NY-20 Congressional Race: Democrat Murphy Leads By 4 Points

You can make a lot of arguments against polls in general and ones in special elections specifically but the trend isn't good for Republican Jim Tedisco.

Democrat Scott Murphy has reversed a four-point deficit and now leads Republican Jim Tedisco by 4 points, according to the latest poll from the Siena Research Institute.
Murphy now leads Tedisco 47-43 percent, with 7 percent undecided and 2 percent for Eric Sundwall, who was removed from the ballot this week. This is within the poll’s +/- 3.2 percent margin of error.
Two weeks ago, Tedisco led 45-41 percent.

I still think given the nature of the district, Tedisco will win on Tuesday and succeed now Senator Gillibrand but it's going to be a near run thing.

Posted by: DrewM. at 09:54 AM

Comments

1 I hope Tedisco wins but voters seem to be cutting off their noses to spite their face all over.

Posted by: toby928 at March 27, 2009 09:57 AM (PD1tk)

2 Courtesy of HotAir:

http://tinyurl.com/d9vvus

They think that Tedisco's chances just went up because the Libertarian candidate, currently polling around 2%, just exited the race.

Posted by: Brandon In Baton Rouge at March 27, 2009 10:01 AM (Hy1bj)

3 What brought about the swing towards Murphy? Was it because Obama and Biden endorsed him? If so, hopefully it is just a temporary blip.

Posted by: IC at March 27, 2009 10:12 AM (jZNCU)

4 Tedisco has lost 16 points in a week, or something. He's not looking good for Tuesday. He was up 12 at one point.

Posted by: lorien1973 at March 27, 2009 10:19 AM (IhQuA)

I do not believe ANY poll except election day and even then with the fraud that goes on it is not the true feelings of the electorate. In addition, despite what the liars in the media say this is NOT a “Republican District”. It has been gerrymandered to blend in more liberals by “stretching it” to the South to get more NYC flavor in it.

It used to be all upstate NY and a lot more conservative but there is a reason why the Dems took it. Given that unless the Obaminites start a hard campaign there with him actually campaigning I predict the Repubs will take it.

Posted by: Vic at March 27, 2009 10:19 AM (f6os6)

6 ACORN is probably frauding the results.

Posted by: BeckoningChasm at March 27, 2009 10:21 AM (kLWtB)

7 I grew up in the district, and never did I think that Gillibrand - no matter how much she tailored herself to the district - would blow Treadwell out by 24 points in '08. There are too many liberals moving into the areas outside of Albany - the north end of the 20th - and into the southern end of the district. On top of that, people in the section where I grew up are extremely reactionary, tending towards populism on economic issues. While they might be angry that Obama is spending money on financial bailouts, they probably embrace the spending package and the budget if they are told it contains public works money. There is a heavy skepticism of the conservative committment to smaller government, and I suppose if they want a party spending the money, they want the Democrats. While they are more abusive of tax funds, they do know how to make it sound like they are doing you every favor while raping your pocket.

Posted by: JR at March 27, 2009 10:26 AM (kwhut)

8 I used to live in Saratoga Springs back in the early 70s and other than Skidmore, it was fairly conservative (for NY).

Posted by: Vic at March 27, 2009 10:29 AM (f6os6)

9 Posted by: Vic at March 27, 2009 10:19 AM (f6os6)

The reasons NY 20 is such a large geographical district isn't to weaken Repbulican influence, it's because the state Senate and Pataki were Republicans who created it after the 2000 census. NY lost to House seats after reapportionment and this was how they saved a Republican seat.

Tedisco is running so weakly because he's run an awful campaign. He started out way to negative (and so did the RNC and the other national groups) and the idiotic vacillating on how he would have voted on the 'stimulus' gave Murphy something to talk about.

Tedisco spent the first month explaing his 'I probably would have voted for it if my amendments had passed' which was total BS. Murphy was talking about 'creating jobs' witht the 'stimulus', which was total BS but it sounded better than Tedisco's defensive, process oriented BS.

They should have run John Faso. He would have said, 'no, the 'stimulus' sucks, here's how you create jobs....' and run on the conservative catachism. He'd be killing Murphy.

Posted by: DrewM. at March 27, 2009 10:29 AM (hlYel)

Posted by: DrewM. at March 27, 2009

You may be right there but it sure looks different now than in did in the 70s. I don't believe it stretched down to NYC then. If the Repubs created this distrcit they sure were crazy.

Posted by: Vic at March 27, 2009 10:31 AM (f6os6)

I’ll go out on another limb here and say if the Republicans do NOT take this seat it will be the end of the line for Steele. Add to that a prediction that if the Repubs lose it it will be another nail in the coffin of the party.

Posted by: Vic at March 27, 2009 10:36 AM (f6os6)

12 Vic at March 27, 2009 10:36 AM (f6os6)

Does anyone even know what republicans stand for anymore? I sure don't. At best, they are schizophrenic. At worst they are democrats.

Posted by: lorien1973 at March 27, 2009 10:43 AM (IhQuA)

13 If Tedisco loses will that be the death of Michael Steele as RNC chairman?

Posted by: Crusty at March 27, 2009 10:46 AM (GvSpB)

14 I don't believe it stretched down to NYC then
Posted by: Vic at March 27, 2009 10:31 AM (f6os6)

Just to be clear. It doesn't go there now either. It goes down through the northern part of Dutches County, which is well north of the traditional NYC 'suburban' area. Now it might be considered exurban but it's by no means 'NYC'.

That said, that's only a part of the district. The north country counties as well as Greene, Delaware and Otsego are very rural and strongly Republican.

Posted by: DrewM. at March 27, 2009 10:48 AM (hlYel)

I believe Vic has it right.

I question the timing!

Kemp

Posted by: kempermanx at March 27, 2009 10:50 AM (NEIwe)

16 I heard yesterday that Murphy was basically running a campaign against Rush Limbaugh in order to turn out the Democratic base. Too bad Tedisco can't respond by pointing out that while Murphy claims he would make a better legislator than radio personality Rush Limbaugh, he hasn't really offered any specifics to back that claim up. Then roll out a detailed 10 point summary of why Tedisco would make a better legislator than, say, 80's sitcom character Jack Tripper, since apparently the Dems want to run against media figures that are not even in the race.

Posted by: Deety at March 27, 2009 10:54 AM (1jglO)

There is nothing about the timing to question... it is a rigged poll designed to influence the election at the last minute. Ho hum, just SOP since we allowed ACORN to manage our elections for the Democrats. I question why we even bother having elections... of course that is exactly the hopelessness that this strategy is designed to foster.

I hope pretty soon it starts fostering real anger among real, living, American citizens.

Posted by: sherlock at March 27, 2009 10:56 AM (FsbnY)

18 Remember when the Northeast was the Republican stronghold?

Not in my lifetime, anyway.

Posted by: Techie at March 27, 2009 11:02 AM (QYuCD)

19 Posted by: Techie at March 27, 2009 11:02 AM (QYuCD)

How old are you?

Posted by: DrewM. at March 27, 2009 11:03 AM (hlYel)

20 OT - The AFL-CIO is attempting to push through immigration reform that will mainly consist of legalization.

Posted by: chad at March 27, 2009 11:03 AM (Fdmhw)

21 Well, whatever is going to happen will be happening soon.

Posted by: Vic at March 27, 2009 11:10 AM (f6os6)

22 25

Posted by: Techie at March 27, 2009 11:10 AM (QYuCD)

23 Unless you want to count Reagan in '84 or something.

Posted by: Techie at March 27, 2009 11:12 AM (QYuCD)

The NE has been a Republican stronghold since Bush the elder was elected and he was more or less a favorite son candidate.

That being said, NY is really not the "NE".

Posted by: Vic at March 27, 2009 11:14 AM (f6os6)

25 If the GOP had any will, they would be watching the voting closely for this one.

I wouldn't be surprised if all the Disney characters, the cast of Star Trek, and the deceased from all of the graveyards in town, came out to vote. Twice. Democrat.

After what probably happened in November, ACORN can rig this election without even breaking a sweat.

Posted by: anopensecret at March 27, 2009 11:17 AM (NQfOv)

26 Posted by: Techie at March 27, 2009 11:10 AM (QYuCD)

Then you are of course correct but history is a bit longer than that.

Republicans were plentiful in the Northeast up until the mid to late 80's. Now they weren't hardcore, movement conservatives and some of them were down right left wing liberals (hello Lowell Wicker and Jacob Javitz!) but on the whole it was possible to find a guy like Al D'Amato from NY until about a decade ago. NJ had at least one Republican Senator from 43-79 and so did MA from more or less the same time.

There were also plenty of Republican House members as well.

As the parties have become more polarized and there's been a realignment things have obviously changed. At 25 you can't also remember a time when the deep south was all Democratic and it wasn't that long ago.

Things haven't always been as they are and in the grand scheme of things, they won't be for much longer. It's just the way it is.

Posted by: DrewM. at March 27, 2009 11:20 AM (hlYel)

27 Really, Taxachusettes (where I've lived for 3 years before), Connecticut, Rhode Island, NY, Maine and New Hampshire are Republican strongholds?

(Vermont, I'll maybe by) (I guess we should count Maine's two senators as "Republicans")

Posted by: Techie at March 27, 2009 11:20 AM (QYuCD)

One thing about that article, the Albany Times Useless is a little to the left of the NY Times and half as accurate.

When Spitzer was getting in trouble for siccing NY State Police on his political rivals, that paper did not cover it. They were too busy making stuff up about his political rivals.

So they're about as accurate as UN climate modeling software.

Posted by: Veeshir at March 27, 2009 11:21 AM (zXUuJ)

29 Oh, I remember enough about the South (where I'm actually from) and know enough history to know about The Solid South. My home state (GA) had 138 years of unbroken Democrat governors, up until 2002.

What I just can't see is how the two parties switched places seemingly so totally.

Posted by: Techie at March 27, 2009 11:23 AM (QYuCD)

30 Really, Taxachusettes (where I've lived for 3 years before), Connecticut, Rhode Island, NY, Maine and New Hampshire are Republican strongholds?
Posted by: Techie at March 27, 2009 11:20 AM (QYuCD)

You didn't say 'are' in your first post. Not in your lifetime but 25 years isn't all that long. We can debate whether or not it was a 'stronghold' or not (I think there's a case to be made it was) but Republicans had certainly had a 'stronghold' in those states at a point not all that long before you lifetime and certainly within the memory of most people.

Again, there weren't 'Republicans' or 'Conservatives' in the sense you are used to but that's what they were.

Posted by: DrewM. at March 27, 2009 11:33 AM (hlYel)

From an economic standpoint they have Not switched sides so much as the Republicans have just moved to the left. The Democraps absorbed the socialist stance from the “progressives” that came up under William Jennings Bryant. The South loved all of that just as well as the North. The only difference was that the Southern Dems were rabid anti-union and anti-black.

Take that from someone who grew up in GA in the 50s and has lived all over the country.

Posted by: Vic at March 27, 2009 11:33 AM (f6os6)

32 What I just can't see is how the two parties switched places seemingly so totally.

At the risk of starting a fight I really don't want to have...civil rights.

Southern Democrats were the ones who killed or tried to kill the civil rights legislation of the 60's. Republicans are actually the ones who provided the margin to pass a lot of it (including a young George H.W. Bush as a Congressman from the Houston area).

Posted by: DrewM. at March 27, 2009 11:36 AM (hlYel)

Remember the Law of Liberal Media Polls:

When they say the Democrat is narrowly ahead, it's actually too close to call.

When they say it is too close to call, it's actually a narrow Republican lead.

When they say it is a narrow Republican lead, it's a Republican landslide.

I have seen this pattern all too often. Take it to the bank.

Posted by: Curmudgeon at March 27, 2009 11:38 AM (ujg0T)

34 Whoops...my memory failed me. G. H. W. Bush voted against the Civil Rights Act of '64.

Posted by: DrewM. at March 27, 2009 11:40 AM (hlYel)

NOTE: The Law of Liberal Media Polls assumes no voting by Illegal non-Americans, Undead Americans, Cartoon Americans, Fictional Americans, Canine Americans, or Feline Americans.

Posted by: Curmudgeon at March 27, 2009 11:41 AM (ujg0T)

36 I'm aware of what the Left accused Nixon of (the "Southern Strategy"), but I don't see how any of it is practical or even realistic. What did the Republicans actually roll back to get the support of all us vicious racists born after the mid-60s? We've still got to get Washington approval to move one polling site to a new location back where my parents vote.

(My sneaking suspicion is the economic downturn of the industrial North and the formation of the "Rust Belt". Conversely, the South moved away from big-government economics after moving beyond the need for things like the TVA and other Southern industrialization projects)

Posted by: Techie at March 27, 2009 11:41 AM (QYuCD)

37 In other words, your guess is as good as mine, in the end.

Posted by: Techie at March 27, 2009 11:43 AM (QYuCD)

38 Don't forget that there's been a significant out-migration from the Northeast. I'm from the Albany area originally, which used to be Democrat island in a Republican sea. Upstate NY has swung more Democrat as the good jobs -- and sensible people -- have left, heading towards the better economic climate in the South and West. Judging from my facebook friends from high school (class of 1992), maybe 1/3 of them are still in NY and maybe a little more than half are still in northeast. Upstate has become more and more dependent on the government.

Posted by: NYCcon at March 27, 2009 11:44 AM (jLXdE)

39 Posted by: DrewM. at March 27, 2009 11:40 AM (hlYel)

Ok, I'm an idiot. He wasn't in Congress until 66. I'm going to stop now on Bush's long forgotten congressional career.

Posted by: DrewM. at March 27, 2009 11:48 AM (hlYel)

Hey, this "poll" could be a way for the MSM to reduce turnout and affect the election.

No way the MSM would have anything to do with messing with this race, right? ...

Posted by: ford at March 27, 2009 11:52 AM (Ki7fm)

41 Posted by: ford at March 27, 2009 11:52 AM (Ki7fm)

Or Tedisco could be running a craptastic campaign. Occam's Razor and all.

Posted by: DrewM. at March 27, 2009 11:56 AM (hlYel)

The so-called “Richard Nixon Southern Strategy” is a myth created by the Dems. As Drew said, the Republicans had more to do with passing civil rights legislation than the Dems did so if voting in anti-race people were the key then they would not have voted Republican in most cases.

One other thing to keep in mind was that in things other than foreign policy, Richard Nixon was very liberal. Nixon won the South not based on race issues but based on the fact that the Dems were turning into the anti-war, anti-military idiots that now permeate the party.

See if you can find a copy of the infamous “girl picking daisy petals” commercial that the Dems used to beat Barry Goldwater. You’ll get a flavor for that time and the Dems. And if it is one thing that the South ha ALLWAYS been it has been pro-military.

Posted by: Vic at March 27, 2009 11:59 AM (f6os6)

43 The republicans need to go back to school to take a course in "recognizing monkey business in an election."

Posted by: muffy at March 27, 2009 12:02 PM (zplc6)

Here it is, the infamous Daisy Girl ad

Posted by: Vic at March 27, 2009 12:03 PM (f6os6)

45 "Senator Gillibrand Worked on Big Tobacco Cases while at DPW"
http://tinyurl.com/cte38c ;">Don't you love good clean fun!!

Posted by: muffy at March 27, 2009 12:21 PM (zplc6)

46 Posted by: muffy at March 27, 2009 12:02 PM (zplc6)

I hate to beat a dead horse but it's not the media and it's not ACORN people. It's a lousy candidate who hasn't articulated a single important principle or policy position.

We can't throw shit candidates out there and then blame others when no buys it.

Posted by: DrewM. at March 27, 2009 12:21 PM (hlYel)

I hope Tedisco loses so we can finally get rid of Steele, besides what we don't need is another RINO dragging the party to the left, the GOP leadership needs to pull their heads out of their asses or we are going to lose again in 2010 and the Unicorns will continue to feast on America's dead carcass.

Posted by: Chuck at March 27, 2009 12:23 PM (IRh55)

Re: Party shift in NE

I'm not a political scientist nor do I play one on TV. And I haven't stayed in a Holiday Inn Express in quite some time. But paying attention over the past 4 generations leads me to believe that the heavily urban NE along with the heavily urban west coast started trending D, with a little lag time built in, along the same time that the Great Society of the mid to late '60's started pumping free money into urban areas. The underclass became way more politically active due to a need to keep the titties primed and pumping, and the political class leaches gained a monetary interest in promoting "social justice". Those two constituencies make up a very significant sector of today's democratic party. I think Hubert Humphrey would be aghast at the state of today's democratic party.

It's not a secret to me as to why the county by county red/blue map is extremely blue along major ports and inland waterways. That's where the people live who have been conditioned to count on the govt tit for their sustenance.

Posted by: pendejo grande at March 27, 2009 12:28 PM (PXZI9)

generations should read "decades"

I haven't been paying attention for four generations. It's not like I'm Shirley Fuckin' McClain or something.

Posted by: pendejo grande at March 27, 2009 12:30 PM (PXZI9)

They should have run John Faso. He would have said, 'no, the 'stimulus' sucks, here's how you create jobs....' and run on the conservative catachism. He'd be killing Murphy.

Agreed. Any thoeries as to why Faso didn't run?

Posted by: muggedbyreality at March 27, 2009 12:46 PM (Kpo6x)

51 Agreed. Any thoeries as to why Faso didn't run?
Posted by: muggedbyreality at March 27, 2009 12:46 PM (Kpo6x)

He wanted to. There wasn't a primary, the country chairs got to pick the candidate for their parties. There was a weighted voted and once Saratoga declared for Tedisco, it was done.

Fucking party hacks picked the guy who they thought would bring home the most pork.

Posted by: DrewM. at March 27, 2009 12:51 PM (hlYel)

52 Saratoga picked him???? Wow, that area has sure changed then in the past 40 years.

Posted by: Vic at March 27, 2009 01:12 PM (f6os6)

53 Saratoga picked him???? Wow, that area has sure changed then in the past 40 years.
Posted by: Vic at March 27, 2009 01:12 PM (f6os6)

Yep.

He technical doesn't even live in the district but is using a lake house or something as his address for this. That's not an issue because the 20th CD and the 21st CD are so intertwined with the area most people have no clue where they live or who is who.

Meh, he'll narrowly win and unless the GOP gets back the state Senate or Governor's office (both of which are well within the realm of possiblility) the seat will be dissolved after the 2010 census and reapportionment.

I honestly think Tedisco just wants this to cap his resume and get a good pension.

Can you tell I'm not a fan?

Posted by: DrewM. at March 27, 2009 01:21 PM (hlYel)

Well, I had heard he was a RINO anyway so I haven't been exactly tearing down the air waves supporting him.

I still think it will be make or break for Steele.

Posted by: Vic at March 27, 2009 01:24 PM (f6os6)

Hell, the local big-wigs picking another RINO candidate just shows that the party is still fucked up, at least locally.

They still have not learned the lesson from 06 and 08.

Posted by: Vic at March 27, 2009 01:25 PM (f6os6)

56 Tedisco is a filthy RINO! That's why we should sit it out and let Scott Murphy win! YAY!!!

Righhhhhhht.

Posted by: It's Vintage, Duh at March 27, 2009 01:44 PM (9DHW9)

57 The Rebublican is going to win.... Ha ha ha. ACORN is still finessing ballots from the trunks of their cars into the ballot boxes. Just wait, there'll be a "sudden" surge of votes for the Dimocrat. Shock. Surprise. Not.

Posted by: chuck in st paul at March 27, 2009 01:58 PM (jDpso)

58 Posted by: It's Vintage, Duh at March 27, 2009 01:44 PM (9DHW9)

I haven't seen anyone suggest sitting out but at some point we need to come to grips with this trend.

Posted by: DrewM. at March 27, 2009 02:39 PM (hlYel)

59 I'm sure Acorn will get as many votes as necessary for the win for the Democrat.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at March 27, 2009 04:30 PM (PQY7w)

60 People would rather cut their nose off to spite their face than have a fucking RINO in office.

Or maybe they're completely off-the-wall fucking stupid.

Posted by: mossback at March 27, 2009 05:44 PM (in8Vs)

61 Carpetbagging and obnoxious Hillary Clinton won a senate seat in New York, the machine will not let one of theirs lose.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at March 27, 2009 06:36 PM (PQY7w)

62 At what point do we have to pull out the torches and pitchforks and start prodding these sorry "party: type bastards to get it right and start representing the real America that is under assault? Do these mouth breathing morons get anything?
Personally I'm networking in my area and planning on putting as much pressure as I can on these idiots (with apologies to actual idiots) to get unfrakked and on with the business of leaving the Affirmative Action Teleprompter President in the dustbin of history. If that's not enough you get the idea that the Tea Party movement speaks for some of us if not most, so I'm joining that too. Stirring up as much shit as I can, it's my nature.

I have no idea about NY but it put out Pataki (RINO), Giuliani(RINO) and the likes of D'Amato and Cuomo...does anyone but a big tit,big gubmint liberal have any chance at all? I mean real chance...

Posted by: enter sandman at March 27, 2009 07:23 PM (zxaA2)

63 Seems not much...

Posted by: enter sandman at March 27, 2009 07:25 PM (zxaA2)

64 The really obnoxious part for me is that I know alot of hardcore southern Democrats who think this kind of shit is perfectly acceptable. They have no problem with crooked elections and shady dealing s and all the crap that goes along with it if they think "they're doing better" under the dems. The reality of the situation and the bad it engenders for the rest of the country seems to matter not one damned bit to them...Are they truly that monumentally ignorant? Can anyone sane be that dumb?

Posted by: enter sandman at March 27, 2009 07:32 PM (zxaA2)

65 oy vay.

Posted by: enter sandman at March 27, 2009 07:36 PM (zxaA2)

66 *picture of Michael Steele*

Posted by: Side of a Milk Carton at March 27, 2009 08:53 PM (KSnlH)

67 wedding dresses wedding dress wedding gowns bridesmaid dresses bridesmaid dress

Posted by: ceaecw at March 27, 2009 09:18 PM (4I1zI)

68 sen. gillbrand - wow what a sellout she turned out to be

Posted by: YRM at March 28, 2009 12:43 AM (004wR)

69 Here's a little history: Dutchess County, where I live, is the birthplace of FDR (Hyde Park); he never won his own county in either his bids for Governor or President. He would win now though.

Posted by: Ann NY at March 28, 2009 06:32 AM (n82VB)

Posted by: dvd covnerter mac at March 30, 2009 01:34 AM (COmpT)

71 I didn't know he was a rino and I sent him $20.00 bucks, I hope he is at least pro life.........I did it listening to Rush basically, I was voting for Rush in this case.........He said the conservatives will come out of the woodwork...I guess we'll see on this one......Michael Steele should pray for a victory here???????

Posted by: Rich at March 30, 2009 08:08 AM (8o7wV)

72 货架托盘塑料托盘护栏网　隔离网

Posted by: 海佩货架 at April 01, 2009 09:17 PM (Xf8DY)

73 TS Converter for MAC is a powerful TS video converting software for Mac users, it's a Mac MPEG-2 TS converter and a Mac MPEG-4 TS converter.TS Converter for Mac can convert TS, TP, MPEG-TS, M2T videos to popular video formats like AVI, MOV, MP4, FLV, WMV etc. TS to Apple TV for MAC,TS to MP3 for MAC,TS to AAC for MAC,TS to AC3 for MAC

Posted by: sasdfasdf at April 24, 2009 12:43 AM (eC5Qz)

Posted by: mac users at May 11, 2009 10:19 AM (VKlSG)

75 discounthair straighteners
ghd hair
chi hair straightener
ghd straighteners
chi straighteners
chi hair
chi hair iron
hair straighteners ghd
ghd hair straighteners
free shipping!

Posted by: hair straighteners at October 24, 2009 09:26 AM (9oMrs)

76 Discount Boots
Womens UGG
UGG Shoes
UGG Australia
UGG UK
UGG USA
discount ugg boots
cheap ugg boots

Posted by: fdsfds at October 27, 2009 08:10 AM (8kvkz)

Posted by: ugg boots at October 27, 2009 08:53 AM (Am8nx)

78 Your post very good,thanks for sharing!Are you also like these:ugg boots uk,buy ugg boots,australia ugg,cheap ugg boots,ugg boots,ugg boots sheepskin,womens ugg boots,ugg australia boots,cheap ugg boots

Posted by: australia ugg at October 27, 2009 11:20 AM (c6EK2)

79 buy Discount Boots
Womens UGG
UGG Shoes
UGG Australia
UGG UK
UGG USA
discount ugg boots
cheap ugg boots
air force 1 shoes
nike air force
air force 1 mens
air force 1 boots
air force onefrom usa

Posted by: airforceoneshop at November 03, 2009 02:09 PM (LHCCE)

80 Come to our website for shopping with high quality and best service! There have new products,MBT M. Walk
and MBT Lami,Welcome everybody to buy it.

Posted by: mbt shoes at November 08, 2009 08:41 AM (QhfLM)

Posted by: ugg boots at November 12, 2009 01:35 AM (IeIJx)

82 Supra FootwearThe supra shoe is comfortable and can wear all day.
supra ShoesThe bestsupra.com seems to be from strong material, and have many seems all over. They are really beautifull.
Supra Skytopbestsupra.com offer Great quality shoe for a reasonable price.
Supra 2009Comfort

Posted by: ryiu at November 12, 2009 10:44 PM (jKBjA)

83 nike dunk sb

Do anything needed to support an idea, a good idea usually brings good results, doing

business is like that.http://www.dunksky.com/.This site has always been on

Posted by: nike dunk sb at November 14, 2009 12:53 AM (APB+g)

84 buy [url=http://www.reviewups.com/]discount ugg shoes[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/]cheap ugg shoes[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/]cheap ugg[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/ugg-coquette-casual-shoes-c-22]ugg rainier[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/]buy ugg[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/]ugg usa[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/]discount ugg boots[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/ugg-classic-short-c-1]ugg 5825[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/]ugg shoes sale[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/ugg-sundance-c-5]ugg sundance[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/]ugg shoes[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/]cheap ugg boots[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/ugg-classic-tall-c-3]ugg 5815[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/]ugg sale[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/]ugg uk[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/ugg-knightsbridge-c-27]ugg knightsbridge[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/]womens ugg boots[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/]ugg boots[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/]ugg australia[/url]
[url=http://www.reviewups.com/ugg-classic-cardy-c-2]ugg 5819[/url]from usa

Posted by: cheap at November 14, 2009 04:39 AM (s7MB5)

Posted by: nike shoes at November 17, 2009 04:54 AM (DuP3Z)

Posted by: replica watches at November 17, 2009 06:38 AM (xpuiO)

Posted by: replica watches at November 17, 2009 11:43 AM (xpuiO)

Posted by: replica watches at November 17, 2009 10:27 PM (xpuiO)

Posted by: replica watches at November 18, 2009 04:48 AM (C/zDM)

90 UGG BOOTS

Posted by: UGG BOOTS at November 19, 2009 07:52 AM (n0jE1)

91 mbt cheap
mbt sale
mbt uk
mbt shoes cheap
buy mbt shoes
shoes mbt sale

Posted by: mbtshoesbuy at November 23, 2009 02:14 AM (bNNim)

92 The proper function of man is to live, but not to exist.ugg classic cardyConquer fear of death and you are put into possession of your life. ugg classic tallThere is a time to speak and a time to be silent. ugg knightsbridgefree shippingmbt cheap
mbt sale
mbt uk
mbt shoes cheap
MBT M.Walk

Posted by: reviewups at November 27, 2009 01:04 AM (xUZwC)

93 hot news for brand shoes online store ,do you want to win more discount ?and popular for younger,and nike air maxwith top quality A ,come on all air max shoes with lowest price for highest quality !

Posted by: nike air max at December 01, 2009 08:43 PM (OKj2x)

94 The cheap ugg boots sale for women are stylish, they are comfortable and what¡¯s more, they keep your feet. theres a pair of fellow sufferers,ugg australia uk to complement your personal preferences, why do we not take the traditional high discount ugg boots on salefor cold winter?
As a matter of fact, with the passing time, the love for ugg usa is increasing among girls in this modern world. The growing demand for these womens ugg made the manufacturers UGG Boots Sale to revamp the looks of these boots with different hues.come our website and buy a pair of ugg uk.UGG Classic Cardy are popular as shoes for cowboys. The SHOES close the whole parts of the foot. The ugg cardy are important to protect your feet from any dangerous things during your walking activities. There are many oatmeal ugg available in the Market and if you are interested to get one you can directly go to the store that sells it.

Posted by: reviewups at December 03, 2009 04:54 AM (OKj2x)

Posted by: replica watches at December 04, 2009 11:28 AM (bsW/x)

Posted by: wholesale jewelry at December 07, 2009 09:47 AM (zpa51)

97 Today ugg boots online have become a phenomenon.Every winter,the ugg classic crochet are one of the hottest goods in the market all over the world.So now don't be hesitation,own a pair of ugg usa immediately.

Posted by: ugg boots sale at December 09, 2009 03:49 PM (I3/dZ)

Posted by: Lacoste shoes at December 12, 2009 04:21 PM (/3s/N)

99 http://www.b2bsharing.com

Posted by: 32165123456 at December 14, 2009 02:21 AM (GiqQR)

100 The womens mbt Tembea is a new generation lace-up with Dual Board construction and a striking style that pays tribute to the classic sneaker. It packs in all the mbt lami shoes benefits with a fresh look and feel, striking the perfect balance between health benefits ... The discount mbt Shuguli GTX is a is a sleek and stylish professional shoe ideal for work and more formal occasions whilst delivering full waterproofing from GORE-TEX. These are especially effective for those who have to stand or walk for long periods of time ...
The mbt shoes Fanaka GTX is a sporty but rugged styled shoe that combines fashionable, casual design with all the health benefits associated with the sporting style discount mbt shoes. These are especially effective for ladies who have to stand or walk for long periods ... The black mbt Bia is a classic, professional shoe ideal for work and more formal occasions whilst delivering all the health benefits from MBT design. These are especially effective for ladies who have to stand or walk for long periods of time during work ...

Posted by: gfdg at December 14, 2009 04:44 PM (iV/dV)

Posted by: nikemax at December 20, 2009 02:27 AM (g3/iU)

102 Shopping for a Rolex watch online can tag heuer make the job Rolex Watches easier but you Replica Watches also have to be patek philippe wary about the reputation of the dealer Chanel Watches and the brand of Breitling Watches watch you are audemars piguet getting. The more mont blanc watches considerable you are, the less danger you would come to armani watches when buying a Omega Watches gold watch online.

Posted by: rolex at December 20, 2009 10:12 AM (/pchr)

103 Buy rolex Fake Watches and Replica Watches brands,rolex watches rolex watches, Replica rolex watches, replica rolex: replica rolex,replica rolex: replica breitling watches,replica tag heuer: replica tag heuer,replica cartier watches: replica cartier watches,replica omega watches: replica omega watches,replica panerai watches: replica panerai watches,replica armani watches: replica armani watches,replica audemars piguet: replica audemars piguet,replica bvlgari watches: replica bvlgari watches,replica chanel watches: replica chanel watches,replica gucci watches: replica gucci watches,replica movado watches: replica movado watches,replica montblanc watches: replica montblanc watches,replica patek philippe: replica patek philippe on sale.

Posted by: fake watches at December 20, 2009 10:16 AM (/pchr)

104 Replica rolex watches,tag heuer watches and replica rolex watches,replica watches replica breitling watches breitling watches,chanel watches chanel watches replica patek philippe patek philippe watches,replica audemars piguet watches replica montblanc watches for men and women.

Posted by: tag heuer at December 24, 2009 08:25 PM (Bp0xg)

105 Replica fake watches and replica watches brands,rolex watches rolex watches, replica rolex: replica rolex,replica rolex: breitling watches,replica tag heuer: tag heuer,replica cartier watches: cartier watches,replica omega watches: omega watches,replica panerai watches: replica panerai watches,replica armani watches: replica armani watches,replica audemars piguet: replica audemars piguet,replica bvlgari watches: replica bvlgari watches,replica chanel watches: replica chanel watches,replica gucci watches: replica gucci watches,replica movado watches: replica movado watches,replica montblanc watches: replica montblanc watches,replica patek philippe: replica patek philippe sale.Replica rolex watches and tag heuer watches, rolex watches,Replica Watches replica watches,patek philippe patek philippe Watches,audemars piguet audemars piguet,Omega Watches: omega watches,replica Cartier Watches cartier watches,Breitling Watches breitling watches,Chanel Watches: chanel watches,armani watches: armani watches,iwc watches iwc watches,mont blanc watches montblanc watches.

Posted by: rolex at December 25, 2009 12:28 PM (nRNCD)

106 We sell rolex and tag heuer watch, rolex watches,Rolex replica watches,replica patek philippe Watches,replica audemars piguet,Omega Watches omega watches,replica Cartier cartier watches,Breitling breitling watches,replica chanel watches,armani watches: armani watches,iwc watches iwc watches,montblanc montblanc watches Replica.Cheap fake watches and replica watches on sale,rolex watches rolex watches, watches replica rolex,replica breitling watches,replica tag heuer: tag heuer,replica cartier watches: cartier watches,replica omega watches: omega watches,replica panerai watches: replica panerai watches,replica armani watches: replica armani watches,replica audemars piguet: replica audemars piguet,replica bvlgari watches: replica bvlgari watches,replica chanel watches: replica chanel watches,replica gucci watches: replica gucci watches,replica movado watches: replica movado watches,replica montblanc watches: replica montblanc watches,replica patek philippe: replica patek philippe sale for people.

Posted by: replica watches at December 27, 2009 10:59 AM (52U6J)

107 Cheap replica rolex and tag heuer watches,replica watches of rolex rolex watches replica,buy patek philippe Buy replica watches,fake watches and tag heuer watches.

Posted by: tag heuer at January 01, 2010 01:54 PM (nUnK8)

Posted by: replica watches at January 05, 2010 07:42 AM (ndMAX)

109 UGG cardy
Ugg Australia
Ugg Shoes Sale
Bailey Button
ugg boots
Ugg classic cardy
UGG cardy
Ugg Australia
Ugg Shoes Sale
Bailey Button
ugg boots

Posted by: ugg shoes|timberland uk|ugg boots|87415555.com.cn at January 06, 2010 11:25 AM (qzq48)

110 replica rolex rolex and tag heuer watches,replica watches of rolex rolex watches replica,buy patek philippe Buy replica watches,fake watches and tag heuer watches.breitling watches breitling watches at low price.

Posted by: rolex at January 06, 2010 05:11 PM (TspGB)

111 Un total de once comunidades autnomas estn este jueves en alerta naranja Christmas gift ugg tall boots (riesgo importante) por nevadas y bajan las temperaturas en toda Espa09a, segn la Agencia Estatal de Meteorologa (AEMET). En concreto, se Christmas gift ugg napoule sandal trata de Aragn, Cantabria, Castilla-La Mancha, Catalu09a, Christmas gift timberland classic boots Madrid, Navarra, Comunidad Valenciana, Galicia, Pas Vasco, Asturias y Murcia. La cota de nieve bajar a menos de 200 metros en el CantbricoLa Pennsula Ibrica est bajo dos borrascas y un anticicln que crearn un pasillo que permitir el paso de una corriente de aire muy fro, como la que est provocando un temporal de fro glaciar en Europa, aunque es esperan que el fro que suframos no sea tan intenso como en otros pases. An as, se espera que las bajas temperaturas se mantengan hasta el domingo. La cota de nieve baja en el Cantbrico a menos de 200 metros

Posted by: El temporal de fr¨ªo y nieve pone en alerta a once comunidades aut¨®nomas ugg boots|ugg uk|timberlan at January 08, 2010 03:29 PM (tWrEP)

112 Buy rolex watches,tag heuer watches and replica patek philippe patek philippe watches,replica audemars piguet> replica breitling watches breitling watches,chanel watches chanel watches watches replica montblanc watches.Rolex fake watches and replica watches brands,replica rolex: breitling watches,replica tag heuer: tag heuer, replica rolex: replica rolex replica cartier watches: cartier watches,replica omega watches: omega watches,replica panerai watches: panerai watches,replica armani watches: armani watches,replica audemars piguet: audemars piguet,replica bvlgari watches: bvlgari watches,replica chanel watches: chanel watches,replica gucci watches: gucci watches,replica movado watches: movado watches,replica montblanc watches: montblanc watches,replica patek philippe: patek philippe on sale.replica watches and replica watches.

Posted by: rolex at January 10, 2010 11:37 PM (OO9Jx)

Posted by: chi hair irons at January 17, 2010 01:46 PM (9oETl)

Posted by: azx at January 18, 2010 04:01 AM (Aemi7)

115 Good replica watches and buy replica watches and replica rolex replica replica tag heuer watches,buy replica replica omega watches and breitling watches replica breitling watches sale at lowest prices.

Posted by: replica watches at January 23, 2010 09:06 PM (ioa0w)

116 Buy rolex replica watches and replica watches replica replica watches and replica rolex watches patek philippe watches and fake watches and breitling watches,replica tag heuer: tag heuer,replica cartier watches: cartier watches,replica omega watches: omega watches at lowest prices.

Posted by: replica rolex at January 29, 2010 11:11 AM (h+uyA)

Posted by: airmax at January 31, 2010 12:29 PM (3vSvS)

118 It seems replica watches that the watch brand Porsche Design is good at creating sporty classic watches. Many of the Replica watches from it are such watches. They are especially designed for men. Some of the products manufactured today by Porsche Design range from luggage, eye-glasses, replica watches wristwatches pens, wallets and so on, all this products being best-selling items. What makes the replica watches products of this brand so popular? That is not only because of the famous reputation of the brand, but because they display the most elegant and posh replica watches fappearance, for those who appreciate style and prestige. If you have enough knowledge of products from replica watches this brand, you would understand these reasons. Defined by modern appearance and functional mechanisms, the replica watches Porsche Design brand has remained true to its intentions as to create timepieces that would meet the expectations of our modern trends and contemporary times. People nowadays seek watches with amazing designs, but at the same time, to provide many functions and to be highly reliable. In a world of speed replica watche and dynamism, Porsche Design proposes sporty watches that managed to impress with their unpretentious designs and the amazing variety of technical functions provided.

Posted by: replica watches at February 01, 2010 01:42 AM (uznWB)

119 The replica watches dial design replica watches 100% copy replica watches of the previous omega watches model: the famous Manchester Logo is located at 3 and the cartier watches chronograph 45-minute breitling watches at 9 with orange figures. Football fans can use the very special 45-minute chronograph to measure the halves of a football match. Black patek philippe hour hand and minute hand features yellow luminescent coating. The hour makers, chronograph audemars piguet and the first 15-minute scale of the tag heuer chronograph counter is montblanc watches presented in eye-catching rolex red. Bright Yellow movado watches tones are found on the minute track, date bvlgari watches window and the text.

Posted by: replica watches at February 03, 2010 05:51 PM (FS54P)

120

fast weight loss fast weight loss car insurance car insurance cheap auto insurance cheap auto insurance coach handbags coach handbags electronic cigarette electronic cigarette nfl jerseys nfl jerseys tomic tomic nfl jersey nfl jersey abercrombie fitch wholesale abercrombie fitch wholesale Cartier Montblanc cartier monblanc blackberry fans blackberry fans jordan shoes jordan shoes true religion true religion love coach handbags love coach handbags monica~yo monica~yo nfl jerseys nfl jerseys ed hardy shirt ed hardy shirt weight loss tips weight loss tips ghd ghd seochan seochan jerseys shoes shoes wholesale wholesale abercrombie fitch abercrombie fitche tomic tomic time's up time's up skechers shape up shoes skechers shape ups shoes

Posted by: wholesale nfl jersey at February 04, 2010 02:16 AM (Mgsdy)

121 Certainly watches are Replica Watches used to help people record rolex Watches time, but rolex watches nowadays its functions have enlarged. Replica watches are now tag heuer Watches not only objects that tag heuer watches can tell you what time it is, they are also a status symbol. You should not feel strange when you find someone wearing a watch on his wrist, but use the cell phone to tell time. In that situation, the watch is just showing its luxurious function cartier watches. It is normal and cartier watches perhaps also happens to you. .If asked that among the watches of various brands, which one can suit your taste? There is no doubt that most people will choose Rolex. Whichever social class you are in, it is naturally Rolex was known breitling Watches and cherished breitling watches for a long time. However, the elements do not usually enter the market alone, always come with the price tag up to the hand. For this reason, many people, especially men, their dreams of luxury Rolex watches are buried in omega Watches his heart omega watches. What should I do? Rolex watches are simply stunning worn by the rich and famous, right? No, this world is not the world's richest men, is the world of each. All are equal before the search of luxury and be men's watches respected. Within men's watches, the law, when consumers are in the market, women's watches they should women's watches receive the same treatment. This is the real reason why replica Rolex watches are ladies watches ladies watches more welcome than Rolex. Because in this world are not difficult to understand that the rich are much less than people with low income, you agree with me? You are forced to nod and say with certainty that is the reality. These low-income people do not have enough money to save every month. They can not afford such luxury Rolex watches

Posted by: replica watches at February 04, 2010 11:18 AM (CPNio)

122 Cheap replica watches and replica watches 100% copy replica watches of the previous omega watches model: the famous Manchester Logo is located at 3 and the cartier watches chronograph 45-minute breitling watches at 9 with orange figures. Football fans can use the very special 45-minute chronograph to measure the halves of a football match. Black patek philippe hour hand and minute hand features yellow luminescent coating. The hour makers, chronograph audemars piguet and the first 15-minute scale of the tag heuer chronograph counter is montblanc watches presented in eye-catching rolex red. Bright Yellow movado watches tones are found on the minute track, date bvlgari watches rolex on sale.

Posted by: replica watches at February 05, 2010 01:56 AM (0uEN8)

123 this replica watches replica watchWhoever wants replica watches timekeeper that does the job of a tachometer will be crazy for. The operation is performed by the copied replica rolex 's bezel. The Daytona also applies automatic movement ¨C just one of many breitling watches characters and functionalities that ensures the precision of time. Originally created to measure lap time and the cartier watches overall time of a race, Rolex Daytona replica omega watches timepieces can measure elapsed time for omega any sporting event. The power of this breitling replica item is made possibly by its internalized perpetual rotor mechanism. Known for its precision, this special Rolex replica cartier watch model only has to be set once to the cartier watches standard time of the owner's choice. Once rolex watches being created, it updates itself during time changes, making upkeep of the replica's time setting replica watches nonexistent. Even though these replica watches were made for sporting events, (specifically those involving laps or circuits), it's not so adversible to put them tag heuer in water since they are not fake watches waterproof. Even thought most of the time, the replica watches do not bear the tag heuer same functionalities as the original ones, they are still the most desirable alternatives of the expensive real models.

Posted by: replica watches at February 06, 2010 07:15 PM (KbTNE)

124 Factors Replica Watches About The Rolex replica watches Oyster The Oyster is so closely get in touch with Rolex, and it is inevitably that some people think these are the only Replica watches Rolex manufacture. Others suppose that there is a single Oyster watch. But as a matter of fact, the name Oyster does not actually meant for a rolex Watches particular watch you can buy rolex watches or even to a series but to a type of case that available in some of the Rolex ranges. History The Oyster case was first released in 1926. The objective was to protect the workings of the watch from dust and moisture. Early watches were far from waterproof. The Oyster tag heuer Watchescase was an tag heuer watches innovative design to eliminate these problems. It had a new double locking crown that screwed into place. It has been compared to the hatch on a submarine. Like a submarine, the Oyster case was waterproof. In 1927 Mercedes Gleitze swam the English breitling Watches Channel breitling watches . Before she set off she was presented with a Rolex Oyster. When she arrived, the watch was still working perfectly. The resulting publicity gave the new case a massive boost. Why is it called Oyster? Legend has it that Hans cartier Watches Wilsdorf cartier watches, who invented the Oyster, chose the name because the new case reminded him of the difficulty he had experienced prising open oysters at dinner. Since then the Oyster has further, particularly advanced. Many Oyster watches today are omega Watches perpetual-self-winding, in other omega watches words, it does not require to expose the mechanism to the outside world in order to wind it. The Osyter Perpetual is one of the toughest, most durable, most reliable watches (under truly adverse conditions). It is probably the best mechanical watch money can buy.

Posted by: replica watches at February 07, 2010 08:30 AM (TUJDt)

Processing 0.08, elapsed 0.0877 seconds.
15 queries taking 0.0144 seconds, 133 records returned.
Page size 158 kb.
Powered by Minx 0.7 alpha.