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| Shock Poll Gives Obama Fifteen Point EdgeRelax, it's just Newsweek. Trust me: McCain will only lose by 6-8 points, tops.Comments1
Abracadabra, italics OFF!
Posted by: Moron at June 20, 2008 06:05 PM (jfOsm) 2
Newsweek.......pfffffffffffffff.......now there's a RELIABLE souce! Wonder which pinhead in the exec officers picked that number out of their nose.
Posted by: GarandFan at June 20, 2008 06:07 PM (eJ32B) 3
I'm calling it McCain 45 states to Obama 5 states. So there...and I'm much smarter than Newsweek.
Posted by: nikkolai at June 20, 2008 06:07 PM (CZD0L) 4
These Newsweek people are obscene prophets, my friendsh.
Posted by: John McCain at June 20, 2008 06:10 PM (YCVBL) 5
This is one thing I don't understand about polls. Don't they take history into account before publishing? When was the last time a candidate won the general election by 15 points? Reagan? People may see Bush as bad but he's no Carter. If your poll ends up that way then you have done something wrong by definition. Demand you're money back from the pollster and move on.
Posted by: Rocks at June 20, 2008 06:11 PM (7rbe9) 6
I see Obama winning all 57 states.
Newsweak is always accurate, as Presidents Gore and Kerry can attest. Posted by: joe at June 20, 2008 06:35 PM (YcIuv) Posted by: h2u at June 20, 2008 06:39 PM (TZKUw) 8
All thses polls are gonna do is keep the dems home on election day. Students do not vote. In is a school day.
Posted by: Lou at June 20, 2008 06:52 PM (RNwpX) 9
OLD people vote, and we ain't voting for Barry. Keep making cracks about McCain's age. He isn't an angel, but he's better than Mr. ZERO.
Posted by: GarandFan at June 20, 2008 07:01 PM (eJ32B) 10
With the exception of 2000, Democrats have consistently overpolled and underperformed since the 60s. I mean, Bob Dole got 41%, or viewed another way, 51% of the electorate (Perot's share) voted against the Bulbous Nosed One.
Posted by: Xeno at June 20, 2008 07:48 PM (o/1nd) 11
With the exception of 2000, Democrats have consistently overpolled and underperformed since the 60s.
When did I hear that before? Oh, yeah, October 2006. Posted by: Socky at June 20, 2008 08:07 PM (/0sRQ) 12
Socky, the Dems did overpoll in 2006. Even ace notes that while this is absolute bullshit, Mccain still fights a steep uphill battle. Dems can overpoll and still win.
Unless you are seriously claiming that the dems will win by 15 points. If you did that in person, I could rule you out as a sentient lifeform. Too bad this is the internet. Posted by: gohuckyourself at June 20, 2008 08:15 PM (8jYMc) 13
I do not know if Obama will win or lose, but don't forget the interesting disparity between the primary exit polls and actual returns in the primaries. For some reason, it seems to make people feel good to say that they voted (or will vote) for Obama, when in reality they did no such thing.
Posted by: AP at June 20, 2008 08:33 PM (2pT9a) 14
No, Huck, I just don't think living in a constant state of denial is a good place for Republicans to be. "Ignore the polls, we'll be fine! Icebergs? What icebergs? This ship is unsinkable."
Posted by: Socky at June 20, 2008 09:12 PM (/0sRQ) 15
Ace is D.O.B.A, McCain will lose but I predict by a slightly wider margin. The only hope the guy has is to pick a V.P. who at least excites the base.
Could that be this pick? Posted by: Hongqi at June 20, 2008 09:14 PM (+WuMm) 16
With the exception of 2000, Democrats have consistently overpolled and underperformed since the 60s. I meant presidential elections. Polling for congressional elections is tricky a'cause of the macaca factor. I might add 1998 was projected to be a Republican blitzkrieg but the Dems almost took back the Congress. I'm still holding out for a military coup/state of emergency. Posted by: Xeno at June 20, 2008 10:28 PM (o/1nd) 17
16:
One thing about 1998 was that many hard core conservatives sat out because they thought Newt wasn't fighting Clinton enough. Coupled with a VERY motivated lib base that year to try to thwart impeachment proceedings, and that is what led to the results. But back to Newsweek: "Barack finally got his bounce." Yeah. The Deciders did it for him. They will keep messing with polling and samples until they get the results they want, then trumpet Obama's "inevitability" until it does become accepted by the undecideds they are trying to sway, the Dems they are trying to reaffirm, and the Republicans they are trying to depress and convince they shouldn't even bother voting in November. Newsweek is notorious for doing this with polls just to get shock attention. Remember in 2004 after the first debate when they gave Kerry something like a 10point swing? Too bad this poll will be the meme for the Sunday shows. Posted by: eddiebear at June 20, 2008 10:46 PM (xJ6cv) 18
I have no doubt that he has 15 points over what he would have, were the media not fawning over him.
Posted by: Senator Obama at June 20, 2008 10:58 PM (0+Ggj) 19
Newsweek is a joke. This is a poll of "adults". When was the last time an organization just polled adults? Not even registered voters, or more appropriately, likely voters.
Posted by: BB at June 21, 2008 02:42 PM (DvVys) 20
And go down as the first white man ever to lose an election for President to an uppity negro (ref: Obama's new redesigned Presidential seal.)
Posted by: andgodown at June 21, 2008 02:46 PM (Ncq2X) 21
A poll published by the magazine that swore up and down that the entire koran went down a flush toilet in one?
Right.
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Primary Document: The Audio
Paul Anka Haiku Contest Announcement Integrity SAT's: Entrance Exam for Paul Anka's Band AllahPundit's Paul Anka 45's Collection AnkaPundit: Paul Anka Takes Over the Site for a Weekend (Continues through to Monday's postings) George Bush Slices Don Rumsfeld Like an F*ckin' Hammer Top Top Tens
Democratic Forays into Erotica New Shows On Gore's DNC/MTV Network Nicknames for Potatoes, By People Who Really Hate Potatoes Star Wars Euphemisms for Self-Abuse Signs You're at an Iraqi "Wedding Party" Signs Your Clown Has Gone Bad Signs That You, Geroge Michael, Should Probably Just Give It Up Signs of Hip-Hop Influence on John Kerry NYT Headlines Spinning Bush's Jobs Boom Things People Are More Likely to Say Than "Did You Hear What Al Franken Said Yesterday?" Signs that Paul Krugman Has Lost His Frickin' Mind All-Time Best NBA Players, According to Senator Robert Byrd Other Bad Things About the Jews, According to the Koran Signs That David Letterman Just Doesn't Care Anymore Examples of Bob Kerrey's Insufferable Racial Jackassery Signs Andy Rooney Is Going Senile Other Judgments Dick Clarke Made About Condi Rice Based on Her Appearance Collective Names for Groups of People John Kerry's Other Vietnam Super-Pets Cool Things About the XM8 Assault Rifle Media-Approved Facts About the Democrat Spy Changes to Make Christianity More "Inclusive" Secret John Kerry Senatorial Accomplishments John Edwards Campaign Excuses John Kerry Pick-Up Lines Changes Liberal Senator George Michell Will Make at Disney Torments in Dog-Hell Greatest Hitjobs
The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny More Margaret Cho Abuse Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed" Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means Wonkette's Stand-Up Act Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report! Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet The House of Love: Paul Krugman A Michael Moore Mystery (TM) The Dowd-O-Matic! Liberal Consistency and Other Myths Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate "Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long) The Donkey ("The Raven" parody) News/Chat
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