1

Heh, last night one of my Dem friends said mournfully, "How sad is it that Obama is running his campaign so badly that we are now 'Hoping' (he used finger quotes) for a natural disaster to stop the Palin pain."  Then he cursed obama for not picking Hillary!....

Hope the storm turns away from populations.  Good Luck.

2 Floridians need to be paying attention to Hanna and there will most likely be another GOM or East Coast storm in about 2 weeks if long range models progress as shown.  Watch Obama and McCain try to outdo each other on storm damage payouts.

3 Kinda interesting that no one is really talking about the impact that Gustav will have on the price of nat gas.  It is projected to head right into the heart of most prolific fields.

http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=66057

K

4 Drew, 1972 called.  They want their map back.

5 Click that link for long modeling.  Shows GUSTAV hitting LA with HANNA hitting south FL and up into the Panhandle followed by either IKE or KYLE heading through the FL straits into the GOM.  Good times according to Micheal Moore.

http://tinyurl.com/5u6b64

6 That big white circle is disturbingly close to me. What does it mean?

7 That big white circle could be a White Obama signal.  That's worse than a CAT 5 Hurricane.  When in one of those, flee like you read about.

8 Oh, I found it. Five day tracking area. Anything is possible 5 days out...

9 AJ, anything beyond 3 day's out is not very reliable for exact landfall.

10 Another good site for hurricane models.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

11 Needs more Palin.

12 Cat 4 now

13 Good job erasing the comments, dickbag.

14 Whoopsie, nevermind!

15 Didn't they relocate all of the looters to Houston last time, after they had that big cannibal feast at the stadium? I'm asking because when big floods in '93 washed away all the doublewides that were on the cheap (read as 4" above water table) land here, most never got re-settled.  Are there even any denizens left in the chocolate city who wouldn't bother to walk out now?

16 This is exactly why Louisianans fired Gov. Blanco and hired Gov. Jindal, who, like Gov. Palin is one of the new breed of Republican reformers who represent the future of the Republican Party.

This hurricane also ponts up why we should be getting our oil and natural gas from many sources, not just from down here in the Lower 55, but also from Alaska, the 56th state.

17

Well, I guess we'll stock up on food on Monday if it looks like it might move a bit west. We just had a record rainfall yesterday: 6.09in. making the month so far 11.23. And it's still raining now...

 

18 Wonderful . . . but I hear Nagin is still looking for his busses.

19 Where are you at, MamaAJ?

20

Del Rio, TX. Due west of San Antonio at the Mexican border.

More importantly, I live uphill from the areas of town that flood!

21 On the other hand, this blogger lives four blocks from Galveston Bay in southeast Harris County, Texas -- just outside Houston.

Already have my hotel reservations made in case this bad boy turns our direction -- we'll head inland to Austin for a day or two if we need to.

And hope we have a place to come back to in the event of a major storm surge.

22
Less Gustav.

More Sarah!

23 MamaAJ, you'll either laugh at this or be horrified: my sister and her family and some friends rented a houseboat on Amistad for this Labor Day weekend, and they headed there yesterday from San Antonio, despite all this rain from TS Julio. I have no idea if they went ahead and took it out on the lake.

Luckily, they know to stay away from low areas of town--we saw what TS Charley did to downtown.

24 At least a few Dems think this is funny...

25

Oh, stace, that's too bad. Considering how dry it's been this year until recently, you wouldn't think to worry about a couple straight days of rain. Hope they have lots of bug spray; the mosquitos are eating us alive.

Yeh, it was just the 10 yr anniversary of Charley, so I've been reading about it. Even a little rain floods so many of the roads.

26

Floridians need to be paying attention to Hanna

Floridians tend to pay attention -- we've only had annually-updated hurricane plans in place -- like evac routes, turning public transit into evac transportation, shelters, generators, lists of elderly and sick evacs, etc. for oh, about 25 years.

And if Hanna moves a bit west and hits Texas, or east and hits the panhandle?  Not news, except for the griping of the NO evacuees, of course, whose glorious Labor Day plans will have been spoiled by a government conspiracy -- because whatever happens, it's always a conspiracy -- and they should be reimbursed for the mental anguish of it all!

27 OT -

LGF and gatewaypundit have something interesting about Obama freaks creating anti-Palin smear websites.

Sorry for not linking - I'm good at other stuff.

28 I work in Houston....with Big Oil.....We're already evacuating rigs and relocating personnel.

29 #27

Here is the LGF link.

30 I'm in Houston, worried for LA, and somewhat concerned for us.  It floods really easily here.  It's up to a Cat 5 now.  Will be keeping a really close eye on it.

31 Wait a minute: you can use BUSES to evacuate people?!

32 My little six-legged barometers are happily building their hills, so I would be absolutely astounded if Houston experienced any major flooding this summer.  Can't speak for the rest of the Gulf, though.

NOAA has a good hurricane watch site.

33

Mrs. Peel,

 

I hope those barometers are not of the Fire variety.  I'm also glad to hear that.  I'm in Katy and I don't want to get too wet.

34 MamaAJ, hopefully this storm will track further north and leave you guys alone. We need the rain here, dammit.

Rhymes, if you find yourself in Austin, give me a shout. I have a little coffee shop in NW Travis county. Come by for a cup. 

35 On the other hand, this blogger lives four blocks from Galveston Bay in southeast Harris County, Texas -- just outside Houston.

Already have my hotel reservations made in case this bad boy turns our direction -- we'll head inland to Austin for a day or two if we need to.

And hope we have a place to come back to in the event of a major storm surge.

Posted by: Rhymes With Right

RWR, we must nearly be neighbors.  I'm in the South Shore area.  My family is all coming over from Port Arthur/Beaumont and piling in with us.  They have mandatory evacuation starting at 6 AM tomorrow.

36 I thought the fireants built up their mounds when they were expecting rain?

37 why doesn't Obama stop the storm with his superpowers?

38 why doesn't Obama stop the storm with his superpowers?
Posted by: Frank G

Michele caught him looking at Palin pics and broke his wand.

39

Looking at Michele breaks MY wand. 

 

Well, not break as much as make it retract back into my pelvis and shiver in fear.  The big problem with that is that my testes wind up in my throat, and that really makes sneezing and coughing HURT.

40

mpur, you are welcome to it! Bugs and mud during the kids' horseback riding lessons and soccer practice...but at least it's not 103 degrees this week...

Hope everybody stays safe. My mom is north west of here (Alpine area) and their NOAA radio station hasn't been working in weeks! So they've been caught in thunderstorms and flooding because they didn't know the weather! I keep telling them to call me and my trusty internet connection before heading out.

41 Micheal Moore isn't alone.

Former DNC chair laughs at Gustav, claims it's proof that "God is on our side".

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TrBus8ORR78

42 mpur @ 36:  When ants are expecting moderate to heavy rain, they move their hills to the highest spots.  When ants are expecting flooding, a la Alicia or Allison, they disappear entirely.  So if you see anthills, you're typically not going to get flooding.

43 Any morons who evacuate to the north of Nashville, I have enough MREs and poncho liners to accomodate a few if you're not allergic to cats.

44

Those bastards better pray that this storm is harmless. Wishing mayhem because it helps your party is worthy of Fascists and Bolsheviks, not of the Democrats.

Better believe that McCain and right-wing Youtubers are taking notes of this shit.

45 Excuse the anger in the above, but my city is still in Gustav's cone and I am really hoping it lands somewhere swampy and empty

46 Mrs Peel,

Around here, if the ants start building up their mounds, you can count on rain. Whether or not they moved them, I dunno.

Now, the sage is blooming like crazy today, so the barometric pressure is definitely doing something.

47 Have y'all seen this already? In addition to Michael Moore, a former DNC chairman got caught on video chuckling about how "God is on our side", because of Gustav.

http://www.redstate.com/diaries/absentee/2008/aug/30/fowler-fouls-hurricane-is-gods-favor-to-dem/

48

I saw that Stace. Why hasn't somebody beaten Michael Moore with a lead pipe yet? Leave to the Dems to figure out new ways to lose an election. What dumbasses.

49

Uptown New Orleans is pretty deserted.  Very few cars on the streets, with many buildings boarded up. 

The remaining cars appear packed for early morning departures. 

50

Hi folks- greetings from your resident weather staff for Moron Central (namely, me writing down what my meteorologist with hurricane emphasis wife tells me).

There's a weakness between the two high pressure systems- one over Texas, one over Florida- that is sucking this storm more or less in the direction of Houma, LA (Terrebonne Parish). Here's a map...

http://www.geocities.com/Heartland/2073/parish.htm

We anticipate (we being the National Hurricane Center) a landfall somewhere in Terrebonne and Lafourche Parishes (Houma and Morgan City, close to Cocodrie. Hurricane-force winds (winds in excess of 75 mph) are likely across the metro New Orleans area. Here's the current forecast map from the NHC...

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200807_5day.html#a_topad

The map more or less shows the storm moving slowly across most of coastal Louisiana... that means that essentially the I-10 corridor is going to take a beating. Here's a storm surge forecast... note that around Lafourche and Terrebonne, you're looking possibly at 12-18 feet of surge, and at Grand Isle (extreme lower Jefferson Parish) maybe 20-25 feet of water. Bear in mind that you'll have 40-50 foot seas offshore, and it just isn't pretty.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200807_surge.html#a_topad

Now, if you follow the forecast map (which is likely to change), it also means that you'll have inland hurricane conditions at least to Alexandria, and at least inland tropical storm conditions probably to Shreveport. This is where it gets somewhat tricky...

We're hoping for some rain from this system in central Texas. The models are changing somewhat dramatically from what they were saying earlier- the storm appeared to be headed to Dallas and then southwest into central Texas. Here's the latest model run...

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200807_model.html#a_topad

The hard thing to assess here is what the interaction is going to be with the high over Texas... if our fellow moron Sergei is around, I'd love to hear his take on it (he's a meteorologist as well).

Anyway- if you are along the I-10 corridor- if you have not already begun your evacuation, please get the hell out of there. This is a life-threatening situation.

If you are along the I-49 corridor- please prepare for inland hurricane conditions. The storm will reach the Ark-La-Tex (Shreveport, and the TX/LA/AR border area) as at least a tropical storm. That means you will see hurricane-force winds at least to Alexandria, as well as a likely 5-10 inches of rain.

Finally- please pray for our intrepid Louisiana National Guardsmen who are deployed along I-10 for the landfall of Gustav. In particular, the 2225th Engineers, the 256th Infantry, and the 141st Field Artillery are deployed in the projected path of the storm.

For wall-to-wall coverage of the storm, I recommend watching WWL-TV's live feed at www.wwltv.com for the New Orleans take, and my old station KPLC in Lake Charles for the SW LA take. Check them out at www.kplctv.com.

If anyone has any questions I can answer, please fire away.

tmi3rd

51

Another H-Town Moron here (Camp Logan).  While I'm glad Gus isn't coming up the Ship Channel, the current track is only slightly less scary.  Another big one in NOLA just makes me sick to death.  While I'm glad Bobby Jindal is in charge in Baton Rouge, it seems like Mayor Ray is managing to keep his foot firmly planted in his mouth.

Although Houston's hometown Pravda isn't much to read, Eric Berger (the SciGuy) has a great blog, especially during storm season.  No hype, but no voyeurism (the odd pervy kind that you see in some of the weather blogs...or MSNBC)

http://blogs.chron.com/sciguy/

Keep good thoughts in mind for everybody in South Louisiana, its going to be a tough row to hoe for a while.

 

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