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PPP: Christie Leads Corzine 47-41

The final PPP survey before the vote has Christie ahead by six. That's outside the margin of error and so, hopefully, tomorrow's vote will be firm enough to withstand a Democratic election challenge.

Interestingly, Daggett is now seen as spoiling Corzine:

Christie's advantage is due largely to his support from independents and because he has Republicans more unified around him than the Democrats are around Corzine. Christie leads Corzine 52-29 with indies, as Daggett's support with that group has declined to 16%. Christie is getting 82% of Republicans to Corzine's 72% of Democrats.

As the campaign concludes it seems like Daggett's presence in the race has actually ended up hurting Corzine more than Christie, contrary to the earlier conventional wisdom. 45% of Daggett voters say the incumbent is their second choice to 36% for the challenger. Daggett's backers report having voted for Barack Obama by a 67-23 margin last year.

New Jersey is a blue state that habitually reelects the incumbent. And President Obama sent his GOTV people to Corzine, who has been nothing but a puppet for the past two weeks. Yesterday I suggested that Corzine would pull out a bonafide win or a win via election challenge. It would be nice to be wrong.

Posted by: Gabriel Malor at 10:21 AM



Comments

1 are you listening, Governor Patrick?

Posted by: fluffy. masshole at November 02, 2009 10:23 AM (4Kl5M)

2 Win via election challenge sounds about right.

Posted by: New Jersey State Apparatus at November 02, 2009 10:24 AM (cxGtL)

3 According to the time-stamp, I can't read this post for another hour.

Posted by: Tami at November 02, 2009 10:24 AM (VuLos)

4 I too fear it will be close enough for Corzine to steal.Hope I'm wrong.

Posted by: steevy at November 02, 2009 10:25 AM (xL/DW)

5 Hmmm. People keep throwing around this new-fangled term, "election." Let's see, I could reach for the dictionary . . . No, I'll just have another buttered scone.

Posted by: Charlie Gibson at November 02, 2009 10:26 AM (cxGtL)

6

"hopefully, tomorrow's vote will be firm enough to withstand a Democratic election challenge."

I remember also that there was a chance for Bush to win "America's Armpit" in 2004, but that didn't happen.  I do hope Christie pulls it out, but since it's New Jersey, I won't be surprised if Corzine wins again. 

People get the government they deserve, and in the end, there will be only chaos.

Posted by: Kratos (on the back of Gaia, scaling Mt Olympus) at November 02, 2009 10:26 AM (9hSKh)

7 fuggedaboutit.

Posted by: ACORN at November 02, 2009 10:26 AM (ngD76)

8

If Christie leads by a legitimate six, then Corzine's a shoo-in.

re: Mass Gub. election:  I see Patrick re-elected with about 35%.

Posted by: Truman North. masshole at November 02, 2009 10:27 AM (e8YaH)

9 I'll do my part voting for Christie tomorrow.  Not my favorite ballot to cast in my lifetime, but could be a lot worse, and usually is in New Jersey.

Corzine will steal it anyway, though.  I am convinced that NJ elections have been stolen for years.  Not that it even matters much, since 95% of the time, the NJ GOP is completely infiltrated by dems... pretty much ALL our Republican pols are Skozzafava's, or close to it.

Qwinn

Posted by: Qwinn at November 02, 2009 10:27 AM (SxA2Q)

10 Too bad zombies can't be polled, otherwise you'd have Corzine up by 5.

Posted by: taylork at November 02, 2009 10:28 AM (4jZ56)

11
yeah, fluffy, I think the same scenario could play out here in Assachusetts next year, thanks to Tim Cahill.

Posted by: Dean Tweet at November 02, 2009 10:30 AM (z37MR)

12 But I haven't even voted yet?

Posted by: nevergiveup at November 02, 2009 10:30 AM (TfW4T)

Posted by: eddiebear at November 02, 2009 10:32 AM (vKHcj)

14 Hey, OT, help a mron out.  Looking for web-accessable primary sources on the Blue Eagle.  Anyone?

Posted by: Truman North at November 02, 2009 10:32 AM (e8YaH)

15 and so, hopefully, tomorrow's vote will be firm enough to withstand a Democratic election challenge.

Amazing and sad that this line of thinking is de rigeur now.

Posted by: AmishDude at November 02, 2009 10:34 AM (T0NGe)

16 14 Hey, OT, help a mron out.  Looking for web-accessable primary sources on the Blue Eagle.  Anyone?

I tried. All of the Wikipedia citations are secondary, so . . . yeah. That's all I've got.

Posted by: Shooter McGavin at November 02, 2009 10:36 AM (cxGtL)

17 It's interesting that Realclearpolitics hasn't yet worked either of the PPP polls showing Republicans winning big in NY-23 and New Jersey into their polling averages.

Is PPP not considered reputable?

Posted by: Shooter McGavin at November 02, 2009 10:41 AM (cxGtL)

18

Yeah, Shooter.  That's what I go, too.  I have sufficient sourcing to write something credible, but there's always more to go.

 

re: eddiebear's link:  That's a new one on me.  I guess when you live outside the law, you have to get real creative sometimes.

Posted by: Truman North at November 02, 2009 10:41 AM (e8YaH)

19 15: that's why the term "margin of fraud" now has to factor in with the Dems

Posted by: eddiebear at November 02, 2009 10:41 AM (vKHcj)

20 Truman North--did you try the LOC

Posted by: HeatherRadish at November 02, 2009 10:41 AM (NtiET)

21

I kept saying Christie needs 6 to win. Seeing the PPP this AM-- damn I'm good.

Donations welcome. 

Posted by: Bat Chain Puller at November 02, 2009 10:44 AM (SCcgT)

22

17 It's interesting that Realclearpolitics hasn't yet worked either of the PPP polls showing Republicans winning big in NY-23 and New Jersey into their polling averages.

Is PPP not considered reputable?

Actually, Realclearpolitics is a lefty shill machine on the level of 535.

Posted by: Truman North at November 02, 2009 10:46 AM (e8YaH)

23 Heard on Fox News that Cor-ass spent $25 million on re-elect will Christie spent $9 million.

Posted by: Mike H at November 02, 2009 10:46 AM (LdYLm)

24 It would be great to see Christie win, but I'm afraid this will end up being a replay of the "keep recounting the ballots until the Democrat wins" scenario that gave us Senator Al Franken.

Posted by: Nighthawk at November 02, 2009 10:47 AM (OtQXp)

25

Republicans always get a big jump in the polls on the last day of the race. That is when the liberal SOBs who run most of the polls have to become more honest so that when the real “poll” is held they don’t look like complete idiots.

 

After all, some of them actually still believe in capitalism and wish to keep their jobs promoting Marxists.

Posted by: Vic at November 02, 2009 10:49 AM (CDUiN)

26 Where is Steele and the rest of the biggies.

Boots on the Ground to help Christie.  Plus legions of poll monsters.

Call Steele.........

Posted by: non_dhimmie at November 02, 2009 10:50 AM (cFwGO)

27 Interesting polling from Ras.  GOP identification is slipping a bit (and Dem identification is increasing a bit), but today's Ras tracking says -13 Obama.  46% at least somewhat approve and 52% at least somewhat disapprove, which is, I think, the biggest spread in the softer numbers.

Posted by: AmishDude at November 02, 2009 10:52 AM (T0NGe)

28 So when POTUS flew into Newark last night it only delayed all incoming and outgoing flights by a mere 3 hours.

Gee, I hope the President's next date night is either spent at home or scheduled for 3AM on a Thursday.

Posted by: WTFCI at November 02, 2009 10:52 AM (GtYrq)

29 19 more minutes until Gabriel's Christie post. I'm so excited!

Posted by: Ben B. at November 02, 2009 10:53 AM (wXmCd)

30 22: I dunno about that. In 2003-4, they were pretty hard core conservative, though they have gone soft since they partnered with Time Magazine.

BUT, I do find it interesting that they constantly jump all over a Kos poll and factor them in right away, yet exclude others.

Posted by: eddiebear at November 02, 2009 10:53 AM (vKHcj)

31 Actually, Realclearpolitics is a lefty shill machine on the level of 535.

Huh?  Really?  My read of RCP is that they're center-right or rather pro-markets politicos.

Posted by: WTFCI at November 02, 2009 10:54 AM (GtYrq)

32 Like WSJ, they are left-leaning in their "news" division (polls) since polls are predominantly leftist, and conservative in their editorial pages.

Posted by: Truman North at November 02, 2009 10:56 AM (e8YaH)

33
Have you all watched Chris Wallace's interview with Rush Limbaugh? If you haven't you need to now. It's a great interview and Rush doesn't pull any punches.

If you don't want to watch the whole thing, at least watch this part between the 3:50 and 5:18 mark.

Posted by: Dean Tweet at November 02, 2009 10:57 AM (z37MR)

34 Christie has no chance.  It's too close.
Once the ballot stuffing starts, it is all over for him.

Posted by: Rickshaw Jack at November 02, 2009 10:57 AM (mcbkO)

35 Heh!  All this after the Obama administration has been advising and campaigning for Corzine.  Of course that's just a bad coiincidence, unlike when that stupid neanderthal, George Bush lost the midterm elections.  I voted this morning (we have all mail in ballot), and mailing it today.

Posted by: runningrn at November 02, 2009 11:00 AM (qP2BK)

36 Said it earlier.  Corzine's going to win.  The party of the little guy, Liberal Democrats are going to elect their Goldman-Sachs politician again.

Posted by: Tom in Korea at November 02, 2009 11:01 AM (+gX1+)

37 Christie?

Never heard of him.

Posted by: Charlie Gibson, glasses perched on the end of my nose at November 02, 2009 11:02 AM (aDG19)

38 Tweet, good call.  Had the pleasure of watching that portion on Fox and Friends this morning between delivering the eskimos to the bus and waking my bride.  Rush went for the jugular and got it.

Posted by: Truman North at November 02, 2009 11:03 AM (e8YaH)

39 I voted this morning (we have all mail in ballot), and mailing it today.

Trust the US Postal Service to not lose your ballot?  Ballsy.

Posted by: Tom in Korea at November 02, 2009 11:04 AM (+gX1+)

40

>hopefully, tomorrow's vote will be firm enough to withstand a Democratic election challenge  widespread voter fraud

 

 

fify

Posted by: Cool Money Grip at November 02, 2009 11:06 AM (KOkrW)

41
They played that part on F&F?

Cool. I kinda thought it was the best part when I saw it lastnight.

Posted by: Dean Tweet at November 02, 2009 11:06 AM (z37MR)

Posted by: Pete-billy at November 02, 2009 11:07 AM (WQUZj)

43 Why does Chris Wallace always look constipated and insulted?

Posted by: Truman North at November 02, 2009 11:08 AM (e8YaH)

44
19 15: that's why the term "margin of fraud" now has to factor in with the Dems

I definitely think we need to use "margin of fraud" for ALL election discussions from here on out. Language is powerful, the Dems use it all the time to fool people and we need to fight back on their own turf.

Describing a poll result as being within or outside of the margin of fraud would REALLY be an awesome way to talk about elections!

Posted by: Less at November 02, 2009 11:12 AM (PGXeZ)

45
I'm dying to know what kind rumors and chatter is circulating in the NY-23!!!

I need to know if people up there know what's what.

Posted by: Dean Tweet at November 02, 2009 11:13 AM (z37MR)

46 Less, there are so many good ideas here every day that it's impossible to even recognize most of them publicly.  That phrase is a really good way to change the language of the debate!

Posted by: Truman North at November 02, 2009 11:14 AM (e8YaH)

47 25, that was genius

Posted by: wHodat at November 02, 2009 11:14 AM (+sBB4)

48 If NY-23 was on Long Island or something, I'd consider heading out there.  Not gonna drive 12 hours each way, though.

Posted by: Truman North at November 02, 2009 11:15 AM (e8YaH)

49 48, ACORN has a bus.  Try it.

Posted by: wHodat at November 02, 2009 11:16 AM (+sBB4)

50 I'm dying to know what kind rumors and chatter is circulating in the NY-23!!!

Twitter.  #ny23.

Ali is on the ground.

Posted by: HeatherRadish at November 02, 2009 11:20 AM (NtiET)

51 17 It's interesting that Realclearpolitics hasn't yet worked either of the PPP polls showing Republicans winning big in NY-23 and New Jersey into their polling averages.

Is PPP not considered reputable?

Posted by: Shooter McGavin at November 02, 2009 10:41 AM (cxGtL)

RCP doesn't include partisan polls in their rolling averages after a certain date (soemtime in Oct.). And, despite the fact they're a Dem firm they were the 2nd most accurate I believe on the battlegorund states during the Pres. election last year.

Posted by: changer1701 at November 02, 2009 11:21 AM (xktXL)

52 44
19 15: that's why the term "margin of fraud" now has to factor in with the Dems

"I definitely think we need to use "margin of fraud" for ALL election discussions from here on out..."

Posted by: Less at November 02, 2009 11:12 AM (PGXeZ)

That's a great idea!  We should try to find a good empirical way of defining a "margin of fraud" based on factors such as how firmly in the tank the media is, how compliant the courts are, etc etc.

Posted by: Nighthawk at November 02, 2009 11:21 AM (OtQXp)

53 We should try to find a good empirical way of defining a "margin of fraud"

Count the buses that roll into the polling places.

Posted by: HeatherRadish at November 02, 2009 11:23 AM (NtiET)

54 '''I'm dying to know what kind rumors and chatter is circulating in the NY-23!!!

I need to know if people up there know what's what.''

@Dean Tweet
Conservative candidate leads with 5%
 
Hoffmann 41% , Owens 36%, undecided 18%




Posted by: Pete-billy at November 02, 2009 11:23 AM (WQUZj)

55
Thanks, Pete-billy. Damn, though, I can't stand the Politico.

I'm still curious to know what the buzz on the street is up there in NY-23.


Posted by: Dean Tweet at November 02, 2009 11:25 AM (z37MR)

56 53 We should try to find a good empirical way of defining a "margin of fraud"

Count the buses that roll into the polling places.

Posted by: HeatherRadish at November 02, 2009 11:23 AM (NtiET)

That's another one, albeit one that could only be applied after the election.  Which is really cool since it would allow for a "margin of fraud" and a "revised margin of fraud".  Kinda like what they do with economic indicators.

Posted by: Nighthawk at November 02, 2009 11:27 AM (OtQXp)

57

Christie isn't perfect, but he's no Dede Scozzafailure.

"purity" my ass.

it's not about "purity"

it's about not trying to pass off a socialist as a conservative.

the GOP is the party of conservatism, we have no where else to go.

we will make the GOP our home again and if "moderates" like Scozzafailure don't like it, that's just tough.

Posted by: shoey at November 02, 2009 11:27 AM (RxUMK)

58 Acorn's got more than a bus, they got thousands of zobie voters, just now waking up to vote in the AM.

Posted by: Kemp at November 02, 2009 11:28 AM (qvT/A)

59 @Dean Tweet
Conservative candidate leads with 5%
 
Hoffmann 41% , Owens 36%, undecided 18%




Posted by: Pete-billy at November 02, 2009 11:23 AM (WQUZj)

Good news!  Now I hope Hoffman has the smarts to clam up because you know that the media is just waiting for him to have an "Al D'Amato Moment".

Posted by: Nighthawk at November 02, 2009 11:29 AM (OtQXp)

60 The prez called for the 'Pookie' vote. Is that a code word for the ACORN organized crime organization to rally?

Posted by: Sccrapiron at November 02, 2009 11:35 AM (GkYyh)

61
Fuck it. I'm calling it right now.

Hoffman wins.

Unless the people up in NY-23 are complete dunces, there's no way Scooz's supporters switch to Owens. Owens already had the moonbat vote, already had the liberal vote, and already had the left-leaning moderate vote.

That leaves the conservative vote, the Republican vote, and the tiny right-leaning independent vote to choose between Hoffman and the Scooz. This is right-leaning district, mind you. So tell me, why would any of the aforementioned right-of-center blocs vote for Owens? They wouldn't. The only 'scooz' votes that Hoffman won't get are a) the votes from Scooz, her husband, her family, and her friends, and b) the handful of righties who are too stupid to realize Scooz is no longer in the race or was never a legit (R).

Hoffman wins on 11/3.
QED

Posted by: Dean Tweet at November 02, 2009 11:36 AM (z37MR)

62 I think I heard a Christie pollster/campaign worker on local radio claim that the number of absentee ballots submitted in Camden exceeded the number of people who had registered for absentee ballots, which got me thinking that the idea of stuffing ballot boxes en masse, preemptively, is rather gauche. The purpose is, I think, a litigious foothold to mire down the election, whereupon the ballot box stuffing can actually begin.

Posted by: MRI at November 02, 2009 11:36 AM (aVQo/)

63

60

Are serious? Cause that would be hilarious if that is true. Pookie was a character in a movie called New Jack City played by Chris Rock. The character was a thief and a crack addict who ended up getting shot.

Posted by: Mr. Pink at November 02, 2009 11:38 AM (SqAkN)

64

Dean Tweet:

Starting to agree with you. Saw Lawrence O'Donnell on Morning Joe this a.m. He is already starting the spin that since NY-23 is surrounded by Democratic Congressional districts, the Congressional Democrats want Hoffman to win so in 2011, they can draw the district out of existence.

That, by the way, is some major league spin.

Posted by: Mallamutt at November 02, 2009 11:39 AM (V9SYy)

65 You know what would be great?  It would be great if the UN sent poll-watchers to these close races to make sure that all the races are decided cleanly and fairly that all the fraud happens for the correct candidates.

Posted by: Truman North at November 02, 2009 11:41 AM (e8YaH)

66 And I am still waiting on Nat Silvers (of 538 fame) to tell me why PPP is so wrong on this. Nothing like a little Blue on Blue action to get the week off to a good start.

Posted by: Mallamutt at November 02, 2009 11:42 AM (V9SYy)

67 Hey Scrapiron did he really say that or were you just joking there?

Posted by: Mr. Pink at November 02, 2009 11:42 AM (SqAkN)

68
that's funny, because when the Republicans controlled Congress and most of the state legislatures, all the Democrats did was bitch about gerrymandering.

Posted by: Dean Tweet at November 02, 2009 11:42 AM (z37MR)

69

I do not think that Corzine can lose....I do believe the election is in the margin of fraud...

ACORN,,,get your ACORN here.

 

Corzine is too big to fail.

Posted by: ford at November 02, 2009 11:42 AM (Ki7fm)

70

You know what would be great?  It would be great if the UN sent poll-watchers to these close races to make sure that all the races are decided cleanly and fairly that all the fraud happens for the correct candidates.

Does anyone know where Jimmah Carter is today - please tell me he is nowhere near New Jersey or New York.

Posted by: Mallamutt at November 02, 2009 11:43 AM (V9SYy)

71 NJ is in trouble!  Time for ACORN to mobilize and get out the buses from PA, Philly.  NY,  New York City, All of NJ. Trenton et all.  Must be about 20 colleges within a 1/2 hour bus ride.  25,000  votes should seal it for the dem's. Who is going to stop them. Anyone here have a solution?

Posted by: mystry at November 02, 2009 11:46 AM (kmgIE)

72 @Dean Tweet

With undecided near to 18% NY-23 has become nearly impossible to forecast.

NY-23 it's a real political test for both parties and here we go ..if Hoffman wins the election...the road is open for Sarah 2012!!

Get it?

Posted by: Pete-billy at November 02, 2009 11:46 AM (WQUZj)

73
The only thing that concerns me is Hoffman might lack the number of poll watchers and lawyers to monitor the shenanigans at the polls. I don't know if the NRCC is gonna be there and support Hoffman, or if they packed up and got out of Dodge.

Posted by: Dean Tweet at November 02, 2009 11:47 AM (z37MR)

74 50 @ Heather Radish

Great news that Rudy is recording robocalls for Hoffman. I think the view from on the ground is encouraging.

Btw, figuring out a margin of fraud in elections is GENIUS.

Posted by: Tattoo DePlane at November 02, 2009 11:48 AM (VLYnh)

75 73 @ Dean Tweet

I've heard the full Republican apparatus is behind Hoffman.

Posted by: Tattoo DePlane at November 02, 2009 11:49 AM (VLYnh)

76

Did anyone notice that the Second Potsdam Conference is the cause of the Hoffman win?

That is Sergi’s Italian Restaurant in Potsdam, NY.

History repeats itself, Potsdam is an Important name. When a group of political hacks backed a commie plan?

Posted by: Cromagnum at November 02, 2009 11:49 AM (QZFcc)

77
I've heard the full Republican apparatus is behind Hoffman.

woo hoo!

wait.

Is that a good thing or a bad thing?

Posted by: Dean Tweet at November 02, 2009 11:51 AM (z37MR)

78

From Campaign Diaries: Scozzafava campaign manager has announced he will support Hoffman.

Glad to see some people got the memo.

Posted by: Mallamutt at November 02, 2009 11:51 AM (V9SYy)

79 Also, Joe Wilson will be in New Jersey today campaigning for Christie.

Posted by: Mallamutt at November 02, 2009 11:53 AM (V9SYy)

80 You can watch the polls all you want, but can to stop people from "voting" that came in  en mass in a bus or van..  I think not. Besides SEIU will be there to strong arm any disenters.

Posted by: mystry at November 02, 2009 11:55 AM (kmgIE)

81
Hey, Christie, You fat!

Posted by: Joe Wilson at November 02, 2009 11:55 AM (z37MR)

82 64 @ Malamutt

That how Hoffman no longer "lives in the district". When he grew up there, he was part of the district, but now the border has been moved 10 miles. He still has three businesses there, etc. But Dems would love to do away with this stronghold.

Once upon a time, Nassau County was what Reagan called "the closest thing to heaven on earth". My how times change, except that when Democrats accuse you of anything, gerrymandering here, you can guarantee they're guilty of it themselves.

Posted by: Tattoo DePlane at November 02, 2009 11:55 AM (VLYnh)

83 79 Also, Joe Wilson will be in New Jersey today campaigning for Christie.

Posted by: Mallamutt at November 02, 2009 11:53 AM (V9SYy)

I hope that doesn't backfire.  Given the picture they have painted of Wilson it gives the media a chance to try to manufacture a "macaca moment".

Posted by: Nighthawk at November 02, 2009 11:57 AM (OtQXp)

84 77 @ Dean Tweet

You were wondering about lawyers and poll watchers. That's about the only thing the so-called party leaders are good for. Hopefully, they have their heads dislodged from their asses.

Posted by: Tattoo DePlane at November 02, 2009 11:57 AM (VLYnh)

85 "Hopefully, tomorrow's vote will be firm enough to withstand a Democratic election challenge."

But will it be enough to withstand Democrat election theft? 

Posted by: kansas at November 02, 2009 11:59 AM (mka2b)

86

I hope that doesn't backfire.  Given the picture they have painted of Wilson it gives the media a chance to try to manufacture a "macaca moment".

My bad - Wilson was in New Jersey yesterday and not today. Read the article wrong on that one.

Posted by: Mallamutt at November 02, 2009 12:02 PM (V9SYy)

87

Trust the US Postal Service to not lose your ballot?  Ballsy.

Hey, I bet a coworker that the Phillies would win the World Series.  Ballsy or brain dead, I can't decide which!

Posted by: runningrn at November 02, 2009 12:06 PM (qP2BK)

88 http://airamerica.com/breakingnews/2569/
Cousin pooky reference at link.

Posted by: UGRev at November 02, 2009 12:07 PM (uhjTJ)

89

Hey, I bet a coworker that the Phillies would win the World Series.  Ballsy or brain dead, I can't decide which!

Brain dead on that one. Now me stealing 2 bases on 1 pitch - that is ballsy.

Posted by: Johnny Damon at November 02, 2009 12:09 PM (V9SYy)

90

The prez called for the 'Pookie' vote. Is that a code word for the ACORN organized crime organization to rally?

"Palimino", "Pookie"--what is it with Democrats and "P" words?

Posted by: runningrn at November 02, 2009 12:10 PM (qP2BK)

91

Brain dead on that one. Now me stealing 2 bases on 1 pitch - that is ballsy.

Posted by: Johnny Damon at November 02, 2009 12:09 PM (V9SYy)

Heh!

Posted by: runningrn at November 02, 2009 12:11 PM (qP2BK)

92

"Too bad zombies can't be polled, otherwise you'd have Corzine up by 5."

Given a zombie's penchant for braaaains, you'd think they'd be pulling for Christie, too.

Posted by: reason at November 02, 2009 12:12 PM (+hPIb)

93 103

"I hope that doesn't backfire.  Given the picture they have painted of Wilson it gives the media a chance to try to manufacture a "macaca moment"."

 

omg, will your handringing ever end?

Posted by: shoey at November 02, 2009 12:36 PM (RxUMK)

Will you ever pull your head out of your @ss and realize that ALL conservative candidates must operate in a hostile media environment?

Posted by: Nighthawk at November 02, 2009 12:14 PM (OtQXp)

94

>>I don't know if the NRCC is gonna be there and support Hoffman, or if they packed up and got out of Dodge.

NY requires 2 parties present at polling stations, drawn from the 2 parties who gained the most voters from the previous election. Had the Repubs not backed Hoffman, they'd be responsible for representing him at the polls until next election when the conservative ticket manned the polls.

Anyhow, all this means is that at least 1 Dem, 1 Repub will be present at all polling stations.

Posted by: Triumph at November 02, 2009 12:20 PM (lDdA/)

95 With apologies, I'll bet that PPP poll has some in White House all "wee wee'd" up... whatever the hell that means.

Posted by: Tom vG at November 02, 2009 12:21 PM (TRJxR)

96 Just got a letter from James Carville who wants money to attack Palin, and is saying if Hoffman is elected we could return to the Bush Cheney era.  Hey, isn't Bush starting to look pretty good right now?

Posted by: kansas at November 02, 2009 12:21 PM (mka2b)

97
Thanks for the info, Triumph.

It's good to know Hoffman won't be standing there alone with his thumb up his ass wondering how the Democrats got away with stealing the election.

Posted by: Tweet beats dead horses at November 02, 2009 12:22 PM (z37MR)

98

Are serious? Cause that would be hilarious if that is true. Pookie was a character in a movie called New Jack City played by Chris Rock. The character was a thief and a crack addict who ended up getting shot.

Posted by: Mr. Pink at November 02, 2009 11:38 AM (SqAkN)


From Hot Air:

Obama called on the audience to vote, and to make sure others do.

“You’re going to need to get cousin Pookie off the couch, and say, ‘Pookie, it’s time to go vote,’ ” POTUS said. “You’ve all got a cousin Pookie, you know who I’m talking about.”


Posted by: Tami at November 02, 2009 12:27 PM (VuLos)

99 Ya know, italics around here are an all or nothing proposition.

Posted by: Tami at November 02, 2009 12:28 PM (VuLos)

100

"Lawyer Daggett?" I recall that he was mentioned in True Grit.

("She draws him like a gun.")

Posted by: Wm T Sherman at November 02, 2009 12:30 PM (w41GQ)

101 "Lawyer Daggett?" Wasn't he mentioned in True Grit?

Posted by: Wm T Sherman at November 02, 2009 12:31 PM (w41GQ)

102 #88 Use tinyurl and not just pasting URL links into the comments. (It effs up the page layout as an 'unbroken string of text'.)

Posted by: andycanuck at November 02, 2009 12:33 PM (2qU2d)

103 "Hey, isn't Bush starting to look pretty good right now?"

No, but I'd take him over Obama anyday.

Posted by: Just Another Poster at November 02, 2009 12:33 PM (HAdov)

104 Just got a letter from James Carville who wants money to attack Palin...


Hmmm soliciting donations to attack a private citizen.
Someone is a wee bit skeerd.

Posted by: Rickshaw Jack at November 02, 2009 12:34 PM (mcbkO)

105 You ever notice who Corzine looks a LOT like?

Trick or treat!

Posted by: Mick McMick at November 02, 2009 12:34 PM (Gttuw)

106

"I hope that doesn't backfire.  Given the picture they have painted of Wilson it gives the media a chance to try to manufacture a "macaca moment"."

 

omg, will your handringing ever end?

Posted by: shoey at November 02, 2009 12:36 PM (RxUMK)

107

Posted by: WalrusRex at November 02, 2009 12:29 PM (xxgag)

Heh!  That's funny!  Although I always pictured Boss Tweed bigger.  Maybe I just had him confused with Fatty Arbuckle.

Posted by: runningrn at November 02, 2009 12:39 PM (qP2BK)

108 Oops, I was commenting on Mick McMick's "trick or treat" link. 

Posted by: runningrn at November 02, 2009 12:40 PM (qP2BK)

109

I tried posting this on the "party purity" thread, but it wouldn't take.

Unfounded fears... more about the Third Party fears at The Other McCain. (Who is also covering NY-23 directly, live.) And, oddly enough, the phrase "party purity", whether as an insult or a statement of fact, isn't used fifty times in it.

Posted by: andycanuck at November 02, 2009 12:40 PM (2qU2d)

110

Well, not only is Scuzzface endorsing Owens, she's campaigning with him as well.  She appeared at an Owens campaign event at his request.  From Hotair's headlines:

On Sunday, at an Owens campaign event at the Veterans of Foreign Wars hall on Gouverneur Street, Mr. Owens and Ms. Scozzafava talked politics during their meeting. She warned him to avoid the "hateful and divisive" tactics she said were used by her Conservative opponent.

Posted by: runningrn at November 02, 2009 12:44 PM (qP2BK)

111

From the Weekly Standard, Joe Biden's packing them in:

Biden is going to speak any minute, and there are maybe 250 people gathered (50 of them are with the media); Watertown has a population of 30,000. The event is open to the public--no one needed a ticket to get in--but the room is only about 65 percent full. The turnout suggests that Joe the Vice President might not connect with working class voters (the kind who populate Watertown) as much as the White House believes he does

LMAO!  Go Joe!

Posted by: runningrn at November 02, 2009 12:47 PM (qP2BK)

112 A little OT: Frank Luntz just flat out predicted on Fox News that Hoffman would win NY-23

Posted by: Conservative1st at November 02, 2009 12:54 PM (iTe8G)

113 If I were Owens, I'd call the white house and ask them to "get Joe the hell outta here."

Posted by: Tami at November 02, 2009 12:56 PM (VuLos)

114 From the Weekly Standard, Joe Biden's packing them in:

The news is definately not covering it that way.  They had an applause track, and didn't give any numbers at all.  Plus they had Biden sounding intelligent. They had a really good editor, I suppose (ABC radio news).

Posted by: Jay in Ames at November 02, 2009 01:02 PM (UEEex)

115 We should try to find a good empirical way of defining a "margin of fraud"

I'd suggest the Delphi method.  Its very accurate most of the time

In NJ, I think its well over 5%, but a tad less than 10%.

Posted by: Purple Avenger at November 02, 2009 01:03 PM (yw4E4)

116 Hey, I bet a coworker that the Phillies would win the World Series.  Ballsy or brain dead, I can't decide which!

Evil Empire: "All your base are belong to us"

Posted by: Purple Avenger at November 02, 2009 01:05 PM (yw4E4)

117 @99
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Posted by: pookie at November 02, 2009 02:36 PM (Ki7fm)

120 ...are you listening, Governor Patrick?

With his latest efforts at bringing in red light cameras, I'd have to say the answer is no.

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تسريحات بناتيه تسريحات للزواج تسريحات 2009 صور تسريحات روعه
صور مكياج الخبيره حياة التميمي صور مكياج 2009
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احدث مكياج 2009 مكياج غريب مكياج خطير مكياج جديد‏(
تبييض المؤخرة خلطة بياض المؤخرة‏(
صبغات للشعر صور احدث قصاات للشعر 2009 -2010 نصائح للشعر
كوشات 2010 كوشات بطراز صيني كوشات للزواج كوشه صيني
قصات ايمو تسريحات ايمو قصات بنات
وصفات تطويل الشعر ، خلطات تطويل الشعر ، وصفة تطويل الشعر ، خلطة تطويل الشعر ، تطويل الشعر ~ خلطات للشعر
حناء ، نقش حناء ، نقش حناء خليجي ، نقش حناء هندي ، نقش حناء إماراتي ، نقش حناء للعرايس
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أختاري أفضل مكياج من بين مكياج الفنانات !!!
مكياج جويل مكياج ساره مكياج روعه مكياج خبيرة التجميل جويل مكياج خبيرة التجميل ساره
قصات ، قصات شعر ، قصة شعر ، قصات 2010 ، قصات للشعر القصير ، قصات للشعر الطويل ، قصات 2010 للشعر القصير
تسريحات حليمه بولند صور قصات المذيعه حليمه بولند تسريحات وقصات 2009
تسريحة بايس هيتون . صور تسريحات كيوت . طريقه عمل تسريحة الفيونكه صورطريقه عمل تسريحه الفيونكه
مجلة كاملة لجمالك تجهيزات العروس, المكياج, تسريحات, منتجات العناية بالجسم, الاكسسورات والمجهورات, تسريحات انيقة, قصات شعر 2008, اناقة ومكياج, عناية بابشرة, اقنعة وجة, للبشرة جافة,للبشرة دهنية, للبشرة
تسريحة للمدرسة تساريح للمدرسة تسريحات للبنات
تسريحات لشعر الطويل تسريحات سهره تساريح شعر روعه
تسريحات عرايس 2009 تسريحات سهره 2010 خاص لعروس
حناء للعرايس ، نقش حناء للعرايس ، رسومات حناء للعرايس ، حناء 2010
تسريحات رائعة تسريحات لبنوتات تسريحات حلوة
صبغات شعر تسريحات شعر صبغات الوان لشعر تسريحات روعه لشعر
قصات شعر قصات للشعر الطويل قصات للشعر القصير قصات 2009 للشعر
قصات شعر للصبايات قصات جديده لشعر البنات
تسريحات سهره تسريحات الشعر المرفوع تسريحات سهرات ~ تسريحات شعر طويل
صور تسريحات شعر للأطفال تسريحات للمدارس تسريحات أطفال 2009
تسريحات للجامعه ، تسريحات للمدارس ، تسريحات بنات الجامعه ، تسريحة شعر للجامعه ، تسريحات شعر للجامعه
مكياج عيون , ميك آب عيون , صور مكياج عيون , صور أحلى مكياج عيون , جديد مكياج العيون ,
طريقة عمل مكياج عيون خفيف بثلاث الوان بالصور.
مكياج الاعلاميه حليمه بولند 2009 مكياج حليمه بولند خليجي 2009 مكياج حليمه بولند لبناني 2009
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وصفه لتطويل الشعر بسبوع وصفه جديده وصفه لشعر
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حنا خليجي حنا عربي حنا 2009
مكياج أحمد القبيسي مكياج روعه صور مكياج
خلطات لتسمين الوجه خلطات لتبيض الوجه خلطات للوجه خلطات حلوه خلطات رووعه
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تسريحات طوني مندلق تسريحات للعروس جديدة تسريحات شعر العروس موضة 2009
صبغات شعر
احدث تسريحات ومكياج الفنانه الكويتيه مشاعل الزنكوي 2009 - 2010
تسريحات للمدارس تسريحات للجامعات تسريحات ناعمه تسريحات بسيطه تسريحات 2009
تسريحات جديده , تسريحات للحفلات ,تسريحات فخمه ,تسريحات 2009
صور تسريحات حليمه بولند روووعه
مكياج روعة , مكياج خيال , مكياج جنان , مكياج خطير , مكياج للبنات , مكياج للبنوتات , مكياج لمراة , مكياج للعرائس , مكياج انيق , مكياج راقي
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صور قصات شعر, قصات جديده للشعر , أحدث القصات , قصات الشعر 2009 .
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خلطات خاصه للعرايس ، خلطات للعروسه ، خلطات للعروسات ، خلطات للعروسة
تسريحات خياليه , تسريحات جديده , تسريحات للعروس , تسريحات للأفراح , تسريحات نعومه .
تسريحات رومانيه 2009 صور التسريحات الرومانيه تسريحات روعه 2009
قصات للشعر الطويل قصات للشعر القصير قصه فكتوريا قصات 2009 قصات 2009 للشعر
مكياج عيون , أحلى مكياج عيون , ميك آب عيون , ميكاج عيون خليجي ولبناني ,جديد مكياج العيون 2009

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تحميل العاب psp ((مجانا)) وأيضا تستطيع تحميل العاب (pc-ps2-wii-xbox360)
العاب بنات العاب مكياج العاب ميك اب لعبة المكياج العاب بنات المكياج العاب بنات2009
لعبة ماتريكس تنزيل لعبة ماتريكس تحميل لعبة ماتريكس لعبة Matrix تحميل لعبة Matrix تنزيل لعبة Matrix
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World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
News/Chat