(Racist) Gallup Poll: All Knotted Up at 44%

I don't think actual poll numbers mean anything, especially in this particular race.

But they do indicate trends, certainly.

And the trend for The Golden Child? Not good.

Maybe people are beginning to figure out that Obama has said exactly one true statement since becoming a Senator:

"I don't think I have a place in history yet. I got elected to the U.S. Senate. I haven't done anything yet."

That was in late 2005. And what has he done since? Well, a combination of nothing, and opposing the wildly successful surge, and voting to cut off funding for our troops, and lamenting that oil prices were fine at $130 per barrel, he just wished they hadn't risen quite so quickly, and also a lot of nothing.

Empty suit? Nah, empty suits are actually useful. You can wear them, for one thing.

Posted by: Ace at 05:00 PM

Comments

The "Golden Child"?

Racist!

Posted by: AndrewsDad at August 01, 2008 05:05 PM (C2//T)

2
Hillary! would be holding a higher percentage over McCain right about now. Does anyone doubt it? It's simply standard that the Democrat candidate is up this time of year.

Anyways, if Obama is going down in flames then expect Hillary! will be back in 2012.

Posted by: electricferret at August 01, 2008 05:07 PM (kKO7A)

3 "Hello? Gallup? Ministry of Truth here. Gallup malquoted poll Messiah doubleplusungood rectify rewrite fullwise upsub antefiling Messiah 98 McCain 2. Get on this or it's Room 101 for you."

Posted by: George Orwell at August 01, 2008 05:08 PM (rf5CF)

4 McCain has ticked up slightly on Intrade in the last week. I wish there was a short contract for Obama (he doesn't win the election) rather than the long-only contracts they have available (McCain does win).

Pre-convention I'm still iffy on Obama actually being the nominee, so I think there's a better chance of him not winning than McCain winning, if that makes any sense.

Posted by: tachyonshuggy at August 01, 2008 05:09 PM (JBuzy)

Polls of registered voters are pretty meaningless, since registered voters don't vote. They just registered to vote.

"Likely voters" are people who have shown a tendency to get up off their asses and actually go to the polls, not just to Youth rallies in Germany where they can Seig Heil their newest Furher.

Among likely voters, Obama hasn't got a chance.

Because he's black ... and if you look around at countries run by black people, they all seem to have one thing in common.

Posted by: pollwatcher at August 01, 2008 05:10 PM (Ncq2X)

6 You're being so racist today!

Posted by: runninrebel at August 01, 2008 05:10 PM (0n9wc)

All this Obama ego-puncturing is good stuff for the silly season part of the campaign. Vital even, as voters need to know that its okay to not be impressed with the O.

I only hope this is not happening too soon. There is still time for the Supers™ to turn to Hillary.

Posted by: toby hussein 928 at August 01, 2008 05:10 PM (evdj2)

8 I only hope this is not happening too soon.

I don't think the traditional timing rational really applies in this race (oops, sorry *election*). Obama's trying to build a movement based on image and personality. All it takes to defeat that is to have the image a little tarnished and to expose the personality as unattractive. Once that impression sticks in any potential voters mind it can't be reprogrammed to forget it. Any voter turned off of Obama now isn't going to get turned back on to him in Oct.

Posted by: runninrebel at August 01, 2008 05:16 PM (0n9wc)

9 poll watcher, dems can make up for the likely voter gap by committing absurd levels of Chicago fake votes. They love that stuff, and Obama has never won a straight up fair election, so we know he's cool with playing dirty. The GOP failed for years to enact any serious voter verification laws when they had power, so it's largely their fault that this crap still goes on. A minimum 5 year imprisonment and 1 million dollar fine per fraudulent vote, and a major DOJ undercover operation to get into ACORN and the like would have been a great service to this country. A standardized ballot law for federal elections, real scrutiny of all those crooked elections officials, and a lot of examples being prosecuted would have fixed this problem. Look no further than King county to know what the stakes are.

Tachyonshuggy, if the dems don't nominate Obama, there are enough leftists who will rebel that the dems will really have no chance. Obama is black, and therefore if things don't go his way, that segment of the dems will suspect he's a victim of some sort. Don't underestimate the fear the dems have of these folks going Nader or not voting (and they don't really want to get off their keister to vote anyway). While I agree that Hillary! would be a dramatically superior candidate and president than Obama, the dems knew this a long time ago. When it comes down to it, Hillary is closer to the center. Those who would vote for Obama are more likely to stick to Hillary than vice versa. But if the DNC abandons Obama at this point, with all this money spent, and Bill Clinton's legacy being gladly sacrificed, Mccain is just going to coast right along. Obama is the only shot the dems have. But I'm suspecting more and more than Obama has no choice but to pick Hillary as his Veep.

Posted by: ghy at August 01, 2008 05:22 PM (8jYMc)

10
@ #9 - ghy

But I'm suspecting more and more than Obama has no choice but to pick Hillary as his Veep.

I'm curious about that. If Obama happens to be getting the smell
of FAIL about him based on these numbers, it may be crafty of Hillary! to let him sink and get a fresh shot at it in 4 years.

If McCain happens to win that'll be 12 Republican years in the White House and the voters would probably make a strong turn to the Hildebeast. Well, anyways, a much stronger turn than they seem to be making to Obama based on the polls.

Posted by: electricferret at August 01, 2008 05:30 PM (kKO7A)

11 Hillary depends on the internals. If Obama is really in free fall ( who knows?) she won't be coming on board even if asked. She can wait four years. At seventy one McCain probably won't take two terms. If he's weakening, but not gut shot flip a coin may be she does may be she doesn't. If he's strong he doesn't need her. Sure doesn't look like he's strong.

Posted by: The Obvious at August 01, 2008 05:33 PM (1g+FW)

12 good points you two... I guess Hillary would have to consent to being the nominee at this point, and she'd be a total idiot to take it... imagine how vilified she would be by the hard core left. Right now, she's the victim of the 'glass ceiling', where the older more tested women loses the top job to the upstart attractive young dude. Her dying campaign's last breath was that Hillary could beat Mccain and Obama could not... that was probably partly aimed at the voters of 2012.

Iraq turning around, the economy refusing to tank completely, and Pelosi's lack of an energy policy have made this election more than a referendum on Bush. Combined with all the errors of Obama's campaign, he's harmed his chances, but it's not like Hillary relishes to prospect of taking the blame for screwing Obama out of the white house and fixing the mess he's made of the dem campaign.

Sadly, it's going to be tough to win back the house with the idiot GOP minority. Mccain winning will probably harm any chance of the GOP reforming itself enough to merit another 1994.

Posted by: ghy at August 01, 2008 05:56 PM (8jYMc)

13 My dear, sweet brother Numpsy!

Posted by: ECM at August 01, 2008 06:07 PM (q3V+C)

For #9 ghy

...dems can make up for the likely voter gap by committing absurd levels of Chicago fake votes. They love that stuff, and Obama has never won a straight up fair election, so we know he's cool with playing dirty...

Well, but let's not forget his opponent was Alan Keyes. Vote fraud or no vote fraud, he was going to win that one by at least a 30% margin. Now, if he'd won against Mike Ditka or something, then OK, I'd agree, there's a cloud of suspicion.

Posted by: EnochF at August 01, 2008 06:14 PM (VXm6y)

15 AJ Strata thinks its going to get worse for the obamanation. Don't always agree with AJ, but he is pretty smart .http://strata-sphere.com/blog/

Posted by: RWB at August 01, 2008 06:33 PM (MKxON)

16 Don't forget Barry's energy policy - Inflate your tires.

Posted by: Doc99 at August 01, 2008 06:41 PM (et3og)

17 "I don't think I have a place in history yet. I got elected to the U.S. Senate. I haven't done anything yet."

This is the thing. If he'd waited until 2012 he'd have been more experienced and had some time in Washington under his belt, a bit more time answering tougher questions and so on. Now? It's like some kid who changed a tire wanting to run the garage. With cheerleaders standing around chanting his name and yelling.

Posted by: Christopher Taylor at August 01, 2008 07:05 PM (0+Ggj)

18 I totally disagree that polls are not important in this particular instance. I will agree that they may not be accurate, but if they turn against Obama he's toast. He is campaigning like he is the president, if all of a sudden he isn't a "sure thing" then he looks like even more of a pompous windbag.

When things turn bad the stories will finally surface and bury him. Everyone loves you when you are on top, but when things turn against you in politics, no one is your friend anymore, not even Obama will buck that trend.

Posted by: A Random Sports Blogger at August 01, 2008 10:41 PM (HAdov)

19 No chance Hillary is coming on this sinking ship.

Posted by: trentk268 at August 01, 2008 11:51 PM (N421Z)

20 I totally disagree that polls are not important in this particular instance. I will agree that they may not be accurate, but if they turn against Obama he's toast. He is campaigning like he is the president, if all of a sudden he isn't a "sure thing" then he looks like even more of a pompous windbag.

That is a good point, he can't use the underdog and the "I'm so certain to win I'm putting a faux presidential seal on my podium and preparing my cabinet" lines at the same time.

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