APRIL PURPLE POLL: COLORADO TIED; SWING STATES OBAMA 48, ROMNEY 44 OVERALL

The April release is here, with a focus now on four states, Colorado, Florida, Virginia and Ohio. Romney beats Obama in Florida, ties in Colorado, trails by two in Virginia, trails in Ohio by 5. Obama's approval rating has gone up a point, but dropped amongst independent voters, who break for Romney 46-44.

Obama leads by 4 in the combined sample from New Mexico, Colorado, Nevada, Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, New Hampshire, Virginia and North Carolina. New Mexico and Minnesota if you notice on the side bar aren't being tracked. I don't get why they are considered swings this cycle and state-by-state polling has confirmed my suspicions, but if Obama stumbles regionally I may begin tracking them.

In no swing region is Obama enjoying a positive approval rating. He carries the Swing South narrowly by a point and the Rust Belt and "Wild West" by two. With a lopsided margin in Ohio, I am a bit puzzled why he isn't carrying the Rust Belt by more. I mean, isn't there a large, poorly-drawn rectangle of a state right next to Ohio that is grouped into this region? A state with more voters than Ohio, and where just as many voters were polled? It couldn't possibly mean that Obama is losing the Keystone State. Or could it?

Not a bounce nationally for Romney, but his approval rating has swung twenty points from its nadir, and we are barely in week two of the general. The Colorado number, after months of PPP's ever-growing margins for Obama there, is a bit of a shock, but could reflect the willingness of Republicans to actually fight back- they have, after all, seen a boost in voter registration, enough to give them a 110k edge over the Democrats.

The underlying numbers for Americans in these states should worry the President. He has enjoyed a lead mainly because only 82% of the R vote here goes to Romney. Mitt locks up more of that, it will tie out or swing, depending on the independent vote. The economic outlook for those in these 12 states is dropping, and with the news out of Europe and hiring slowing here, that will probably continue to do so.

The twelve states polled per region:
Wild West: Colorado(TIED), Nevada, New Mexico (Obama leads by 2)
Swing South: Florida(R+2), North Carolina, Virgina(O+2) (Obama leads overall by 1)
Heartland: Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin (Obama leads overall by 6)
Rust Belt: Ohio(O leads by 5), Pennsylvania, New Hampshire (Obama leads overall by 2)

Posted by: CAC at 04:08 PM



Comments

1 Barack Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable tyrant.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) SMOD 2012 at April 25, 2012 03:12 PM (8y9MW)

2 Testing. Testing. Testing.

Posted by: Lance McCormick at April 25, 2012 03:12 PM (zgHLA)

3 Romney should pick up support as Newt goes away.

Posted by: SantaRosaStan, on a darkling plain at April 25, 2012 03:14 PM (Dll6b)

4

Posted by: SantaRosaStan, on a darkling plain at April 25, 2012 03:14 PM (Dll6b)

5 Romney should pick up support as Newt goes away.

Tiffany employees are swinging into the Obama column.

Posted by: Cicero at April 25, 2012 04:03 PM (QKKT0)

6 How the HELL is there even a chance for Obama? Does NO ONE read the news? (Or do they, and the media is that biased?)

Posted by: WheelmanForHire at April 25, 2012 04:03 PM (l8nIR)

7 Blog flood today, wow.

Posted by: Sticky Wicket at April 25, 2012 04:04 PM (L7hol)

8 Why do you do this to yourself, CAC? Polls are worthless this far out. Give yourself a break. Take a vaca, get laid. There's plenty of time to become distraught over blatantly dem skewed polls.

Posted by: Soona at April 25, 2012 04:08 PM (qeAtb)

9 Are you saying Obama is leading in NH? If so, fire your pollster.

Posted by: fluffy, Masshole at April 25, 2012 04:08 PM (4pSIn)

10 I'm in a time warp or somethin'.

Posted by: Tami at April 25, 2012 04:08 PM (X6akg)

11 Take a vaca, get laid. There's plenty of time to become distraught over blatantly dem skewed polls.
Posted by: Soona at April 25, 2012 04:08 PM (qeAtb)
I do that anyway.
Polls are my crack.

Posted by: CAC at April 25, 2012 04:09 PM (K08Wk)

12 I can confirm it's still April. Reading bogus polls everyday aint gonna make November get here any quicker.

Posted by: Beefy Meatball at April 25, 2012 04:09 PM (yn6XZ)

13 In no swing region is Obama enjoying a positive approval rating.

In my swing region everyone adores him.

Posted by: Sandra Fluke at April 25, 2012 04:09 PM (QKKT0)

14 Argh. It makes me nervous that he's up in VA, NC, and OH. I thought we would take those back.

Posted by: joncelli, heartless Con and all around unpleasant guy at April 25, 2012 04:10 PM (RD7QR)

15
How the HELL is there even a chance for Obama?

For many, it's simply a matter of they don't care what happens to the country as long as the Righties are disappointed.

Posted by: USS Diversity at April 25, 2012 04:10 PM (cjTjM)

16 In Soviet Russia, state swings you.

Posted by: The Mega Independent at April 25, 2012 04:10 PM (choq8)

17 Are you saying Obama is leading in NH? If so, fire your pollster.
Posted by: fluffy, Masshole at April 25, 2012 04:08 PM (4pSIn)
OVERALL RUST REGION (NH,PA,OH) shows O+2
Of that, he has a 5pt lead in Ohio. Since there are 2 other states in the region I would assume they are either tied or slightly favoring Romney to create enough of an offset to push him down to just +2

Posted by: CAC at April 25, 2012 04:10 PM (K08Wk)

18 At least put up a stripper pole graphic, so we can critique elbows.

Posted by: Beefy Meatball at April 25, 2012 04:10 PM (yn6XZ)

19 Holy snikes--they literally did -purple prose.

Hard to read. I've never heard of this group.

Thanks for the link. Off to go try and read it some more.

Posted by: tasker at April 25, 2012 04:10 PM (r2PLg)

20 I am wondering how I would go about lobbying my came to its senses in 2010 district to hold off on releasing votes so Boulder and Denver would just have to guess on how many ballots to stuff and might hold back for fear of being too obvious.

Posted by: PaleRider at April 25, 2012 04:11 PM (dkExz)

21 Can we get a flaming skull for the Fallon campaign finance violation?

Not because it's actually that big a deal, but just to ruin yet another day for the liberals.

Posted by: Mama AJ, shocked, shocked, I tell ya at April 25, 2012 04:11 PM (XdlcF)

22 Actually, I like the polls this far out. Not because they're indicative of anything, but because they're data points on what will become a line-graph showing the Trend. If the trend is pretty level or down, Obama's out in November. If the trend is up... well, even then I only give him 50% - 55% to get re-elected.

He really is a Stuttering Clusterf*ck of a Miserable Tyrant.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) SMOD 2012 at April 25, 2012 04:11 PM (8y9MW)

23 Polls are my crack.
Posted by: CAC at April 25, 2012 04:09 PM (K08Wk)
***
Me too!

Posted by: A>Sullivan at April 25, 2012 04:12 PM (eavT+)

24 Is the #LizzyBorden house haunted? Join #PreezyOfTheUnitedSteezy and the guys from 'Ghost Hunters' as they investigate this spooky BB!

Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO supporter at April 25, 2012 04:12 PM (4df7R)

25 I do that anyway. Polls are my crack.
Posted by: CAC at April 25, 2012 04:09 PM (K08Wk)

----------------------------------------

Looks like someone needs to make a few more Poll-anon meetings.

Posted by: Soona at April 25, 2012 04:13 PM (qeAtb)

26 Come on, voters, drink of a keg or two of that Preferences IPA and let it cascade down on Obama.

Pretend you're a dog exacting a little retribution.

Posted by: JEM at April 25, 2012 04:14 PM (o+SC1)

27 It couldn't possibly mean that Obama is losing the Keystone State. Or could it?

If PA goes red, my pudding dipping will be epic.

Posted by: alexthechick at April 25, 2012 04:14 PM (VtjlW)

28 NH in the Rust Belt, eh? Dammit, state o' mine, don't fall for Chocolate Jesus again!

Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO supporter at April 25, 2012 04:14 PM (4df7R)

29 There's no way PA is going red this election.

Posted by: Ed Anger at April 25, 2012 04:14 PM (iVPY6)

30 Romney shouldfocus onKamchatka and Irktusk. He should mass his X armies there. Then sweep in through Alaska, take the Western United States, and spill Coolaid all over the Eastern United States.

Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at April 25, 2012 04:14 PM (Ec6wH)

31 Preference Cascade and all that.

It's still to far out from November to voice the opinion that Barky O'DogEater needs to go. Most people are not going to admit to a stranger on the phone that they don't like Barky cause it's racist or something.

But it won't matter as the summer grinds down to fall and the election. At the moment we still have a secret ballot.

It'll be Mitt in a landslide, and then we'll have to hear all about how "the exit polls said Barky would win" crap.

Posted by: Boots at April 25, 2012 04:15 PM (neKzn)

32 I thought Obama was down in Virginia this morning? Different poll?

Posted by: Dagny at April 25, 2012 04:15 PM (4yXmp)

33 How the HELL is there even a chance for Obama? Does NO ONE read the news?

I'm amazed at how many iggos (read: low info voters (read: the "Democrat Base")) I talk to that all think that Bambi "inherited a mess and just hasn't had enough of a chance to fix it".

They don't know anything else about him. I've heard it from so many separate people, it's a live demonstration that if you repeat a lie often enough, it does become a kind of truth.

Along with race, class warfare and the usual lib talking points of electoral bs, this is what they are running on. Make no mistake - we are running against the propaganda that Obama is a nice, moderate guy that inherited a big mess from George Bush and just needs time to fix it. That's a very difficult line of defense to penetrate, but doable if we know that's what we're up against.

Posted by: The Mega Independent at April 25, 2012 04:15 PM (choq8)

34 Romney shouldfocus onKamchatka and Irktusk. He should mass his X armies
there. Then sweep in through Alaska, take the Western United States, and
spill Coolaid all over the Eastern United States.


I always preferred the "Take Australia, then on to Africa" gambit.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) SMOD 2012 at April 25, 2012 04:16 PM (8y9MW)

35 Just interpret this for me...I have no interest in being a polling wonk.

One question: What kind of party should I have on the the first Wednesday in November?

1. A blowout bacchanalia with great booze, dancing girls and midget porn.
2. A requiem for America.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at April 25, 2012 04:16 PM (nEUpB)

36 Testes

Posted by: toby928© at April 25, 2012 04:16 PM (NG097)

37 HA! Just read this tweet from Gov. Walker:
**
Statewide chamber survey shows 87% of businesses looking to add jobs in 2012. We're heading in the right direction.
**
87%!!!!! suck it union hacks!!!

Posted by: dananjcon at April 25, 2012 04:16 PM (eavT+)

38 Only poll that mattershappens in November. And Barry ate a dog.

Posted by: Tough,Tougher,Crunchy at April 25, 2012 04:16 PM (c3mby)

39 The Ukraine is weak.

Posted by: toby928© at April 25, 2012 04:16 PM (NG097)

40 #35
#1. Because if President Obama wins, you still have dancing girls, midget porn and great booze to ease the horror.

Posted by: CAC at April 25, 2012 04:17 PM (K08Wk)

41 #29

In my neck of the PA woods, Obama is doing tepid. I know it's early and all, but there does not seem to be the excitement for him that he had last time. Then again...I'm pretty sure if I saw a county-by-county map of 2008, most of the state would be red, with the usual clusters of blue counties here and there.

Posted by: Sticky Wicket at April 25, 2012 04:17 PM (L7hol)

42 11
Take a vaca, get laid.




Srsly!

Posted by: CAC's horny ghost at April 25, 2012 04:17 PM (UOM48)

43 Jeez Colorado--the favorable/unfavorables for both Mitt and Obama are bad.

4.1% is the MOE for regional and state level results.

Posted by: tasker at April 25, 2012 04:17 PM (r2PLg)

44 Let's play Twister

Posted by: Michael Stipe at April 25, 2012 04:18 PM (Pi5Sz)

45 And where is Greggy to explain to us how these polls mean a clean sweep for Zero and the Dems? C'mon Greggy, take a break from that gloryhole, grab a snack of German cockroaches to munch and ponder the polls instead of the poles for a few.

Posted by: maddogg at April 25, 2012 04:18 PM (OlN4e)

46

I didn't want to count. So, I searched.

194 days
http://tinyurl.com/dxnpsfu

195 days
http://tinyurl.com/69uusj


Posted by: countdown to nov 6 at April 25, 2012 04:18 PM (HOOye)

47

I must guard against my guarded optimism.

Obama: known commodity
Romney: unknown commodity.

Play your cards right, buddy!

Posted by: Wodeshed at April 25, 2012 04:18 PM (mWijP)

48 Considering Romney has pretty much sucked as a candidate so far but has apparently grown balls now that he is the nominee and that late deciders tend to break for the new guy and we still will get a bump for a good VP pick and the convention I have to think The Once is in a world of hurt here.

I think Romney will beat Obama by 7 in the popular vote and by even more in the electoral college.

If Romney pwns Obama in the debates, this could get ugly. I mean, America KNOWS Obama, they are just getting to know Romney.

Posted by: Bill Mitchell at April 25, 2012 04:18 PM (hlUJY)

49 1. A blowout bacchanalia with great booze, dancing girls and midget porn.2. A requiem for America.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at April 25, 2012 04:16 PM (nEUpB)
**
Dude #1 all the way. I'll bring theTostito Scoops and the slip and slide!!

Posted by: dananjcon at April 25, 2012 04:18 PM (eavT+)

50 >>What kind of party should I have on the the first Wednesday in November?

I'm going for hangover mitigation. Bloody Mary brunch, that sort of thing.

Posted by: HeatherRadish™ at April 25, 2012 04:18 PM (/kI1Q)

51 Posted by: CAC at April 25, 2012 04:10 PM

But, like, math is hard!

Posted by: fluffy, natural blond at April 25, 2012 04:19 PM (4pSIn)

52 In shallow news, Kristi Noem was on with Cavuto a few minutes ago and is sporting a cute, new haircut.

Pretty woman, and smart.

Posted by: Jane D'oh at April 25, 2012 04:19 PM (UOM48)

53 Dude #1 all the way. I'll bring theTostito Scoops and the slip and slide!!

We'll play Risk! Instead of plastic armies, we'll use strippers.

Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at April 25, 2012 04:20 PM (Ec6wH)

54 CAC, can you please update us on the purple strategies surveys as they come out? I'd love to add them as I try to map out the election myself. I'm just as addicted to polls as you.

Posted by: AuthorLMendez, Liberterian For Romney at April 25, 2012 04:20 PM (yAor6)

55 Holy crap. The A/C guy is in the attic and sounds like he's throwing shit through the ceiling. geez....

Posted by: Jane D'oh at April 25, 2012 04:20 PM (UOM48)

56 The Ukraine is weak.
Posted by: toby928© at April 25, 2012 04:16 PM (NG097)

------------------------------------------

I'm thinking the Bosnian bloc will pull his ass out of the fire in that region.

Posted by: Soona at April 25, 2012 04:20 PM (qeAtb)

57 Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at April 25, 2012 04:16 PM

My guess -- and I hope I'm wrong -- is it'll be Party #2.

What neither the polls nor some of the people here are factoring in are the combined effects of what Vic rightly calls "Blackdemocratium," the influence of the NBPP, Bark Obama's butt-boys in state election offices and the criminal neglect of the regime's shenanigans by the MFM.

Looks to me like another four -- at least -- for President Canine-chomper Historic First.

Posted by: MrScribbler at April 25, 2012 04:21 PM (MQc8e)

58 Maybe I'm paranoid... but remember.. we know that the democrats cheated in Ohio last election and in Philly. We know that the Justice Department will challenge any attempt law that requires legal identification in order to vote.. We also know they have no problem with voter intimidation (i.e. Black Panthers)..

So we're going to keep seeing polls showing Obama ahead throughout the summer all the way up until the election. Could it be they are already planning on stealing this election and just laying the ground work? So that no matter how energized the republican base is, no matter how many disaffected democrats change sides.. no matter how many independents vote for Romney... The general populous will shrug and say "well the polls all showed Obama was ahead..."

Posted by: JCNY at April 25, 2012 04:22 PM (M7f6f)

59
55 Holy crap. The A/C guy is in the attic and sounds like he's throwing shit through the ceiling. geez....

Posted by: Jane D'oh at April 25, 2012 04:20 PM (UOM4


... Are you sure he isn't?

Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO supporter at April 25, 2012 04:23 PM (4df7R)

60 Then again...I'm pretty sure if I saw a county-by-county map of 2008, most of the state would be red, with the usual clusters of blue counties here and there.

The cheating in Philly, the unions in Pittsburgh and the 42,000 year oldidiots in NEPA are the only thing that keeps PA from going flame red. Everything else, hell even the State College area, is red.

Posted by: alexthechick at April 25, 2012 04:23 PM (VtjlW)

61

Kristi Noem is the anti-DWS.

Yummy!

Posted by: Wodeshed at April 25, 2012 04:23 PM (mWijP)

62 Obama is not going to gain any more voters than he currently has. Romney will. Romney is.

So far he's running a better campaign than many of us, myself included, thought he would. In fact I think he's doing a pretty great job. He hasn't been the national candidate for more than a couple of weeks, and I think the momentum is going to go his way. People aren't used to seeing someone strongly go after Obama. As they do, they are going to find themselves liking it. And liking Romney for doing it.

Posted by: mama winger at April 25, 2012 04:23 PM (P6QsQ)

63 We'll play Risk! Instead of plastic armies, we'll use strippers.

Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at April 25, 2012 04:20 PM (Ec6wH)


Now now, what do you think this is? The Secret Service?

Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO supporter at April 25, 2012 04:23 PM (4df7R)

64 Posted by: Jane D'oh at April 25, 2012 04:20 PM (UOM4

... Are you sure he isn't?

Posted by: MWR, Proud Tea(rrorist) Party Hobbit and ABO supporter at April 25, 2012 04:23 PM (4df7R


heh. He's changing out the Spaceguard filters.....and scared the crap out of the two kittehs. They're cowering under furniture somewhere.

Posted by: Jane D'oh at April 25, 2012 04:24 PM (UOM48)

65 Summer polling won't show a trend. The M.O. is to keep fudging, then swing in the last thirty days- to give them "credibility" vs actual results.

Posted by: Beefy Meatball at April 25, 2012 04:24 PM (yn6XZ)

66 We'll play Risk! Instead of plastic armies, we'll use strippers.

Brunettes for single armies, blondes for five, gingers for ten.

Posted by: Waterhouse at April 25, 2012 04:26 PM (Pi5Sz)

67 mama winger @62, yes, pleasantly surprised its not McCain redux, so far. I think the bloody primary fights have polished many of the rough edges off of Romney. My burning hate for the rino bastard has gone from core of the sun to a chilly 100,000 degrees.

Posted by: maddogg at April 25, 2012 04:27 PM (OlN4e)

68 Just don't peak too soon, baby.

Posted by: Your Sex Object at April 25, 2012 04:28 PM (KhioZ)

69

65

That's the PPP modus operandi, for sure.

Posted by: Wodeshed at April 25, 2012 04:28 PM (mWijP)

70 I'll have the Kristi Noem/Pam Bondi sandwich please...with a side of the Cuda for ol' time sake.
**
And a Pepsi.
**
Thank you.

Posted by: dananjcon at April 25, 2012 04:29 PM (eavT+)

71
One question: What kind of party should I have on the the first Wednesday in November?

1. A blowout bacchanalia with great booze, dancing girls and midget porn.
2. A requiem for America.
Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at April 25, 2012 04:16 PM (nEUpB)



Either way, #2. Definitely. If we throw out the SCOAMF on his ass, gotta celebrate. If we can't beat the Margin Of Fraud, then at least you get one full-on blowout before you're carted off to the camps.

Posted by: IllTemperedCur at April 25, 2012 04:30 PM (mWSJA)

72 Summer polling won't show a trend. The M.O. is to keep fudging, then swing in the last thirty days- to give them "credibility" vs actual results.
Posted by: Beefy Meatball at April 25, 2012 04:24 PM (yn6XZ)

---------------------------------------------

Rush hit it on the nose in 2010. He said that polling companies know they have to keep their credibility for future elections and will start equalizing the parties toward the middle of October. The skew will suddenly be gone.

Posted by: Soona at April 25, 2012 04:30 PM (qeAtb)

73 Is there any evidence that Obama has not eaten dogs as an adult? Huh, hmm, ahhh... I didn't think so. You know its proven that kids that enjoy seeing animals suffer grow up to be sociopaths. Just saying.

Posted by: scofflawx at April 25, 2012 04:30 PM (IhBRY)

74
Another bill the Democrats will block.

The Midnight Rule Relief Act, H.R. 4607

...from House Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) and Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell (Ky.) that urged President Obama not to pass any "midnight regulations."

good luck with that

Posted by: *sigh at April 25, 2012 04:31 PM (HOOye)

75 You know its proven that kids that enjoy seeing animals suffer grow up to be sociopaths.

Malignant. Narcissist.

Posted by: AllenG (Dedicated Tenther) SMOD 2012 at April 25, 2012 04:32 PM (8y9MW)

76 JEEBUS H. (From Stars and Stripes):



The U.S. military has long been closely linked with the Republican
party, particularly when it comes to presidential candidates, but that
may be changing.

In March, President Barack Obama took in the most campaign
contributions from those within the military and the Department of
Defense, trumping the previous leader, conservative candidate Ron Paul,
according to data collected by the Center for Responsive Politics. Despite essentially locking up the Republican nomination, Mitt Romney lags far behind.

Among donors who contributed at least $200, Obama collected $36,448
last month, compared with $17,733 for Paul and $8,630 for Romney. Of the
four services, active-duty and civilian employees of the Army donated
the most, $10,568, to Obama’s campaign in March. Those affiliated with
the Marine Corps contributed the least, just $450.

Since January 2011, Paul remains the clear leader in donations, collecting $333,134 to Obama’s $184,505 and Romney’s $45,738.

The Center for Responsive Politics describes itself as a nonpartisan
research group “tracking money in U.S. politics and its effect on
elections and public policy.”

Posted by: Jane D'oh at April 25, 2012 04:33 PM (UOM48)

77 >>The general populous will shrug and say "well the polls all showed Obama was ahead..."

And the usual suspects will scream "Rethuglikkkan election-stealing through fraud--the polls said Obama was ahead!"

And then we play a thousand and one clips of prominent proggs pooh-poohing that vote fraud actually exists.

Posted by: HeatherRadish™ at April 25, 2012 04:34 PM (/kI1Q)

78 I'm amazed at how many iggos (read: low info voters (read: the "Democrat
Base")) I talk to that all think that Bambi "inherited a mess and just
hasn't had enough of a chance to fix it".

They don't know
anything else about him. I've heard it from so many separate people,
it's a live demonstration that if you repeat a lie often enough, it does
become a kind of truth.

Along with race, class warfare and the
usual lib talking points of electoral bs, this is what they are running
on. Make no mistake - we are running against the propaganda that Obama
is a nice, moderate guy that inherited a big mess from George Bush and
just needs time to fix it. That's a very difficult line of defense to penetrate, but doable if we know that's what we're up against.

That's the problem with arguing against that. You need to inform people of concepts they have no knowledge of or interest in. Things like economy, history, and, heaven forbid: common sense.

Posted by: WheelmanForHire at April 25, 2012 04:34 PM (l8nIR)

79 CRP? 'Nuff said.

Posted by: Beefy Meatball at April 25, 2012 04:36 PM (yn6XZ)

80 Ohio worries me the most, but I actually see a "Bradley effect" biting Obama in the ass hard, especially with all of this Trayvonn nonsense.

I can almost guarantee you there will be race riots when Zimmerman walks. Cleveland already has a nasty history with racial tensions. I see working class whites giving a big middle finger to Obama in the voting booth.

Posted by: Asus at April 25, 2012 04:36 PM (0kf1G)

81 Posted by: Jane D'oh at April 25, 2012 04:33 PM (UOM4

-----------------------------------------

Betcha' my left nut that most of the contributions so far have come from gays and the assorted miscreants. The amounts don't add up to much anyway for such a large population of people.

Posted by: Soona at April 25, 2012 04:37 PM (qeAtb)

82

Posted by: Jane D'oh at April 25, 2012 04:33 PM (UOM4

------

I saw this. And, I've also seen the obama's in overdrive trying to win their votes. It makes me ill. I just can't believe it, but we are talking about the young folks - and in some cases - immigrants who agree to serve for citizenship, or w/e.

It makes sense with the paulbots, but not the obama's - as they are haters of the military and any military engagement.

Sad to think that fake PR - which is the definition of Obama can win votes.

People really are stupid, but I refuse to think our military does not understand what is going on.

Then again, the families want their sons, daughters, moms and dads, etc home.

Posted by: the youngin's at April 25, 2012 04:38 PM (HOOye)

83 "A Tale of Two Leaders"
http://youtu.be/SYR4Y2EQ-e4

Posted by: Miss80sBaby hasn't read all the comments at April 25, 2012 04:39 PM (d6QMz)

84 Thank God Colorado is at least tied. Now I can go out without a paper bag over my head.

Posted by: WalrusRex at April 25, 2012 04:39 PM (Hx5uv)

85 Those affiliated with
the Marine Corps contributed the least, just $450.




Well, there's that.



Posted by: Jane D'oh at April 25, 2012 04:40 PM (UOM48)

86 Zero's base @ my nic, fer sher...

Posted by: maddogg at April 25, 2012 04:40 PM (OlN4e)

87
Posted by: Jane D'oh at April 25, 2012 04:33 PM (UOM4

---------

If this is true, the Dems/SEIU/etc will be over the absentee ballots - making sure for the very first time that they are counted in this election.

Posted by: the youngin's at April 25, 2012 04:40 PM (HOOye)

88 I obviously haven't read all the posts, either.

Posted by: Miss80sBaby at April 25, 2012 04:40 PM (d6QMz)

89 Is there any evidence that Obama has not eaten dogs as an adult?

There isn't even hard evidence he did so as a child.

What is self-evident is that it's a bad idea to publish it in your autobiography.

Posted by: not the fluffy you seek at April 25, 2012 04:41 PM (4pSIn)

90 I think I'm a better pollster than these guys.

Posted by: Barky Barkity OBark-Bark at April 25, 2012 04:41 PM (yn6XZ)

91 Things like economy, history, and, heaven forbid: common sense.

Posted by: WheelmanForHire at April 25, 2012 04:34 PM (l8nIR)

The progressives knew what they were doing when they took control of education in America. It will be generations before it will recover...if that's even possible.

Posted by: CharlieBrown'sDildo (NJConservative) at April 25, 2012 04:41 PM (nEUpB)

92 As I've mentioned the past couple of days, Barky and Mooch are making a campaign stop disguised as showing "concern" for the troops at Ft. Stewart Friday. They're shameless in using the military and their families. I don't know anyone serving who likes the SCOAMF.

Posted by: Jane D'oh at April 25, 2012 04:42 PM (UOM48)

93 zzz

Posted by: Gerry at April 25, 2012 04:42 PM (7s30g)

94 Purple poles
Pounding penis
Pedal or Prius?
Potus is Pius
STOP!
Hammer Time!
Pray for Peace!

Posted by: Jose Canseco does alliteration at April 25, 2012 04:43 PM (eavT+)

95 On November 6th, the Senate will no longer be of any concern to us. I have just received word that the President will dissolve the council permanently. The last remnants of the Old Republic will have been swept away.

Posted by: Grand Moff Eric Holder at April 25, 2012 04:43 PM (DoaFB)

96 Posted by: Jane D'oh at April 25, 2012 04:33 PM (UOM4

-----------------------------------------------

Plus, Jane, you have to remember that the civilian defense population is huge. Government workers. And who controls government workers? The SEIU. So considering the powers that be, the contribution stats don't look too bad.

Posted by: Soona at April 25, 2012 04:45 PM (qeAtb)

97 Do undecideds typically break away from the incumbent? Also, what's the polling factor for black candidates typically polling better than their final results?

IIRC in '08 Obama didn't have an issue with the last one, but this time around it may be in play again.

Posted by: The Hammer at April 25, 2012 04:46 PM (dja/g)

98 Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.

Posted by: steevy at April 25, 2012 04:48 PM (7W3wI)

99 #87

Omg....it will be the Florida Hanging Chads, (that'd be a great band name), all over again.

Posted by: Sticky Wicket at April 25, 2012 04:50 PM (L7hol)

100 Jane D'oh -- a lot of us who had thought they were on the career path wound upgetting out of the military after surveying the political battlefield. A lot of us.

Don't forget: the military is disproportionately younger than most of your organizations, whether it's work, church, chess club, or swingers.The young folksdon't have fully developed brains yet.

Posted by: Big Fat Meanie at April 25, 2012 04:53 PM (Ec6wH)

101 I see working class whites giving a big middle finger to Obama in the voting booth.

****

It's like you can see into my SOUL.

Posted by: Wodeshed at April 25, 2012 04:53 PM (3p/jD)

102 #95 These are not thedead votersyou are looking for. <waves hand>

Posted by: Olby Won Frijoles at April 25, 2012 04:54 PM (yn6XZ)

103 Soldiers know who has there back, and who calls them baby killers.

Posted by: CPT Beefy, FA, USA at April 25, 2012 04:57 PM (yn6XZ)

104
OT: just a quick note...... Sitting in line at DMV sucks.

That is all. Please return to your usual mid-day debauchery.

Posted by: IllTemperedCur at April 25, 2012 04:58 PM (mWSJA)

105 We will win Florida. Ohio will be the bitch.

Different demographic cross-sections, different dynamics at work.

OH, NH and PA are the flashpoints. VA will look like Moscow after Attack Plan R.

Posted by: Uriah Heep at April 25, 2012 05:19 PM (JdSQO)

106 mittens still sucks

Posted by: Pragmatic at April 25, 2012 05:20 PM (lTnzg)

107 Romney'12: With 20% Less Suckage than your current President

Posted by: toby928© at April 25, 2012 05:24 PM (NG097)

108 The little shit rises to wheeze!
Here's one of his greatest hits:
Feingold closing the gap in new St Norbert College poll...

Johnson 49
Feingold 47

Posted by: Greg at October 19, 2010 03:03 PM

Posted by: Greg at April 25, 2012 05:34 PM (sXjAm)

109 Two years later, you still fail, Greg. Fuck off.

Posted by: CAC at April 25, 2012 05:39 PM (K08Wk)

110 Gregs greatest shits:
In Columbia County (big swing county), Walker won by 1% and Ron Johnson lost by 1%.

Kloppenburg won Columbia 56-44%. It's over.
Posted by: Greg at April 05, 2011 10:20 PM (A0Q4i)

Posted by: Greg at April 25, 2012 05:40 PM (sXjAm)

111 Greg, you pretended to be a con to shit all over everything,. You were proven wrong, HORRIBLY SO, over Prosser-Klopp. Crawl back to Kos.

Posted by: Greg at April 25, 2012 05:41 PM (sXjAm)

112 All trolls are Average Joe.

Posted by: toby928© at April 25, 2012 05:41 PM (NG097)

113 I think PPP is the only other company that polled Colorado this cycle. They've shown Obama with a huge lead there, 13 points in the last survey. In fact, most polling from the Intermountain West has not been comforting so far this year, with a recent poll showing Obama leading in Arizona and others showing a close race there. One major difference between the polls is that most seem to be polling registered voters this far out from the election while the Purple Poll polled likely voters.

Despite Rasmussen, I think Romney is slightly behind Obama at this point. At minimum, the state polling - even Rasmussen's - isn't tracking Rasmussen's nationwide Romney lead right now. But Obama's lead is far from insurmountable.

Posted by: cinyc at April 25, 2012 05:42 PM (Hab/c)

114 So what is the real story with Ohio? Who's right? Has Romney been ahead in OH this year?

Posted by: rayjayjohnsonjr at April 25, 2012 05:43 PM (YyWMR)

115 "Despite Rasmussen, I think Romney is slightly behind Obama at this point. At minimum, the state polling - even Rasmussen's - isn't tracking Rasmussen's nationwide Romney lead right now. But Obama's lead is far from insurmountable."

IMO, Florida is likely to go for Romney, but Ohio looks like it's settled on Obama and VA looks like a toss-up.

Posted by: rayjayjohnsonjr at April 25, 2012 05:45 PM (YyWMR)

116
So what is the real story with Ohio? Who's right? Has Romney been ahead in OH this year?


Romney hasn't been ahead in an Ohio poll this year - though he lead by 1 in a Quinnipiac poll from last December. But Greg is wrong about Romney never being close. Quinnipiac had the race within 2 in January and many pollsters had the race within 4 points at various times - which is within or close to the margin of error.

Posted by: cinyc at April 25, 2012 05:49 PM (Hab/c)

117 So what is the real story with Ohio? Who's right? Has Romney been ahead in OH this year?
Posted by: rayjayjohnsonjr at April 25, 2012 05:43 PM (YyWMR)
Nope. But he needs 1 of 2: PA or OH. PA has consistently polled better for him than Ohio. The Kasich-Union fight still leaves a rotten taste there. Not as bad as it was during the heat of the fight, but still there.

Posted by: CAC at April 25, 2012 05:49 PM (K08Wk)

118 Just need Romney to keep it close this early.

Posted by: Mallamutt, RINO President for Life at April 25, 2012 05:55 PM (OWjjx)

119 Here in CO there are very few "O - 2012" bumper stickers. Of the lib-twits I can stand to speak to, only a handful express their willingness to re-elect The Juan.
Even that is reluctant.

Not much enthusiasm for Barky in the Rockies.

Change that purple mountains majesty to red.

Posted by: Joe Mama at April 25, 2012 06:20 PM (OokNw)

120 "Despite Rasmussen, I think Romney is slightly behind Obama at this
point. At minimum, the state polling - even Rasmussen's - isn't tracking
Rasmussen's nationwide Romney lead right now. But Obama's lead is far
from insurmountable."

Obama: Leading from behind.
Must be that million man math at work again.

Posted by: Joe Mama at April 25, 2012 06:22 PM (OokNw)

121 Normally I'd agree with Ed Anger, who hails from Philly as I do (I think). Miss your column in the Weekly World News. PA has been tantalizing in the past, but the Dems always pulled the football away, and I had vowed to never fall for that again.
But.
2010 happened. Toomey won, the state government went totally GOP. And, they passed the Voter ID law....which is the key to me. If the courts don't throw it out, the state could very well go Red. If the law is tossed, it could still go Red, but probably wouldn't. And something tells me that Romney might fight a little bit if blatant fraud is uncovered..perhaps that's wishcasting.

Ed, Imiss your column in the Weekly World News, btw.....

Posted by: Damn Sockpuppet at April 25, 2012 06:23 PM (YmPwQ)

122 No way NH goes for O-bah-muhh

Posted by: Mitt Still Sux, But O-bah-muhh Sux More at April 25, 2012 06:46 PM (1ldbf)

123 [l]84 Thank God Colorado is at least tied. Now I can go out without a paper bag over my head.
Posted by: WalrusRex at April 25, 2012 04:39 PM (Hx5uv)[/l]

[l]Change that purple mountains majesty to red.
Posted by: Joe Mama at April 25, 2012 06:20 PM (OokNw)[/l]

Colorado native here. I have watched elections here all my life. I keep saying it because I believe it: Colorado is essentially a conservative state, but very prone for voting the man instead of the party in statewide elections. I do not believe Bennett's senate seat would have gone to the Dem's last cycle if it had not been for the Dan Maes for Governor fiasco - not to mention the Schaeffer crap. The Republican Party was an embarrassment that cycle.

Colorado folk tend to be pretty independent in outlook, if not necessarily in the political sense. If they sense BS from a candidate, he/she will not be rewarded for it.

I try not to be a Pollyanna about these things, but I truly believe that Coloradans have weighed Obama in the balance and find him... lighter than a three month old cowpie.


Posted by: ObjectionSustained at April 25, 2012 06:56 PM (Yaj4M)

124 Why oh why can a dyslexic not post proper tags? Actually, I am just incompetent. I extend my egrets to real dyslexics.

Posted by: ObjectionSustained at April 25, 2012 06:58 PM (Yaj4M)

125 Eh, can't wait to see Obama in for another 4 years. Want to heartily thank right tards for bringing in another loser.

HL Mencken was right. We deserve it good and hard.




Posted by: Frankenstein Government at April 26, 2012 11:29 AM (GOG1H)

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Posted by: The Serpent’s Shadow iBooks at May 01, 2012 09:47 AM (sEtKs)

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Posted by: My Cross to Bear ePub at May 01, 2012 08:07 PM (uydDX)

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Posted by: The Positive Dog iBooks at May 02, 2012 07:19 AM (0pNh9)






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