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| Reports: New Hampshire Turnout "Solid" But Not "Blow-Out"In Virginia, 50% of the registered vote has already been cast through early voting and heavy voting in the morning. This is called a good sign for Obama -- but is it? It is, I suppose, if Obama's cultists now have the rest of the day to vote two or three more times. Not 50%... That came from Major Garret, citing, presumably, the Obama camp. The latest print report says turnout has been 30-40% of all registered voters-- with a projection for 75%. I really don't know if you can straight-line project final turnout like that. What if it's a high but not ultra-high 65% turnout, but all of Obama's very enthusiastic voters voted early?More anecdotes on voter turnout from Geraghty-- mixed bag. Some places it's "very, very heavy." In others, lines are short. Comments1
N.H., what if Mac won there, would that be great or what.
In previous post I and others, Christoph, have said the Dem's like to accuse us of something right before they do that very same thing. http://tinylink.com/?7zK0Q0nTZX Posted by: locus ceruleus at November 04, 2008 04:13 PM (e2mBS) 2
Not that it means much, but I just voted in Chicago... no lines at all. The election workers were bored silly.
Oh really now.....Maybe they think they have this thing won so why bother vote? Then again, he is playing to a certain (cough, cough) demographic. Or could it be that all the dead people voted absentee? Posted by: Dr.Cwac.Cwac at November 04, 2008 04:14 PM (EhpPw) 3
I live in Massachusetts (in one of the only Republican towns in the state) and I have to say that I think McCain has a real shot in New Hampshire. The state has been crazy for him since 2000, and he beat Romney in the primaries by 5 points, even though Romney had all kinds of Massachusetts folks in the state working for him. Ron Paul polled almost 8%, and Hillary beat Obama by 3 there. The state simply likes lunatics and cranks mavericks.
Posted by: PalinFan at November 04, 2008 04:16 PM (ivbbD) 4
Chicago turnout looks relatively light to my eye. There were far more people in line during 2004. The word that best describes the polling places here: apathy. There was not a single yard sign outside any of the five polling places I walked by. The last mayoral election--not a close contest either--had far more electricity than this one. I don't know what to make of it, really. I just don't think there's a GOTV effort in Chicago at all.
FWIW, we did have an attempted suicide (jumper) in the neighborhood already. No word on whether it was election-related. Posted by: Fresh Air at November 04, 2008 04:16 PM (SXkkC) 5
Oh gag, they are promoting Silver on Fox.
Posted by: David at November 04, 2008 04:17 PM (HAdov) Posted by: Thom at November 04, 2008 04:20 PM (P46e3) 7
Silver has Obama winning big- no wonder Shep is all gooey eyed- he's so dreamy. Fox has become a joke Posted by: jjshaka at November 04, 2008 04:22 PM (m+OPl) 8
The good news about a McCain win is that Nate Silver will be chased back under the baseboard in the kitchen where the Raid can finally get to him.
Regarding Turnout: wasn't 2004's record turnout supposed to help Kerry? Posted by: DelD at November 04, 2008 04:22 PM (Yw/4J) 9
Voted this morning in VA (Northern VA) and must admit that while there was a decent turn out, it went pretty quickly. Of course tonight is when you'll see most of the rush.
Posted by: Nico the Magnificient at November 04, 2008 04:22 PM (51ePm) 10
The only yard signs I saw on the way up the street to my polling place, in suburban NJ were McCain/Palin signs. And there were no lines to vote, although one of the poll workers was a hotty!
Posted by: iamnotachef at November 04, 2008 04:24 PM (nwJit) 11
Posted by: sickinmass at November 04, 2008 04:26 PM (/i4dU) Posted by: Marcus Antonius at November 04, 2008 04:28 PM (YnQ0b) 13
In related news - this is from FDL, but is general in nature:
Sent: Monday, November 03, 2008 1:25 PM An alert Massachusetts citizen named Lisa asked her town elections official today what will happen to the Diebold voting machine memory cards after the election. The clerk replied that she will give the memory cards back to a private vendor, LHS Associates, the day after the election! The memory cards are the ballot box, in all New England voting machine locations. This is a very serious matter. LHS Associates, from Methuen Mass., programs ALL the memory cards for Diebold systems in Massachusetts, Vermont, New Hampshire, Connecticut and Maine. A member of the key management staff of LHS, Kenneth Hajjar, is a convicted narcotics trafficker. We have Hajjar's criminal record documents posted on our Web site. He is in charge of "sales and marketing" for elections for all of New England. In a radio interview, he admitted he drives around with memory cards in the trunk of his car. It is an unacceptable practice to have LHS controlling voting machine programming in New England, but it is outrageous that LHS is trying to collect its memory cards before the election is even canvassed or certified, not to mention before recount and contest periods have expired. Diebold, check. Felons, check Hired by Democrats to supervise local elections, check Democrats - if they can't run a local elections, what makes you think they can run a nation? Posted by: BumperStickerist at November 04, 2008 04:30 PM (GuX8p) 14
where I live, there was a 1.5 hour wait in line to vote. A couple of black panther button wearing types were in line too.
I saw the voting rolls, the provide statistics. My little voting place has about 2100 voters. 1200 dems, 400 republicans and 600 others. As of noon, 21 GOP voters had voted and about 300 DNC voters had voted. Still, that is slow work. So, maybe even md can use GOTV, eh? Posted by: joeindc44 at November 04, 2008 04:31 PM (QxSug) 15
I'm not buying the CW that huge turnout is necessarily good for the Dems. I saw on the news this morning that there was a ginormous line in Westchester County, New York (true blue) and I figured it was a bad sign, but when the dude with the microphone polled them, he found the votes were pretty much split down the middle.
Posted by: BNJ at November 04, 2008 04:32 PM (vC1jc) 16
I'm not convinced that high turnout is good for Obama... if you assume that the yout registrants are predominantly Dems, then an 80% turnout probably means a good night for McCain, since the youth are the ones who won't show up.
Posted by: DaveS at November 04, 2008 04:32 PM (jvG2F) 17
although one of the poll workers was a hotty! you should have hit it, i would have Oh, fuck! Marty died. marty? marty who? ps: NH goes Mac, we win in my opinion Posted by: YRM at November 04, 2008 04:45 PM (004wR) 18
75% turnout of registered voters would be no big thing. In 2004, 76% of registered voters in VA voted.
Of course if the % of registered voters is higher than in previous election, then a turnout rate of 75% of the voting age population would be enormous - it was 57% in 2004. Posted by: DaveO at November 04, 2008 04:45 PM (oxE+M) 19
Based on observations with other VA folks it seems turnout was pretty high this morning, but slacked off. Like everybody tried to beat the high turnout by going in the morning, but there isn't much of that high turnout after. Took me 45 minutes to vote this morning in Alexandria. A coworker at another Alexandria polling place tried at 0730 and was told the line was 2.5 hours long. She went back at lunch and 5 people were voting. Posted by: Spade at November 04, 2008 04:58 PM (7WUru) 20
I voted in a very Republican precinct in Michigan at 10:30 (opened at 7AM) and I was number 284. That's about average.
Posted by: JorgXMcKie at November 04, 2008 05:04 PM (1Sf5X) 21
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