78 Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) SMOD 2012 at April 30, 2012 01:48 PM (8y9MW)

I'm willing to bet that the structural issues with this blog are not in Pixy's top 100 things to do this week]/s] month year.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at April 30, 2012 01:55 PM (nEUpB)

79 That worked well

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at April 30, 2012 01:55 PM (nEUpB)

80
CAC's thread is.....messed up.

Posted by: wheatie at April 30, 2012 01:56 PM (cB+Hn)

81 Astrology: Making economists and political scientists look bad since...forever.

Posted by: AmishDude at April 30, 2012 01:56 PM (T0NGe)

82 just think, in a few moments "she" will come on here telling us about the friend she knows who can fix a blog and how she's making a killing in the markets

Posted by: AuthorLMendez, Liberterian For Romney at April 30, 2012 01:56 PM (yAor6)

83 I think the swing is because "uncool" is now the new "cool." When the dreamy boyfriend turns out to be a chump and a deadbeat, it's not so hard to face the dreaded parental "I-told-you-sos" when seeking comfort and succor. Funny how sensible, mature people always turn out to be the most understanding.

Posted by: ObjectionSustained at April 30, 2012 01:56 PM (dizKt)

84 Someone pull the fire alarm and we can all go out to the playground and play tag (and pull down CAC's pants for breaking the blog).

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at April 30, 2012 01:56 PM (nEUpB)

85 CAC's thread is.....messed up.

Ace will not be mocked.

Well, he will be mocked, but not stepped on.

Well, he will be stepped on, but only by himself by a double-post.

Posted by: AmishDude at April 30, 2012 01:57 PM (T0NGe)

86 81 Astrology: Making economists and political scientists look bad since...forever.
Posted by: AmishDude at April 30, 2012 01:56 PM (T0NGe)

Meh, I'd rather read sheep entrails, worked for the Sumerians.

Posted by: The Robot Devil at April 30, 2012 01:58 PM (136wp)

87 Ignore the polls.

^^^

Yes, thank you. Been driving me crazy as well.

Posted by: laceyunderalls at April 30, 2012 01:58 PM (pLTLS)

88 Clearly, pixy did not get its monthly tribute of Valu-Rite and hobo pelt and is not happy.

Posted by: Mallamutt, RINO President for Life at April 30, 2012 01:58 PM (OWjjx)

89 I'm willing to bet that the structural issues with this blog are not in Pixy's top 100 things to do this week month year.

He's diligently working on rolling out the new format. To be made available in 2023, 6 years after the end of the apocalypse. With it being right around the corner like that why should Pixy put time into maintaining this structure?

Posted by: MikeTheMoose Troll Hunter! at April 30, 2012 01:58 PM (0q2P7)

90 Posted by: AuthorLMendez, Liberterian For Romney at April 30, 2012 01:56 PM (yAor6)

You're just jealous because I am young and thin and I have lots of friends who talk to me all of the time about all sorts of political ideas. It's really fun to...what....how much for a BJ? $10, same as always.

BRB

Posted by: Curiously dense at April 30, 2012 01:58 PM (nEUpB)

91 (and pull down CAC's pants for breaking the blog)

Have you considered that he might be going commando as preparation for just such an event?

Posted by: Blanco Basura at April 30, 2012 01:59 PM (4WhSY)

92 You know what I love about this blog? Ace's laser-like focus on the comments so he knows when something has gone wrong.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) SMOD 2012 at April 30, 2012 01:59 PM (8y9MW)

93 Eric Cantor may have problems. (Well, I think we already know that b/c of his support of Lugar, but...)

Via @EWErickson
Ouch. http://t.co/I9NLEK9S

Posted by: Y-not at April 30, 2012 01:59 PM (5H6zj)

94 He's diligently working on rolling out the new format.

Do you know how much chewing gum, bailing wire and duct tape cost?!?!?

Posted by: AmishDude at April 30, 2012 01:59 PM (T0NGe)

95 Pulled thread when I saw Ace already posted. A bit hard to see the front page and the editing window on my blackberry.

Btw re Del and Montgo counties- it would be very difficult to flip Montgo, but make it very close, and keep O under 10 in Del, just flip Bucks and Chester and you start eating into O's philly lead before even talking about the rest of the state which is far more read. Dispiritedness amongst Ds in the burbs is a good sign.

Posted by: CAC at April 30, 2012 01:59 PM (5UcDQ)

96 Again, the new blog will be rolled out once all the details for ACEAPALOOZA! The Musical are ironed out.

Posted by: Mallamutt, RINO President for Life at April 30, 2012 01:59 PM (OWjjx)

97 AoSHQ!
Double posting is a Feature!*


*(At least one of the posts is bound to work? Right?)

Posted by: MikeTheMoose Troll Hunter! at April 30, 2012 02:00 PM (0q2P7)

98 This is really OT but it's so cheesetastic I have to point it out --

I got into it w/this uber omega male with the #WarOnWomen hashtag on his page. You can check him out here -- tiny.cc/oxaldw.

This is my fav tweet he sent me.

I have #WarOnWomen on my page because I love and respect the women in my life. I'm sorry if you're not loved or respected.

Posted by: laceyunderalls at April 30, 2012 02:00 PM (pLTLS)

99 Poles? We like Obama's pole.

Posted by: Kal Penn & Van Jones at April 30, 2012 02:00 PM (sbV1u)

100 Has any one here talked about the ridiculous poll put out by Karl Rove.

Listing Texas as leans Romney? Really??

Posted by: Have Blue at April 30, 2012 02:01 PM (0dPUM)

101 Posted by: Y-not at April 30, 2012 01:59 PM (5H6zj)

I generally tend not to believe things that come from "Democracy 21" or "xxx Legal Center".

Should I this time?

Posted by: AmishDude at April 30, 2012 02:01 PM (T0NGe)

102 No comments on CAC's post or is it just broken?

Posted by: Have Blue at April 30, 2012 02:01 PM (0dPUM)

103 "Do you know how much chewing gum, bailing wire and duct tape cost?!?!?"


I have more paste than iwant if youneed some(wipes mouth).

Posted by: Doh!Bamma at April 30, 2012 02:02 PM (fEp+D)

104 95
Pulled thread when I saw Ace already posted. A bit hard to see the front page and the editing window on my blackberry.

No, it's still there and the comments are still busted.

Posted by: joncelli's spastic terriers at April 30, 2012 02:02 PM (RD7QR)

105 Listing Texas as leans Romney? Really??

As a Texan let me respond:

LOLWUT?

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) SMOD 2012 at April 30, 2012 02:02 PM (8y9MW)

106 I think maybe this is some "green" thing, saving pixels by just having one set of comments per topic?

Posted by: blaster at April 30, 2012 02:02 PM (7vSU0)

107 No, it's still there and the comments are still busted.


Posted by: joncelli's spastic terriers at April 30, 2012 02:02 PM (RD7QR)

Ah. Gone now.

Posted by: joncelli's spastic terriers at April 30, 2012 02:03 PM (RD7QR)

108 95
Pulled thread when I saw Ace already posted. A bit hard to see the front page and the editing window on my blackberry.



Posted by: CAC at April 30, 2012 01:59 PM

You are NOT of the Body !!!

Posted by: Apple Cult at April 30, 2012 02:03 PM (Y+DPZ)

109 Who brought the crazy to the comments thingy link on the thread up above?

Posted by: Lady in Black at April 30, 2012 02:04 PM (OpijJ)

110 Pulled thread when I saw Ace already posted. A bit hard to see the front page and the editing window on my blackberry.



Posted by: CAC at April 30, 2012 01:59 PM


Blackberry? They still make those? My great grandfather liked his also

Posted by: Nevergiveup at April 30, 2012 02:04 PM (i6RpT)

111 @Should I this time?

I don't know. They've filed an FEC complaint about a donation Cantor made in response to a solicitation by Aaron Schock. I don't know enough about campaign finance laws to know if it's valid.

Same thing with the complaint about Lund's donation to Romney via his company.

What I don't like seeing is any sloppiness by Rs in this area that gives them an opening... and what looks like more passivity by Rs complaining about Obama's campaign shenanigans.

Posted by: Y-not at April 30, 2012 02:05 PM (5H6zj)

112 It is not within my power to visualize the awesome intellect of any individual who is registered to vote and is still changing their mind on a week by week basis.

Posted by: Bob Saget at April 30, 2012 02:05 PM (SDkq3)

113 Blackberry? You are using that in an ironic retro sense, right?

Posted by: blaster at April 30, 2012 02:05 PM (7vSU0)

114 LI has the story on the JEF's new re-election slogan: "Forward"

Yup.

From "Hope" and "Change" to "Forward."

And it's already being mocked on the Twitter.

Posted by: jimmuy at April 30, 2012 02:06 PM (kSaUf)

115 Leaveme in peace.

Posted by: Duke of Suffolk at April 30, 2012 02:06 PM (hGRh5)

116 >>>Has any one here talked about the ridiculous poll put out by Karl Rove.
Listing Texas as leans Romney? Really??

Political imbecile Rove, once again proves his best days are behind him. Instead of letting real polls demoralize the moonbats 'cause the economy still sucks, is slowing down from the slow roll it was on, and O was already behind.

He decided he was going to do a "scare poll" to motivate those of us who look at Romney like a tablespoon of cod liver oil. No he still tastes like fishy oil. I'm not going to beat the drum for him any harder than before. But good news, you motivated the moonbats into thinking they had a chance. Thanks Rove, for kicking your side in the nuts... again.

Posted by: MikeTheMoose Troll Hunter! at April 30, 2012 02:06 PM (0q2P7)

117 74
69

I took part in a poll once.

Big Mac over The Whopper

Posted by: Meghan McCain at April 30, 2012 01:52 PM

But you had to taste test first, right?


Posted by: joncelli's spastic terriers at April 30, 2012 01:55 PM

Duh! Sure I did, you think I'm a total idiot?

Funny thing though. No ketchup or lettuce on either, but the mayonnaise was like really yummy

Posted by: Meghan McCain at April 30, 2012 02:06 PM (Y+DPZ)

118 I have #WarOnWomen on my page because I love and respect the women in my life. I'm sorry if you're not loved or respected.
Posted by: laceyunderalls at April 30, 2012 02:00 PM (pLTLS)

Obviously a man who does not have a sister.

Posted by: The Robot Devil at April 30, 2012 02:07 PM (136wp)

119 Forward? Good thing he already has MSNBC on board.

Posted by: blaster at April 30, 2012 02:07 PM (7vSU0)

120 Paying attention to daily tracking polls this far out from the election will drive you nuts. There are 180+ more of them to go!

Just keep plugging away, and make sure you mock Obama every day.

He eats dogs, you know.

Posted by: Adjoran at April 30, 2012 02:07 PM (VfmLu)

121 @119 Forward? Good thing he already has MSNBC on board.

Nice catch.

Posted by: Y-not at April 30, 2012 02:08 PM (5H6zj)

122 Except for the recent NFL draft

----------------------

The Draft is the dumbest fucking 'sporting' event in history. Bea man. Watch more Hockey.

Posted by: garrett at April 30, 2012 02:08 PM (kZta5)

123 Texas did go for Carter (in 76)

Posted by: Bob Saget at April 30, 2012 02:08 PM (SDkq3)

124 10 Tactical polling is very important now. People on the fence like to align with the winner. If you make it look like Obama is polling better than he really is, it tips enough leaners to legitimize a lead. This is 2012, the days where pollsters only try to gauge TRUE voter intent are long over.
Posted by: Chris R, red in NY-9 at April 30, 2012 01:28 PM (NFcOS)
This is known as the James Carvelle "spin it 'till you win it" strategy. IE: keep underwritting poll after biased poll all showing your boy in the lead and pretty soon every slow mind in the country will "jump on the bandwagon" and vote the way you want them too.
When he was quizzed about the ethics of fabricating the truth like this, he claimed "the consequences were too great to accept anything other than the ends justifies the means approach".
....and out of the other side of his mouth he's the first to scream "foul" if he disagrees with any poll going to the Right.

Posted by: MrObvious at April 30, 2012 02:09 PM (2uovW)

125 hey so tomorrow is May Day and the left is threatening to shut down all the Bridges and Tunnels and Roads. Oh My!

Posted by: Nevergiveup at April 30, 2012 02:09 PM (i6RpT)

126 Jesus H. on a popsicle stick...they even insist on imbedding the "O" logo into the word "Forward"?

Posted by: jakeman at April 30, 2012 02:09 PM (96M6e)

127 Ace, why did you delete CAC's thread? I finally revealed the SECRET PLAN by Van Jones tomorrow of how he was going to enact the Communist takeover, and how you could PREPARE NOW !!!

Posted by: Glen Beck at April 30, 2012 02:09 PM (Y+DPZ)

128 114 LI has the story on the JEF's new re-election slogan: "Forward"


Hey! That's our slogan!

No, wait. I thought yousaid 'foreskin'.

Posted by: Kookifornians against circumcision at April 30, 2012 02:10 PM (fEp+D)

129 Clearly, pixy did not get its monthly tribute of Valu-Rite and hobo pelt and is not happy.

Who run blogger-town? Comment Embargo On!

Posted by: not really pixy at April 30, 2012 02:10 PM (NG097)

130 >>>Texas did go for Carter (in 76)

And California went for Gerald Ford.

Posted by: MikeTheMoose Troll Hunter! at April 30, 2012 02:10 PM (0q2P7)

131 Texas did go for Carter (in 76)
Posted by: Bob Saget at April 30, 2012 02:08 PM (SDkq3)


They thought he was a southerner

Posted by: Nevergiveup at April 30, 2012 02:10 PM (i6RpT)

132 Speaking of loyal servants going under the bus, do you know what's happening in Rahm's education department. Less than one year after he announced that he would be appointing a
completely new Board of Education and administrative hierarchy for
Chicago's public schools, Rahm has continued massive purges of the top executives he put in power. Noemi Donoso will allegedly resign her position in May. This is the
third turnover of a high-ranking Chicago public school administrator in recent weeks.

Much of Emanuel's original education team is no longer in place in less than a year. Chief Financial Officer Diana Ferguson, Barbara Bowman, chief of Chicago Public Schools' early childhood program and mother of White House adviser Valerie Jarrett, Chief Community and Family Engagement Officer Jamiko Rose, and CEO Chief of Staff Andrea Saenz are all gone.


Then there are the anticipated retirements of the top attorney in the
district Patrick Rocks, General Counsel and Rachel Resnick, Chief Labor
Relations Officer. Not to mention the estimated 200 local principals and
administrators that are either retiring or resigning come the end of
the school year. The principal vacancies are going to be difficult to
fill since there is a 2 year process to get on the official principal
eligibility list.

Only the guys are still on Rahm's island.

The backstory is even more chaotic.

Posted by: the new, improved arhooley -- now with 10% more cynicism! at April 30, 2012 02:10 PM (lt7iY)

133 Texas did go for Carter (in 76)

In Texas, we still elected a majority of Democrat politicians throughout the 80's and into the 90's (IIRC). Not the same landscape.

If Texas is even close, we're so screwed that it almost doesn't matter.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) SMOD 2012 at April 30, 2012 02:10 PM (8y9MW)

134 119
Forward? Good thing he already has MSNBC on board.

Posted by: blaster at April 30, 2012 02:07 PM (7vSU0)

that's a typo - it's supposed to be Fore!-ward

Posted by: Underground Vulgarian at April 30, 2012 02:10 PM (Aaxiu)

135 I have #WarOnWomen on my page because I love and respect the women in my life. I'm sorry if you're not loved or respected.
Lace: Tell him you are "loved" but with gusto not lattes.

Posted by: Dagny at April 30, 2012 02:10 PM (4yXmp)

136 Whoa! How'd that post get in this thread? I could swear I put it in the "Alvarez" thread.

Posted by: the new, improved arhooley -- now with 10% more cynicism! at April 30, 2012 02:10 PM (lt7iY)

137 <<105
Listing Texas as leans Romney? Really??

As a Texan let me respond:

LOLWUT?


Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) SMOD 2012 at April 30, 2012 02:02 PM (8y9MW)>>
Yeah, I figured that would get plenty of mocking here but haven't seen anything about it.
Rove gave Romney about 88 electoral votes iirc, and listed Texas and a bunch of other easy states as "leaners".
I guess anything that he could find an outlier poll that put Romney up by 5% or less got made a leaner.

Posted by: Have Blue at April 30, 2012 02:11 PM (0dPUM)

138 100 Has any one here talked about the ridiculous poll put out by Karl Rove.

Listing Texas as leans Romney? Really??

Posted by: Have Blue at April 30, 2012 02:01 PM (0dPUM)



Here's the thing about that survey--most of the head-to-head state polls were done in February and March when Obama was polling better. I can't say whether Rove relied on those, but the Huffington Post survey did and they openly stated that if the state head-to-head polls end up matching Obama's nationwide numbers over the past few weeks, the electoral vote breakdown would look very different.

Any Dem who is talking about getting a state like Arizona right now is smoking crack...but if they want to continue on in that delusion, why dissuade them?

Posted by: AD at April 30, 2012 02:11 PM (ZlrvH)

139 "Forward" is the new catch phrase, eh? Perfect opportunity to p/shop the Bamster bowing forward to the Saudi king.

Posted by: Lady in Black at April 30, 2012 02:11 PM (OpijJ)

140 Do you think the "Lean Forward" slogan and O's campaign slogan are close enough to each other to warrant lodging a complaint?

Seriously. Why the hell don't our (conservative) lawyers keep those jackholes busy for a change?

Posted by: Y-not at April 30, 2012 02:12 PM (5H6zj)

141 Maybe he could do a slow jam to "How Much Is That Doggie in the Window?"
Posted by: The Robot Devil at April 30, 2012 01:33 PM (136wp)



With the backdrop being a butcher's shop.

Posted by: Insomniac at April 30, 2012 02:12 PM (v+QvA)

142 >>>enact the Communist takeover, and how you could PREPARE NOW !!!
Posted by: Glen Beck at April 30, 2012 02:09 PM (Y+DPZ)

Make fun of Glen all you want. But his obsessive doom casting and riding of communists keeps them unable to move subversively.

Posted by: MikeTheMoose Troll Hunter! at April 30, 2012 02:13 PM (0q2P7)

143 Let's see Romney led by 5 early, then Obama led by 7. Now Romney back to 1, in a span of about 3 weeks. Is Gallup cooking the books?

Posted by: cvb at April 30, 2012 02:13 PM (HRFxR)

144 The present participle of "To fap" is "fapping", not "faping".

Posted by: New Webster's unabridged at April 30, 2012 02:13 PM (1Rgee)

145 Also, Gallup uses "registered voters" for its sample. Statistically one of three respondents they talk to will not show up for the election.

Rasmussen uses a screener for "likely voters," but this far out from the election, you just can't design one that's accurate enough to have any predictive value. Maybe a clearer "snapshot in time" of where we are TODAY, but not much use in forecasting an outcome six months from now.

Instead, watch the approval ratings. If they can't get at least to 50%, it's hard for the incumbent to win. Rove's turnout machine did it for Dubya in 2004, but it didn't depend on the marginal voters who elected Obama.

Posted by: Adjoran at April 30, 2012 02:13 PM (VfmLu)

146 125
hey so tomorrow is May Day and the left is threatening to shut down all the Bridges and Tunnels and Roads. Oh My!

Posted by: Nevergiveup at April 30, 2012 02:09 PM

Speaking of the Occupoopers, Zombie has an article about them taking over a plot of UC Berkeley agricultural lab land to create their own Maoist Collective Farm;

http://tinyurl.com/cufuagl

Meet the New Farm, Same as the Old Farm? Occupy Seizes Berkeley’s “Gill Tract”

Posted by: kbdabear at April 30, 2012 02:13 PM (Y+DPZ)

147 FORWARD!

http://preview.tinyurl.com/8a34qzy

Posted by: Waterhouse at April 30, 2012 02:14 PM (Pi5Sz)

148 I have #WarOnWomen on my page because I love and respect the women in my life. I'm sorry if you're not loved or respected. Posted by: laceyunderalls at April 30, 2012 02:00 PM (pLTLS)
Obviously a man who does not have a <younger> sister.

Posted by: The Robot Devil at April 30, 2012 02:07 PM (136wp)

-----------------------------------------------

Fixed. Adds more perspective.

Posted by: Soona at April 30, 2012 02:14 PM (AZdM4)

149 Back in the old days when you described someone as "forward" you meant obnoxious and pushy with no manners.
I guess that does describle the Mooch and most progs

Posted by: Dagny at April 30, 2012 02:14 PM (4yXmp)

150 I took part in a poll once.Big Mastiff over The Whippet

Posted by: Barry at April 30, 2012 02:14 PM (SO2Q8)

151 If Mitt wins, I think the best way to win over conservatives is to cancel the charades that are the State of the Union Address and the WH Correspondents Dinner. Both are everything that is wrong with Washington. The former is just a grandstanding at its worst by presenting a grab bag of ideas that need federal dollars, and the latter just makes a joke of our country and government. Some traditions aren't worth keeping.

Posted by: SH at April 30, 2012 02:15 PM (gmeXX)

152 This seems like a swingy poll to me
**
Hmmmm...swing poll.

Posted by: Sandra Flook at April 30, 2012 02:15 PM (eavT+)

153 >>> Texas did go for Carter (in 76)

...and LBJ (1963-69)

Posted by: SCOAMF media dogs at April 30, 2012 02:16 PM (lpWVn)

154 Make fun of Glen all you want. But his obsessive doom casting and riding of communists keeps them unable to move subversively.


Posted by: MikeTheMoose Troll Hunter! at April 30, 2012 02:13 PM

He's done some good work, but he's way over the top sometimes. I swear that he does a five part expose on the coming slavery just because the city installed a new red light camera in his part of town

He could do these revelations in half a show, but he drags out the drama so much that by the time he's done, I feel like Ralphie after decoding the Orphan Annie Secret Message

Posted by: kbdabear at April 30, 2012 02:17 PM (Y+DPZ)

155 and LBJ (1963-69)

LBJ was a Texan.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) SMOD 2012 at April 30, 2012 02:18 PM (8y9MW)

156 Speaking of the Occupoopers, Zombie has an article about them taking over a plot of UC Berkeley agricultural lab land to create their own Maoist Collective Farm;

-------------------------------------------------

They'll rename it after a week to "Maoist Collective Toilet".

Posted by: Soona at April 30, 2012 02:18 PM (AZdM4)

157 the WH Correspondents Dinner. Both are everything that is wrong with Washington. The former is just a grandstanding at its worst by presenting a grab bag of ideas that need federal dollars, and the latter just makes a joke of our country and government. Some traditions aren't worth keeping.
Posted by: SH at April 30, 2012 02:15 PM (gmeXX)

The Dinner is just not funny. The Oscars are funnier and they suck. This year, what I did hear hear and could stomach, was embarrasing

Posted by: Nevergiveup at April 30, 2012 02:18 PM (i6RpT)

158 147 FORWARD!Yeah, because looking back at the last three years is no picnic.

Posted by: West at April 30, 2012 02:18 PM (1Rgee)

159 151 I wouldn't be surprised if the State of the Union is required of the POTUS constitutionally.

Posted by: SCOAMF media dogs at April 30, 2012 02:18 PM (lpWVn)

160 Not terribly interesting, but kind of fun story: the head cook at the Bank my dad used to work for in Rio Vista was LBJ's head cook in the White House.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) SMOD 2012 at April 30, 2012 02:19 PM (8y9MW)

161 Careful with these polls. You could get a 20 month erection if you're not.

Posted by: Roy at April 30, 2012 02:19 PM (VndSC)

162 LBJ was a Texan.--
brilliant , watson

Posted by: SCOAMF media dogs at April 30, 2012 02:19 PM (lpWVn)

163 159
151 I wouldn't be surprised if the State of the Union is required of the POTUS constitutionally.


Posted by: SCOAMF media dogs at April 30, 2012 02:18 PM (lpWVn)

It is constitutionally required but the format is not specified, and in fact it used to be a letter from the president that was read into the Congressional record.

Posted by: joncelli's spastic terriers at April 30, 2012 02:20 PM (RD7QR)

164 >>>Speaking of the Occupoopers, Zombie has an article about them taking
over a plot of UC Berkeley agricultural lab land to create their own
Maoist Collective Farm;
http://tinyurl.com/cufuagl
Meet the New Farm, Same as the Old Farm? Occupy Seizes Berkeley’s “Gill Tract”

Well they are likely to learn some valuable things about farming, and communal living.

1. Farming is hard work. Some would call it toil.
2. In communal living, hard work is to be done by "somebody else" not nearly so talented at poetry, folk music, and finger painting.
3. The dude who gets boned doing the hard work necessary to support life, will get tired of deadbeats leave and live by himself.
4. The commune, stripped of the ability to feed itself will dissolve and scatter as the former members go back to looking for handouts individually.

Posted by: MikeTheMoose Troll Hunter! at April 30, 2012 02:21 PM (0q2P7)

165 FORWARD!Yeah, because looking back at the last three years is no picnic.
Posted by: West at April 30, 2012 02:18 PM (1Rgee)

--------------------------------------------

We have one foot over the edge of the abyss, and this is his slogan?

Posted by: Soona at April 30, 2012 02:22 PM (AZdM4)

166 Romney leads in my house 4-0. The outlook for change before the election is nonexistent. The margin of error is nil.

Posted by: Nevergiveup at April 30, 2012 02:22 PM (i6RpT)

167 brilliant , watson

C'mon, the semi-official Motto of Texas is "Loyal to a Fault."

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) SMOD 2012 at April 30, 2012 02:22 PM (8y9MW)

168 Come 'Forward' for the Man Country May Day Celebration! Fabulous prizes! Men of all sizes!! Rohm and Barry look-a-like contest!

Posted by: Man Country Chicago at April 30, 2012 02:22 PM (c3mby)

169
From "Hope" and "Change" to "Forward."


And it's already being mocked on the Twitter.


It deserves to be mocked. .....Fertile ground. ....Sir GolfsAlot says #Fore!ward....is just one example.

And don't forget "Yes We Can". ....This new one, "Forward", is a continuation of that meme.

#ForewardTheCrucifixions! ....#Foreward-March,Drones!

Posted by: wheatie at April 30, 2012 02:23 PM (cB+Hn)

170 Back when Texas went Dem, Perry was a Dem.
So What? Times change. Not in the regressive mind, but for the sane it does.
Even the Dem office holders in my county take pains to assure me that they are eager to vote Obama Out.

Posted by: Pecos, at April 30, 2012 02:23 PM (2Gb0y)

171 @157, Nothing in the Constitution requires a televised SOTU. I question the conventional wisdom that it is as much of a benefit as we think. Sure it makes you look presidential and king-like, lording over the other 2 co-branches of government and the military, but at this point it is a farce and a joke. With so much media coverage out there, is more always better? I wish some President would find a compelling reason one year to not deliver it in front of a TV audience just so we can see what the reaction is? Maybe the public expects it at this point.

Posted by: SH at April 30, 2012 02:25 PM (gmeXX)

172 #ForwardinTheWrongDirection

Posted by: Buzzsaw at April 30, 2012 02:26 PM (tf9Ne)

173 Rove has Texas as leaning instead of solid thanks to a PPP (Kos' pollster) poll putting Mitt ahead by just 7

Posted by: AuthorLMendez, Liberterian For Romney at April 30, 2012 02:27 PM (yAor6)

174 Ha! Forward indeed.

There's a Turkish proverb... "No matter how far you have gone on the wrong road, turn back."

Posted by: Darth Chipmunk at April 30, 2012 02:28 PM (pVvkk)

175 OK, this ought to juice up the poll numbers for Obama;

From Politico;

Another presidential campaign is in full swing. A fresh set of foreign policy issues is at stake. And once again, John Kerry is reporting for duty.

The Obama campaign is ready to deploy Kerry as a top surrogate on foreign policy and national security this year, a natural task for the 68-year-old Senate Foreign Relations Committee chairman, whom many party strategists see as a nearly perfect foil for presumptive GOP nominee Mitt Romney.


Posted by: kbdabear at April 30, 2012 02:29 PM (Y+DPZ)

176 Of course, I am not sure why any justice goes to the SOTU. Its simple, if you want to be treated as a co-equal, act as a co-equal. A co-equal does not just sit there and get talked down upon. Why is the military there too? What purpose is served by having the JCS present?

Posted by: SH at April 30, 2012 02:29 PM (gmeXX)

177 Ace,

Today is the anniversary of George Washington's Inaugural Address. Might be worth observing.

Posted by: jwbs at April 30, 2012 02:29 PM (liFiG)

178 Back when the entire South was dem every body in the entire south was dem.

Posted by: Dagny at April 30, 2012 02:29 PM (4yXmp)

179 Obama 2012 : Forward -Never Straight!

Posted by: garrett at April 30, 2012 02:29 PM (kZta5)

180 There's a Turkish proverb... "No matter how far you have gone on the wrong road, turn back."
Posted by: Darth Chipmunk at April 30, 2012 02:28 PM (pVvkk)

-----------------------------------------------

Obviously that Turkish wise man never said "I do".

Posted by: Soona at April 30, 2012 02:30 PM (AZdM4)

181 A few years back Ace noted something critical that he seems to have forgotten in the excitement: the pollsters are all full of crap until around October when they have to start being more accurate and factual just to have a shred of credibility when the election swings around. They can play with the numbers and sampling and questions and time of day, and all that to get the results they'd prefer to see, but by October, they either start doing it right or risk looking like idiots when they're utterly off base.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at April 30, 2012 02:30 PM (r4wIV)

182
147FORWARD!

[pixy rejected my re-post of your link]

Heh. .....Forward! Right off that cliff!


Posted by: wheatie at April 30, 2012 02:30 PM (cB+Hn)

183 How about "Gee"?

Posted by: Dagny at April 30, 2012 02:30 PM (4yXmp)

184 Obama 2012 : Forward -Never Straight!
Posted by: garrett at April 30, 2012 02:29 PM (kZta5)


obama 2012: Forward- Bends Left

Posted by: Nevergiveup at April 30, 2012 02:30 PM (i6RpT)

185 I wouldn't be surprised if the State of the Union is required of the POTUS constitutionally.

Posted by: SCOAMF media dogs at April 30, 2012 02:18 PM (lpWVn)

It is constitutionallyrequired but the formatisnot specified, and in fact it used to be a letter from the president that was read into the Congressional record.

Posted by: joncelli's spastic terriers at April 30, 2012 02:20 PM (RD7QR)

And who changed that precedent? Woodrow Wilson!

Posted by: glenn beck at April 30, 2012 02:31 PM (3kBRz)

186 To counter the deploying of Kerry, Mitt ought to deploy McCain. Nothing creates excitement more than two old presidential losers going at it.

Posted by: SH at April 30, 2012 02:31 PM (gmeXX)

187 4. The commune, stripped of the ability to feed
itself will dissolve and scatter as the former members go back to
looking for handouts individually. mom's basement


Posted by: MikeTheMoose Troll Hunter! at April 30, 2012 02:21 PM

FIFY

Posted by: The Fixer at April 30, 2012 02:31 PM (Y+DPZ)

188 National polls are worthless this year.. all year.

This election will come down to electoral votes by swing states.

Who gives a flying fuck how somebody in New York, or California voted in the poll? Doesn't matter! Those states are going for Obama!

If they gave the state of residence totals of all the participants in the poll, we might be able to make some use of the numbers, but absent that, it is worthless.

Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at April 30, 2012 02:32 PM (f9c2L)

189 This poll changes more than the weather. At this point in time Odouchebag is in awful shape. I am predicting a blowout for Mitt.

Posted by: alans at April 30, 2012 02:32 PM (hrTcJ)

190 I think Forward is a terrific slogan!

Posted by: Larry Lemming at April 30, 2012 02:32 PM (5H6zj)

191 186 To counter the deploying of Kerry, Mitt ought to deploy McCain. Nothing creates excitement more than two old presidential losers going at it.

Posted by: SH at April 30, 2012 02:31 PM (gmeXX)



John O'Neill's still around. I'm sure he'd like to continue where he left off.

Posted by: AD at April 30, 2012 02:34 PM (ZlrvH)

192 When life slaps you in the face with the fish of reality it's time to change direction.

Posted by: Flying Asian Proverb Carp at April 30, 2012 02:35 PM (tf9Ne)

193 Speaking of the Occupoopers, Zombie has an article about them taking
over a plot of UC Berkeley agricultural lab land to create their own
Maoist Collective Farm;

http://tinyurl.com/cufuagl


How is that remotely legal?

I'd do the chick in the media tent, tho.

I love that they have a "Trash Can Monitor" position on their volunteer chart.

Posted by: Waterhouse at April 30, 2012 02:35 PM (Pi5Sz)

194 Via Twitter:
@billl_murry
For every RT I will be donating $1 to the Iraq and Afghanistan veterans fund.

Posted by: Y-not at April 30, 2012 02:35 PM (5H6zj)

195 Obama's 2012 Election Song
http://tinyurl.com/7qwlk62

Posted by: 'Don't Look Back' - Boston at April 30, 2012 02:36 PM (kZta5)

196
183How about "Gee"?

Not "Haw"?

Posted by: wheatie at April 30, 2012 02:36 PM (cB+Hn)

197 Polling right now is useless. It is media driven because there is just nothing else to report from Washington. It is full campaign mode, but really just fundraising at this point. It won't be a few months until things start picking up again, as we get closer to the convention and a VP pick is made. At least this year, we will get a controversial court-opinion that will bring out the partisans.At this point we are arguing over whether it is fair or foul to use bin Laden. Its something to argue over, but really kind of silly. Until the Obamcare decision, it will be a pretty boring two months, politically.

Posted by: SH at April 30, 2012 02:36 PM (gmeXX)

198 @trscoop
*** Allen West endorses Joe the Plumber for Congress http://t.co/TQAIiRhy

Posted by: Y-not at April 30, 2012 02:36 PM (5H6zj)

199 To counter the deploying of Kerry, Mitt ought to deploy McCain. Nothing creates excitement more than two old presidential losers going at it.Posted by: SH at April 30, 2012 02:31 PM (gmeXX)

------------------------------------------

Two words for the Romney campaign: John Bolton.

Posted by: Soona at April 30, 2012 02:37 PM (AZdM4)

200
Late to the party (as usual) - this time, it's personal:
Mr. Savage, It Ain't Because You're Gay....

http://t.co/DWJ56fqr

Posted by: Teresa in Fort Worth, TX at April 30, 2012 02:38 PM (0xqzf)

201 >>Two words for the Romney campaign: John Bolton

He's moved to the top of my list for VP now that Rubio has stepped in it on foreign policy.

Romney doesn't need another "executive." He needs foreign policy cred.

Posted by: Y-not at April 30, 2012 02:38 PM (5H6zj)

202 The SOTU speech is Kabuki theater.


Posted by: Jimbo at April 30, 2012 02:39 PM (O3R/2)

203 I thought Joe Biden was supposed to bring foreign policy and national security to the ticket. Ladies and Gentlemen, I give you the man that is one heartbeat away from the Presidency.

Posted by: SH at April 30, 2012 02:41 PM (gmeXX)

204 Anyone else see the connection between Obama essentially dancing on Bin Laden's grave and the soldiers who got busted for doing the same thing but more literally? Obama is a dog-eater who celebrates the death of Muslims, tell your Liberal "friends".

Posted by: Lincolntf at April 30, 2012 02:41 PM (hiMsy)

205 Two words for the Romney campaign: John Bolton.

Posted by: Soona at April 30, 2012 02:37 PM (AZdM4)

Heh heh heh. Everybody knows that's three words.

Posted by: Joe Biden, SOOOOPER Genius at April 30, 2012 02:42 PM (RD7QR)

206
172 ....#ForwardinTheWrongDirection

Heh....Good one. .....#ForwardingTheAgenda?

Posted by: wheatie at April 30, 2012 02:42 PM (cB+Hn)

207 "This seems like a swingy poll to me."

Climb on board, pal. Helluva ride.


Posted by: Dang - (I'll be in the showers) at April 30, 2012 02:45 PM (Ky1+e)

208
"To help protect your security, your web browser blocked this site from downloading files to your computer."

Interesting...maybe Pixy IS doing something after all...

Posted by: Meremortal at April 30, 2012 02:46 PM (Usk3+)

209 #GreatLeapForward

Posted by: Mao at April 30, 2012 02:46 PM (ZlrvH)

210 Kodos'12: Twirling Towards Freedom

Posted by: toby928© at April 30, 2012 02:47 PM (NG097)

211 Watched a bit of the joint press conference with the PM of Japan and Barky. Scrunt reporter asks a set-up question about getting bin laden (may he not rest in peace) and Barky used the question as an opportunity to mischaracterize Romney's position on getting bin laden. Punk ass little bitch weazel who eats libtard excrement. Frak Barky too.

Posted by: Ammo Dump at April 30, 2012 02:47 PM (YYyqq)

212 I'm sure the Japanese Prime Minister enjoyed being used as a prop.

Worst. President. Evah.

Posted by: Y-not at April 30, 2012 02:49 PM (5H6zj)

213 @211 (my post). Bolton on Fox saying the questioner setting up the bin laden swipe at Romeny was not a reporter but rather a member of the WH staff. WTF?

Posted by: Ammo Dump at April 30, 2012 02:49 PM (YYyqq)

214 Romeny is Romney's first cousin's sister name. Please do not criticize my spelling as I'm only 12 points away from getting the Ace Participation Trophy for April 2012. Don't screw this up for me!!

Posted by: Ammo Dump at April 30, 2012 02:51 PM (YYyqq)

215 Follow the polling averages. If you look at Gallup's average, you have Obama in the lead. Even better, look at the average of multiple scientific polls (not just internet poll malarkey). Don't just look at Rasmussen and/or Gallup. More data gives you less less volatility and a more accurate look. Looking at that average, you've got Obama consistently in the lead by anywhere from 2 to 6 points over the past few weeks (the Romney as clear nominee period).
It really doesn't make any sense to make a big deal about it every time a poll pops up that you like. "Fox News has Romney up by 3!!!!!!!!!" And then of course you either don't notice or make no mention of the next poll which has Obama up by 3. Just follow the polling averages. Try to analyze honestly.

Posted by: Ranginess at April 30, 2012 02:51 PM (1d6WV)

216 Polls are dumb, but it's nice to see Romney leading this dumb poll.

Posted by: JDTAY at April 30, 2012 02:51 PM (sFP59)

217 >>>> The Obama campaign is ready to deploy Kerry

Release the Kraken!

Heavens. Can Al Gore and Jimmy Carter be far behind? Then there's the Three Horsemen of the Apocalypse: Walter Mondale, Michael Dukakis, and George McGovern.


Posted by: Nicholas Kronos at April 30, 2012 02:52 PM (t28jU)

218 Both Obama's "cool" push in the press and his "Forward" slogan can be neutralized with a simple image of Commander Mommyjeans pedaling his Shwinn the wrong way across his new logo.

Posted by: tad blatherton at April 30, 2012 02:52 PM (UaVld)

219 @213
Wow.

This administration knows no limits.

Posted by: Y-not at April 30, 2012 02:53 PM (5H6zj)

220 All trolls are Average Joe.

Posted by: toby928© at April 30, 2012 02:54 PM (NG097)

221 Regarding the OWS losers, commies, unions, professional protestors, ex 60's hippies who never grew up, and various minority groups going into full tilt protest/riot mode: Nixon won 2 elections, and Nixon did not have a likable personality. The riots and protests did not help the liberals.

I'm hoping all hell breaks loose on May 1, and thereafter. I just hope the OWSers don't rape or murder anyone. And I do hope the police don't get injured. Even if they are union tools. But I want the lefties to show their true colors.

Posted by: nerdygirl at April 30, 2012 02:55 PM (ZQGG7)

222 _______________________________________

Ace,

Wait until the issues crystallize. (-Several months yet.)

It is IMPOSSIBLE for the mammoth issues weighing down on our country to not come into sharp focus as we near election day in November.
- The Stink-Ass Economic 'Recovery'.
- Insane Deficit Spending (More than a Trillion dollars per annum!) - Ballooning Our Already Catastrophic National Debt.
- Intrusive and Massively Cumbersome ObamaCare which remains nationally unpopular by a consistently large margin.
- The Utterly Failed Trillion-Dollar Stimulus (See issue 1.)

None of these issues favor Barrack Obama. Instead, they are all devastating to his reelection bid.

As we near election day, the stakes will raise. Voter attention will become sharply focused, and Obama's failures will come into stark relief.

As desperately as he would like to, Obama is not going to be able to turn the election away from these massive issues (which are critical to all Americans) into a bogus crusade to keep Republicans from outlawing contraception.

By the time we are weeks away from election day, these critical issues will have become distilled and crystallized and be at the FOREFRONT of the American public's mind.

Wait until you see Obama's poll numbers then.

The fact that Obama is basically in a horse race with Romney now is an ominous sign for the Obama campaign.




Posted by: _Dave_ at April 30, 2012 02:58 PM (2amQY)

223
In 2008 I ran across a decent argument for how polls can be inaccurate, and put my hopes on the American public not really being so irresponsible and gullible.

That didn't work out, but IIRC, the polls WERE wrong - just the wrong way.

Posted by: Optimizer at April 30, 2012 02:59 PM (As94z)

224 215 Follow the polling averages. If you look at Gallup's average, you have Obama in the lead. Even better, look at the average of multiple scientific polls (not just internet poll malarkey). Don't just look at Rasmussen and/or Gallup. More data gives you less less volatility and a more accurate look. Looking at that average, you've got Obama consistently in the lead by anywhere from 2 to 6 points over the past few weeks (the Romney as clear nominee period).
It really doesn't make any sense to make a big deal about it every time a poll pops up that you like. "Fox News has Romney up by 3!!!!!!!!!" And then of course you either don't notice or make no mention of the next poll which has Obama up by 3. Just follow the polling averages. Try to analyze honestly.

Posted by: Ranginess at April 30, 2012 02:51 PM (1d6WV)



Why would I pay attention to other national polls when Rasmussen and Gallup are the most reliable?

Better yet, why would I pay attention to a bunch of polls of adults or registered voters (including Gallup) when I have one of likely voters (Rasmussen)?

BTW, trends are what matter more than anything this far out and Romney's been going up. If you want to argue for averages, though, you'd need to specify a time period and say why.

Posted by: AD at April 30, 2012 03:01 PM (ZlrvH)

225

RCP Average Direction of the Country 4/12 - 4/22

Right Track 32.0% Wrong Track 60.8%

Spread -28.8

Posted by: toby928© at April 30, 2012 03:07 PM (NG097)

226 " Ace, could you fly down to Australia, find pixy, and apply hot needles to his junk until he gets the new blog going? Thanks.
Posted by: joncelli's spastic terriers"

No. Send Mel Gibson to do a replay of his Esterasshat rant at pixy.

Posted by: nerdygirl at April 30, 2012 03:09 PM (ZQGG7)

227 zzz

Posted by: Gerry at April 30, 2012 03:10 PM (+D6OT)

228 224, Rasmussen isn't one of the more reliable polls. In both 2008 and 2010, it performed quite poorly.

Posted by: Ranginess at April 30, 2012 03:14 PM (1d6WV)

229 _______________________________________

Even worse for Ranginess @ comment #215 is his bogus claim that polling averages show Obama ahead by as much as 6 points!

Bwahaa ha ha ha ha!! You are dreaming, fool. And that's the only way your Precious Messiah will win this election - in your dreams.

Real Clear Politics shows Obama ahead by a rolling average of just 3 points. That, obviously, is within the margin of error. Which means, it's currently a horse race. That's a terrible place for Team Obama to be in at this stage.
As voters start to pay attention, the huge issues facing our country are not going to magically start getting better for Obama.

So hang on to your Precious Obama's meager and statistically meaningless 3 point lead. Keep fantasizing it's really a giant 6 point lead.

But realize your delusions will only make the sting of reality worse for you in November when the American voters pass judgment on this president.





Posted by: _Dave_ at April 30, 2012 03:15 PM (2amQY)

230 _______________________________________

Hey Ranginess,

Enlighten us. As we get closer to election day, and voters start to pay real attention, what is Obama going to talk about?

Is he going to repeatedly spike the football on how he got Bin Laden? How many times can he do that before it just looks outright desperate and gaudy?

What else can be point at as an accomplishment to give voters a reason to pull the lever for him?

Do you really think that fat 3 point lead (that you're fantasizing as being 6) is going to hold?

Interested in a bridge in Brooklyn I can let you have for cheap?







Posted by: _Dave_ at April 30, 2012 03:22 PM (2amQY)

231 Rasmussen isn't one of the more reliable polls. In both 2008 and 2010, it performed quite poorly.

No.

It did overpredict Republican performance in 2010, but it got 2004 on the money and it was one point away from the 2008 results: It predicted Obama vs. McCain as 52 to 46 when it was 53 to 46.

Posted by: AD at April 30, 2012 03:24 PM (ZlrvH)

232 So hang on to your Precious Obama's meager and statistically meaningless 3 point lead. Keep fantasizing it's really a giant 6 point lead.

But realize your delusions will only make the sting of reality worse for you in November when the American voters pass judgment on this president.



Yeah, like I mentioned earlier, I really shouldn't even be trying to sway the other side.

Go for Arizona, dude! Do it!

Posted by: AD at April 30, 2012 03:28 PM (ZlrvH)

233 Dave, checking RCP's rolling average, it has been as high as 5 multiple times (but not 6) in recent weeks, including most of the early part of April. And Obama has been consistently ahead of Romney in head-to-head polling since October. When a lead is that constant, your prayers of "within the margin of error" are just that. Obama is in the lead. Is it an insurmountable lead? Certainly not.
What will Obama run on? Killing bin Laden, saving the auto industry, equal pay for women, ending DADT, reforming student loans, and the popular parts of Obamacare (which, according to the polls, including every significant element of the law, except for mandating coverage). There's a reason more Americans approve of the job Obama is doing that disapprove (again, by polling averages).
Look, conservatives think Obama has done a horrible job. Most Americans do not see it that way.

Posted by: Ranginess at April 30, 2012 03:33 PM (1d6WV)

234 Posted by: Ranginess at April 30, 2012 03:33 PM (1d6WV)

You are absolutely correct in your thinking. In fact, don't just go after Arizona. Go for Texas!

Crush us!

Posted by: AD at April 30, 2012 03:36 PM (ZlrvH)

235 Romney's doing well and if he picks a good vp, he should go into the fall with a very good chance. Only liberals think things are going well; most middle of the road voters are iffy on him at best and will dump zero if something looks better.

Posted by: MJH at April 30, 2012 03:38 PM (kBLec)

236 Killing bin Laden...as oposed to...
saving the auto industry...for the UAW
equal pay for women...huh? Even the admin. doesn't claim that and is refuted by its own compensation policies
End DADT... a Clinton policy
Reforming student loans...50% unemployment rate for grads
Obamacare, yeah the part about paying for it tho...thanks for playing.

Posted by: Duke of Suffolk at April 30, 2012 03:39 PM (hGRh5)

237

In fact, don't just go after Arizona. Go for Texas!

Crush us!


Tarbaby nods.




and I denounce myself.

Posted by: toby928© at April 30, 2012 03:45 PM (NG097)

238 Most Americans do not see it that way.

-28.8

Posted by: toby928© at April 30, 2012 03:46 PM (NG097)

239 236, Killing bin Laden...as opposed to...not killing bin Laden (Bush) and saying that going after bin Laden really wasn't something the USA should focus on (Bush and Romney)
Saving the auto industry is something very popular in the Rust Belt (which has some key swing states). Romney, on the other hand, famously said "let it fail."
The Obama administration has fought for equal pay for women. And women like that. And women vote.
End DADT. Clinton policy or not, Obama ended it, and moderate and independent voters like that.
Young voters (and more than a few moderates and independents) really value the student loan program. This is popular.
There's a lot that's popular in Obamacare. There's a lot to sell there. And Romney really can't hit Obama on it, as Romney started the same thing, Romneycare. Thanks for nominating Mitt.

Posted by: Ranginess at April 30, 2012 03:49 PM (1d6WV)

240 238 Obama's approval rating and favorables say more about how American voters feel about Obama than the right track/wrong track numbers do.

Posted by: Ranginess at April 30, 2012 03:50 PM (1d6WV)

241 Obama's approval rating and favorables say more about how American
voters feel about Obama than the right track/wrong track numbers do.


I disagree, joe. Come November, we'll know.

Posted by: toby928© at April 30, 2012 03:55 PM (NG097)

242 There's a lot that's popular in Obamacare. There's a lot to sell there. And Romney really can't hit Obama on it, as Romney started the same thing, Romneycare. Thanks for nominating Mitt.

You're expecting consistency to stop a politician and especially Mitt Romney.

hehehe

Just about every single poll has shown the public favoring repeal of the bill by wide margins. It's foolish to say "but there's part of it the public likes, so it's a plus"...and ignore that pretty much every single poll has shown the public favoring repeal of the bill by wide margins.

There's none so blind will not . . . no, wait you're right. Go for it! In fact, use it in your campaign ads.

Posted by: AD at April 30, 2012 03:55 PM (ZlrvH)

243 240 238 Obama's approval rating and favorables say more about how American voters feel about Obama than the right track/wrong track numbers do.

Then he's rock solid!

Posted by: AD at April 30, 2012 03:57 PM (ZlrvH)

244 Voters who are undecided on an incumbent by this point aren't likely to vote for him.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at April 30, 2012 03:57 PM (r4wIV)

245 244 Voters who are undecided on an incumbent by this point aren't likely to vote for him.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at April 30, 2012 03:57 PM (r4wIV)


Nonsense, I think we all know how awesome Obama's favorability numbers are right now, so there's no hope.

Posted by: AD at April 30, 2012 03:59 PM (ZlrvH)

246 _______________________________________

Ranginess, your delusional take on the state of politics is sweeeeet!

Keep it coming. And just know, we'll all be thinking of chumps like you as Obama's poll numbers start to crater as we approach November and the critical issues facing this country begin to force hydraulic pressure on the Obama campaign.

Remember to stamp your feet three times and insist that in Mother Jones or Newsweek or somewhere out there, Obama has a commanding lead of 6 points. - I'll certainly remember to think of you as thus.

By the way, how about that sweet bridge in Brooklyn I can get you for a steal? Great view. Even better foot traffic. It'll pay for itself in a year.







Posted by: _Dave_ at April 30, 2012 04:00 PM (2amQY)

247 Good luck, Dave. The problem is that because you and your friends hate Obama, you assume the vast majority of Americans do, or will once the campaign heats up. I'm sorry, but most Americans aren't very conservative, like you (nor very liberal, like me). Most Americans don't agree with either of us. Most Americans are in the middle, and they don't hate Obama or most of what he's done. You're going to be in for a rude awakening in November. "But I knew Obama's numbers would come down! I knew America would come around to vote for the candidate that I really didn't want to get the nomination in the first place1" Hey, it worked for you four years ago, right? Oh wait...

Posted by: Ranginess at April 30, 2012 04:07 PM (1d6WV)

248 You're going to be in for a rude awakening in November.

Mau Mau fail.

Posted by: toby928© at April 30, 2012 04:10 PM (NG097)

249 I think I speak for everybody when I say that, given Obama +45% approval ratings, high numbers among polls of all adults, and the public opposition to Obamacare by margins of less than 25 percentage points, we haven't got a prayer.

Posted by: AD at April 30, 2012 04:14 PM (ZlrvH)

250 _______________________________________

Oh one quick thing on the whole ObamaCare versus RomneyCare issue.

People have mistakenly assumed that Romney has a natural disadvantage of this issue because of his RomneyCare. Put aside the likelihood that Supreme Court will strike down the Individual Mandate for a moment.

There is a massive structural disadvantage that Obama cannot overcome against Romney on the issue of ObamaCare. The more times Obama points to Massachusetts when talking about his ObamaCare, the more out of touch he will look - because Massachusetts healthcare is not a national issue, but ObamaCare is. Moreover, Romney's emphatic and well articulated bottom line is that he will grant waiver to all 50 States in the Union effectively de facto repealing ObmaCare for the duration of a Romney Administration.
And what would Obama's counterargument be? "Don't believe him, folks. He won't really repeal ObamaCare... the way I will." By insisting Romney won't do something, it's an admission that it obviously should be done. (For instance, Obama's laughable suggestion that Romney wouldn't have pulled the trigger on Bin Laden.)
Obama can't have an argument with Romney over whether ObamaCare ought to be repealed. - There's no way he can win it. He has to give that subject the barest, most cursory lip-service he can get away with and then run back over to talking about the Republican War on Contraception.
Because at the end of the day, Romney is clearly saying ObamaCare ought to be repealed, Obama is saying it shouldn't. And the American People are saying it should be.

And of course, if the Supreme Court strikes down the Individual Mandate, then Romney has this devastating argument:
"No, Mr. Obama. Your Health Care Law was struck down as unconstitutional. Mine was not."

Those who predicted that ObamaCare would be an argument that Romney would lose in a debate with Obama will discover in the debates how sadly wrong they were.






Posted by: _Dave_ at April 30, 2012 04:16 PM (2amQY)

251 _______________________________________

Ranginess said, "Most Americans are in the middle, and they don't hate Obama or most of what he's done."

This isn't about hating Obama. - An obviously bizarre liberal assumption. (But then again, you are delusional.)

Rather, this is about rejecting not only what he has done (his policies) but also what he has failed to do.

He was hired to fix the economy. His Trillion Dollar Stimulus was an awesome waste of money and a magnificent failure.
Instead of fixing the economy (as he was hired to do) he gave us the widely unpopular (as it is deeply intrusive) ObamaCare.

You maintain the outright delusion that these issues are not going to become the prominent issues in the weeks and days leading into election day.

I say good. You're a funny monkey.




Posted by: _Dave_ at April 30, 2012 04:26 PM (2amQY)

252 Keep an eye on Investor Business Daily's poll. In 2008, they were dead right.


Posted by: Jimbo at April 30, 2012 04:31 PM (O3R/2)

253 Two Words -

FDR

Posted by: Rmoney Voter at April 30, 2012 05:43 PM (7MFxV)

254 Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.

Posted by: steevy at April 30, 2012 05:46 PM (7W3wI)

255 I don't like Romney, but his line about Obama being a "nice" guy whos in over his head is a really good line of attack.

Most people don't hate him. I think a lot of people think that about him and theres a good chance it will work.

Posted by: Obamas gotta lose at April 30, 2012 07:10 PM (ngpIg)

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