Why My Head Hurts (and I Don't Post Poll Threads These Days)
Polling numbers eight months ahead of election day rarely tell you the whole story.
President Obama's Approval Rating: 46/53, with 44% Strongly Disapproving. President Obama trails Mitt Romney nationally by 2, 47-45, and leads Rick Santorum by 3, 47-44.
All released by the same firm within an hour of each other.
Now you see why I haven't done maps or polling threads in a while.
1 you're looking at racism, straight up
Posted by: dudeinsantacruz at March 09, 2012 05:53 PM (+WPzY)
But Intrade has Obama up by 20%!!!!!!
Instead of reacting like an ADD'er, you could post the same dumb anti-troll joke that some AoS idiot has been shilling for 4 years now.
Posted by: In before the troll at March 09, 2012 05:55 PM (KZuD1)
3 CAC, I think you're going to have prepare yourself for the fact that we're going to lose. And we're going to lose huge.
--A Few Good Men
Posted by: Christina Hendricks' Mighty Jugs is now Andrew Breitbart's New Residence at March 09, 2012 05:55 PM (lSZoo)
4 Only the first poll showing Obama ahead is significant. Well that and Obama's pole which is lodged down my throat.
Posted by: Gerg at March 09, 2012 05:59 PM (KI/Ch)
5 The thing is, polls 2 and 3 agree with each other. The first can also be true, but it means that Obama is losing badly someplace they didn't poll.
Posted by: Meiczyslaw at March 09, 2012 06:01 PM (bjRNS)
6 If idiots re-elect SCOAMF again, we don't deserve to survive as a nation.
It kills me to even type that.
Posted by: Jane D'oh at March 09, 2012 06:01 PM (UOM48)
7 The first can also be true, but it means that Obama is losing badly someplace they didn't poll.
Posted by: Meiczyslaw at March 09, 2012 06:01 PM (bjRNS)
The only way that all three can be equally true is if somehow Romney is kicking Obama's ass in Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Wisconsin, Michigan, Iowa, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Maine.Yet hes...losing in 4 states to the right of all of those (which by the way puts you at 271-267 electoral votes)
OR the 6% that "want someone else" are the right-leaning R's and Indies disastisfied with Romney but not wanting Obama. Then, the 4 states swing from 46-42 O over R to 48-46 R over O.
Again, I have my doubts.
Posted by: CAC at March 09, 2012 06:04 PM (Hs/Gi)
8 Took a call today from Sen. Casey's office asking if we were going to participate in fundraising for the PA senator. I asked the dweeb how our senator voted on yesterday's Keystone Pipeline vote and the dweeb didn't know!
Posted by: Mountainmonkey at March 09, 2012 06:05 PM (uXdJq)
9 Obama is a stuttering clusterf*ck of a miserable failure.
Posted by: steevy at March 09, 2012 06:10 PM (7W3wI)
*sigh* ....Well, it's looking like we're going to have Mr. Inevitable for our nominee.
We need to start working on how to combat all that stuff that is going to be thrown at Romney, once it is official.... So, I will make a stab at it....
The Omg-he's-a-millionaire-1%er!-stuff. ---"So what? He has his own money, and won't be stealing it from the public purse." ....Or, "Unlike Obama, Romney wants you to be able to have money too".
The 'crazyMormon cultist' stuff. --- "The Mormon religion was made-in-the-USA. It's roots are here. At least we don't have to worry about his allegiance to any foreign country".
That's all I got right now. ....I will work moreon it.
And yeah, CAC....the world will go round a couple hundred times between now and November. ....So while these polls are momentarily interesting, there is no telling what will happen to affect them, between now and then.
Posted by: wheatie at March 09, 2012 06:23 PM (dauG/)
11 today's releases in 10 words or less:
It's March. Election's in November. Useless pollfapping for pollfapping's sake.
Most people polled have no clue what's for dinner tonight.
Posted by: Kevin in ABQ at March 09, 2012 06:26 PM (BvTwT)
12 I stopped reading poll stories a couple months ago. Oh wait, then why am I commenting on this one?
Posted by: I believe the lies I tell myself at March 09, 2012 06:37 PM (rz0yi)
13 My fucking head hurts anyway.
Posted by: arhooley at March 09, 2012 06:38 PM (NXYLH)
(See Census quick facts.)
So, you say what about Ohio?
State union membership levels depend on both the overall employment levels and union membership rates. The largest numbers of union members lived in California (2.4 million) and New York (1.9 million). Over half of the 14.8 million union members in the U.S. lived in just seven states (California, 2.4 million; New York, 1.9 million; Illinois, 0.9 million; Pennsylvania, 0.8 million; Michigan 0.7 million; and New Jersey and Ohio, 0.6 million each), though these states accounted for only about one- third of wage and salary employment nationally.
Also scroll down for the map, interesting.
Posted by: tasker at March 09, 2012 06:41 PM (XsnBd)
15 See why I keep arguing about PA not being in the bag?
Posted by: tasker at March 09, 2012 06:44 PM (XsnBd)
16 Obama will lose. There's not much point in analyzing polling or push polls. The nation is in worse shape now and the projections of the nation getting stronger not weaker are down. The MFM will do what it does just like it did with Reagan/Carter. Americans see their families, friends, and neighbors and then they see the spin. Which do you think they're going to believe?
It's not who the GOP produces, it's who Obama has been seen to be.
Posted by: AnonymousDrivel at March 09, 2012 06:46 PM (eHIJJ)
17 I don't buy it.
Posted by: rectal exam at March 09, 2012 06:46 PM (O7ksG)
18 Are you better off than you were 4 years ago? No? Well, how about Rush Limbaugh calling your daughters sluts and whores? I bet you'd like that to stop, wouldn't you?
Posted by: Warden at March 09, 2012 06:54 PM (HzhBE)
19 Do not question the Obergruppenführer.
Posted by: toby928© at March 09, 2012 08:03 PM (GTbGH)
20 With the very good jobs numbers coming out every month, Obama's numbers will only go up.
And what happened to gas prices hurting the President? When does that happen?
Posted by: Greg at March 09, 2012 08:05 PM (J3Ovp)
21 And when do I stop deep-throating Obama? When does that happen?
Never, that's when.
Posted by: Gerg at March 09, 2012 08:28 PM (MTzcp)
22 CAC - I feel your pain.. my trolling on libtard sites is rather easy because of the wildly fluctuating polls. Anyone can prove their thesis if they can cherry pick a poll.
They are all worthless.
Nobody wants to admit they will vote for Romney. So they lie.. kinda.. it is wishful thinking that some white knight will ride out and save their day. Morons.
And the libtards who won't even bother voting say they will vote for Obambi.
But that's the way it is.. and it ain't gonna change until the convention.
My prediction? Romney wins electoral votes and Obama wins popular. The libtards don't take this one sitting down and fucking riot. but then, I do love science fiction and stories of a dystopian near future with city folks pitted against rural ones. Cry havoc, and let slip the dogs of war! Or, maybe I am just getting bored in my old age.
Posted by: Chi-Town Jerry at March 09, 2012 09:43 PM (UTq/I)
23 I'll give $ome hint$ $oon.
Posted by: Ra$$mu$$en at March 10, 2012 12:43 AM (2IGbS)
If idiots re-elect SCOAMF again, we don't deserve to survive as a nation.
It kills me to even type that.
Posted by: Jane D'oh at March 09, 2012 06:01 PM (UOM4
I'll die with you dear. But then, Andrew lives....
at least until the 1st Tuesday of November.
And he will.
Posted by: eureka! at March 10, 2012 12:49 AM (2IGbS)
25 Polls this early are a complete crock.
Just ask President John Kerry (up 8% over Bush in March 2004) and congratulate President Carter on his 2nd term (way ahead of the "unelectable, wild-man, troglodyte right-wing hate-monger" Ronald Reagan in March 1980).
Plus if gas goes up another $1 a gallon, nothing else will matter anyway.
Don't waste your time.
Posted by: Chester White at March 10, 2012 08:36 AM (F3f0k)
26 I eat feces and crap out KFC
Posted by: Just a shithead at March 10, 2012 01:17 PM (gnViO)
Ah. Much better. And more believable.
Posted by: CAC at March 10, 2012 01:43 PM (W0gE7)
Processing 0.0, elapsed 0.0082 seconds.
Polls! Polls! Polls!
Real Clear Politics
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Primary Document: The Audio
Paul Anka Haiku Contest Announcement
Integrity SAT's: Entrance Exam for Paul Anka's Band
AllahPundit's Paul Anka 45's Collection
AnkaPundit: Paul Anka Takes Over the Site for a Weekend (Continues through to Monday's postings)
George Bush Slices Don Rumsfeld Like an F*ckin' Hammer
Top Top Tens
Democratic Forays into Erotica
New Shows On Gore's DNC/MTV Network
Nicknames for Potatoes, By People Who Really Hate Potatoes
Star Wars Euphemisms for Self-Abuse
Signs You're at an Iraqi "Wedding Party"
Signs Your Clown Has Gone Bad
Signs That You, Geroge Michael, Should Probably Just Give It Up
Signs of Hip-Hop Influence on John Kerry
NYT Headlines Spinning Bush's Jobs Boom
Things People Are More Likely to Say Than "Did You Hear What Al Franken Said Yesterday?"
Signs that Paul Krugman Has Lost His Frickin' Mind
All-Time Best NBA Players, According to Senator Robert Byrd
Other Bad Things About the Jews, According to the Koran
Signs That David Letterman Just Doesn't Care Anymore
Examples of Bob Kerrey's Insufferable Racial Jackassery
Signs Andy Rooney Is Going Senile
Other Judgments Dick Clarke Made About Condi Rice Based on Her Appearance
Collective Names for Groups of People
John Kerry's Other Vietnam Super-Pets
Cool Things About the XM8 Assault Rifle
Media-Approved Facts About the Democrat Spy
Changes to Make Christianity More "Inclusive"
Secret John Kerry Senatorial Accomplishments
John Edwards Campaign Excuses
John Kerry Pick-Up Lines
Changes Liberal Senator George Michell Will Make at Disney
Torments in Dog-Hell
The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)