More Good News... Report: Iran Getting Close To Having Enough Enriched Uranium For A Weapon And The US Is Looking Forward To Talking To Them About It

The London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies said that US intelligence estimates that Tehran halted work on its nuclear program is doubtful and that Iranian officials are eagerly working on developing nukes and other types of weapons.
"During 2009, Iran will probably reach the point at which it has produced the amount of low-enriched uranium needed to make a nuclear bomb," said Mark Fitzpatrick, who serves as a senior fellow at the think tank.
Tehran's continued development of long-range ballistic missiles - able to reach targets in Israel and other parts of the Middle East - are proof the Iranians are working on nuclear weapons, according to Fitzpatrick, who made the announcement today in London at the IISS's annual meeting of global military powers.

But have no fear...diplomacy is near!

In his first television interview from the White House last night, notably to the Arab network Al Arabiya, Obama made a similar appeal to Iran.
"I do think that it is important for us to be willing to talk to Iran to express very clearly where our differences are,” the president said, “but where there are potential avenues for progress. …And as I said during my inauguration speech, if countries like Iran are willing to unclench their fist, they will find an extended hand from us."
Also yesterday at the U.N., U.S. Ambassador to the U.N. Susan Rice made some waves by saying, "We look forward to engaging in vigorous diplomacy that includes direct diplomacy with Iran."

Interestingly, from that same article Hillary sounds slightly less excited about all of this than Obama and Rice.

"There is a clear opportunity for the Iranians as the President expressed in his interview to demonstrate some willingness to engage meaningfully with the international community," Clinton said. "Whether or not that hand becomes less clenched is really up to them. But as we look at the opportunities available to us, we're going to have a very broad survey of what we think we can do."
She added that whether the U.S. hand is extended is "really up to them [the Iranian leadership]."

Maybe it's just residual Hillary! mania but it seems she thinks the next move is Iran's where Obama and Rice seem to be saying the US will be making the first move.

Meanwhile...The spokesman for the Iranian government would like to take this moment of hope to remind you they haven't changed their mind about the Holocaust being nothing more than a "big lie".

Posted by: DrewM. at 01:56 PM

Comments

1 well, you know what they say...if a place is too dangerous for the president, you send the first lady.

Posted by: joeindc44 at January 27, 2009 01:58 PM (QxSug)

2 Hans Brix was unavailable for comment...

Posted by: IllTemperedCur at January 27, 2009 02:01 PM (InMdt)

3 The stars and stripes will soon be replaced with a white flag. Jimmah Carter would be proud of this bending over and taking it from every pissant dictator.

Posted by: TheQuietMan at January 27, 2009 02:01 PM (1Jaio)

4 But if Iran unclenches their fist, how can Obama do a trendy fist-bump with them?

Posted by: Darury at January 27, 2009 02:03 PM (bITsg)

5 I won't believe it until Joe Wilson is sent to investigate.

Posted by: Topsecretk9 at January 27, 2009 02:04 PM (yEcat)

6
To paraphrase Malcolm Reynolds, if something were to happen to Israel, President Obama gives his solemn promise that he'll be all choked up. There might even be tears.

Posted by: Brown Line at January 27, 2009 02:05 PM (VrNoa)

7 What is so great about all of tihs is that Barry is sounding like the fake Presidents on TV. Fucking hell we are so fucked.

Posted by: Sen. Gov. E. Buzz Miller, PhD at January 27, 2009 02:05 PM (sf4Oe)

8 The Iranians are going to do to The Chosen One what they did to Jimmah. Question is, how long will the Israeli's hold back while Hillary! 'studies' the situation. They may decide to take independent action, telling Hillary! and The Chosen One to engage in a physically impossible act.

Posted by: GarandFan at January 27, 2009 02:07 PM (7Ilt/)

9 This should be quite the pay-per-view match-up. Iran, with nuclear weapons and delivery systems, versus the US, with vigorous diplomats. ...And they're not afraid to use them!

Posted by: t-bird at January 27, 2009 02:08 PM (FcR7P)

10 Barry will give in, declare the problem solved, and get back to building his socialist domestic Utopia. It's was liberals do.

Posted by: nickless at January 27, 2009 02:11 PM (MMC8r)

11 "I do think that it is important for us to be willing to talk to Iran to express very clearly where our differences are,” the president said, “but where there are potential avenues for progress . . . ."

Obama: We don't want to be killed.

Imanutjob: We want to kill you.

Obama: Suppose you kill half of us, the Republican half.

Imanutjob: Well, I don't know . . . .

Posted by: WalrusRex at January 27, 2009 02:12 PM (DVVXZ)

12 was=what

Posted by: nickless at January 27, 2009 02:12 PM (MMC8r)

13 If Obama wants to get re-elected in 4 years he will kick Irans ass. Its as simple as that, if Iran gets the bomb its Obama's fault because he said he could talk them out of it.

Posted by: Rorschach at January 27, 2009 02:15 PM (RTMnu)

Smell the glove, Chicago Jesus.

Posted by: railwriter at January 27, 2009 02:16 PM (nwEiU)

15 When the bomb goes off, I'm going to stand up and yell "Leonard Bernstein!", just to see if anyone else gets the reference. That's assuming, of course, that I still have a tongue and vocal cords.

On the other hand, if they don't bomb Indianapolis at the end of May, they ain't bombing it at all. So once that's past, I'm in the clear.

Posted by: Joanna at January 27, 2009 02:22 PM (qBRUE)

16 I was worried about Iran and the bomb. Reading this, I feel much more confident knowing that President Affirmative Action will handle this using diplomacy, and, if necessary, and only if necessary,will send a polite but strongly worded letter via Priority Mail.

/I don't need a sarc tag here, do I?

Posted by: shibumi at January 27, 2009 02:23 PM (tZB/c)

Well when the skittle shitting one pulls the troops out of Iraq they will not be there to block Israel from over flying Iraq to get to Iran. Problem solved.

Posted by: Vic at January 27, 2009 02:26 PM (f6os6)

Who is actually doing the Secretary of State job with these nutballs? Susan Rice or Hillary? Sounded to me like Rice was taking over. This could be fun to watch.

Posted by: robtr at January 27, 2009 02:28 PM (uJzOr)

19 the US, with vigorous diplomats. ...And they're not afraid to use them!

Hey now. Don't forget those diplomats could deploy the new Hope-witzer weapons system that fires 200mm Rhetorical shells. Or a fleet of Hope-copters with 3rd gen Lie-vision and heat-seaking Figures of Speech mounted on four hardpoints-of-order.

Posted by: adamthemad at January 27, 2009 02:30 PM (kIjlp)

20 I clicked on the "AWESOME" tag to see if we were going back to the Everything's AWESOME website.. because everything in the Fifty-Seven States of Obamaland is AWESOME!

Posted by: HawaiiLwyr at January 27, 2009 02:30 PM (1fV53)

21 Okay....has anyone else had enough of this stupid "clenched hand" analogy?
I mean less clenched...more clenched? Is our diplomacy arthritic now?
Will we be giving economic goodies in the hope that they will act like an NSAID and produce a reduction in clenching? Enough with the clenching already.

I think the Iranians have already stated their answer. "Clench this Obama!"

Posted by: Rocks at January 27, 2009 02:38 PM (Q1lie)

I can only hope that WHEN Iran gets the bomb they launch a nuclear missile at Tel Aviv and due to shitty Iranian engineering, it hits Damascus instead.

Posted by: Lemmiwinks at January 27, 2009 02:46 PM (CiVat)

23 Hey Barack it looks like you need our help so as soon as you're able please give us a call.

Posted by: Joe & Valerie at January 27, 2009 02:49 PM (02GN2)

24 That would sweet poetic justice Lemmiwinks. Hows the view from being shoved up Obama's ass?

Posted by: Rorschach at January 27, 2009 02:51 PM (RTMnu)

And don't forget it was the Dems and the MSM (birm) who prevented Bush from taking any firm stand against Iran, and handed the problem to the Euro-weenies, who.... did fuck all.

You own this one chocolate Jesus!

Posted by: sherlock at January 27, 2009 02:55 PM (cq3pU)

26 Iran and Fuckstick Democrat Presidents, Iran and Fuckstick Democrat Presidents- why is it ALWAYS Iran and Fuckstick Democrat Presidents?

What's the over/under date on Operation Eagle Claw, part deux?

Posted by: buster mcDissenter at January 27, 2009 02:58 PM (HJyDP)

I don't know about clenched fists but apparently in the US we've all unclenched our anuses because we are getting well and truly screwed.

What about the environment? It can't be good for the environment if Iran launches a nuclear weapon. Perhaps Al Gore should be sent to talk to them. If he could chart for them just how bad for the environment their nukes are I'm sure they'd agree never to fire them, right? right? riiiight.

Posted by: ParanoidInSeattle at January 27, 2009 03:11 PM (AJ4xq)

28 Iran is unlikely to hit Israel with a nuke since it it would commit itself to a Martian landscape for 10000 years. But it could threaten Iraq, the Saudis, Kuwait, and the Gulf states, and even Europe with Russian assistance causing lots of turmoil in the oil markets ( benefiting the oligarchs and Putin, the 40 billion dollar man), as well as making terrorism against us much more likely. No amount of "soft power" will compensate for this as we follow the One into our Frenchistic all appeasing utopia where more than 50% of the population has some kind of government job and will never vote to threaten it.

Posted by: mytralman at January 27, 2009 03:16 PM (26p91)

Aww, c'mon guys. Haven't you heard that Iran is only working on uranium-enrichment because they are wanting nuclear electrical power plants? I for one, support them in their initiative to be a GREEN LEADER of the world. I mean, it really makes a statement when a country who is literally sitting right on top of all the oil they could ever want decides to do what is best for the world and pursue clean...clean alternati...alter...

I...I just can't go on. It takes way too much energy to be this stupid.

Posted by: reason at January 27, 2009 03:23 PM (XiVKO)

30 Israel should offer to expand its retaliatory nuclear umbrella to include the Arab oil kingdoms. That would kick up some shit.

Posted by: toby928 at January 27, 2009 03:39 PM (PD1tk)

31 When Iran throws a nuke our way, we will retaliate with blistering rhetoric and a scathing retort. That'll show those bastards!

Posted by: Steve L. at January 27, 2009 03:58 PM (Gkhxf)

Iran shoves a nuke up our ass, we retaliate with a letter from the U.N. that just really is nasty.

We are so, so fucked.

Posted by: mikeyslaw at January 27, 2009 04:02 PM (QMGr1)

33 I miss the "Everything is Awesome" blog

Posted by: iDoc at January 27, 2009 05:02 PM (oVZtX)

34 I for one, support them in their initiative to be a GREEN LEADER of the world.

Boooo! No more nuke plants! No more nuke plants! We need to invest in wind and solar, not nuclear power ! Nuclear power is evil!

... oh wait, you're talking about Iran, not the US? Okay then, they can have nuclear power.

Posted by: Lefty Hussein McMoonbat at January 27, 2009 05:19 PM (saRwI)

9 This should be quite the pay-per-view match-up.

IN THIS CORNER, WEIGHING IN AT 1500 KILOTONS, THE LONGTIME CHAMP, ISSSREALLLL, YEEEEEAAAAAYYY

AND IN THIS CORNER, WEIGHING IN AT ALMOST 10 KILOTONS, THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF IRRRAANNNNN!

Though I've had tickets to see this for over five years now, something tells me I won't get to see the show, and what a show this is going to be! We'll see it when it comes out on DVD and games, The Bombing of Natanz. (Sura 2:29)

Posted by: 7HEAVENS at January 27, 2009 06:39 PM (hAArl)

Opps, spoke too soon:

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has issued a FATWA saying the production, stockpiling and use of NUCLEAR WEAPONS was forbidden under Islam. The fatwa was cited in an official statement by the Iranian government at an August 2005 meeting of the IAEA.

Guess that's the end of it. Israel has nothing to fear. (Sura 2:29)

Posted by: 7HEAVENS at January 27, 2009 06:57 PM (hAArl)

Israel should offer to expand its retaliatory nuclear umbrella to include the Arab oil kingdoms. That would kick up some shit.

HA! I like it!

I don't know this for sure but I'm willing to bet that nuclear armed Israeli F-16s are patrolling at high altitude.

Posted by: ErikW at January 27, 2009 08:38 PM (hKtiw)

38 OK, that article is just goofy.

For the record, I hate the idea of Iran getting nukes as much as anyone here does. So please don't think I'm sanguine, or another lefty dismissing this kind of story as right-wing paranoia.

However, the headline and the author's paraphrase don't match what the quoted expert says.

Headline: "Iran will have nuke 'this year': Think Tank"

Author's interpretation: "Iran will 'reach the point' this year where it will have enough enriched uranium to make a nuclear bomb."

Quoted think tank scholar: "Iran will probably reach the point at which it has produced the amount of low-enriched uranium needed to make a nuclear bomb."

Except that low-enriched uranium cannot be used in a bomb. You need highly enriched uranium, which is a hell of a lot easier to make from low-enriched uranium than from natural uranium (we ourselves needed a two-stage process to complete the Manhattan Project on time).

So the key quote in this article is a little like saying Iran has enough iron ore to build a skyscraper. The process goes more or less like this: turn uranium ore (yellowcake is especially good) into pure uranium oxide. [Note that the Iranians seem to have run out of yellowcake--not a good sign.] Turn uranium oxide into uranium hexafluoride. Enrich to low-enrichment stage. Enrich that to >85 or 90% U-235. Reduce to uranium metal or, for lower efficiency but easier fabrication, convert it back to uranium oxide. Now, given competent engineers, you can build your bomb.

The Iranians will probably get the bomb all too soon, and we won't like the results a damn bit. I used to think they'd be crazy enough to use it on Israel; now I think it's likelier they'd hugely escalate the scale and blatancy of their support for terrorism, knowing we'd be basically unable to do anything about it. Think of Pakistan run by the ISI.

But there's nothing in this article to say they'll have a bomb in a year. They'll be a key step closer.

Posted by: JPS at January 27, 2009 08:52 PM (HSf+f)

Even once they have a bomb, that's still only part of the equation. They need a reliable delivery system. If the bomb is large, they're stuck with aircraft. Good luck getting one from Iran to Israel - Israeli air defense would smoke it, assuming one of the other countries that got overflown didn't get it first.

Iran has missiles, but to use those, they'll need to minaturize their bomb.

Just having a bomb doesn't really give them that much of an advantage. If they can demonstrate that they can deliver it reliably over distance, THEN they have an advantage. Just having the bomb is basically an open invitation to bomb the bejesus (bemohammed (?)) out of them.

Posted by: Fa Cube Itches at January 27, 2009 09:24 PM (LxjSI)

And this is why Israel should start dropping tactical nukes all across Iran right now. Eliminate the threat.

Posted by: ErikW at January 27, 2009 09:25 PM (hKtiw)

Not so much?

Posted by: ErikW at January 27, 2009 09:44 PM (hKtiw)

42 Barry's response when his weak, multilateral diplomatic effort fails: "I won".

Posted by: Bruno Stinkfist at January 27, 2009 10:19 PM (TgID+)

The Iranians will probably get the bomb all too soon, and we won't like the results a damn bit.

The Jews know that they cannot exist with Muslims who do not recognize their right to exist, without being attacked by them, and defeating them. And Iran with a bomb will mean the highest, most ruinous oil prices we have ever see. All they had to do was bark and the price went up. If they get a bomb a whisper will do, and the world will fall at their feet. And when they eventually share it with terrorists we both shall pay like never before in history. So if you want Armegeddon just ignore and it shall come to you eventually as they try to bring back the Third Caliphate, whether you like it or not. (Sura 2:29)

Posted by: 7HEAVENS at January 27, 2009 11:10 PM (vLBWk)

44 When, not if, when we are attacked, Israel is attacked, or both; don't let the DemStream Media even get a word in edgewise. Every casualty, every destroyed city, will be the direct fault of Hussein Pasha, the Democrats, and the Media.

Payback is a bitch.

"Post Proximus Incursus; enough ropes, lamp posts and willing hands."

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